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    Twins 2, Orioles 7: Stick a Fork in Them


    Matt Braun

    The inevitable struck in predictable and lethal fashion. 

    Image courtesy of Matt Blewett-USA TODAY Sports

    Twins Video

    Box Score
    Pablo López: 5 ⅔ IP, 6 H, 2 ER, 3 BB, 8 K
    Home Runs: None
    Bottom 3 WPA: Carlos Correa (-0.96), Royce Lewis (-0.82), Christian Vázquez (-0.67)
    Win Probability Chart (via FanGraphs)

    chart(55).png.ef1ca3c7ca369108cbb6842ceb2afeae.png

    Minnesota took the field on Friday with a clear mandate: win. Win like you’ve never won before. Their only shot at remaining in the postseason race required sweeping the Orioles—good luck—AND having one the Detroit and KC lose out. Well, the Tigers won (the Royals did not), so the Twins’ mission became just that much tougher. They controlled their own destiny much in the same way that a man in the electric chair could take matters into his own hands by violently coughing. 

    Perhaps it was fitting, then, that their opponent was former Twins farmhand Cade Povich. The universe sure loves kicking you when you’re down. Naturally, he blanked them. For 5 ⅔ innings, the Twins could do little more than put the ball in play in vain, running directly into gloves and outs as the frames melted into each other. Some potential “bad luck” early quickly morphed into bland emptiness in the middle innings. Their best hopes at scoring were a two-out double by Byron Buxton in the 1st and back-to-back runners on second in the 5th and 6th. All rallies led to nothing. Good day. 

    Pablo López wasn’t so fortunate. In his final start of the year, he dipped into “effectively wild” waters, seeming only to have a vague concept of what the strike zone is—a far cry from his typical, controlled game. Outside of one swing, it worked. Unfortunately, that one swing resulted in a two-run homer. So it goes. 

    Typically, I would soliloquize about the game more, but the monotony of the last month has sapped almost everything from me; outs are simply just that, and runs are what the other team scores. Who cares. Some stuff happened; the Twins are now down. Rinse and repeat too often, and you’ll build a toxic calcium deposit of apathy—a vile curse that requires significant change to cleanse. 

    López exited, and an assembly line of Minnesota’s 4th-option relievers revealed that maybe the starter was more brilliant than he received credit for. Caleb Thielbar allowed a homer to a lefty. Kody Funderburk invited four more runs to score. Quiet was the forest these trees fell in. 

    The Twins did score when, in the 9th—with no stakes whatsoever—the Orioles took some pity on their opponents and allowed them to score. Twice. How kind. Maybe a Twitter account will post it. I doubt it.

    Whatever remained of Minnesota's fleeting hopes finally ungracefully ended when Ryan Jeffers grounded out to end the 9th. The long, slow goodbye had been in the works for some time now, but it was finally complete; the Twins, once solidly ahead in the Wild Card race, were eliminated from playoff contention.


    What makes a collapse so fascinating, I think, is the majestic totality of its grandeur: an entire collection of people failed at the same time—in differing magnitudes, certainly—but there’s no question that they faltered. The manager slips. The slugging DH misses a few hangers. Shoot, even the beer salesman dogs it. It’s a rare and unnatural phenomenon, but it’s one the 2024 Twins found themselves at the heart of, and there’s nothing more to be said than this: their season is over. Try again next year. 

    Notes:

    Pablo López ends the season with 198 strikeouts, two away from the 200 milestone and 36 off his high-water mark set last year. Still, his 2024 will go down as the 23rd most strikeouts in a season by a Twins pitcher, nestled between 1987 Frank Viola and 2010 Francisco Liriano, respectively.

    With two RBIs on Friday, Carlos Santana pushed his career total to 1,081, good for 231st All-Time. Three more runs batted in will tie him with Lou Whitaker. 

    Caleb Thielbar appeared in his 347th game as a Twin, the 8th-most by a Minnesota reliever. He is 18 appearances away from tying Glen Perkins.

    Post-Game Interview:

     

    What’s Next?
    The Twins and Orioles will play the penultimate game of the 2024 regular season on Saturday, with Zebby Matthews set to take the mound against the calm and turgid TBD. First pitch is at 6:15 PM.

    Bullpen Usage Spreadsheet

    Screenshot2024-09-28083305.png.e9b6147c78b03c5793c35ef6d8c817c8.png

     

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    Marek Houston

    Cedar Rapids Kernels - A+, SS
    The 22-year-old went 2-for-5 on Friday night, his fourth straight multi-hit game. Heading into the week, he was hitting .246/.328/.404 (.732). Four games later, he is hitting .303/.361/.447 (.808).

