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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Agreed. Stewart should be in the rotation until the end of the season but I don't hold out much hope for him being an effective starter (or even reliever, really). But he showed flashes of competence in MiLB this season after going unclaimed in the Rule V draft. The front office needs as much face time with him as possible against MLB hitting to find out if he's worthy of a 25-man spot in 2019 or whether he should just be jettisoned and replaced with a younger, higher upside arm.
  2. To be fair, Belisle came so late that he barely moved the needle in either direction. I'm not saying I liked the signing or want him anywhere near Minnesota, just that it probably didn't make much difference. The hand was pretty much dealt by the time he came aboard. The front office was a mix of conservative and aggressive early in the season. After all, they promoted Romero pretty aggressively and let him pitch... and then demoted him. A weird season.
  3. Gibson made an approach and delivery change last season and has been a significantly different pitcher since that time (roughly 12 months now). This isn't a fluke, Gibson is a different pitcher today than he was early last season. That doesn't mean he can't regress or get injured - just like anybody - but he's a pretty safe bet to be a better, more consistent pitcher than he was earlier in his career.
  4. I'm actually wondering if the Twins front office simply ran out of time at the deadline. They were crazy-active and moved loads of players over a short period of time. And Rodney was probably at the bottom of that list, as he's not worth much and the team was probably floating whether to keep him for next season.
  5. A pretty underwhelming return on paper but whatever, I don't even care that much. Let's just hope Falvey sees something in this guy worth the effort.
  6. I think a four year extension is reasonable. Gibson is not young and tossing $60m at him in guaranteed money might do the trick.
  7. Yep. If we want to rip Casilla, remember that he was actually a much better player than the guy he replaced.
  8. They can definitely do it with one, maybe two, players. I'm not sure they can just throw stuff at the wall and see what sticks with 4-5 players as they did in past years.
  9. Great article, but it fails to mention one kinda important point: all three of these players took their licks at the MLB level and improved season-over-season. It took them time to get to where they ended up. They're great stories and the kind of baseball stuff I love to see but the current Twins team can't afford the same luxuries as the past 90+ loss teams that fostered these talents. With that said, the point is still salient about picking up a load of middling prospects in hopes a couple of them turn into something special (it'd just be nice if they managed to do it before they hit MLB and floundered for a couple of seasons). I like the "inch deep and a mile wide" strategy for picking up these kinds of prospects but if you have a bunch of fence-riders, you'll end up opening yourself to be the victim of some ugly Rule V drafts in the relatively near future. You're going to lose guys you want to keep but aren't good enough to nudge their way past your MLB 25-man and the prospects you really need to keep. But if the front office has a plan and that plan leads to contention, that problem can be "fixed" pretty easily by trading off those fringe 40-man players before it becomes a problem.
  10. I don't really give a rat's ass about the 12th man in the bullpen but christ almighty, call someone up beyond Trevor May. This bullpen needs an overhaul and May isn't even half enough.
  11. Yep. I actually expected this team to be better after the deadline happened. Not that they'd be good, but they'd be better. My goal for the current team is to end up in the 77-80 win range. It's not a lofty goal considering their cupcake schedule.
  12. Why? It weights late innings over early innings (as it should, as that's the point of the metric) and Rodney faced the top of the Royals order with a one run lead.
  13. There's a reason I'm cheering Arizona (a place I absolutely despise) over Los Angeles (a place I lived for a decade and only mildly dislike but simultaneously hold mild affection for).
  14. Well, in their cases, it has become a self-fulfilling prophesy: Morrison, Dozier, Lynn... none of them will get the deals they wanted last November this coming November. Escobar, on the other hand... The lesson to be learned here is "keep your chin up, *******s".
  15. Absolutely. I'm angry at almost every level of this organization, but mostly I'm angry at the players (mostly the veterans). The metrics were good on most acquisitions but obviously, mistakes were made in those acquisitions. At the end of the day, the front office can't control what happens when guys step onto the field. And it's the players' damned fault that they walked onto the field and **** the bed so consistently and thoroughly.
  16. Oh, so Lynn is the problem? And Dozier, as a team leader, couldn't isolate a pitcher who has limited impact on the position players? If you declare yourself a team leader, you get that **** in order and make it work. If you can't handle that job, don't try to step forward when things are easy and then back the **** up when things get hard. The thing is that I also place loads of blame on guys like Lynn. This isn't a situation exclusive to Dozier; from front to back, the veterans underperformed. That shouldn't be a controversial statement. Me being angry at Dozier does not mean I'm not angry at Morrison or Lynn.
  17. Exactly. We readily blame the front office for their mistakes but rarely square up on the players themselves - especially veterans - and do the same. Well, they’re the ones who step onto the field. If Dozier hated the clubhouse, fix it (Molitor too). Even then, a bad clubhouse is not an excuse to lay down and die.
  18. I'll be pretty bent at Dozier if he goes on a tear in Los Angeles. A big reason why the Twins weren't contending is because he basically took the season off. If he wanted to play on a contender, he had a chance from the beginning of April forward but failed to play like a contender.
  19. That’s not how ERA+ works. The metric is drawn from ALL pitchers, including relievers, who usually pitch at a much lower ERA because they pitch in favorable matchups and hitters only face them once. A 95 ERA+ is virtually spot-on for a league average starting pitcher. As for Odorizzi’s declining ERA, I’m sure moving out of Tampa and then losing Buxton behind him for the season dinged his ERA a condsiderable amount, which is why I included FIP. And FIP says Odorizzi’s ERA is close to his performance (unlike last season, where FIP *hated* Odorizzi).
  20. The Twins have some interesting starting prospects coming up but the thing about pitching prospects is that they tend to disappear overnight. I'm not going to count my chickens before they're hatched. We see rotation attrition in every baseball season. If those guys are healthy and good, they'll get their shot as the pitchers in front of them are injured and/or ineffective. The Twins couldn't even make it to Opening Day this season without losing their 2017 All-Star starting pitcher. And if several of those prospects manage to be healthy and good at the same time, that's not really a problem... But counting on that to happen and trading away an established starter before they've proven themselves is a good way to enjoy a season of Andrew Albers at Target Field.
  21. Yeah, he is league average. ERA+ of 95, FIP in line with his ERA. He's right around league average for starters. Also, his 2018 FIP is just 0.20 above his career line. Odorizzi is actually having a consistently better season in 2018 than he did in 2017.
  22. Every year, the Twins have guys who can pitch like Odorizzi. The problem is that the Twins need to have guys who will pitch like Odorizzi. Every year we go through this rigamarole: too many starters, replace a league average guy with a prospect, yadda yadda yadda. And every friggin' year, it bites the Twins in the ass no later than May 1st, sometimes as early as Opening Day.
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