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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    I think the Ks are here to stay in some capacity, though almost certainly not to the extent we see now. Sabrmetrics have done a lot of cool things for baseball but they've also made the game less watchable. We have pretty concrete proof that launch angle, swinging out of your shoes with two strikes, and working counts lead to more wins. Those will almost certainly stay, though maybe not at the levels we see today. Because at some point, guys who don't do those things will become undervalued. Some team will build a roster that looks like the mid-80s Cardinals and will beat the snot out of the rest of baseball for a few years, probably with a payroll in the bottom third of MLB. And like the lemmings front offices have shown themselves to be over the past century, half of baseball will chase that idea and drive up prices on those players. Cue the never-ending cycle.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    I'd love to know his spin rates in MiLB. Seeing a guy come up and make MLB hitters look this foolish makes me wonder if some guys see a MLB baseball and its different stitching and say "ugh..." (Berrios) while others look at the stitching and say "SPIN SPIN SPIN" (Romero). It's pretty idiotic they use different balls between the minors and majors. Romero always had pretty good scouting reports but what we've seen thus far is above and beyond anything I read about him. If he was pitching like this in Rochester, he literally should not have given up even one hit and should have had an 18.00 K/9 ratio.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    Half a game out on May 8th. We all called this a week ago, right?
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    Well, then I guess it's a good thing the front office that earned that reputation is no longer in charge. Falvine has been moving people through the system at an acceptable pace and promoting people pretty logically, give or take a few bizarre moves that are likely weird from a spectator perspective because we're missing information, not because the front office is being stubborn for no reason.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    Oh, my mistake. For some reason, I thought he was in his final two seasons.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    Oh, damn. Yeah, completely forgot about him.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    I agree but Arrieta is actually doing pretty well for himself. Lynn, Cobb, and Morrison? Maybe not so much. (but I made a similar point the other night... guys need to pay attention to what's happening to these players and reconsider if they want to postpone into late February before signing a contract that may very well hinder future seasons and long-term contracts)
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    Yep, the depth will likely be the key to this season if the Twins end up making the postseason. I'm hoping the team starts liberally using off-days to let Romero pitch every 6-8 days through July and August if he's showing signs of wear. Well, assuming he has been effective and the team is eyeing October, that is. Add a couple of days between starts and the team can shave off ~20 IP on the season pretty easily.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    I generally agree and I think the front office is smart enough to ignore the Verducci Effect... but that doesn't mean young pitchers without a lot of miles can jump straight into a full MLB season. There's a pretty good chance he wears down under the stress of a 200 IP pace as a 23 year old who has pitched only 215 innings over the past two seasons combined. I hope it doesn't happen but there's a solid chance it does.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    Actually, Berrios is a really good comp. They were roughly the same age, same handedness, and Jose was actually a much more highly regarded prospect, climbing all the way to the top 20 on a few lists. Berrios also climbed through the minors without a single injury or stumble along the way. The same can't be said for Romero. But Romero literally couldn't have been promoted more quickly without the team looking desperate and irrational. 2015: Didn't pitch. 2016: 90 IP. 2017: 125 IP. 2018: The mighty snow-filled April of 2018 meant the Twins didn't need a fifth starter until April 22nd. Romero made his first start on May 2nd.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    It's way too early to throw away Lynn. He had one terrible month. We'll see how he looks in May.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    I suspect the reason Mauer hasn't been leading off is pretty simple: Brian Dozier. Dozier has said multiple times how much he likes leading off. Now, as a manager I would have pushed harder to convince Brian he's more productive further down the lineup but if a team leader and veteran is dead-set on doing something that doesn't really hurt the team that much (but isn't optimal), I don't know whether that's the hill you die upon as the skipper of an MLB club.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    No, 2020. If Romero is legit and the Twins get back a healthy May, this offseason should be very interesting. They'll have four pitchers with one remaining year of control: Gibson, Odorizzi, Santana, and May. None of them will bring back a king's ransom but we may be looking at the Twins dishing off some starting pitching this offseason, as weird as that is to say.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    If the movement and command we're seeing is legit, he doesn't need a third pitch right now. He'll get by on sheer power and movement at the MLB level. Of course, if he develops a more adequate third pitch, he could be an even better pitcher... but hopefully he can work on refining that change at the MLB level and during the offseason. I wonder what the Twins plan to do with him if he sticks at the MLB level, which is sure as hell looks like he's going to do. The guy doesn't have many MiLB innings and only logged 125 IP last season.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    Romero has pitched all of 324 MiLB innings. By comparison, Berrios pitched ~230 innings in AAA alone. It's pretty hard to make the argument the Twins waited too long on Romero.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    Holy crap, it is. I... just... wow.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    Well played.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    Yep. There are some really awful combos out there.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    The ump is giving Romero a really wide zone but holy ****, that guy's pitches are FILTHY.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    The fielder screwed up by not even looking at Mauer but Joe put the third baseman in a really bad situation there. The fielder had two options: 1. Chase Joe and maybe get the out (we'll say a breakeven chance of that play going either way). 2. Go to first and allow the run to score. Obviously, the fielder needs to prevent the run in that situation but Joe was standing exactly where he needed to be to make a really difficult decision for the fielder. I don't know if Joe did it intentionally, but it gave the fielder some pretty lousy options in that situation.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    It's probably time to move on from Hughes but if he's stashed at the back of the bullpen as a long man, I'm not too worried about whether he's on the roster or not. A long man has such a small impact on wins/losses that I'm not sure it really matters... and I'm not ready (not yet, anyway) to waste a prospect in the role, giving him little work and accruing service time in the process. When May comes back, it'll probably force a decision. I don't see Trevor going back into the rotation this season, there simply isn't much room for him. I assume Lynn will normalize a bit. Odorizzi, Gibson, Berrios are close to locks. Romero looked good in his first start but Santana is going to bump somebody out of the rotation and once that happens, I don't see where May fits.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    It's definitely more of a concern with guys like Rosario but he showed improvement in discipline last season. Hopefully that will carry over when he cools off a bit.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't worry about guys taking walks when the baseball looks like a beachball to them at the plate. Even Mauer's walks take a nosedive when he goes on one of his patented .400 batting average months. The real test will be if he takes walks after he cools off a bit. That's when he'll need to step back, show more patience, and make the pitcher work to get him out.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    It seems to me that Lynn might be a good argument why you don't hold out through part of Spring Training to sign a contract, especially if you're around 30 and have another legit shot at a free agent contract. Come the first week of February, you take the best deal that's on the table and get your butt on the field. If Lynn manages to pitch to his ability for the rest of the season, this one truly awful month is going to make his overall line look pretty pedestrian. And that means millions of dollars left on the table next year when he tries to convince a team he's worth a 3-4 year contract.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    A couple of question marks going against a good team this series: Romero and Odorizzi. Take the split and get your asses back home, Twins.
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