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Respy

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Everything posted by Respy

  1. Respy
    With all of the question marks regarding the injury potential surrounding prospect pitchers nowadays, I'm starting to think more and more that the top position player (Royce Lewis) might be a better option, then draft a higher quantity of high-ceiling pitchers later. Is there really such a thing as a high-floor pitcher anymore? That being said, I've realized as I'm typing this that our last top pick (Alex Kirilloff) was a position player and still needed TJ surgery. Ditto for our best current position player (Sano). Maybe they'd be best off setting aside some draft money to buy a horseshoe from Always Dreaming or a vault of rabbit's feet. On a related note, they should offer one of the players a draft bonus of $777,777. I see the #1 spot is slotted at $7,770,700. Just throw in an extra $7,077!
  2. Respy
    A very good statistical comparison. Generally I would agree that they are fairly comparable players. A striking difference I will point out, though, is that Kepler had a minors career K% of 15%, while Yelich was at 21%. While both of them are at precisely 20.4% for their MLB career so far, Yelich has had 2363 plate appearances while Max has only had 673. Also the two of them have put up similar numbers, while Yelich has a huge MLB BABIP of .354 while Max is quite low at .275. In the long run, I'd place good money on Kepler being significantly better offensively. And despite Yelich winning a gold glove and the small sample size on Kepler, advanced defensive metrics on Fangraphs seem to give Kepler a slight advantage here as well.
  3. Respy
    There's also something to be said for the fact that Greene seems to want to play for San Diego. Although he hasn't explicitly said he doesn't want to play for the Twins, it's clear enough that he doesn't want to play for the Twins. For a young player that will require as much development as Greene will, he will need to buy into the Twins development system. With all of the question marks at hand, I think I'd rather pick someone who has their heart in the right place, presuming the Twins feel there's another player of high enough quality.
  4. Respy
    Thank you for the fabulous insight.
  5. Respy
    Hadn't heard of Graterol before. Thanks for the video. Unless he's going at much less than 100%, that's one of the shortest pitching strides I've seen. That could lead to ongoing injury issues. Too bad for the Twins farm that there's so many injuries on this portion of the list!
  6. Respy
    Karma.
  7. Respy
    His batting average is guaranteed to regress at his current K%, but gotta love the way he is striking the ball and standing up to the plate with confidence when runners are on base. There's something to be said for a player who sees runners on base and expects himself to knock them in every time (and I suppose it helps to execute too). Bring back the "Smell 'em" campaign! And seriously, he just turned 24? Just stay healthy, big guy.
  8. Respy
    Good list.
  9. Respy
    Just curious why Hildenberger, two-time Twins Daily Minor League Relief Pitcher of the Year and "nearly ready," is only ranked at #35? Not at all trying to bash the rankings, but wondering if there's maybe something in his scouting report which shows that his stuff might not play so well at the big leagues? Also aside from the obvious differences in the delivery, anyone have thoughts on his comparison to the stuff of Pat Neshek (most recent Twins side-armer)?
  10. Respy
    That 'slurve' was filthy, as appeared to be his 2-seam fastball. And in fairly cold weather, nonetheless. I don't remember Berrios throwing a breaking ball like that before. The slider he threw during the WBC looked much more traditional. If he can keep locating pitches, he could be fantastic this year.
  11. Respy
    Wright doesn't look very balanced and controlled on the mound for someone who throws in the low 90's. He's likely going to need to develop a change-up to be a successful right-handed starting pitcher. Aside from the two stellar recent starts, I'm just not seeing the upside here.
  12. Respy
    I'd define an ace as a showstopper, a losing streak stopper, and and innings eater; a pitcher who pitches above and beyond the norm in the league. Instead of saying there should be XX number of aces, I would do some kind of statistical plot showing which pitchers are outliers from the glut of mediocre pitchers. I can't find anything like this at the moment, but it's safe to say that Santana has been an Ace this year.
  13. Respy
    Unfortunately there's just not much room at AAA for them right now, unless we start waiving/releasing more pitchers other than just Tonkin. It may take some injuries to get both Burdi and Melotakis up to AAA soon. This keeping in mind that in addition to Melotakis, Randy Rosario, Felix Jorge, and Fernando Romero are also on the 40-man.
