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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    They’ve had it listed that way for ages and it’s wrong.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    Oh, I'm not saying anyone else needs to share my viewpoint. I'm only saying it's early in a season with some legendarily awful weather. I'm going to give pretty much everyone a pass for these first couple of weeks.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    Rosario sure had a couple of plays that looked ugly but in cold weather with wind (at least there was a fair amount at my house a few miles away), I'm not going to get too down on him. And in a 0-0 game where the runner scores with a hit, I'm not going to beat him up for going after that ball and then realizing he couldn't catch it and trying to defensively block it from going for extra bases (he failed, of course). All in all, Rosario didn't really change the game defensively. If the Twins don't score, they can't win. He had a pretty bad game but so did several of his teammates.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    Castro turns 31 in a few weeks. He's not going to get better offensively. But that doesn't diminish the value he brings to the team. The Twins badly needed a solution at catcher and he delivers. Castro isn't great with the bat but he's good enough... and his glove brings enough to the table that overall, he's a player you want starting for your team unless you have one of 2-3 elite catchers that exist in baseball at any given moment.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    Eh, China has a ton of leverage here. Their US exports are only a small percentage of their total GDP. Never mind that China is a large reason why the US debt isn't *really* an issue, and Trump (and frankly, his idiotic tax plan) doubled down on that this year. China, unlike the US, is monolithic. Their government can literally dictate anything that happens within their borders: whether workers are paid, how much they're paid, where their banks lend money and to whom, how pretty much anything is handled. That's a massive leverage point for them when it comes to negotiations. Trump is likely playing a losing hand here, one that may net mild rewards with China (simply out of irritation) but will lose considerable traction with the rest of the world.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    I do the same so it’s something I notice because it’s an oddity. The only player of note who throws left and hits right that I know of was Rickey Henderson.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    Jamie, you continue to impress with these pieces. Really nice work.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    Wait, what? Why!?!!? Let the players have their “thing”, particularly when it has personal significance.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    So what you're saying is that the ball approached the plate and things happened.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    How did Gibson *really* look today? I listened on the radio but won’t watch the game until tomorrow. It sounded like he was struggling a bit but mostly ran into a string of bad BABIP luck.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    So this team might be alright.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    Oh, I definitely believe that contract was ill-advised. I'd probably offer Dozier something along the lines of a 3/$60m contract but would hesitate to go longer than that unless he took less per season.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    The point is that everyone is a lot better in Coors, which makes the number misleading. If you adjust for park in any way, Blackmon's numbers are a lot closer to Dozier. Past three seasons: Dozier oWAR: 3.2, 6.0, 4.9 Blackmon oWAR: 3.2, 4.8, 6.5 Dozier OPS+: 104, 134, 126 Blackmon OPS+: 102, 130, 141 Those players don't look terribly different from one another, do they? Everyone here understands the Coors Field effect, right? Surely you don't all look at a +.450 OPS home/road split and say to yourselves "yeah, that's legit".
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    This is why you never use basic rate stats for players who play in Colorado. Blackmon career home OPS: .972 Blackmon career road OPS: .750 Dozier career home OPS: .802 Dozier career road OPS: .765 Blackmon 2017 home OPS: 1.239 Blackmon 2017 road OPS: .784 Dozier 2017 home OPS: .916 Dozier 2017 road OPS: .800 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ueZ6tvqhk8U
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, I think this contract has "mini Jacoby Ellsbury" written all over it. And I actually laughed out loud at that contract when it was given.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    I see this being said on the forums somewhat regularly but what on earth makes people think this would have been the case? When Dozier was just emerging as a star player, he turned down a lot of guaranteed money by refusing to sign off even one of his free agent seasons (probably $15m-ish a season for one or two seasons). And now people believe that after he established himself and came closer to huge guaranteed money in free agency, he was suddenly willing to sell off just two of his free agent seasons? It doesn't make sense at all. Sure, if the Twins approached Dozier two years ago and offered him $15-18m per season for four seasons of free agency, he probably signs at the dotted line... but that deal isn't much different than what he'll ask for this offseason so there isn't anything to be gained.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah... they're close to the same player (Dozier has ~600 more PAs, about 5 more fWAR). Oh, except Dozier is a year younger. Honestly, I don't get the Rockies making this deal but that's not unusual; I don't understand loads of things the Rockies do.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    If anyone out there actually believed Lynn was a 1 or 2... *blank stare*
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    I've been saying this for awhile now (which I why I sold) but I think we're in for a bumpy ride. Trump isn't helping things with his persistent trade war talk but I think stocks, tech stocks in particular, are primed to retract in a big way the first time we see a flat quarter or two (which is inevitable after the ~8 years of growth we've seen). Way too many stocks out there are obscenely over-leveraged.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    Hughes may have control issues but his biggest problem is the loss of 2mph from his fastball after the injury (a drop from consistently 92mph to consistently 89-90mph). It's not really surprising if you see control issues after that point, as you have to pitch around almost every hitter you face and any hitter in MLB has no issues hitting a 90mph fastball. Lynn has sat 91-93mph every season of his career and that's where he sat yesterday as well. Given the guy's abbreviated spring and pitching in quite cold weather yesterday, it's too early to even suggest there's anything different about the guy that indicates he won't pitch somewhere near his career norms.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    Lynn has mentioned he likes the cold but that doesn’t mean he wasn’t having grip problems out there yesterday. Overall, a disappointing start in a really boring game but I’m not too worried about it yet.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    Nope... the one thing that really confused me this offseason was pretty much everything about the Rule 5 draft.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    Just a friendly reminder the Pirates have all of four hits in this game and none in this inning.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    I’m convinced that Duke guy is a sleeper agent.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    Or that he just calls a full 25% of his teammates “caballo”.
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