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Tony Oliva hasn’t played a game since 1976, but he has been getting closer to induction in recent years. Back in 2014, he fell one shy of induction by the Hall of Fame’s Golden Era Committee. His next opportunity was supposed to come in 2017, but that was pushed back to 2020 and now it won’t happen until 2021. The wait might finally be over for one of the best hitters in Twins history.
Case for Induction
Since 1900, only two hitters have won a batting title in their rookie season, Tony Oliva and Ichiro Suzuki. He was able to lead the league in runs, hits, doubles, and average on the way to winning the AL Rookie of the Year. He’d go on to win the batting title again in his second season as he was in the midst of eight straight All-Star seasons. Overall, he won three batting titles, led the AL in hits five times, and took home a Gold Glove.
Oliva finished runner up for the AL MVP in two different seasons and he was in the top-20 in eight different campaigns. In 1965, he finished behind teammate Zoilo Versalles even though Oliva’s OPS was 89 points higher. Five years later, Oliva had quite possibly his best professional season, but he finished behind Baltimore’s Boog Powell. According to Baseball Reference, Oliva’s WAR that season was nearly two points higher than Powell.
Case Against Induction
Multiple knee injuries kept Oliva from achieving more in his career. He was forced to move designated hitter after the position was created and his injuries eventually meant he had to retire after only 15 seasons. He finished as a .304/.353/.476 hitter but fell short of some of the important cumulative stat totals as he was limited to less than 2,000 hits.
JAWS, a scoring system used as a means to measure a player’s Hall of Fame worthiness, also doesn’t help Oliva’s campaign. Among right fielders, he ranks 34th overall, which puts him right ahead of players like Rocky Colavito and Rusty Staub. The three players directly ahead of him (Sam Rice, Harry Hooper, and Kiki Cuyler) have all been elected. There are also multiple players behind him on the list including the recently elected Harold Baines.
Prediction
Oliva was so close back in 2014 that it seems like he should have a very good chance to finally get the honor in 2021. Some fans started the group Vote Tony O back in 2011 to help his campaign which includes a website and social media accounts dedicated to helping Oliva’s candidacy. He might need one more big push over the next calendar year so he can be the next Twins player on the Cooperstown stage.
Do you think Oliva will finally be elected in 2021? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion.
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