Playoff/tiebreaker permutations

[IndianaTwin]

So, my son, Tony, has been giving me a daily synopsis of standings, tiebreaker scenarios, etc. He's more of a geek than me, so I trust his work.

 

Here's today's report:

•     Toronto and KC are tied for the top seed. Toronto has the tiebreaker based on head-to-head.
•     If Tex and Hou tie for the division (requiring Tex to lose out and Hou to win out), the other would get the wild-card. Tex would host Hou in the G163 to win the division.
•     In two-way ties to determine the second wild card, Hou would host Ana, Ana would host Min, and Min would host Hou.

    But in Tony's dreams, maximum complexity always occurs. So he's hoping for would be a three-way tie. In that scenario, MLB has declared that Team A hosts Team B in G163; the winner of that would host Team C in G164. So, Team C gets the bye, but has to play on the road in G164. Team A would need to win G163 and G164 at home. Team B would have to win G163 on the road and then G164 at home. He said that the coin flips have given Ana the chance to pick its slot first, followed by Hou, with Min getting the leftover. It seems like Team C is the best slot to be in, followed by A, meaning the Twins would likely get slot B.

 

How things shape up...

• Tex has 87 wins and hosts Ana for three games.
• Hou has 84 wins and is at Ari for three in interleague play.
• Ana has 83 wins and is at Tex for three.
• Min has 83 wins and hosts KC for three.

At worst (for them) Tex loses three and Hou wins three, giving the two of them the Division and WC. In that scenario, Ana ends up at least a game behind Hou (if Hou loses out) and tied with Min (if Min loses out). So, let's hope that Tex wins out and eliminates Ana. Then, the Twins just need to pick up a game on Hou for the tie and the right to host Hou in G163 or picks up two games on Hou to win the WC outright.

 

PS: I have developed a man crush on Tyler Duffey.

[Gernzy]

Great info! Thanks I was looking for this.

[Otto von Ballpark]

Here's every scenario you can dream of:

 

http://m.mlb.com/news/article/59527184/playoff-tiebreaker-rules

[TwinsCD]

Howz aboot we just sweep the Royals and head to New York on Monday?  

 

I don't see the Rangers losing all 3 this weekend at home.  So that will give them the division.  What we need to have happen is the Rangers win all 3 of their games and kick the Angels out completely.  Twins can AT WORST get 2 out of 3 against the Royals which would mean the DBacks need to beat the 'Stros 2 out of 3 in AZ.  Houston has been bad on the road all year and AZ isn't the tomato can they've been the last couple of years.  Given the 1-1 1/2 game glass ceiling we've been tapping on for the last month, it's nice to be in this spot right now.  But of course, if the Twins don't win games, none of this will make any difference.

[Otto von Ballpark]

 

He said that the coin flips have given Ana the chance to pick its slot first, followed by Hou, with Min getting the leftover.

Don't know if it was a figure of speech, but there are no coin flips anymore.  Starting with head-to-head records and moving on to division, league, 2nd half, etc. records, all ties and A, B, C tiebreaker designations are based on records of some kind.  Full details at the link I posted above.

[dxpavelka]

In the event of a 3 way tie for the 2nd Wild Card slots A,B & C are determined by record in games between all three teams rather than coin flip.  The Anaheim, Houston, Minnesota order is correct.

[Badsmerf]

I really want a 3 way tie. Those games would be so fun. Plus, the wc game after! Brock would be permadrunk.