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yarnivek1972

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Everything posted by yarnivek1972

  1. yarnivek1972
    Kepler is fine. His BB and K rates are career bests. His LD % is right at his career norm. Extra base % also is career best. His BABIP is low, even for him. He’s got a .255 BABIP now, compared with .266 overall. I suspect shifts account for most of his low BABIP career wise. But that it is even LOWER when nearly all his peripherals are better suggests lousy luck at play. He does need to start working all fields to negate the shifts. I think he will in time. He made the adjustment vs LHP. This is the next step IMO.
  2. yarnivek1972
    Are you really sure Buxton is worthy of a “big” extension? This is a guy that many on this board want to see demoted to AAA (when/if he gets healthy).
  3. yarnivek1972
    To continue with the Trek analogy, the last resort is to eject the core. Not quite there yet, but anti-matter containment field strength is critically low.
  4. yarnivek1972
    Is it league average for the teams actually in contention for the playoffs? I actually don’t know but my guess is the “good teams” are better than average in this stat.
  5. yarnivek1972
    Difference being you are talking about guys who were overweight post 30. As has been mentioned, Sano is 24. If he can’t control his weight at that age, how likely is it to happen as he gets older and his natural metabolism slows?
  6. yarnivek1972
    What is the upside of sending Sano or Buxton down? Isn't it already a given that they can hit AAA pitching? How does that help them hit MLB pitching? These two have well over 1000 MLB PA. It's time for them to put up or shut up at the MLB level. The scary reality facing the organization is that this is who they are: Injury prone, strike out prone, lacking plate discipline. None of that improves with a stint against inferior AAA pitching. Maybe if they continue to struggle at the MLB level it will sink in that they do need to improve so they don't continue to embarrass themselves.
  7. yarnivek1972
    What about his history suggests he is capable of doing so?
  8. yarnivek1972
    Rogers appeared in 69 games and had 55 IP. That's not even close to overuse.
  9. yarnivek1972
    Doug Mientkiewicz wasn’t very tall. I know he was listed at 6’2”, but that was not accurate. Somewhere I have a picture of him and me. I’m 5’10”. He’s barely taller than me. There was also a picture of Rivas, Guzman, Doug and Koskie standing near second base (after Koskie moved on). They are all about the same height except Koskie, who at 6’3” towered over them. Rivas and Guzman were both under 6’.
  10. yarnivek1972
    Highest OPS after the first 3 spots is Ryan LaMarre’s .671. Berrios better be sharp, because he’ll be lucky to get 2 runs today. I suspect we will see Cy Shields pitching for the Sox today. L, 3-1.
  11. yarnivek1972
    Twins have three (not one, not two, but THREE) relievers in the top 25 in MLB for relief IP. Keep in mind that no team has played fewer games than the Twins. Pressly has appeared in 32 of 58 games. Reed 29. Hildenberger 28. So, again 3 relievers that have appeared in basically half the games. That’s a recipe for disaster. Either those guys will physically break down and land on the DL or their effectiveness will be adversely affected. Or possibly both.
  12. yarnivek1972
    IMO, there is no upside in sending any of the core down to AAA. The Twins are going to sink or swim with Kepler, Rosario, Buxton, Sano and Polanco. The Twins need to find out how they perform against MLB pitching now.
  13. yarnivek1972
    Injuries are part of the equation for every team. Good teams are adequately prepared for them. As for the suspension, Polanco did next to nothing in the first half last year. Point being his abscence isn’t why the offense is struggling. Again though, there was literally no plan B. 3 good starters at the MLB level for 2b, 3b and ss. One capable replacement. After that the dropoff was/is severe. That’s simply not how teams that win construct their roster.
  14. yarnivek1972
    Where’s Brian Buchanan when you need him? I know he’s been out of the league for a decade and a half, but he could probably still hit LHP.
  15. yarnivek1972
    I guess I don’t understand the QO process. Is it seriously one amount for every player? That seems ridiculous. Back in the “old days” players were graded A, B or C once they hit arbitration. It would seem to make more sense to do that and use those grades to establish tiered QO levels. If it is one QO fits all, the only players who will ever receive them are top level FA. And in reality that level of player is a rarity on the FA market. Why has MLB always had the compensation system that makes the least sense of any pro sport?
  16. yarnivek1972
    If all the Twins can do is split at home against the White Sox, they aren’t catching anyone. btw, they still have to win today just to do that.
  17. yarnivek1972
    Unless you have a medical degree you are in no position to offer an opinion as to what kind of risks he is taking. Is Mauer having that discussion with his doctor and family? Probably. But you continue to assert that it is the Twins decision to make and not Mauer’s. That is simply not true, unless the Twins flat out release him. They can’t force him to retire.
  18. yarnivek1972
    That Pressly has 32 appearances on June 6 (58 team games) really explains a lot of his struggles IMO. The Twins are dealing with the repurcussions of carrying 2 useless pitchers for the first 4-5 weeks of the year. The Twins have 3 relievers in the top 25 for reliever IP, Pressly, Hildenberger and Reed. The only other MLB team that does is the Mets. Keep in mind that no team in MLB has played fewer games than the Twins (Yankees and Cubs also have 58).
  19. yarnivek1972
    If he is medically cleared, the decision is absolutely his to play or not. They can’t keep him on the DL if he’s medically cleared. Are you suggesting the Twins release him even if he is cleared and wants to play? I don’t see that happening and it certainly benefits no one.
  20. yarnivek1972
    He’s only signed through 2019. http://legacy.baseballprospectus.com/compensation/cots/american-league/minnesota-twins/ And neither his salary or skills stand in the way of him being a back up.
  21. yarnivek1972
    He’s going to make a great MLB manager someday soon.
  22. yarnivek1972
    Isn’t it more about Chris Giminez? There’s no question Murphy wasn’t good enough to be a starter when he was a Twin. But he was good enough to be a back up.
  23. yarnivek1972
    Mauer’s contract wasn’t exactly front loaded, but it maintained a set dollar amount every year. I think the MLBPA would balk at a contract that got smaller as years went on. Just on principle. Also, they use comparable players’ salaries to set arbitration awards. A contract that got smaller (noting that is not what you are suggesting) would affect that. Front loading with a “signing bonus” might be the way around it. Lot of season left, obviously, but I don’t know how hard I would be looking to extend Buxton. Certainly not if the season ended today. I’m a little wary of Sano as well. Mostly his ability (or lack thereof) to stay on the field.
  24. yarnivek1972
    He had fewer than 100 PA as a Twin. Not sure that’s sufficient to make a value judgement on any player.
  25. yarnivek1972
    Reed has given up a HR in consecutive outings and an earned run in 3 consecutive. Also, 3 HR since May 19. Concerning, to say the least.
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