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Alex Schieferdecker

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Everything posted by Alex Schieferdecker

  1. Alex Schieferdecker
    No MLB front office is ever going to have a perfect record with these kinds of things. I'm open to the idea that the Twins have more misses than most, but I haven't seen any actual evidence to that effect, three examples of misses doesn't prove anything. I'm open to the idea that these were mistakes when the Twins made them, but I don't see a lot of evidence of that either. Hindsight is 20/20, were people castigating the Twins for leaving Badoo unprotected at the time? For trading Wade?
  2. Alex Schieferdecker
    The best starting pitching prospect still standing in the Twins organization is Josh Winder. If the team moves Pineda, they should certainly give Barnes a look because he's been pitching well in AAA, but Winder ought to be right behind him after what he's done in AA this year. In terms of relievers, Ian Hamilton, Danny Coulombe, or Yennier Cano from AAA will merit looks, as will Jovani Moran from AA.
  3. Alex Schieferdecker
    I mean, this is a team that was projected to get 90+ wins, and that's because largely this same group of players was a 100 win team in 2019 and (on pace) 2020. Now, a number of players have underperformed, but they've also gotten extremely unlucky, not just with injuries, but with terrible pitching, hitting, and fielding in the highest leverage spots. Maybe some of that is the guys just not having the right makeup to perform, but a lot of that is luck that will, over the longer run, even out. Even if you downgrade your projections because of the poor performance of some of these guys, you've still got like, an 80 win team. So if their performance picks up and they play at a .500+ level the rest of the season, that shouldn't be a surprise, even if it results in a pretty poor record overall.
  4. Alex Schieferdecker
    I guess I'm a bit surprised at the lack of pitcher promotions so far. I know 2021 is a weird year, but I thought it might be a weird year in terms of players moving up more quickly, and we haven't seen that. Feels like Winder and Moran in AA and Varland in Low A, at minimum, have made more than enough of an impression to get bumped up to the next level.
  5. Alex Schieferdecker
    It's plain to everyone that the team struck out with veteran pick-ups. Happ, Shoemaker, and Colome all had solid pedigrees, but have fallen off a cliff this year. It seems incredibly unlucky for that to happen to all three guys you picked up, but hey, that's baseball. What really makes no sense to me however is how other guys have collapsed. Maeda has struggled mightily which has been surprising to see for someone who is so methodical. Duffey has seemed to lose some velocity and the control of his curveball. Stashak has been utterly hammered. Only Alcala, Berrios, and Rogers look like themselves and not weird knockoff versions of themselves. I don't know what to make of it. How can so many previously competent players all struggle all at once? Take one or two players out of context and you can justify it, age, injuries, regression, etc. But the struggles of so many different pitchers simultaneously is just baffling to me.
  6. Alex Schieferdecker
    Obviously the experiences of Fernando Romero or Jose Berrios will caution anyone that a pitcher's first handful of starts are not their destiny, in either direction. That said, Ober does things that seems sustainable, chief among them throwing strikes with multiple pitches. His performance so far has been a similar to his performance in the minors, with the main difference being an increase in speed, which he's maintained so far. With his advanced release point, 92-93 is going to look like 95-96 to hitters, and he's show the ability to consistently throw it at the top of the zone. I wouldn't necessarily chalk him down as a future ace, but there's no reason why he can't be a 3-5 starter for the Twins for a while. I have no problem with Rocco taking him out after the fourth. Getting the bullpen some low-leverage work before an off day makes sense. Keeping Ober's pitch count down also makes sense. He's never even come close to a major league starter's workload and there's no sense in pushing him in this lost season. Let him build up his confidence and build up his stamina.
  7. Alex Schieferdecker
    Varland must be close to trip to Iowa. He's had one bad outing, otherwise he's been brilliant.
  8. Alex Schieferdecker
    I would love to never have to watch another JA Happ start or Matt Shoemaker relief appearance again. Welcome to the club Bailey Ober. Come have a cup of coffee Charlie Barnes. Welcome to AAA Josh Winder, please don't stay long.
