Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account
  • Twins News & Analysis

    Offense Being Led Down Path Of Historic Ineptitude


    Nick Nelson

    We're a quarter of the way through the season, and the Minnesota Twins have the worst record in baseball at 11-32. Plenty of factors have contributed to this astoundingly poor start, but nothing sticks out more than an offense that is on track to be one of the worst in franchise history.

    Image courtesy of Brad Rempel, USA Today

    Twins Video

    While questions loomed around the rotation and bullpen heading into the season, Minnesota's lineup looked like a fairly reliable strength. The Twins scored nearly 700 runs last year, and were returning every starter with the exception of Torii Hunter, whom they replaced with a Korean superstar slugger.

    Even if you were down on the offensive unit, it would have been hard to foresee such a lifeless group of hitters. The Twins are currently on pace to score 573 runs this year.

    Just how bad is that? The last time that a Twins team scored fewer than 600 runs (outside of the strike-shortened 1994 and 1981 campaigns) was 1972. Except, that season was also shortened by a strike, though only eight games were lost. You have to go back to 1968 to find the last and only Twins team to score fewer than 600 times in a 162-game season.

    So, if you've felt like the run-scoring this season has been outrageously anemic, you're not wrong. This is shaping up to be the worst Twins offense in decades.

    Sunday's loss to the Blue Jays featured a meager one-run effort, and the box score was sadly representative. Brian Dozier: 0-for-4. Joe Mauer: 0-for-3. Trevor Plouffe: 0-for-4. These are the three most tenured veterans in the lineup and none of them are answering the bell at a point where the season is spinning completely out of control.

    Last year, May was the month where players across the roster blossomed and helped propel the team to 20 wins. This May, here's what the Twins have gotten from three players vying to fulfill the leadership void created by Hunter's absence:

    Dozier: .210/.297/.281, 1 HR, 4 RBI

    Mauer: .181/.260/.242, 1 HR, 4 RBI

    Plouffe: .206/.227/.286, 1 HR, 5 RBI

    When it comes to diagnosing this offense's problems, there are more places to point than fingers to point with. But the above numbers illustrate that the lineup is rotten at its core. And while the immense struggles of younger players are somewhat understandable, it's not as easy to forgive players who have been around as long as this trio.

    We can talk about Terry Ryan's lack of offseason activity. We can talk about Paul Molitor's managing or tactical prowess. We can talk about an overcommitment to youth. But the bottom line is that when the guys with corner stalls in the locker room are playing this, and setting this kind of example, everything devolves from there.

    There aren't any easy answers. But if the Twins are interested in sending statements, maybe they should be less focused on throwing at the brash defending MVP and more focused on lighting a fire under their own underperforming veteran mainstays.

    Unless and until those guys start doing their jobs, this team will continue down its path of historical ineptitude.

    Follow Twins Daily For Minnesota Twins News & Analysis

    Recent Twins Articles

    Recent Twins Videos

    Twins Top Prospects

    Khadim Diaw

    Cedar Rapids Kernels - A+, C/OF
    In the first three games of the Kernels' series in Lansing, Diaw has gone 7-for-13 with two doubles, two homers, four runs, four RBI. Now hitting .295/.404/.440 15 doubles, a triple, and four home runs.

    User Feedback

    Recommended Comments



    Featured Comments

    Changes I would make.

     

    Santana leading off - he is the only one who has multiple weapons to spark the offense.  Yes, he could take more walks - but we don't have anyone who takes walks, besides Joe.

     

    Joe at number 2.  While he is not hitting, he can draw walks.  I also think he needs to start changing his role to understand that he needs to be able get runners over, hit and run, etc.  He is the only player who is capable of executing small ball.

     

    Nunez at 3.  Only consistent hitter right now.   He is our lone All Star at this point.

     

    Sano at 4. He needs to own this slot in the order and learn to be the run producer that he is.

     

    Grossman at 5.  - He looks to be the only other major league battle tested hitter, besides Joe, in this lineup.  He needs a chance to drive in runs.   

     

    Park at 6.  Still needs to keep learning.  Dropping him down takes pressure off.

     

    Plouffe at 7.  He is not able to deliver consistent at bats.  He needs to earn his way to the top of the order.

