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KirbyDome89

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Everything posted by KirbyDome89

  1. KirbyDome89
    Not that I expected any sort of true shake up, but holy **** this is literally as close to status quo as you can get when hiring somebody "new." Falvey can't be gone soon enough, I'm so tired of this milquetoast FO. If you're going to be bad, at least be interesting, or at minimum feign adjustment, but I guess that's too much to ask...
  2. KirbyDome89
    Burnes was great in Baltimore last year. He was great again to start this season before the elbow injury. I very much doubt the Brewers' FO foresaw TJ surgery years down the line.
  3. KirbyDome89
    Yeah, I think it's safe to rule out "clutch," factors. This is a level of competition thing. Wallner's career numbers are a microcosm of the Twins offense the last few seasons. Blow up bad pitching and go absolutely dormant against better arms. For all the chirping about their team OPS being top 10 in 2023, there's a reason that team only won 87 games, in a terrible division, with one of the best (and healthiest) SP groups in baseball.
  4. KirbyDome89
    Without a doubt there are plenty of points to criticize this FO and/or management group, but I wouldn't include a lack of support for Lewis on the list of indictments. Buy in isn't unilateral, and Lewis being unhappy isn't necessarily an indicator of mistreatment. Royce's performance over the last 1.5 seasons has, for the most part, been brutal, yet he was a lineup fixture. What has the Twins org done to cause offense? Ask Royce to play 2B short term while making a desperate attempt to salvage the 2024 season? The next day he whined about not wanting to play there, and the team immediately obliged without remark. Pinch hit for him during a late game situation while he was in the midst of an awful stretch of baseball? Again, Lewis complained about having to look over his shoulder while being allowed a leash no other players short of established stars could even come close to matching. Provide him with potential swing/mechanical fixes during the season? Royce cited concern about attempted changes affecting his future earnings, while being a black hole in the lineup. I mean.... I agree that there's a self preservation aspect at play, but I think it's mostly just immaturity protecting a bruised ego at this point.
  5. KirbyDome89
    The MLB return was a flop. That's undeniable. Concur, I would've much rather had one player of equal value to Polanco as opposed to parting him out. Moving Polanco in and of itself isn't the issue. Botching the return + failing to evaluate what you already had on the roster helped cut short whatever hopes this franchise had of competing the last few years.
  6. KirbyDome89
    Did I see Julien completely collapsing? No. Did I view him as the 2B of the future? Also, no. I was cautiously optimistic about a guy who had played half a season up to that point. I never thought he was even an ok defender, and a bat only guy is going to have a tough time sticking. If you're asking whether I was against moving Polanco, the answer is no. I think he was an underrated/underappreciated player during his tenure, and he was a personal favorite, but I could've lived with Julien's subpar defense at 2B if he was going to hit. I don't hold the FO accountable for the budget. I do hold them accountable for how they choose to allocate that budget. Things tightened up, the team needed to eat, and the FO bought magic beans. Sure, I don't disagree that you need to give younger guys opportunities but look at where they spent money that offseason. DeSclafani, another Falvey favorite (fringe back end SP type,) was brought in to bump Varland, which I guess might've worked out because Varland was awful but that's a role you should be able to rotate young arms through. Topa was a non-factor and then this season pitched primarily low leverage innings at the back end of the bullpen, again, a role ideal for getting younger guys innings. They spent $$ on Okert, Jay Jackson, and Josh Staumont, all of whom got some run until the wheels completely fell off. Margot was a ****ing disaster but he stuck around all year. Even the lone success, Santana, was a 38 year old 1B on a rebound deal. Julien was the only youth move, and even that came with an overly expensive platoon handcuff in Farmer. They weren't selling the .5 fWAR version of Polanco.
  7. KirbyDome89
    Ok, but this was a team that was in a contention window, coming off their first postseason Ws in 20+ years. I don't think that's a great time to damage your major league product for potential future gains but YMMV.
  8. KirbyDome89
    They parted out an asset, and it failed at the MLB level. Holding out hope that GG "saves," the swap is a defensible position, at least right now, but as you already pointed out, this was a team coming off their first playoff Ws in 2 decades, and they made themselves worse in the interim.
  9. KirbyDome89
    Ok? What single player was stopping a historic collapse? I mean why on earth is that the bar to clear? Julien -.2 WAR in 2024 Varland 7.61 ERA in 2024 Topa was a nothing-burger overall but absolutely in 2024 They turned one replacement level roster spot into 2 sub replacement level roster spots...
  10. KirbyDome89
    You're arguing the money was well spent. I'm offering counterpoints, so yes, I'm sure from your perspective my posts are "negative," but that has zero bearing on their objectivity. Credit for admitting that we have no clue how to divvy up the offseason spending, but since Margot by himself (plus the DeSclafani/Topa $$) was enough to zero out any Polanco savings it's best not to directly tie any of the FA additions to that leftover cash. I didn't claim Margot and use him as an example of MLB additions from that swap that actively hurt the roster, similarly, you don't get to claim Santana in an effort to clean up the lack of production.
  11. KirbyDome89
    Again with the objectivity thing huh. Are we redefining that word? Why does the leftover cash only go towards Santana? Why not Margot? Why not some combination of Jay Jackson, Okert, Staumont, ect?
  12. KirbyDome89
    Oof, we'll disagree about what's being contributed. Anybody who isn't lock step with you is biased, "wrong," and/or a "weirdo." I'll pass on that policing.
