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Rosterman

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Everything posted by Rosterman

  1. Rosterman
    Well, the Twins would need to protect Diaz sooner rather than later. Is he the first abseman of the future? Who knows. Seems the Twins are getting not one NUT TWO otehr prospects besides. Be interesting to sww how he pitches for the Twins.
  2. Rosterman
    We could use a fer sure closer. Defining PROSPECT. The window for a prospect is 3-5 years. Will they make the major leagues in that amount of time, and once in the majors how long to become a aprt of the team and contribute in some way. How many players make their major league debut each season from a draft staying thru the farm system each season. 4 or 5 guys, perhaps. (Yes, if totally in rebuilding mode, more). But out of those 40 names thrown into the organization following each draft day, how many spend 2-3 years in a minor league stsem, and how many get even a sliver of major league play with the drafted organization or another. Those are the magic ways you look at Prospects. And you look at depth and who is bumping whom (see Nick Gordon and Luis Arraez, for example). Actually, look at the Twin starting pitcher prospects going into 2018 compared to today. Wow. Is a team looking for players to put in time this season, contribute in a major way next season, and how many people will they gamble on for the future (think Santana to the Mets...we got a pitcher we needed to protect, an outfielder that we felt didn't need another year in the minors - and was flipped for a shortstop, and two pitchers...one who we flipped for Jon Rauch, one who never got to pitch for the Twins in his time in the minors or on the 40-man). Except that we added Hardy and Rauch as names in this deal, shows you that players received in a trade can also be used in a trade. But in the scheme of things, made no difference in the standings for the Twins. The Twins don't need Alex and Lewis of theya re keeping Rsoario and Buxton for a few more seasons of play. By then they have Larnach or others in the wings. So both of those HIGH draft choices could be in play -- except the Twins haven't signed Buxton or Rosario beyond the next couple of seasons. Or maybe they have higher feelings for the two high draft picks to repalce these guys, who will also be trade bait if theya re signed or not. It is a fascinating business, this baseball. I just wish they would eliminate one aspect. Somehow, in this day and age, I don't like the idea that you sell someone to someone else...i.e. "cash considerations" - although that is probably the whole purpose of independent league abseball.
  3. Rosterman
    I'm glad the Twins are ridding themselves of these pitchers. Great stories and they did use them and sent them on. But, yes, Parker was not pretty on the mound. That he was able to close in the beginnings of the season is a miracle. At some point, if a pitcher puts two men on base and not getting clean strikes, I would automatically pull him. Period. That's not what you bring them in to do. You have a deep bullpen and a regular shuttle with AAA Rochester
  4. Rosterman
    I'm liking Pineda more and more and wonder what the chances are of his returning to the Twins in 2020. If you do have to limit Pineda's innins come September, you have ample prospects to work with him in a game (Smeltzer, Thorpe, perhaps Stewart, Poppen or Stashak). Hey, I would offer out Jake Odorizzi right now, when he still has some value...assuming that you are trading for a top flight starter. Chances are you will not be resigning him.Let's see how he pitches right before the deadline. Perez would be a choice to go back to the pen if the rotation as is remains intact, but adds a power arm. Nothing like having another lefty in the pen. I feel good with the guys the Twins might need to add to the roster come September. Pitchers and a bat. But, the hard reality, we need a top-flight closer so Rogers can remain a setup guy!
