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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    Six of one, half dozen of the other. There's no excuse for Lynn, Reed, Morrison, et al performing at the levels they have this season. They're all veterans with established track records and none of them are old. To a lesser extent, there's no excuse for Sano or Buxton's seasons (though Buxton has something of a defense). I'm not giving the front office a pass because they pretty obviously chose the wrong players. But I refuse to give the players a pass, either, because they had either a veteran track record or the same coaching staff last year and played much better. It's their responsibility to get their asses on the field and play baseball at the level we've seen them do in past seasons.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    Lots of guys have underperformed. The signings were mostly bad in retrospect but that happens, especially when coupled with almost everyone else on the team taking a step back. But that doesn't change the fact that the players have no right to be "deer in headlights" after the Escobar trade. If they wanted Escobar on the team, they should have gotten their **** together and played up to their career lines. Escobar was doing his job; over half the rest of the roster was not.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    Sure, I have a lot of sympathy for the guys who are playing their asses off out there but this team has vastly underperformed. I can put some of the blame on coaching but at the end of the day, there's no excuse for some of these players to have backslid as hard or quickly as they did. That's on them.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    Maybe the team should have reconsidered being nearly ten games under .500 after the KC series if they wanted to compete.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    Maybe the team should have reconsidered losing three in a row to one of the worst teams in baseball if they didn’t want the front office to sell.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm not against trading Gibson but am reluctant to do so. If a return is to be had, it can't be A ball players. The org needs something closer to MLB. Maybe not a 2019 contributor but certainly a 2020 contributor.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't know if Sano is ready or not but they seemed to be angling for this for the past week or more. And unloading Escobar was the right move. His logical replacement is Sano. If they didn't feel Sano is ready again, I'd be fine with them throwing garbage at the wall for a few weeks, too.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    Trading Escobar and recalling Sano in his place is exactly what this team should be doing, as much as it pains me to say (for two reasons: I don't really like giving up and Escobar may be my favorite player on the team).
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    When Castro went down, people were excited to see Garver. I thought the loss of Castro was possibly the worst thing that could happen to Garver. It appears Garver is improving but I think he could improve more backing up Castro.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    It went public in 2015, maybe? Possibly even early 2016. I can't remember now.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    Yep.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    I sold off my stocks last year but the one I wanted to hold on to was Square because I saw huge growth coming. As it turned out, I needed that last $4-5k to finish off the mortgage so I sold that as well. Damn. My original investment would now be at x7 in 24-28 months (can't remember exactly when I purchased but I got it at rock bottom not long after the IPO, something like $10-11/share). I mean, I still sold at x3 my investment, but damn... x7 is huge.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    This team is infuriating. If they just take care of business against one of the worst teams in baseball in Kansas City, they're back in this thing against Cleveland. Argh. I don't think I've ever been as mad at a baseball team as I am the 2018 Twins. At least in seasons like 2016, you just knew they'd be bad and could find whatever enjoyment there was to be found in the occasional win.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    I'll be disappointed if it's not GM. They have the Bolt platform, which was designed to be modular. If GM doesn't have a 300 mile range, sleek Buick on showroom floors within the next 24 months (preferably 12-18 months), they have failed. The Bolt was a good starting point to get your feet under you and serve the market with an affordable offering at production scale. Now they need to expand upon that and they need to move quickly.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    Oh, Tesla is *definitely* one of those companies with the potential to disrupt. I simply don't know if their ultimate disruption will be to the automotive market, especially given their massive, repeated manufacturing failures and delays. In the face of what GM is doing, I think Tesla can be marginalized pretty easily unless they get their **** together in a big way, immediately.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    And that's a fair stance to take. But Amazon and Facebook are pretty bad examples to use to defend tech valuations. Facebook had its **** together from day one and Amazon basically reinvented itself every year for a decade to become a behemoth no one expected or saw coming, at least in its present form. Most companies are pretty predictable, even Facebook was pretty predictable (in a mostly good way). Amazon was wild west-ing it out there for years and making it up as they went along. If you take the average tech company (which is probably massively overvalued for no exceptional reason), those expectations aren't repeatable.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    I think they'll do okay in the long run. But only okay, at least in the auto business. I think their real potential is in battery tech on a larger scale than automotive. So, that would put me pretty down on them given their current valuation, which is absurd (along with most other new tech companies, which is why I stepped out of the market last year). If Tesla's stock was $100-150 a share, I'd be a lot more positive about them in the long run. But, like so many other tech stocks, someone will have to pay the piper sooner or later. Either their profits catch up to their valuations while their stock stays flat (possible), or their valuations decline over time to match their profits (IMO, more likely). Either way, long term investors lose, comparatively speaking. And things can go to hell in a hurry if the economy stumbles and everyone realizes that a company can no longer be rationally valued at 4-5x their reasonable cap in a market where their profits have zero chance of increasing over the mid-term. A company like Tesla could see their stocks drop enormously overnight were that to happen because, unlike companies like Facebook who can weather a bad market because they're actually making money, an economic lull would basically ensure that Tesla had zero chance of turning a profit in the foreseeable future.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    I made it pretty clear that I was addressing the consistency argument. I also said in this very thread that I'm leaning toward keeping Escobar over Dozier due to those other reasons you listed. I clarified my point again just two posts above the post you originally quoted.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    Okay, let me say it again: My Escobar split post was in response to people claiming he's consistent and that's a reason to keep him over Dozier. The only year Eduardo was consistent, he posted the same first half numbers as Dozier while Brian absolutely destroyed him in the second half. Please keep the post in context. It is not an argument whether to keep Dozier and/or Escobar, it's a rebuttal to a terrible (and incorrect) reason why to keep one over the other. Also, you edited out the part where I explained that in the post you quoted.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    And my point is that "it's not". Just to drive the point home, these are the first/second half splits of Escobar and Dozier from last year (literally the only "consistent" year Escobar has had in his career): Escobar: .759/.757 (consistent!) Dozier: .745/.985 (what?!?!) Which player do you want next year?
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    That's not my point. The stats were not to show that something is wrong with Escobar, it's to point out that highlighting Escobar's "consistency" as a reason to keep him over Dozier is a bad argument. Dozier is the better player. He was before and it's likely he'll end 2018 as a better player. That doesn't mean Dozier is a better fit for the 2019+ Twins but it does mean the Escobar "consistency" argument is garbage.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah... no. The first five picks do not have the same chance of success as the 23rd pick. And the first couple of picks have an even larger advantage. You're right that the MLB draft is more unpredictable but it's not entirely unpredictable.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    He could be playing with a nagging injury, he might be scuffling for any number of reasons. I simply don't have enough information to definitively declare what should be done with him. And it's enough of a borderline case where I'm not going to get upset about it.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    He's 25 and it's midseason in a year where half of baseball is intentionally tanking. The front office probably thinks there's a good chance he'll be claimed. Not that I'm terribly worried about losing Granite but he's not the type of guy I give up for no reason.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    A completely fair take and the way I am leaning right now. Dozier is the better player, that shouldn't even be in question. Whether he's more valuable to this particular team is the real question.
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