     

    Suzuki at 8.  He is what he is.  

     

    Dozier/Polanco at 9.   I actually think Polanco needs to be the starter.  He can turn over the lineup and use his speed to make things happen.  Until Dozier comes to terms with the fact that he is not the second coming of Jeff Kent, he needs to be on the bench or hitting here. 

     

     

     

     

    I don't understand how the players is even an option.

    These players didn't assemble, coach, and evaluate themselves.

    Blaming the players is like blaming the McDonalds drive through guy because you don't like the taste of their burgers.

     

    If this is a "historically" bad offense, what does that make the pitching/defense?

     

    I just ran the numbers of runs allowed per game for the Twins vs. the league since 1961 (MLB 1961-1972, AL 1973-present), and our 2016 runs allowed per game is the worst, 23.1% worse than the league.  1995 was next, 22.0% worse than the league, both of which were considerably worse than our next worst mark (2012 at 16.7%).

     

    For offense, runs scored, we're at 21.1% below league average for 2016.  Our worst mark ever was 1999 at 21.5% below.  1981 wasn't far behind at 19.6%, and then comes the drop-off down to 2011 (16.7%) and 2000 (14.7%).

     

    So while both are bad, runs allowed seems to be worse historically.

    I tend to be a little more accepting of the poor runs allowed results because there have been several significant injuries on the pitching staff, and guys are playing out of position defensively. 

     

    The lineup has been mostly healthy (aside from relatively minor injuries requiring DL stints for Plouffe and Escobar). People simply aren't performing. 

     

     Molitor needs to go.  He's the wrong guy to lighten up the mood and the srong guy to coach the young team that should be coming. I would lose Dozier or Plouffe (both would be better) and get what you can.

     

    I'm not ready to go there yet, and feel bad for Molitor.  I don't think you can place much of the blame on him for this, at least not given how young the season is.  That being said, I do sort of agree that they need someone to lighten up the mood, and Paul Molitor isn't that person.

    Edited by nytwinsfan

    I'm not ready to go there yet, and feel bad for Molitor. I don't think you can place much of the blame on him for this, at least not given how young the season is. That being said, I do sort of agree that they need someone to lighten up the mood, and Paul Molitor isn't that person.

    And I think we have also concluded that he isn't a real good candidate to break in young players....... So......

    I'm not ready to go there yet, and feel bad for Molitor.  I don't think you can place much of the blame on him for this, at least not given how young the season is.  That being said, I do sort of agree that they need someone to lighten up the mood, and Paul Molitor isn't that person.

    Ha has made some pretty odd moves, and bears some of the fault, but he wasn't given a roster that can readily be adjusted either.

     

    I tend to be a little more accepting of the poor runs allowed results because there have been several significant injuries on the pitching staff, and guys are playing out of position defensively. 

     

    The lineup has been mostly healthy (aside from relatively minor injuries requiring DL stints for Plouffe and Escobar). People simply aren't performing. 

    If you want to strip out other factors, perhaps using something other than runs would be better -- luck and sequencing can be especially big factors in a small sample like 2016 so far.

     

    Here are the Twins wRC+ figures by year:

    http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=0&type=8&season=2016&month=0&season1=1961&ind=1&team=8,ts&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&sort=17,a

     

    81 wRC+ this year.  Bad, but the team had worse marks in 1999 and 1981.  Very hard to make a case that the 2016 offense is worse than the 1999 one, relative to league.  1981 is probably pretty much equal or worse too.

     

    Pitching-wise, Santana missed 2 starts, and Gibson maybe 4 so far.  Replaced by Duffey, Dean, Berrios, and Meyer, they are probably not far off Gibson's 6.10 ERA performance anyway.  Perkins has been the only injury in the pen, and again his absence might be a positive considering how he began the season.

     

    The effect of the defense is harder to quantify, but Sano appears to be the most "out of position" player, and it wasn't an emergency decision to put him out there, so they've had ample opportunities to mitigate it (spotting him at 3B or DH, defensive replacements, positioning, etc.).

     

    Fangraphs currently pegs us at 21st in fielding runs for the season, not far off last year's 18th rank when our ERA and FIP were a near match.  In absolute terms, we're negative but still ahead of our 2013-2014 fielding runs numbers.