  5. Rosterman
    You have to look at centerfielders as you do at catchers over the long haul. How long will they play center as hard as they do, and what do they bring to the table when they transition to a corner spot in the outfield, being replaced by the next good centerfielder. Like catchers, who control the game but basically are regulated to around 120-games max behind the plate, at some point they do cycle out-of-the-game or to a position like, say, first base...and how do their stats at bat translate to other options. Combined wth the fact that a centerfielder IS at their best in their youthful full-speed years, depending on development of play, you either bring them up to early and maybe they struggle, or too late and, again, they have to look over their shoulder at the next BIG prospect. The Twins have four BIG decisions. How much to pay Berrios to keep him in a Twins uniform. How much to pay Eddie Rosario, or do you trade him while he is so hot. Can you live with Buxton and what he brings currently to the game, and will he vastly improve, or stay at a level of, say, Aaron Hicks now playing in New York. Is the Buxton future similar to Denard Span, or closer to Torii Hunter. And what to do about Sano? All or nothing. There are always strikeouts in a game, But can you live with that one big hit every other game (you can, if you bury him in the batting order). As a third baseman Sano is bringing you something more to the plate, as long as he can field. But if you move him to first base are you better served by, say, a Cron...or even a Mauer...as the price ffor Sano expands. The evils of baseball. How much money do you gamble today (like Polanco and Kepler, both contracts look great now). Or do you continue to overpay in arbitration and suffer if they have a breakout season.
  6. Rosterman
    Well, you have to look at the bigger picture, too. Who in the organization, right now, MIGHT replace Rosario and/or Buxton if the Twins can't reach longterm agreements. The Twins will need a third baseman. If they feel the need to stick with Sano, moving him to first seems to be the future. Right now, the Twins COULD entertain offers on Schoop and Castro, both having some worth at the moment and neither guaranteed to be back with the Twins in 2020. I feel the Twins should actually dangle Gibson and Odorizzi out there, especially if they feel the NEED to go after a #1 starting pitcher. I picture that they MIGHT resign Pineda for 2020, which might not be a bad gamble (one year with an option). The Twins have basically given away a lot of bullpen arms, which makes you wonder WHY they were on the team (40-man roster) in the first place. They can't take all their TOP minor elague starters and make them bullpen arms, although have been impressed with Thorpe, Littell, Smeltzer in the role of bullpen arms. Kohl Stewart could be dangled. I wish Fernando Romero and Stephen Gonsavles had the value they had a year or two ago. Teams would be salivating at getting them. Now the Twins have to ask themselves if they really want to keep these guys, or will they be quickly passed by others (as is the case of Nick Gordon). Royce Lewis is an interesting case. Shortstop...or future centerfield guy. Alex and Rooker/Haley and Larnach are the future outfield, and there is still depth. Y'know, the only way the Twinsa re going to get a TOP NOTCH #1 and EXPENSIVE starter to come to Minnesota is to actually TRADE for the guy. We can talk all we want about potential free agents in the future, but the Twins are still (1) Cheap and (2) not at the top of ANY player's list, unless the Twins do grossly overpay. Of course, i predict that the Front Office will do nothing and wait to see who is offered up on the August waiver wire as a salary dump (watch the Oakland A's play that game, both ways). That will be interesting to see who will be willing to jettison salary!
  7. Rosterman
    They have been flat out lucky. Entering the season with no proven closer. Staying in first place thru the end of July with no proven closer, one lefty arm (who has become the closer) and little rhyme or reason on who does what in any situation. If the Twins were a .500 team, the bullpen would be brilliant.
  8. Rosterman
    Yep. I rememebr the early part of the season where the Twins were really good, because they played like a team. But the bullpen makes you cringe. Moreso when starters can't do six innings. They need reliable arms! The projects of Parker, Harper, Magill and Morin were good news, but they jsut can't cut it! Weren't the Twins ahead of Cleveland by 11+ games once, not too long ago?
  9. Rosterman
    The Twins need to make long-term decisions on Berrios and Rosario sooner rather than later, as well as Buxton and Sano. I'm less worried about the outfield and the chance of trading away, say, Rosario as there are prospects in the wings. If you keep the above core intact, you have prospects to tradde for sure. That is the BIG DECISION. Payroll should go up. After some lax seasons with the Twins id the middle of the apck...well, 2019 could easily have broken $135 million and if the Twins don't totally tank, they will be a revenue machine this season. They should be able to start ushing the $150 million envelope. The whole 55% of revenue is always a joke. What are the costs of front office and minors and others that changes drastcially every season. Not much, if you generate $10 or $20 or $40 million of revenue. If you take in $250 million, you can pay a payroll of $125 million. If you take in $300 million, your operating costs don't icnrease that much...like $25 million...no. You should be able to increase payroll to $150 million easily. But $175 could also happen. All the names you mntioned above could easily fill the roster in 2020. But who will be here in 2021, or better yet what will the 2022 Twins look like.
