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KirbyDome89

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Everything posted by KirbyDome89

  1. KirbyDome89
    If Jax is inconsistent, I've got some bad news for you regarding Bradley...
  2. KirbyDome89
    For being such a huge Ryan supporter you seem to be (conveniently) forgetting how his '21 season played out. He was in AAA with TB at the deadline, the Twins called him up immediately after he was acquired, he made 5 starts and threw a whopping 27 innings. I'll let you figure out why his WAR total that season was less than what Bradley accumulated in over 5x the number of innings thrown last year. Is it really that hard to show a modicum of good faith? Seriously....
  3. KirbyDome89
    You just can't help stretching this stuff can you.... Bradley was "better," by WAR (pitching WAR no less) in one singular season (1.5 vs. 1.7) but in reality those two seasons were virtually identical. Also, we should note that the Joe Ryan season in question is his worst as a pro vs. Bradley's best, and that Bradley hasn't come close to matching anything Ryan has done in any of Ryan's other three seasons. Ditto. Heavy Dave St. Peter i.e. be happy with an a** tier product, type energy from your posts.
  4. KirbyDome89
    The end of '23!? He posted a 5 something ERA that September, which I guess was an improvement on his near 8 ERA in July that had him back in AAA for all of August. I guess you can cherry pick individual games (you're almost there anyway) across his career in an effort to get to 2 seasons worth of starts, but I doubt even that'd make the argument work. No, you were very clear that he was a mid rotation starter for 2 seasons. I'd want to stop arguing too if I backed myself into a corner...
  5. KirbyDome89
    You said he was a mid rotation arm for two years, now it's "mid-backend for nearly 2." How far are we going to slide the goalposts? He was terrible in '23. Terrible. He was decent last year, and it's debatable whether that was true mid rotation performance but it doesn't really matter, because he pitched himself out of the Rays rotation and back to AAA by July. So where are you getting two seasons worth of mid rotation performance? He didn't even make it through half of this year before being demoted, and 2023 is off the table so.....
  6. KirbyDome89
    You understand how easy/fast it is to fact check these types of claims right?
  7. KirbyDome89
    Yeah, I am. I think he's much more likely the mid-low .600 OPS guy we've seen the last 1.5 seasons than the near 1.000 OPS guy he's been for the last 2 weeks.
  8. KirbyDome89
    With a near 1.000 OPS. I mean.... We're talking about nearly 600 PAs vs 50 with Lee. Congrats to him on stringing together a few nice weeks here, but guys go on mini heaters all the time. Royce was "heating up," around the ASB. How's that one going? We seriously need to stop conflating realistic expectations with negativity.
  9. KirbyDome89
    The tallest soapbox on TD....
  10. KirbyDome89
    Keaschall is going to be a borderline top 10 position player in all of baseball next year? Jfc..... Brooks Lee hasn't even pushed into positive WAR territory, but yeah, "build an offense around," that. You're definitely not begging for 90 losses... Toxic positivity exists.
  11. KirbyDome89
    What are the top 20? I'd certainly argue that the lack of position player development has been a major problem for this team.
  12. KirbyDome89
    Abel has over 300 IP between AA and AAA the last few seasons. The guy already started 6 games for the Phillies this season before the trade. They thought he was ready enough to pitch at the MLB level while they were actually trying to win games. He can "work on some things," with actual Major League pitching coaches. He's going to begin 2026 in the rotation but getting him starts in August is rushing the process?
  13. KirbyDome89
    Is anybody actually arguing that it absolutely doesn't? The most pushback I've seen (and I agree with this) is that culture is often a proxy for performance.
  14. KirbyDome89
    Well, Frelick and Turang are Lee and Larnach in Twins land. To each their own.
  15. KirbyDome89
    I was never a huge fan of the Correa persona, but blaming him for the "culture," is total scapegoat nonsense. Also, did the interviewer ask Pablo why he, or any of the other listed vets who plan to "reshape the culture," didn't step in sooner before the clubhouse allegedly went off the rails? I mean if "culture," is the issue, and this group stood idly by while Correa and/or Rocco poisoned the well, why should anybody believe they're capable of reforming anything? I don't buy any of it...
  16. KirbyDome89
    Ty France for $1M or Joey Ortiz for league minimum is irrelevant. In either case you're investing starter level playing time for production that's a tick above replacement level. If the preference is to be young and bad instead of "old," and bad, ok, but that's just picking your poison. Did the Twins run out of money or did ownership backtrack? That's a pretty important distinction. Do you believe Falvey knew payroll was dropping post 2023? If so, then yeah, handing out those large contracts was a massive blunder. I'm not sure I buy that. I don't think the Twins tried to "cheap one year vet their way to a playoff spot," so much as the Pohlads pivot in conjunction with poor development crumbled what should've been a contention window. Give me the Correa signing. Give me the Lopez extension. Simultaneously develop or die.
  17. KirbyDome89
    Never said there weren't calls for either route. The Twins were trying to win games, and since each has departed neither position has been locked up. I don't see holding onto either of them as particularly egregious, YMMV.
  18. KirbyDome89
    If you promised me a new FO you could sell me on that pitch.
