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    Who Deserves the Blame for Another Second-Half Collapse by the Twins?

    Minnesota has once again watched a promising season unravel after the All-Star break. But who is actually responsible for the latest collapse?

    Cody Christie
    Image courtesy of © Bruce Kluckhohn-Imagn Images

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    For the second consecutive season, the Minnesota Twins are entering September with more questions than answers. There was a point this summer when the Twins looked like a legitimate postseason contender. On July 28, Minnesota was 54-54 and just a half-game out of the American League's final Wild Card spot. General manager Jeremy Zoll publicly stated that the organization intended to be a buyer at the Trade Deadline, and ownership followed through by adding A.J. Minter, Dean Kremer and Jeff Hoffman.

    Then August happened. The Twins went 10-17 during the month, dropping to 66-72 heading into September. They remain within striking distance of a crowded Wild Card race, but the margin for error has nearly disappeared.

    This is not the first time Minnesota has watched a season go sideways during the second half. That makes it fair to ask a difficult question: Who deserves the blame? The answer isn't one person.

    Tom Pohlad

    Ownership deserves a significant portion of the blame because the roster's limitations ultimately fall on the people responsible for funding and building it.

    To be fair, Pohlad has done something previous ownership groups have been reluctant to do. He has publicly acknowledged that simply being competitive isn't good enough, and he committed to increasing payroll again in 2027. He also approved more than $8 million in prorated salary at this year's Trade Deadline.

    That is important progress. But Minnesota still entered the season with too many holes for a team expecting to contend. The bullpen needed significant help. The rotation could have used more depth. The lineup had areas that could have been upgraded. The front office did address the bullpen at the trade deadline, but the additions haven't magically transformed the roster into a postseason-caliber team. It was too little, too late. 

    Pohlad can't control what happens on the field. He can control whether the organization has enough resources to build a roster capable of surviving injuries, slumps and the long grind of a 162-game season. For years, Twins fans have been told that the organization wants to contend. Eventually, those words have to be supported by a roster that leaves fewer excuses.

    Jeremy Zoll

    Zoll deserves blame, too, although this is where things get more complicated. This is his first season truly operating as the person in charge of baseball operations, and there were signs that he understood what the team needed. He identified the bullpen as an area worth improving and followed through at the deadline. The problem is that the Twins' issues were bigger than three additions.

    Minnesota entered the stretch run needing everything to go right. Instead, injuries piled up and several important players failed to provide consistent production. Byron Buxton is now back on the injured list with a right hip impingement, his third IL stint of the season. Joe Ryan missed much of the second half with a glute injury, and performed poorly when on the field. 

    Zoll deserves credit for being aggressive enough to add talent. But the responsibility of a general manager goes beyond making a few deadline moves. The roster construction matters. When a team falls from .500 and into a 66-72 record in the span of a little more than a month, the front office has to examine whether it built a roster with enough depth and enough impact talent to withstand adversity.

    Derek Shelton

    Shelton will naturally receive plenty of criticism when a team collapses. Managers always do. There have certainly been decisions worth questioning throughout the season. Bullpen usage, lineup construction and individual matchup decisions will be debated, especially when losses pile up.

    But blaming Shelton for everything would be taking the easy way out. A manager can put players in advantageous positions. He cannot make them execute. The Twins have scored 652 runs this season, but they have also allowed 685. Their -33 run differential is a much better representation of their overall performance than their record alone. 

    There is a limit to how much a manager can fix with strategy when the roster isn't performing consistently. Shelton deserves scrutiny, but this collapse shouldn't become an excuse to avoid examining the larger organizational problems.

    The Players

    Ultimately, the players have to accept the largest share of the blame because they are the ones playing the games. That's especially true after a month like August. The Twins didn't simply lose a few close games. They went 8-17, and the club spent much of the month struggling to string together quality performances.

    There are some clear players that have fallen short of expectations. Entering the season, ZiPS projected Matt Wallner to be the batter with the second highest fWAR, but he struggled enough (-0.8 fWAR) that Minnesota sent him to Triple-A. Royce Lewis has also had an up-and-down year (literally and figuratively). He is only 0.2 fWAR from hitting his ZiPS projection, but has a below average wRC+ and has posted a .633 OPS over his last  23 games. 

