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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp
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I kinda get what you're saying but the Gonzalez move only makes me grumble more about the lack of an impact bullpen arm this offseason. Add that and I think the Twins are pretty easily an 85 win team based on last season's performances, with an upside of 90+ wins without even squinting (95 if you squint a bit). Young teams that underperform in a season often either fizzle out entirely or go bananas. My opinion is that you bank on the "go bananas" side of that equation and you buy a few players to hedge that bet. You don't need to go sign Keuchel and indebt yourself to a player for 4+ seasons but you should definitely sign guys like Gonzalez (and a reliever) to give the young players a framework in which to succeed.
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I was trying to figure out a way to butcher his name so kudos to you.
- 32 replies
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- marwin gonzalez
- bryce harper
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Sure, Perez can bounce back. Great, sure, whatever. The problem is that even if he bounces back, his past ceiling has been "eh, whatever, he won't kill you out there in the fourth or fifth spot". This team has a $100m payroll. So forgive me if I don't get excited about a pitcher "bouncing back" to mediocrity when the team should have literally forty million dollars to go buy some real pitchers. "Working within the margins" only matters if you're working at 100% payroll capacity... not if you have a Tampa Bay Rays-sized hole in your payroll. That's not working within the margins. That's called "being cheap". Again, super-thrilled that my Minneapolis tax dollars have supported this ever-underwhelming attempt at contention.
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Article: The Discard Pile
Brock Beauchamp replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
And that's fair. I still want a reliever either way but would feel better with extensions to various players, primarily if the team front-loads those contracts and spends the money TODAY so they have more money TOMORROW. If you can lock down a couple of players cheaply through 2022-23, that possibly extends the bridge of legitimate contention for another few years as those extended players are joined by the next wave of Kirilloff, Lewis, Thorpe, etc.- 182 replies
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- jonathan schoop
- cj cron
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Article: The Discard Pile
Brock Beauchamp replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Pretty much any combination of Buxton, Gibson, Berrios, Sano, Rosario, Kepler if the terms are in line with performance. I’d target Gibson and/or Berrios first but I’m generally in favor of several extensions (though the terms for Buxton or Sano probably don’t make sense for either side right now).- 182 replies
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- jonathan schoop
- cj cron
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Article: The Discard Pile
Brock Beauchamp replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
The thing is that I really had zero complaints about last off-season. Maybe it wasn’t the route I would have taken but it was a legitimate attempt to win on a relative budget. I’m not asking for much here. One good freakin’ reliever and I’d be happy enough. I can even pass on a starter because I think there’s enough upside to be found in their current mix that I’m willing to gamble on it. The one way they can “save” this offseason is by going extension-crazy.- 182 replies
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- jonathan schoop
- cj cron
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Article: The Discard Pile
Brock Beauchamp replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Indeed it is. Hedging against extra wins in case you don’t get as many wins as you’d hoped. Sounds like a pretty good way to prevent wins.- 182 replies
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- jonathan schoop
- cj cron
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Article: The Discard Pile
Brock Beauchamp replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
This offseason can best be summarized as “the sum adds up to less than the parts”. Individually, many (if not all) of these moves are fine but without a legit arm to go alongside Cruz’s legit bat, consider me underwhelmed (and more than a little pissed off, to be frank about it). Scrounging for deals is great and I commend a mid market front office for doing it... but if that’s ALL you do and come in way under budget doing it... no. Just no.- 182 replies
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- jonathan schoop
- cj cron
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People on this forum have known me for up to 20 (omg has it really been that long?) years. Seriously, 20 years. And I've largely been a "show restraint because it doesn't hamper long-term plans" guy. My track record over those 20 years shows that extensively and consistently. But if this ****ing team shows up with a $110m payroll, I'm going to be furious. I don't give a rat's ass about your "strategy", I don't care about your "long-term vision", I want you to spend within 30 MILLION DOLLARS OF THE AVERAGE PAYROLL. As a Minneapolis resident, my dumb ass is paying for your (admittedly beautiful) ballpark every ****ing day I step outside my house. If you believe in the team, hand out front-loaded contracts to players under control. If you don't want to do that, hand out free agent contracts. I'm sick and goddamned tired of using the excuse of a flawed-but-good team to ride the middle all the time. Pick a side; you're good or you're not. Act accordingly.
- 80 replies
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- minnesota twins
- payroll
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One of my favorite Cuddyer moments was when I read a lineup card and saw "Cuddyer, CF"... I believe it was against the Cubs. I don't think I spoke for a couple of minutes as I read that line over and over again, wondering if I had lost my mind or developed some acute, specialized case of temporary dyslexia.
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Article: Let's Make A Deal (Arbitration Edition)
Brock Beauchamp replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Well, you're kinda right... but mostly wrong, honestly. Okay, so imagine this. You have a player with a .780 OPS. He's a wretched defender at a premium position. The difference between a .780 and .730 OPS is (using rough memory here so forgive any errors) is about 10 doubles and maybe a few singles scattered in. Anyway, roughly 30, maybe 40 bases scattered over a full season. If you're being generous, that's one base every four games in the season. Buxton hasn't been caught stealing since the Nixon administration (so he's literally adding bases to his OPS total). He also steals at least one base (but many of his catches take multiple bases away) with his glove on a regular basis. It's easy to forget that while you can score runs in baseball with big hits, you can also prevent them by taking away said hits. And a glove like Buxton does that almost with clockwork precision.- 61 replies
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- kyle gibson
- eddie rosario
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Oh, I remember Cuddyer's "defensive versatility" too well (only said half tongue in cheek). I screamed for him to get time at third for a couple of years as the Twins trotted out some of the most atrocious third basemen in memory while Cuddyer rode the bench. With that said, he turned into a much better overall player than I expected, though he was never actually good in the field no matter where you put him. But that arm.
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I don’t think it’s quite THAT simple. A good bullpen piece could help the Twins hit 90 wins but in all likelihood, that guy is worth 2-3 wins by pushing the bullpen from acceptable to good. But this is likely an 80-85 win team if things break neutral. To me, you sign that bullpen arm in case things break RIGHT. If things break right, the team could easily cross 90 wins. And you put yourself in the position to be truly good if things break right, not in a position to be kinda maybe good if things break right.
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I'm still not convinced it's the one year deals so much as the players missed Spring Training and entered the season rusty. By the time Lynn turned around, Molitor had broken the back of the bullpen through aggressive overuse of its best pitchers, Morrison had gone and injured himself, Dozier was directionless, and the wheels were already falling off.
- 18 replies
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- minnesota twins
- lance lynn
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Rosario took a huge step forward in 2018. His season tally was still .1 fWAR lower than Buxton’s partial 2017 season. In all likelihood, Rosario will be the better hitter. But Buxton is better at literally everything else and it’s not close. If Buxton can stay healthy and hit his way out of a paper bag, he’s immensely valuable.
- 49 replies
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- brusdar graterol
- alex kirilloff
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I was not particularly impressed by the Kirilloff pick but I love being wrong when it looks like this.
- 49 replies
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- brusdar graterol
- alex kirilloff
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I haven't done it yet - still badly want to - but you can also use a smart TV from what I understand of the system it uses.