  19. KirbyDome89
    Agreed, I'm pushing back against the notion that the shuffling is what makes a team like Milwaukee successful. Not that I'm defending the Twins FO here, but there hasn't exactly been a ton of talent to ship out early. You don't miss the postseason 4x in 5 seasons because you're uber talented. An ability to identify, but more importantly develop talent is what keeps you competitive. You can't constatly shuffle the deck and struggle to develop positional talent like the Twins have. You're Pittsburgh at that point. As far as net gain/loss, Idk, that probably depends on how you want to slice it, and I definitely don't care enough to parse that one out. The Kepler and Polanco thing, eh, yes and no. I think there's a lot of hindsight there. Julien has totally flamed out, and Lee hasn't hit, so it's not like there was much pushing Polanco off 2B. I guess Wallner and/or Larnach could've taken over a year earlier, but they haven't exactly lit it up either. Again, not defending the lack of development in this org, but I can kinda understand why they'd hang onto Polanco and/or Kepler if they saw themselves in a competitive window. Concur, it's not debatable, Milwaukee is far more aggressive. As an outsider, I can appreciate that I guess. If I was more invested in the team, Idk how much I'd love it.
  20. KirbyDome89
    Yes, but having Joey Ortiz and either settling for what he is or convincing yourself of the promise he could fulfill, whichever way you want to spin it, can also prevent you from attempting to upgrade. There's an opportunity cost associated with locking yourself into a decent glove/poor bat SS too. I'm using the names that were thrown out there, but on the ledger, you're going to see a lot more zero or minimal gain returns. Sometimes even I walk out of the casino up. Yeah, snagging Contreras was a great move, but it's the opposite of what's being pushed; sell established talent. If the Twins can find a team dumb enough to trade them a young AS C for a prospect, my god, do it. Sure, you can hope everything coalesces at the perfect time and maybe you squeeze out a magical season(s) but that's more about peddling hope than building and/or sustaining anything. Concur, I think the Twins' refusal to "buy," cost them time with what was an admittedly flawed window of contention. The tl;dr here is that I don't believe Milwaukee (or insert whichever wannabe poverty franchise) is good because they constantly shuffle the deck. The turnover is more of a bug than a feature. Elite talent (particularly pitching) is hard to find. You don't get better sending it out.
  21. KirbyDome89
    Who cares about an ERA in 3.2 IP? It's not even worth mentioning. Honestly I think the fan base underrated how unavailable Stewart was with the Twins, particularly when referring to him as a "weapon," or some kind of stalwart in the pen. That said, he had years of control left, so it's not like he was some expiring that needed to be moved, and his value might've peaked when MN sold. Outman was roster fodder in LA. The Twins got another LH OF, one who has struggled massively with the bat, to add to their every growing collection of LH OFers. The fit, the timing of the swap, and really the lack of value in return makes the move questionable at best. We can point to the fact that Stewart is having shoulder issues and his best case scenario is making it back for the postseason, but if you're the Dodgers you don't care. You dropped an unusable player for a potential difference making relief arm. They make that move 100/100 times.
  22. KirbyDome89
    How many Twins fans are satisfied with Brooks Lee over the last two seasons? Why is he the bar the clear here?
  23. KirbyDome89
    Their value isn't relative to how their team is performing, which is kinda the point here. We're attributing Milwaukee's winning to them acquiring guys performing like fringe players. Giving up elite talent for spare parts isn't a zero sum game. It's thinks it's possible, likely even, but I'd stop short of "should." At the risk of running this off course I'll say that Idgaf about the Pohlads lining their pockets, and I know you don't either, but gutting a team you have zero interest in reinvesting in doesn't do it for me. We'll be sold the hope of a rebuild, youth, yada yada, but that's a carrot. The same FO that has struggled with development, now being granted immunity and overseeing a rebuild isn't ideal.
  24. KirbyDome89
    Of course, but what's the actual floor you're stabilizing right? Sure, Ortiz might not be an abject disaster as a player, but a SS who can't hit and is on pace to post 1 WAR is the type of guy you're looking to move on from. I know he's young and obviously Milwaukee isn't sending him after this season, but barring a pretty significant offensive rebound they won't hang onto him through arbitration. That kinda gets to the crux of things, which is does Milwaukee win because they make these moves, or despite the fact that they make these moves. I'd argue it's primarily the latter. I know everybody wants to be the Rays, or I guess the Brewers now, but unless you're way ahead of the curve both identifying and developing talent, you're more likely to be Pittsburgh. I don't there's any disagreement with this part.
  25. KirbyDome89
    Handing somebody 400-500 PAs for 1-2 WAR that is primarily defensive isn't great value (cost controlled or not) particularly when you're exchanging that for an elite SP. Ortiz is literally just a better defensive version of Lee this season but that makes him a building block? Durbin is at the very bottom of qualified 3B offensively. Right next to Royce actually, and there's been plenty of moaning (rightfully so) about Lewis's struggles. I don't think there's any misunderstanding about what the return will likely be. The disagreement is whether or not sending out elite talent and subsequently trying to spread that level of production amongst 2 or positions makes you a better team.
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