  14. Respy
    Any word on Sano's appeal and if he'll be suspended for tonight's game? https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=4&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwjMkeTRwdnTAhUr4YMKHXR0BDYQqOcBCDkwAw&url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.cbssports.com%2Ffantasy%2Fbaseball%2Fnews%2Ftwins-miguel-sano-could-be-suspended-for-fridays-game%2F&usg=AFQjCNFOd0kCGZMUJqKgfRrFIdN3h948PA&sig2=_SqQaeCsCca4ltf_2ST40Q
  15. Respy
    Yes, I've seen this before. Never actually heard anyone call him that, though. Lately it seems that Paul Molitor has been calling him Miggy and others are catching on.
  16. Respy
    Apparently lots of folks have been wanting to call him 'Miggy.' How would we feel about this, considering that the original Miggy is over in a Tiger uniform?
  17. Respy
    My two cents: I think Sano has always valued himself as more than what he currently is. When he first joined the big leagues, he said he was ready to hit 30-35+ homeruns. After his first season, he said he was ready to start hitting 40-45+ homeruns. That kind of ego is going to be looking for way more than $15M at the last season of the contract. He probably thinks he's already all-star caliber worth $15M and soon will be MVP-caliber worth $20-$25M+. Sano seems to me to be the type of player who is always going to need a kick in the butt. I wouldn't go so far as to call him lazy, but I think having pending arbitration contracts and eventually a looming Free Agent payday will make him play way, way better.
  18. Respy
    Inherited runner scores, and was inherited at: 1st base: 3/4 ER to current pitcher, 1/4 ER to previous pitcher 2nd base: 1/2 ER to current pitcher, 1/2 ER to previous pitcher 3rd base: 1/4 ER to current pitcher, 3/4 ER to previous pitcher All would be fair.
  19. Respy
    Ignoring the numbers, and just watching him pitch in different roles, it looks clear to me that he belongs in the bullpen. Keep him there for now if he is finding success. We have too many other good starting options coming up in AA and AAA.
  20. Respy
    I'd expect that the Twins don't make a change until at least Friday night, because they are lined up to face three righties today through Friday. The short bench is easier to deal with given how the lineup is drawn against righties. The Twins are scheduled to face lefty Quintana on Saturday. I think if the Twins starters have long starts the next three games, we see a move Friday night. If the bullpen gets taxed this week though, they might feel they have to hang onto the extended bullpen for now.
  21. Respy
    I really feel like Mauer or Kepler should be pinch-hitting for Gimenez here.
  22. Respy
    1. Dozier (2B) 2. Grossman (DH) 3. Polanco (SS) 4. Sano (3B) 5. Castro © 6. Gimenez (1B) 7. Rosario (LF) 8. Buxton (CF) 9. Santana (RF) Santiago (P)
  23. Respy
    Thanks for the video links by the way. I've been having a hard time finding those.
  24. Respy
    I don't have stats on his arm, but I heard the broadcasters talking about how Polanco is perceived to have arm issues because when he tries to throw it hard, he spikes it into the ground. This has caused him to choose to throw the ball less hard, which often causes him to throw 1-hop lobs to first base. Apparently since this spring, Twins management has been preaching to him to give his throws 100% and figure out how to get the throws on-line to first base.
  25. Respy
    This will be the tale of the bombs as 26-year-old Matt Boyd is on the mound for Detroit and Santiago will be on the mound for the Twins. MLB Groundball/Flyball ratio: Boyd = 0.76; Santiago = 0.69 HR per flyball: Boyd = 15%; Santiago = 10% They both feature similar repertoires, as they both throw fastballs around 60% of the time, sliders/cutters 14%, and changeups 16-19%. Boyd throws more curveballs (11%). Some Twins have good numbers against Boyd, and you can expect to see them in the lineup today: Dozier: 5 for 14 (.357) with 1 homerunGrossman: 4 for 7 (.571) with 2 homerunsPolanco: 4 for 9 (.444) with 1 homerunGimenez: 1 homerun and 1 walk in two plate appearancesSano has struggled the most against Boyd (0 for 8 with 5 K's) It'll be a respectable 65 degrees and a bit windy in Detroit today. If the wind isn't blowing straight in, keep an eye out for the dingers. PS - Detroit batters are only hitting .228 lifetime against Santiago, with the most success coming from JD Martinez, who's on the 15-day DL.
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