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    Featured Comments

    1 hour ago, JD-TWINS said:

    Look at the Bullpen chart above - Blewett threw 39 pitches Thursday - Tonkin threw 18 pitches on Thursday - Thielbar had already pitched in the game - Funderburk is the only guy left that hadn’t thrown the two previous days consecutively.

    3 soft contact hits and he was in trouble - not pitching poorly just getting nicked to death.

    They DO NOT SCORE runs………. the Managerial decisions to use pitchers that are available aren’t the problem - strategy isn’t losing games - averaging 1-2 runs per game is a real problem………hitters need to look in the mirror!

    You are correct if it is June, but it's not.  We were essentially playing a playoff game last night and Rocco gave up.  You don't keep a pitcher in after three straight batters reach, it is all hands on deck until you are eliminated.

    32 minutes ago, karcherd said:

    You are correct if it is June, but it's not.  We were essentially playing a playoff game last night and Rocco gave up.  You don't keep a pitcher in after three straight batters reach, it is all hands on deck until you are eliminated.

    So, 3 straight soft contact hits are “soft contact hits”. He wasn’t pitching poorly - he didn’t get outs. That’s exactly what Maki said when he came to the mound. Even the last run they got off him was a high two hopper back to the mound  and he picked it allowing another run to score. Could have done things differently - can say that every time an opponent scores all year. Lopez was all over the place & gave up a homer early……..nobody clamoring for him to get yanked in the must win game.

    Bottom line is at the end of 8 innings they had zero runs. Never, or seldom, scoring puts undue pressure on the Pen - happened nearly every day for a few weeks. 

    15 hours ago, cmoss84 said:

    Was thinking the exact same thing. 

    If they fire everyone, does that get fans off of their back and buy them time to not spend money?

    I don't think they are going to fire anyone. If there is someone in management that has an expired contract, they might not renew it but, nobody with a contract will be fired.

    6 minutes ago, JD-TWINS said:

    So, 3 straight soft contact hits are “soft contact hits”. He wasn’t pitching poorly - he didn’t get outs. That’s exactly what Maki said when he came to the mound. Even the last run they got off him was a high two hopper back to the mound  and he picked it allowing another run to score. Could have done things differently - can say that every time an opponent scores all year. Lopez was all over the place & gave up a homer early……..nobody clamoring for him to get yanked in the must win game.

    Bottom line is at the end of 8 innings they had zero runs. Never, or seldom, scoring puts undue pressure on the Pen - happened nearly every day for a few weeks. 

    Bottom line, it is an elimination game, he is not getting anyone out.  Rocco was trying to play the matchup game, you can't do that in this situation.  Being down by 7 vs 3 at the end of the inning is a huge difference.

    5 hours ago, Hosken Bombo Disco said:

    Not sure where you pulled this list from. Blake Snell should be on it. A bunch of those guys will be dropping off it next year.

    Funny enough, in addition to Pablo next year, Sonny Gray will also make a comet-like appearance near the top of that list in 2025, based on how his contract was structured. 

    Ohtani belongs not on the starting pitcher list but on the ‘Unicorns’ list, with him as the only name on that list. 🙂

    MLB's highest-paid starting pitchers for 2024 season: Ranking starters by salary - Yahoo Sports

    Ohtani still is listed as a pitcher and the Dodgers have stated publicly that they may use him as such in that role. I live in the area. He wants to pitch. Don't be surprised if you see him on the mound in 2025, He has been in the bullpen throwing.

    I have inputted the link....it was posted on March 13 ( Snell was traded on the 20th). Also, his base salary in SF is 15 million with a signing bonus off 17 mill payable in Jan. of 2026 based on what I viewed online. In comparison,  

     

     

    5 minutes ago, S Bart said:

    MLB's highest-paid starting pitchers for 2024 season: Ranking starters by salary - Yahoo Sports

    Ohtani still is listed as a pitcher and the Dodgers have stated publicly that they may use him as such in that role. I live in the area. He wants to pitch. Don't be surprised if you see him on the mound in 2025, He has been in the bullpen throwing.

    I have inputted the link....it was posted on March 13 ( Snell was traded on the 20th). Also, his base salary in SF is 15 million with a signing bonus off 17 mill payable in Jan. of 2026 based on what I viewed online. In comparison,  

     

     

    Also...this high salary issue is based on years served and not really performance...Some of the top performing pitchers are not the highest paid.

    21 hours ago, Aerodeliria said:

    Well-said...it was the ugliest of the ugly. The game typified the season, including an error by Farmer. The only difference was that Castro didn't play five different positions in this one, but the rest of it was more-of-the same.