    Pablo Lopez and his 2.6 projected fWAR never made a pitch this season. Bailey Ober was expected to have the third highest fWAR among starters (2.0 fWAR), but has struggled with velocity and sits at 1.2 fWAR. Simeon Woods Richardson was the biggest disappointment among starters. He was projected at a 1.8 fWAR and left the Twins with a -0.4 fWAR.  

    Too many players have taken turns disappearing from games offensively. Too many pitchers have struggled to string together quality outings. Too many mistakes have turned manageable games into losses. At some point, the players have to be accountable for that.

    The Real Answer

    So, who deserves the blame? Probably everyone.

    Pohlad deserves blame for an organization that still hasn't provided enough financial resources to build a deep, star-powered roster. Zoll deserves blame for a roster construction that has exposed too many weaknesses and hasn't produced enough impact talent at the major-league level. Shelton deserves blame for the decisions that haven't worked during the team's collapse. And the players deserve the most immediate blame because they are the ones who have failed to consistently execute.

    But this is bigger than one bad month. The Twins are a below .500 team. A postseason berth remains mathematically possible, but Minnesota has spent another season turning September into an exercise in scoreboard watching and hoping.

    That's the part that should concern the organization most. When the same organization keeps finding itself asking what went wrong after another promising season fades away, the answer probably isn't sitting in one office, one dugout or one locker.

    It's the entire structure. The Twins have spent plenty of time talking about building a sustainable contender. Now they have to prove they know how to actually do it.


    Who deserves the most blame? Leave a comment and start the discussion.

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    They were 8 games under 500 mid June, and made a mini-run to get to one game under at the break. Now they’re 6 games under. I don’t think that’s a collapse, it’s just being consistently not that good.

    The record with Buxton playing is also under 500…so…just not that good any way you try to slice it.

    And we added very little at the deadline…no needle movers…so, you just spin. Again.

    29 minutes ago, jkcarew said:

    They were 8 games under 500 mid June, and made a mini-run to get to one game under at the break. Now they’re 6 games under. I don’t think that’s a collapse, it’s just being consistently not that good.

    The record with Buxton playing is also under 500…so…just not that good any way you try to slice it.

    And we added very little at the deadline…no needle movers…so, you just spin. Again.

    If the Twins wanted to truly take advantage of a vulnerable AL, they would have made those modest trades they made AND call up Jenkins + E-Rod ASAP. It’s not a huge stretch of imagination to think Jenkins would have held his own in MLB all throughout August. 

    13 hours ago, Vanimal46 said:

    If the Twins wanted to truly take advantage of a vulnerable AL, they would have made those modest trades they made AND call up Jenkins + E-Rod ASAP. It’s not a huge stretch of imagination to think Jenkins would have held his own in MLB all throughout August. 

    They don’t want to do ANYTHING “truly”. Say what we will about Falvey, he had (finally) made a plan…and got fired for it. As long as the Pohlads are in control, I’m afraid it’s forever all about the illusion of ‘competing’ in a horrible-to-mediocre (depending on the year) division in a league where 40% of teams now make the postseason. Anything more will be random based on the possibility of 3 or 4 real stars coming through. Before they leave.

    The AL Central is a weak division, challenged only by the even less impressive AL West. If the Twins can't be competitive in the AL Central, they are, by definition, mediocre (or worse). 
    Personally, I think Shelton has done a decent job and deserves to return. Three years is enough time to see how he handles a MLB roster.
    Pitching is the key to winning. This year's injuries to pitchers killed any chance the team had to challenge for any post-season success. Last year's house cleaning, particularly by getting rid of Varland, Duran and Jax, decimated the bullpen and it has been as bad as expected. 
    The position players? This team has no real stars. Buxton has been the most talented player but can't be relied upon to play regularly. His age is increasingly a factor too.
    Most of the other veterans than have had multiple opportunities over the past few years to step up. Some need to be traded/released.
    The younger players currently on the roster (Keaschall, Lee, Jenkins, Ross, Culpepper, Bradley, Abel, etc.) should be the core next year. I think the fans wouuld rather see a bunch of hungry younger players than second-rate veterans. 
    Pohlad needs to provide Zoll with enough resources to field a better team in '27. This might/should include trading for a legit top-of-the-order SP. 