  10. Rosterman
    Yes, it your are a contender, reliable is the key. The ground ball pitcher. The flyball pitcher. The strikeout pitcher. Consistent. And the ability of a starter to get you to the 7th inning. When trouble arises (two guys on) you have another dependable arm that SHOULD be able to shutdown the situation. The key is to win the game, not get as much as you can out of one guy to keep everyone resh for another day.
  11. Rosterman
    I just cringe these days when Sano comes to the plate. Sano and Buxton (out, of course) are such key players, but seem to be outplayed (at least offensively) by everyone else on the team. The ability of the team to manufacture runs is also questionable. Stopping at second rather than pushing towards third. Of course, doesn't matter if a player after strikes out rather than put a ball in play. You can speak ill of the starters. Buit besides Taylor Rogers, you don't know what to expect from any otehr bullpen arm (although Littell has been a great spark). Was hoping Trevor May had turned the corner. The only plus about the next 7 games is that the Indians will have a similar series later.
  12. Rosterman
    Whew! Now have to look back to see if there was ever a season this bad...for the rotation!
  13. Rosterman
    It's a;; about the 40-man. Remember, they still have Romero and Eades in the mix. If you remove someone, you may lose them. If you add someone inexperienced from the minors, they are holding a spot aand because of their "future" you will be ahrd-pressed to jettison them. That the Twins have already passed on Moya, Vasquez, DeJong and Mejia, as well as goodbyes to Morin and Adams. They have three roster spots. Which is pretty darn amazing, because besides Eades and Wade and/or Cave, the Twins have few bodies to move...unless they would aprt ways, too, with Parker, Magill. They have to make a hard decision on Gonsalves and Romero. If they could bunch those two in a trade, it would probably benefit the team and the 40-man today and tommorrow gratly. And, withthe guys in AA and below, service time becomes a question, especially if you still wish to develop them as a bullpen arm. No one mentions Jake Reed.
  14. Rosterman
    Looking at a strong bullpen from prospects in the future. The rub, you can't protect them all. And the chances of acquiring an arm (or two) in free agency limits the number of these guys that will advance. Fernando Romero is somewhere. Should he become a starter? Is he a bullpen arm? Did the Twins miss the ball on using him as a tradable prospect? Interesting how the names have changed since the start of the season. No more Littell (now a bullpen arm). No more DeJong or Mejia. Goncalves is still in the mix...maybe. Will he be, perhaps, the next J.D. Durbin or Alex Wimmers?
  15. Rosterman
    Yes. A starter betetr than anyone in their rotation. Odorizzi seems to be back, but is absically still a good five inning pitcher. Anything beyond that is a bonus. Having he starter for at least one more season is also a plus. I don't see the Twins bringing back Odorizzi or Gibson. Unless they totally strike out in the free agent marketplace. Pineda may be a return candidate, at a discount from his current price. And would be a noteworthy gamble as he would be totally recovered from surgery. The Twins also need a #1 bullpen arm, a topflight closer. If they also get a rotation arm, then one of the guys in the rotation move to the pen, be it Perez (an additional lefty who can pitch thru a batting order) or perhaps even Gibson. The Twins have many potential weakness in the pen, from Magill to Morin to Duffey to Parker. Even Harper isn't a given. Be interesting to see how Littell and May end the season.Also be interesting to see what couple of arms would disappear if the Twins add arms. More than likely total removal from the 40-man!
  16. Rosterman
    Glad they pulled Odorizzi when they did. As qwell as Duffy. You have a two-run lead. Don't walk anyone. If they are going to score, let them hit a homer (which the next batter did). But don't fool around and go to a three-ball count either on a .194 hitter. Throw strikes earlier, not as a last resort. Y'know, it is probably easier to give advice and observations than actually do things during a game, right?
