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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    Great article, but it fails to mention one kinda important point: all three of these players took their licks at the MLB level and improved season-over-season. It took them time to get to where they ended up. They're great stories and the kind of baseball stuff I love to see but the current Twins team can't afford the same luxuries as the past 90+ loss teams that fostered these talents. With that said, the point is still salient about picking up a load of middling prospects in hopes a couple of them turn into something special (it'd just be nice if they managed to do it before they hit MLB and floundered for a couple of seasons). I like the "inch deep and a mile wide" strategy for picking up these kinds of prospects but if you have a bunch of fence-riders, you'll end up opening yourself to be the victim of some ugly Rule V drafts in the relatively near future. You're going to lose guys you want to keep but aren't good enough to nudge their way past your MLB 25-man and the prospects you really need to keep. But if the front office has a plan and that plan leads to contention, that problem can be "fixed" pretty easily by trading off those fringe 40-man players before it becomes a problem.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't really give a rat's ass about the 12th man in the bullpen but christ almighty, call someone up beyond Trevor May. This bullpen needs an overhaul and May isn't even half enough.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    Yep. I actually expected this team to be better after the deadline happened. Not that they'd be good, but they'd be better. My goal for the current team is to end up in the 77-80 win range. It's not a lofty goal considering their cupcake schedule.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    Why? It weights late innings over early innings (as it should, as that's the point of the metric) and Rodney faced the top of the Royals order with a one run lead.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    There's a reason I'm cheering Arizona (a place I absolutely despise) over Los Angeles (a place I lived for a decade and only mildly dislike but simultaneously hold mild affection for).
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    Well, in their cases, it has become a self-fulfilling prophesy: Morrison, Dozier, Lynn... none of them will get the deals they wanted last November this coming November. Escobar, on the other hand... The lesson to be learned here is "keep your chin up, *******s".
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    Absolutely. I'm angry at almost every level of this organization, but mostly I'm angry at the players (mostly the veterans). The metrics were good on most acquisitions but obviously, mistakes were made in those acquisitions. At the end of the day, the front office can't control what happens when guys step onto the field. And it's the players' damned fault that they walked onto the field and **** the bed so consistently and thoroughly.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    Oh, so Lynn is the problem? And Dozier, as a team leader, couldn't isolate a pitcher who has limited impact on the position players? If you declare yourself a team leader, you get that **** in order and make it work. If you can't handle that job, don't try to step forward when things are easy and then back the **** up when things get hard. The thing is that I also place loads of blame on guys like Lynn. This isn't a situation exclusive to Dozier; from front to back, the veterans underperformed. That shouldn't be a controversial statement. Me being angry at Dozier does not mean I'm not angry at Morrison or Lynn.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    Exactly. We readily blame the front office for their mistakes but rarely square up on the players themselves - especially veterans - and do the same. Well, they’re the ones who step onto the field. If Dozier hated the clubhouse, fix it (Molitor too). Even then, a bad clubhouse is not an excuse to lay down and die.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    I'll be pretty bent at Dozier if he goes on a tear in Los Angeles. A big reason why the Twins weren't contending is because he basically took the season off. If he wanted to play on a contender, he had a chance from the beginning of April forward but failed to play like a contender.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    That’s not how ERA+ works. The metric is drawn from ALL pitchers, including relievers, who usually pitch at a much lower ERA because they pitch in favorable matchups and hitters only face them once. A 95 ERA+ is virtually spot-on for a league average starting pitcher. As for Odorizzi’s declining ERA, I’m sure moving out of Tampa and then losing Buxton behind him for the season dinged his ERA a condsiderable amount, which is why I included FIP. And FIP says Odorizzi’s ERA is close to his performance (unlike last season, where FIP *hated* Odorizzi).
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    The Twins have some interesting starting prospects coming up but the thing about pitching prospects is that they tend to disappear overnight. I'm not going to count my chickens before they're hatched. We see rotation attrition in every baseball season. If those guys are healthy and good, they'll get their shot as the pitchers in front of them are injured and/or ineffective. The Twins couldn't even make it to Opening Day this season without losing their 2017 All-Star starting pitcher. And if several of those prospects manage to be healthy and good at the same time, that's not really a problem... But counting on that to happen and trading away an established starter before they've proven themselves is a good way to enjoy a season of Andrew Albers at Target Field.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, he is league average. ERA+ of 95, FIP in line with his ERA. He's right around league average for starters. Also, his 2018 FIP is just 0.20 above his career line. Odorizzi is actually having a consistently better season in 2018 than he did in 2017.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    Every year, the Twins have guys who can pitch like Odorizzi. The problem is that the Twins need to have guys who will pitch like Odorizzi. Every year we go through this rigamarole: too many starters, replace a league average guy with a prospect, yadda yadda yadda. And every friggin' year, it bites the Twins in the ass no later than May 1st, sometimes as early as Opening Day.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    I’m currently trying to program an IFTTT snippet that turns off my television if it hears the name “Belisle” spoken.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    You're forgetting Pineda. The Twins don't need two starters. I'm not sure they even need one if Romero goes into the offseason looking strong.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    I’m actually more interested in watching the team today than I was seven days ago. I *hated* this team earlier in the season. They were the most frustrating baseball team I’d ever seen. They’d beat Boston and then immediately collapse against the White Sox afterward. Rinse, repeat. Personally, I’m glad one-fifth of this team got the boot. I wish more would have been given the same treatment. They were an immense let down and embarrassing. Most of the veterans should be ashamed of how they laid down and died so many times in the first four months of 2018.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    Yep. This is the third consecutive season of Gordon looking strong and then collapsing in the second half. He's the anti-Buxton.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    Overall, I'm mildly positive about the deadline. I wanted to see Dozier go but this return is pretty ugly, particularly considering they're taking on Forsythe in return. But oh well, I don't think it matters in the end. Brian has absolutely collapsed since the ASG. It's a hope and prayer to think he suddenly gets so hot that an August deal or QO comes into play. I'm more in the camp of "tear off the Band-Aid and move on".
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    It is objectively funny. Too many sour grapes around here nowadays. This **** is funny, man.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    That's asking a bit too much.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    The Dodgers almost certainly wish they had made the deal. Considering that De Leon was the big piece in the rumored deal, the Twins should be quite satisfied they did not make that deal.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    So the Dodgers get Dozier and the Twins get Forsythe. We all realize this deal is hilarious, right?
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    It would be even more amazing if the Twins started harassing Cleveland without Dozier or Rodney. The reason the Twins haven't been very good is because their veterans have been sub-par. Dozier is one of those players. Move players who won't contribute to 2019 and/or are expendable. Let the kids play and go into the offseason aggressive again. There's just so little to be gained by keeping guys this season for the 1% chance of catching Cleveland, doubly so when you're eight games behind Cleveland at the deadline largely because those veterans failed to play to their capabilities.
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