    10 minutes ago, Milwaukee-Jeff said:

    Pohlad needs to provide Zoll with enough resources to field a better team in '27.

    Pohlad needs to do one more thing…the most important thing. He needs to let the GM do his job. The job is to build a strong team. Not sell tickets for this year’s campaign, or next year’s or any years. The marketing team or short term cash flow can’t be the tail wagging the dog. But, it has been and continues to be.

    6 hours ago, Bangkok Twins Fan said:

    The culprit is our old nemesis: runners left on base. 

    This team is hitting .273 with RISP this season, which despite the slide in August, is still third best in the league.  They're hitting 30 points higher than their usual average in those situations.  

    Their BABIP is .319 with RISP.  Their nemesis this entire season was always going to be regression.  It's been lurking behind the curtain with a steel chair from day one.

    I really had low expectation for this team at the start of the season-- predicted they would finish 71-91.

    BTW, the team has a worse record in games Buxton has played than in those he did not, so his absolutely unsurprising string of ouchies cannot be used as an excuse any more this year just like the others.

    I do not consider the second half to be a collapse since, as mentioned, they were under .500 at the AS break.  I am not displeased with the FO moves to bolster the pen.  Thought for sure Jeffers, Larnach and Bell would go at the deadline, but can understand why the FO kept them at the time.  As they say, anything can happen once you make the playoffs so why not take advantage of a horrible AL and try to sneak in?

    I will have more to say at the end of the year, mostly about Buxton but also Joe Ryan.  Two fan favorites for sure, but not able to get the job done.

    On 9/4/2026 at 10:37 PM, jkcarew said:

    No. The Twins have the 3rd FEWEST runners left on in the AL. 

    Thanks for the clarification. Honestly, I'm surprised our ranking is that good in the LOB department. I would have guessed that we were near the bottom. Of course it would help if we put MORE men on base to start with. 

    On 9/3/2026 at 9:52 PM, MeleMouth said:

    I don't blame Zoll too much. Put yourself in his shoes. Your longtime boss just got the heave-ho for disagreeing with the new owner, so now you report directly to the new owner, who tells you to rebuild for the future while being competitive enough today to put fans in the seats. That means that you can't really trade your players with the most trade value, in order to build for the future, because they are assumed to be needed to keep people coming to the park.

    You are given some encouragement to spend money, but it comes after the team is 98% baked and years of history suggest that it could be more talk than reality. Oh, and you're on a one-year contract, the new owner seems to have the difficult combination of no experience and complete confidence, and pleasing the new owner is more important for your immediate career prospects than using your expertise to implement a long-range plan that you might not see to fruition.

    Most people, even if they think it's a mistake, would do about what Zoll did, which is nibble at the waiver wire and then make moderate acquisitions when given approval/instruction at the trade deadline. 

    Zoll does not make strategic decisions.  He implements Tom Pohlad's decisions.  Should we believe execution was the problem or was it strategic direction?  Opinions vary but I think starting a sell-off and doing a 180 is pure incompetence.  We don't really know what strategy Zoll believed supported building a contender.   We do know that he would have joined Falvey in the unemployment line if he did not get on board with Tom Pohlad so I am not blaming Zoll.

    The Twins are where they were expected to be; a sub .500 team. There's no collapse. The Twins vastly outperformed in scoring runs in the first half with RISP. That was bound to decrease as is usual with statistics. Injuries in the starting rotation and in general the pitchers have hurt. They have added much pitching talent for next year, so I'm hopeful. Starting pitching will need to lead to wins. The Twins are actually building for next year, and it's been years since I could say that.

    7 hours ago, Derojo said:

    The Twins are where they were expected to be; a sub .500 team. There's no collapse. The Twins vastly outperformed in scoring runs in the first half with RISP. 

    I could check, but I wonder how many of the players that added to that RISP, are still with the team today?

    Too many flashes in the pan players gone now?

    16 minutes ago, RpR said:

    I could check, but I wonder how many of the players that added to that RISP, are still with the team today?

    Too many flashes in the pan players gone now?

    Gone?  I would say not.  The ones who are gone were generally the ones doing poorly with RISP.

    And for the season, the full team's OPS with RISP is well above their OPS in all the other situations.

    image.png.fb305e0621dca1c21696f6c7b9586ef9.png




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