  13. KirbyDome89
    Feel free to show me where I said it was a terrible trade. Actually though, point that part out or chill on the strawman... GG can "save," the swap. Sure. The Twins parted out an asset, and the only remaining piece of value is GG. A suddenly cash strapped org pissed away valuable dollars on non-contributors, i.e. actively harmed the major league team during what were supposed to be contention years. Sorry, but trying to hand waive away the spending error as "buying a prospect," or pretending like the move was some future 4D chess swap that hinged on the Twins getting GG is a bridge too far.
  14. KirbyDome89
    Agreed, they rolled the dice on DeSclafani staying healthy and they lost. They had to know that was a distinct possibility after he was shut down with an elbow injury the previous season. Topa put up -2 WPA while pitching the bulk of his innings in low leverage, and he missed an entire season. FWIW his bWAR was .4, which tied him with......Erasmo Ramirez......for the season. WAR is missing the mark here. You're not accounting for the damage done by the swap. The Twins were counting on DeSclafani being their 5th starter, instead, Varland imploded. Julien flopped at 2B. Topa was a negative contributor, or at best a nothing-burger.
  15. KirbyDome89
    Not counting your eggs before they hatch is hate? When the Twins traded Polanco fans were convinced Julien was a long term starter at 2B and the club would have to find a way to squeeze soon to be superstar Brooks Lee into the IF.
  16. KirbyDome89
    The fact that people actually believe these owners are anywhere close to losing money on these franchises is crazy to me... The Pirates have been a terribly run franchise, but the prospects for vets swaps aren't intrinsically problematic. I mean, what are you supposed to do as a FO, tell the fans to go **** themselves at all times? Do you just sit around and act as a permanent feeder org for big market clubs while selling hope that everything coalesces at the perfect time to make a playoff run? Are the Twins the Pirates? No, because Pittsburgh has a much longer history of recent ineptitude. If you slashed the Twins' payroll in half, i.e. start subtracting guys like Lopez, Correa, Buxton, and even some marginal FA signings, are the Twins not a team that has failed with development and largely acted rudderless the last 3-4 years? I think you're massively understating the impact ownership has on putting a competitive team on the field.
  17. KirbyDome89
    Ah, must've drawn that name from a hat. Crazy...
  18. KirbyDome89
    The Twins cratered after selling the vets. Who was so disillusioned post deadline? Correa was sold off. France and Bader went to winning clubs. Castro (if he counts as a vet) was moved. Vazquez was hurt for a huge chunk of the 2nd half, and was terrible whether or not the club was doing well. Buxton continued to have a career year. Jeffers was better in the 2nd half. Lee, Lewis, Martin, Clemens, Wallner, Larnach ect. aren't vets, but Lee was consistently disappointing all year. Lewis actually improved in the 2nd half. Martin played pretty well after coming up. Wallner continued a down year then got hurt. Clemens turned back into a pumpkin. So again, who are these vets that become so frustrated by the fire sale they started tanking games by turning in half *** performances? I don't doubt Chicago has a least a couple players to be excited about. Is there a team that doesn't? So the Sox having a better record for the last 2 months isn't indicative of them being the better team, because of a soft schedule, but the offensive numbers from a select few players, against that same soft schedule, is indicative of their true talent level. Hmmm...
  19. KirbyDome89
    Lee, Lewis, and Martin are all high 1st round picks that haven't come close (maybe Lewis briefly) to meeting even moderate expectations. Wallner had a down year. Miranda won't be with the org. Idk why Julien is being lumped in with Gasper et al, he was definitely in future plans before flopping. Larnach just reached arb and he might not be around. That's a pretty good collection of pre arb "talent," that hasn't worked out to this point. Now the goalposts have shifted and it's the minor league system that has the "real," talent?
  20. KirbyDome89
    Oof Idk why you're bristling at the mention of Skubal, you brought up the Bundy-esque beginning to his career as a "I'm not saying I'm just saying..." type example, but yeah, totally unfair of me to point out that this FO hasn't come anywhere close to developing an arm of that caliber and Skubal doesn't belong in the conversation. Oh, and if we're revisiting old posts, I did also immediately clarify that Skubal isn't the bar to clear. Maybe that was lost. Don't let me stop you from celebrating a new coat of paint on the same flawed house.
  21. KirbyDome89
    The Sox are a rudderless org and nowhere close to being a considered a talented team. You aren't full of talent and getting outperformed by that team.
  22. KirbyDome89
    So they've just been playing opossum the last few years? Guys like Lee, Lewis, ect weren't supposed to be more productive?
  23. KirbyDome89
    The White Sox (the only AL team with a worse record) outplayed the Twins in the 2nd half of the season. That doesn't exactly scream tons of talent.
  24. KirbyDome89
    Ok, show me the Tarik Skubal clone this org has produced. We don't even need to set the bar that high. In 9 years this vaunted "pipeline," has spit out one (singular) SP who has provided any level of production above what Dylan Bundy gave the Twins. Right now it's Matthews, Festa, SWR, Bradly, and Abel. Before it was Winder, Enlow, Canterino, Varland, Thorpe, ect.... The tl;dr here is that I wouldn't celebrate the lack of Dylan Bundy-esque FA signings until this team can actually, with any sort of consistency, do better than Bundy-esque production at the back end of the rotation.
  25. KirbyDome89
    Ober had a really nice 2023 and 2024. He was not a fringe back end guy for either of years.
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