     

    Ha has made some pretty odd moves, and bears some of the fault, but he wasn't given a roster that can readily be adjusted either.

     

    Polanco could play most days, by moving him around the INF...he doesn't. Sano could play 3B, with others in the LF/RF, but he doesn't do that either.

     

    He could platoon Arcia/Sano/Park, but he doesn't do that either.

     

    He pretty much pencils in the veterans (and Danny Santana, who he loves as a player) in the same positions every day.

     

    So, it isn't the easiest roster to play with, but he doesn't even do what little he could.

    Here are the two most recent headlines regarding the Twins on MLB trade rumors. "Twins “100 Percent Committed” To Terry Ryan" & "Terry Ryan Offers Support For Paul Molitor." Cute.

    Don't forget the doozy today by Charlie Walters "Terry Ryan losing sleep over Twins record".

     

    Of course not a critical word by Charlie. We are so lucky to have the hard hitting Walters and Hartman.

    Monday’s are as good a day as any for a rant so while I’m in the mood - Joe Mauer. Overpaid, that’s not his fault.  But you’d think the guy would feel some sort of accountability to at least pretend he’s a leader. He’s rarely seen (on camera anyway) coaching, encouraging, or even socializing with the young talent, always smiling and joking around with the opponents however at 1B regardless of how many runs they’re down by, generally seen at the back hi-five lines the rare times that they do pull out W’s, and appears to be incapable of all human emotions whether it be joy, frustration, pomp, or anger. I’m a long time Mauer fan but he seems to be a terrible leader.

    Monday’s are as good a day as any for a rant so while I’m in the mood - Joe Mauer. Overpaid, that’s not his fault. But you’d think the guy would feel some sort of accountability to at least pretend he’s a leader. He’s rarely seen (on camera anyway) coaching, encouraging, or even socializing with the young talent, always smiling and joking around with the opponents however at 1B regardless of how many runs they’re down by, generally seen at the back hi-five lines the rare times that they do pull out W’s, and appears to be incapable of all human emotions whether it be joy, frustration, pomp, or anger. I’m a long time Mauer fan but he seems to be a terrible leader.

    Meh, you can't be someone you aren't.

    Some guys are natural leaders, some guys are not.

    It's not something you can learn.

    I have worked for people who were not natural leaders and it was laughably transparent when they tried to be.

     

    Changes I would make.

     

    Santana leading off - he is the only one who has multiple weapons to spark the offense.  Yes, he could take more walks - but we don't have anyone who takes walks, besides Joe.

     

    Joe at number 2.  While he is not hitting, he can draw walks.  I also think he needs to start changing his role to understand that he needs to be able get runners over, hit and run, etc.  He is the only player who is capable of executing small ball.

     

    Nunez at 3.  Only consistent hitter right now.   He is our lone All Star at this point.

     

    Sano at 4. He needs to own this slot in the order and learn to be the run producer that he is.

     

    Grossman at 5.  - He looks to be the only other major league battle tested hitter, besides Joe, in this lineup.  He needs a chance to drive in runs.   

     

    Park at 6.  Still needs to keep learning.  Dropping him down takes pressure off.

     

    Plouffe at 7.  He is not able to deliver consistent at bats.  He needs to earn his way to the top of the order.

     

    Suzuki at 8.  He is what he is.  

     

    Dozier/Polanco at 9.   I actually think Polanco needs to be the starter.  He can turn over the lineup and use his speed to make things happen.  Until Dozier comes to terms with the fact that he is not the second coming of Jeff Kent, he needs to be on the bench or hitting here. 

     

    I like most of this except for Santana, and his .279 OBP (.254 in May), leading off. I'd try Polanco there. Dozier isn't doing anything for us at this point.

     

    Meh, you can't be someone you aren't.
    Some guys are natural leaders, some guys are not.
    It's not something you can learn.
    I have worked for people who were not natural leaders and it was laughably transparent when they tried to be.

    You're right but if I were paying them $23 million I would certainly appreciate the effort.

    You're right but if I were paying them $23 million I would certainly appreciate the effort.

    Effort at what?

    Trying to pretend being someone you aren't isn't going to have the effect you are seeking.