  17. Rosterman
    Everyone wants the Bank in a trade right now. If willing to overpay, you can get the right person NOW. It changes as the month progresses and the betetr prospects DO get traded, and more people might be available. Salary dumps are the key to getting a good deal (i.e. less payout in prospects). It will be interesting to see what does happen this year as the August dump-the-high-paying salary has now moved to July. You will actually see a few more high-priced guys moved just to get them off the books and to get a low-level prospect in return rather than jsut release the guy in August. Again, the price CAN drop (doesn't always) at the deadline...because you may suddenly have less teams interested in YOUR player (as they found help elsewhere) and the talent available for said player has diminished because you waited too long.
  18. Rosterman
    I'm liking May. And really liking Littell in his role. I don't see the need to keep Mejia. Really don't. Think he would pass thru waivers and can work it out at Rochester and free up a roster spot.
  19. Rosterman
    If the Twins go after another top-flight starter, woith control beyond 2019, it would be a plus. Means they could move one of their current rotation arms to the pen. Or be protected totally if someone is injured. Or just bad. They NEED to get a closer. A shutdown arm in the pen. Two specific needs. Do they have tthe 6-10 prospects to make such a deal? Could they deal, too, any of their potential free agents (Castro, Schoop, Pineda, Odorizzi, Gibson) and NOT suffer if they add the two pitching pieces? Be interesting to see them as buyers AND sellers, in a way. Eliinate up to 10 prospects and get two arms. Maybe deal and arm and a position player (or two - Schoop, Castro) and get five prospects back.
  20. Rosterman
    You mean GREAT advertising campaigns like North Dakota University night? I guess UofM Gophers come every other night!
  21. Rosterman
    I would like to see the one expanded roster spot (or let's say 28 players with 25 set for each game, maximum number of pitchers on the roster). You should be able to use a pitcher for one pitch or one batter. Three minimum, no. If they are bad, you need to get them out rather than walk the bases loaded. Universal DH? Or never ever have a pitcher bat or play in the field. How about that, too. No adjustments of batting gloves once you step to the plate. Let's eliminate stolen bases. All the time wasted staring the runner back to the base!
  22. Rosterman
    Going into the off-season, the Twins will have up to 10 roster spots open for new blood. They have at least 15 names to consider putting on the 40-man. Both those numbers, yes, are high...but the Twins do have prospect depth. The question is who do they aprt with at the top of their list. Last year you wouldn't think of Romero, Gonsales, Thorpe or even Stewart. All are touchable, but far from in demand (which shows the risks of trading for prospects). The "other" team hopes to land some future bodies, salary relief (not this year but down the tube), as well as maybe future prospects totrade if situations reverse in the coming season.
  23. Rosterman
    They need an ce starter and can afford to trade prospects. They need to stay healthy offensively, and figure out how to score men on base. Increse the dangers of the running game perhaps? Another dynamite arm in the pen. Or, better yet, pull the leash after a guy walks two batters in a close game and shows he doesn't have it. Anyone can give up a home run. And then a double. Cleveland hit a hot treak, which shows that playing .500 ball for the rest of the season ain't going to cut it.
  24. Rosterman
    How do you NOT schedule a full schudule of games with some teams having FRIDAY on a 4th of July weekend ark. Go figure. The one three-day weekend you are almsot assured of full houses (if playing well) and the chance to blast fireworks every nite in the sky (if not on he field).
  25. Rosterman
    I would be happy if 12-15 of these names actually played a game with the Twins in the majors. Maybe another 10 or so will play elsewhere in the majors (overlapping with those the Twins bring up). That leaves a good portion of guys to identify as being depth and tradable as assets to the team in the next couple of years. That is what is so difficult about running a major league organization. Who to advance. Who gets delayed. What are the weaknesses. How to exploit those weaknesses for curent needs. But overall, this is one wonderful batch of 40 names, with at least two depth at every position and twice as many pitching prospects as the Twins will ever need to call from the minors in the next three seasons.
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