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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    I think that's unlikely. I suspect all will be forgiven with Tatis the moment he steps back on the field and starts doing Tatis things. And I don't see the Padres eating any contract given how they've behaved the past several years.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    More information about "Breaking Down Potential Dansby Suitors"
    MLBTR did a really nice dive on the possible and likely landing spots for shortstop Dansby Swanson with the Cubs, Twins, and Braves leading the way. The Cubs have seemingly been high on Swanson from day one but their continued reluctance to spend to their market size could prevent them from nabbing the shortstop whose bat broke out in 2022 (but also lacks the track record to make a 6+ year contract a no-brainer decision). The Twins... well, I don't think any of us know what to expect from them and I remain unconvinced Swanson is worth a six-year risk, much less the seven or more years he may receive in this wild offseason. It's also hard to imagine the Braves not making at least a cursory attempt to retain their starting shortstop, especially given their financial flexibility after locking up half their roster at bargain basement prices.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    MLBTR did a really nice dive on the possible and likely landing spots for shortstop Dansby Swanson with the Cubs, Twins, and Braves leading the way. The Cubs have seemingly been high on Swanson from day one but their continued reluctance to spend to their market size could prevent them from nabbing the shortstop whose bat broke out in 2022 (but also lacks the track record to make a 6+ year contract a no-brainer decision). The Twins... well, I don't think any of us know what to expect from them and I remain unconvinced Swanson is worth a six-year risk, much less the seven or more years he may receive in this wild offseason. It's also hard to imagine the Braves not making at least a cursory attempt to retain their starting shortstop, especially given their financial flexibility after locking up half their roster at bargain basement prices. View full rumor
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    Except there's something really different about those first three situations and those last three situations. I'm sure you can see it. And my problem is that they only land the last three situations and even then, they still traded out from under Donaldson before the contract is up. Wheeler was a long shot. No biggie there. But Darvish would have been huge on this team in 2019 and 2020, much less 21-22. But the Twins just wouldn't give that sixth year, which many people complained about and looks pretty foolish now. This front office fears long-term deals far more than they like good players. I don't agree with that strategy, especially given how their books are nearly spotless right now.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    No, all I’m really saying is that they should have made an offer commensurate with the market - which was established when Turner signed and reinforced when deGrom, Verlander, Nimmo, Borgarts, etc signed - or moved on from Correa entirely. There was no prediction to be made here. Ten players signed contracts that seemed borderline absurd. That’s what the market was and is right now.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't even mind that they missed out on Correa, particularly at 13/$350m. What bugs the hell out of me is that they never even offered Turner money. They barely offered Boegarts money. That wasn't going to get the job done and they should have known that. That's my real issue with the situation. I don't even know if I want Correa at 13/$350m. I probably don't. Not conceding to that demand is a perfectly rational decision. But what would have happened had the Twins offered Correa $310m the day after Turner signed? Or even $301m? Either make a real offer or move on to other players, that's all I'm saying really.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    No, you're appealing to what you think is the voice of reason. Let's not conflate those two things. This isn't the first time this front office has been blown out of the water by undercutting a free agent they were "supposedly" in deep with. It happened with Wheeler. It happened with Darvish. Both ended up signing for money that made the Twins' offer at the time look embarrassing. Now it has happened again with Correa. This isn't a single data point. It has been happening damned near every offseason for the past five years. And at some point, it stops being an ugly coincidence and becomes an inherent failure of the front office's ability to read a market. I gave them the benefit of the doubt year after year but enough is enough. They're still making the same mistakes they were making in 2018. I didn't turn on the front office then. I didn't even turn on them in 2021. But when the same mistakes keep happening over and over again, it's rather reasonable to say "they're not the right people for the job".
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    Okay, this is the second complaint I’ve seen about this today. If anyone sees this happen (full screen ads), screen shot and PM me the screenshot. I have interstitial ads disabled because they’re so annoying; users should never see them.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    Dan Hayes reported the Twins’ final offer was 10/$285m.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    I had a user contact me about creating a poll to gauge where people land on this subject and now I'm curious about it. If in a magical world, you run the Twins and know the Giants have offered Carlos Correa a 13 year, $350m contract, would you match it? The caveat is that payroll stays about where it was last year. Let's say $150m in 2023.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    My point - and if you read through a couple of threads I've made it multiple times - is that every reasonable person knew Correa was going to get at least $300m. The Twins never offered even $300m. If they offered $325m two weeks ago, maybe Correa is still in a Twins uniform. Maybe he's not. But at least they gave it a legit shot. That's my beef with them. And yeah, I feel it involved quite a bit of incompetence to not realize Correa was going to at least match Trea Turner's $300m contract and respond accordingly. Even if they decided that is too rich for them, I don't have a real issue with that. But then they would have been able to transition their focus to someone like Willson Contreras and improve the 2023 team.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    It's preferable to Swanson, IMO. Obviously, others may feel differently and that's fine. As I mentioned elsewhere, I'm less frustrated that the Twins failed to land Correa than I am the fact that their offer wasn't even close and they wasted a ton of time stalling when they could have been pursuing other players.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    Next year’s free agent class ALWAYS looks good a year beforehand. What we see next winter will have several enticing names eliminated due to underperformance and extensions.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    Nick Nelson’s wall is here for you to issue your apology: https://twinsdaily.com/profile/18-nick-nelson/
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    I’m pretty sure I didn’t see that deadline topic. If the Twins made a competitive offer and didn’t land Correa, I’d be less angry with the front office. There are loads of reasons any specific player doesn’t sign with a specific team. But the Twins weren’t close. They were outbid by $65m. They never offered Correa even $300m, which we all knew damned well he was going to get somewhere. So they weren’t actually in on Correa. Which means they spent the past ten days wasting a ton of opportunities to improve the 2023 team.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, I would have been fine with a bunch of different names. I care less about specific names than I do the process of acquiring good players and right now, there just aren’t many good players left.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    I've listed multiple players multiple times now. Willson Contreras, Mitch Haniger, Jamison Taillon. Are they great players? No, but they're good and better than almost all the options remaining.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    I can't like this post enough times.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    Yep. It stops being an overpay and just becomes "the market". And you either play in the market or you don't. Pretending to play in the market just doesn't do it for me anymore.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    I've brought up Willson Contreras multiple times. He's not my first choice but if the front office had been honest with itself and realized they weren't going to offer Correa enough money, he'd be a pretty good fit on this roster, which really needs some bats.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    What I expect to change is for the front office to better manage an offseason. And that's a pretty reasonable request. If they weren't going to offer Correa the money required to sign him, they should have been signing other players with that money two weeks ago. Instead, we see a situation where most of the desirable players are now off the market and the Twins roster looks mediocre, at best. And that's some pretty bad offseason management.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    My point is that I'm now going to just assume they will not sign a $150m contract with anyone until they actually do so. We've been caught in this loop for four years now where we think the Twins have a shot at a good free agent and then we find out they weren't even in the running. And the thing is that $150m doesn't even get you a special player in today's game. That's what "pretty good" players sign for now.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    Then they shouldn't have wasted their time. That's my core point here. If they're not going to offer Correa enough money to get him to sign here, then they should have been signing the likes of Willson Contreras a week ago.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, exactly. They underbid Correa by $65m. Thinking they will even come close to signing someone like Ohtani seems insane at this point.
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