    It only takes watching one interview with Joe to see he's not a leader.

    Again, that's not something you can learn, at least not as an adult.

     

    Effort at what?
    Trying to pretend being someone you aren't isn't going to have the effect you are seeking.
    It only takes watching one interview with Joe to see he's not a leader.
    Again, that's not something you can learn, at least not as an adult.

    Some aspects of leadership can be practiced and learned (though I agree a lot of it is natural) but the point is more that it's another thing working against the club, that the face of the franchise is not a strong leader like other clubs might have the benefit of. Not that it's the biggest thing but just another thing.

     

    Last year, May was the month where players across the roster blossomed and helped propel the team to 20 wins. This May, here's what the Twins have gotten from three players vying to fulfill the leadership void created by Hunter's absence:
     

    Dozier: .210/.297/.281, 1 HR, 4 RBI

    Mauer: .181/.260/.242, 1 HR, 4 RBI

    Plouffe: .206/.227/.286, 1 HR, 5 RBI

    When it comes to diagnosing this offense's problems, there are more places to point than fingers to point with. But the above numbers illustrate that the lineup is rotten at its core. And while the immense struggles of younger players are somewhat understandable, it's not as easy to forgive players who have been around as long as this trio.

     

    FWIW, Mauer was awful while we were winning in May 2015 too, 63 wRC+.  His overall line this year (101 wRC+) is pretty much identical to his 2014-2015 production (99 wRC+), so whoever expected him to produce like a core player in 2016 is probably more to blame than Mauer himself.

     

    Likewise, Dozier is at 66 wRC+ so far for 2016, which isn't far from his 73 wRC+ mark from the second half of last year.  Again, the problem might be the expectations than the player himself.

     

    Plouffe has played the least of these three, thanks to injury in April, so while his 76 wRC+ appears to be well below his career average of 99, or even his second half mark of 92 from last year, it is mostly a function of the Toronto series so far.  After last Wednesday's game, Plouffe's wRC+ still stood at 110.

    Edited by spycake

    There is so much bad, its almost unwatchable.  Almost as bad as the late 90's teams

     

    The complete lack of pressure they put on he opposing pitcher is killing them.

     

    Dozier is below the Mendoza line.  He is just flailing away at this point,  His DP yesterday just about had be throwing the remote through the TV.

     

    Plouffe is his ever streaky self.  I'm not sure he has much different then the last few years. 

     

    Mauer is flailing at this point too.  He used to at least look professional.

     

    I know this is just cliché and there is no data,  but god it looks like none of them give a crap whether they win or lose.  

    This FO is a joke. The players clearly aren't listening to anything the coaches are saying. The GM refuses to acknowledge this is largely his fault and is so damn delusional that he thinks this team can still turn it around. The manager is hurting, not helping, our supposed prospects of the future. Our locker room culture appears to be terrible. Players barely seem to give a **** about their awful performance. Everyone in the organization is just shuffling the blame around but no one is doing a thing about it. 

     

    I can't imagine any other professional sports team would continue to give a free pass to Terry Ryan and the FO he has assembled. I love baseball and I love the Twins but we're starting to get to the point where if Terry Ryan and the current FO aren't entirely gone in the very near future, it's going to be very difficult to even support this team in the least. I can't support a bunch of confused old men ruining my favorite team and mismanaging every single prospect we have. 

    Speaking of leadership, Dozier was quoted as on the subject. Once he said he was the team leader, and once he referred to himself as one of the team leaders. He likely has a point, as it's obvious the whole team is following his shining example. Snark meter is currently set at full operating capacity! :)

     

    This FO is a joke. The players clearly aren't listening to anything the coaches are saying. The GM refuses to acknowledge this is largely his fault and is so damn delusional that he thinks this team can still turn it around. The manager is hurting, not helping, our supposed prospects of the future. Our locker room culture appears to be terrible. Players barely seem to give a **** about their awful performance. Everyone in the organization is just shuffling the blame around but no one is doing a thing about it. 

     

    I can't imagine any other professional sports team would continue to give a free pass to Terry Ryan and the FO he has assembled. I love baseball and I love the Twins but we're starting to get to the point where if Terry Ryan and the current FO aren't entirely gone in the very near future, it's going to be very difficult to even support this team in the least. I can't support a bunch of confused old men ruining my favorite team and mismanaging every single prospect we have. 