    My team assessment:

    Starting pitching: OK

    Mid-relief: Mediocre

    End-relief: Decent

    Fielding: Beyond atrocious

    In-game decisions: Poor

    Line-ups: Head-scratching

    Base-running: Strange

    Hitting (besides Correa): Futile

    Should have been DFA'd: Margot, Farmer, Vasquez (yes, I said it), Irvin (Why must we shop from the island of misfit toys?)

    Should be in the minors: Lee, Funderburk

    Anyway, fire away...

     

     

    I agree. This season has been a micro-cosm of this franchises problems. No guts. Guys don't play through anything that hurts. Day to day and then the IL for 2 months. Not everyone needs to play 3 times a week. Some of these lineups...wow. What gets me is they don't seem to care. Guess what, now I don't either. Fire Baldelli he can't get them to play. Could have had Lugo or even Lorenzen or Wacha cheap but no. Owners don't want to win either. Starts from the top down. I have given up hope on this team. 

    10 hours ago, GNess said:

    I agree with your basic premise. Cleveland especially has mastered this feat of winning beyond their payroll. However, are any of the three central playoff entrants likely to advance to the World Series? Teams that spend are typically those in serious contention most consistently. (Note: Astros, Dodgers, Phillies as examples)

    Maybe not, but the Twins are certainly not advancing...

    Three things: 

    1).  The Pohlads had a chance to get an ace and they were too cheap.  The Twins would have been in the playoff and at least two playoff games would have helped pay the salary.  These owners are about the bottom line and not about winning.  Pitting an Ace, Lopez and Ober against Houston could have gotten them to round 2 and more revenue to pay that Ace.  Again, they were too cheap.

    2).  This team quit on Baldelli in September.  I think they need new blood at manager.  The Pohlads cant hide from their responsibilities as owners by hiring someone else.  But alas, they are too cheap to care.

    3).  The starting pitching needs an Ace.  Period.  Go get one.  Be an ownership that looks like you have actually played sports and want to be competitive.

     

     

    I was volunteering once again at the free soup kitchen and, as I was about to ladle a cup of beef barley to a blind person (who I understand is a recently retired MLB umpire), Jim Poor-lad cut in front of him and demanded that he wanted an extra packet of crackers for his soup. We chatted very briefly as I tried to settle him down.  But when I asked whatever became of the millions of dollars in relief money that MLB teams adversely impacted by poor TV deals (like the Twins) received, he turned around and stormed away without his crackers.

    On 9/28/2024 at 11:47 AM, ashbury said:

     The drafting part of the FO is hitting on all cylinders but their talent evaluation at the minors and majors level, both inside the organization and outside, must be being done by other individuals because I have serious questions about their acumen over the span of several seasons now.

     

    Jair Camargo was up for 10 games April 13 to April 22. He was called back up to the majors on July 12 and sent back down on July 25 for a total of 8 games. He was in a major league uniform for a total of 3 more games in September for a grand total of 21 games.

    7 Plate Appearances total for Jair over 21 games. 

    Someone or someone's in our evaluation system felt that Camargo could not do better than the numbers produced by Christian Vazquez. Someone felt he would hurt our chances of winning games if he played rather than Vazquez. 

    .221/.248/.327. were the numbers produced by Christian Vazquez. 

    .243/,312/.399 is major league average for 2024.  

    Meanwhile, at the very same time. 

    The same evaluators or a different evaluator in the same system has determined that Jair Camargo gets and keeps a 40 man roster spot. Camargo is protected in the off-season when the 40 man decisions are hard to make and keeps the roster spot over the course of the season surviving all the 40 man additions, with the help of 60 day I.L. maneuvering. He keeps his roster spot all season. 

    Evaluations are hard. The Margins are tight. 

    I doubt that the Twins had Julien evaluated at .615 OPS because they cleared space and made room for him at 2B. 

    I doubt that the Twins or the Mariners had Polanco evaluated at .651

    They probably missed by quite a bit on those two. 

    Yet... very confidently... they can evaluate that Vazquez can't yield time and that Camargo can't see the field.

    Yet... can't take him off the 40 man. 

    I'd also would have liked to have been a fly on the wall when the Twins and Reds were discussing the Mahle deal with their evaluations.  

    Was Miranda part of the discussion? Did the Twins evaluators evaluate Miranda as untouchable but Steer not? Did the Reds evaluators determine that they wanted Steer or Strand over Miranda. Maybe Strand was the lead dog in the deal.

    What Reds evaluator determined that Steer or Strand wasn't enough so Strand or Steer had to be included. What Twins evaluator agreed that Steer or Strand wasn't enough. 

    Through 1,000 AB's... Steer is leading Miranda and when I say that... don't get me wrong. I like Miranda. Glad he's a Twin.  

     




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