Twins Video
Four seam fastball:
- 92.1 MPH, thrown 33.7% of the time, 21.1 whiff%
- .280 BA (.255 xBA), .517 SLG (.465 xSLG), .385 wOBA (.357 xwOBA)
The fastball for Maeda is definitely the worst pitch of the three that he throws at least 10% of the time. The velocity is one of the slower average fastballs in baseball at just around 92 MPH and the spin on it is also one of the worst. Despite that, the expected statistics for batters against the fastball suggest the stats against it should improve this season. Something notable about this pitch is that right-handers have a really tough time against it but lefties destroy it. The AL is loaded with right-handed hitters. Twins Daily writer, AJ, posted some videos that I’ll be using:
https://twitter.com/ajcondon_/status/1225072660977192961?s=20
Slider:
- 83.5 MPH, thrown 31.5% of the time, 40.7 whiff%
- .155 BA (.175 xBA), .288 SLG (.275 xSLG), .210 wOBA (.215 xwOBA)
This seems to be the best pitch we will see from Maeda this season. The Twins have become really attracted to pitchers who throw a nasty slider. Fangraphs ranked this as the sixth best slider in MLB last season so the Twins are also sticking to finding someone with at least one elite pitch and building off of that. The best part of it might be that right-handers literally can’t touch this pitch (.196 wOBA) so he throws it over 50% of the time, and left-handers are only mediocre against it as well. Here is some excellent video and stats from Alex Fast, the VP at PitcherList.
https://twitter.com/AlexFast8/status/1224889750135492608?s=20
Changeup:
- 84.9 MPH, thrown 31.7% of the time, 36.2 whiff%
- .183 BA (.224 xBA), .288 SLG (.275 xSLG), .242 wOBA (.256 xwOBA)
The changeup we will see from Maeda is another excellent pitch and it is the one he throws the most against left-handed batters at around 40%. He will only throw it around 5% of the time against right-handers. The reason he throws it so often against left-handers is the .174 BA, .292 SLG, and 37.3 whiff% he gets out of it. The changeup and slider are both thrown more than the fastball depending on what side the batter is hitting from. The slider is elite against right-handers and the changeup is elite against left-handers.
Curveball:
- 78.0 MPH, thrown 7.4% of the time, 27.5 whiff%
- .294 BA (.313 xBA), .588 SLG (.569 xSLG), .345 wOBA (.361 xwOBA)
The curveball is another pitch for Maeda that he only really throws against left handers and that is still only around 12% of the time. It is his worst pitch of the four listed and I wouldn’t be surprised to see the Twins have him throw it even less while increasing the slider and changeup usage. Thanks again for the video, AJ.
https://twitter.com/ajcondon_/status/1225072883057250304?s=20
What are your thoughts on Kenta Maeda? Did you like the trade? Do you think he can be the impact pitcher the Twins have been looking for?
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