     

     

    I wouldn't be the least bit surprised.   Dozier, Pouffe, Perkins are trying to act like leaders in the clubhouse (Mauer is not trying and we all know that) and the younger guys are literally laughing at them and mocking them.  

     

    Why would you respect those supposed wise veterans when they are producing next to nothing.  And in the case of Perkins, a guy who has acted like a spoiled brat in the past and thrown young callups under the bus in front of the media. (Pinto).

    Edited by laloesch

    That Dozier AB killed me too. I was at the game, so I didn't have the TV view, but this should be about right.

     

    Whatever you think of the decision to bunt here, matters not.

     

    First pitch he squared to bunt and pulled back. OK

    Second pitch he missed on a bunt attempt. MISSED. Not a foul. Just a whiff. He clearly had no interest in bunting even though he was getting the sign to do so.

    Third pitch. No bunt attempt. The manager must have seen the sadness in Dozier's eyes and called off the bunt. Jesus. 

    Eventually pulls a grounder right down the line for an easy DP (maybe could have had a triple play)

     

    Not only do today's player STINK at bunting. They have absolutely no desire to do so. Take a couple pitches... foul off a bunt or two.... and magically, they get to do what they want, and swing away.

    I look at the worst record in the MLB, and get excited about next year's draft. How nice would the #1 overall pick be for this "future" that keeps getting postponed? It's a nice consolation. I'd rather have the #1 pick to go along with all the young talent, than try and salvage 10 extra wins with some AAAA players, at best.

     

    Then I remember that TR would be forced to draft based on signability (aka cheap-out), and probably watch a generational player slip, while taking a "high-floor/low-ceiling" college catcher, or something similar.

     

    Then, I also remember that if they did draft that player that would be generational in another organization, they wouldn't be able to develop him, and it would go down in Twins history as another bust.

     

    Then, I return to wondering how many more weeks until Vikings training camp.

     

    Unfortunately, there are only singular choices.  Need an "all of the above" (as in Total System Failure...)

     

    There is only one choice.  Blaming the players, manager, etc., means that, ultimately, Terry Ryan isn't doing his job.  He's responsible for putting the team together.  TR is the only choice.

     

    If there's an off year here or there, OK, blame a player or a manager.  But, when you've won one playoff series in a quarter decade, and have a record in that time period that doesn't even sniff .500, its clearly an issue at the top.

     

    FWIW, Mauer was awful while we were winning in May 2015 too, 63 wRC+.  His overall line this year (101 wRC+) is pretty much identical to his 2014-2015 production (99 wRC+), so whoever expected him to produce like a core player in 2016 is probably more to blame than Mauer himself.

     

    Likewise, Dozier is at 66 wRC+ so far for 2016, which isn't far from his 73 wRC+ mark from the second half of last year.  Again, the problem might be the expectations than the player himself.

     

    Disagree.  Way off, here.

     

    Expectation for Mauer were at rock bottom.  It was the front office, the coaching staff, the media, and Mauer himself who came out and said "the recent struggles were all because of my eye issues caused by concussion symptoms.  That's in the past, and Mauer is feeling better than ever.  Great year coming."  They set the expectation.

     

    As for Dozer, he's had about 6 months total in his career in which he was good player.  You're right in the sense that some people had expectations for him that were too high.  But, what in God's name is this guy doing in the top third of the lineup?  He shouldn't even be starting at this point, let alone batting leadoff for a major league club, with which comes inherent expectations.  Again, caused by the FO/Manager.

     

    You can't really blame fans for being sold a bill of goods, for the sake of making the Pohlad's richer than a Saudi prince, then getting pissed when they don't deliver.  The bottom line here, is that changes aren't made.  Nobody is pissed at player X for not performing....its that they keep getting run out there for years after its apparent that they aren't a very good player because the FO hands out awful contracts.

     

    I guess we do agree on something:  The player isn't the one to blame.

     

     




    Create an account or sign in to comment

    You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

    Create an account

    Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

    Register a new account

    Sign in

    Already have an account? Sign in here.

    Sign In Now

×
×
  • Create New...