  9. Alex Schieferdecker
    It's good to see Winder finish strong. That's been the only issue he's had this year, as he hits the third time through the order he has gotten hit a bit too much. With Winder, Moran, and Cano, I'm not sure how much more the Twins are waiting to see at AA. All three have clearly earned a spot up in St. Paul. Let's see what they can do with the Saints.
  10. Alex Schieferdecker
    Part of what has been so frustrating this year has been that things have repeatedly gone wrong at exactly the wrong moment, and conversely have gone right at exactly the right moment. A guy will get up to the plate with the bases loaded and strike out, only to step up to the plate and homer later in the game. A pitcher will be excellent when it doesn't matter and collapse when it does. Maybe some of that is players not having that added gear for big moments, and some of that is just injuries to key players, but there's an element of it which can only be described as an incredible amount of bad luck.
  11. Alex Schieferdecker
    The silver lining to this miserable season has been the encouraging pitching performances in the minors. Let's start seeing some promotions!
  12. Alex Schieferdecker
    I think some grace is warranted regarding the bullpen. As this article points out, none of the guys who left the Twins have subsequently made them look foolish. Finding consistent relief pitching is just about the hardest task in baseball, and the Twins signed a guy who was one of the few with such a track record, only for him to completely implode.
  13. Alex Schieferdecker
    The elbow injuries to Canterino and Enlow have been the most discouraging parts of what's overall seemed like a strong year so far for Twins pitching prospects. Josh Winder has come back to earth a bit recently, but still looks strong, and I've got to imagine that it's only a matter of time before he gets bumped up to St. Paul. Balazovic seemed to pitch well in his AA debut, and obviously Duran is on track for a late summer promotion to the Twins. Ober also looks like someone who might grow into a back-end role, and that might come sooner rather than later if Shoemaker continues to bomb. Speaking of promotions, it's well past time that some of Wichita's bullpen start moving up to St. Paul. Given the need for better relievers with the Twins, I'd hope that at least Cano and Moran, but also possibly Mason and Phillips, would get an opportunity with the Saints sooner rather than later.
  14. Alex Schieferdecker
    What's the part of Canterino's delivery that's actually the injury risk?
  15. Alex Schieferdecker
    The days of the Twins needing to sign a couple older guys as patches for the back end of the rotation may soon be over. If he stays healthy, Duran looks close to challenging for a 1-3 spot in the rotation, and Dobnak and Ober may be ready to challenge for the 4-5 spots.
  16. Alex Schieferdecker
    The stellar performance of just about every Twins pitching prospect so far is really one of the most hopeful trends so far. Ober, Vallimont, Canterino, and Enlow (unfortunately now hurt) all have ERAs below 2. Winder and Funderburk have ERAs below 1. Think we may see some promotions sooner rather than later, especially for the latter two.
  17. Alex Schieferdecker
    Hope to see Ober get a shot with the Twins again soon. He was better than the statline showed in his debut, and he keeps putting up video game numbers in the minors.
  18. Alex Schieferdecker
    Hard not to be excited about the Twins pitching pipeline. Duran was impressive for the Saints. Sands, Winder, and Vallimont are all pitching well in Wichita. Canterino and Enlow are looking great in Cedar Rapids and might be moved up soon. Balazovic will be back in action soon. I think Ober will be back with the Twins shortly, after Maeda's injruy. That's eight guys who are all excelling in the minors, several of whom have front-of-the-rotation potential. I hope the Twins can get Maeda healthy and resign Pineda, but I'm less confident that we'll be able to sign Berrios. At least two to four spots in the rotation will be open soon and goodness knows lots of opportunities for relievers. The Twins will sign new people of course, but this pipeline gives them some opportunities for competition and hopefully some homegrown high-end arms.
  19. Alex Schieferdecker
    Was dumb to throw at the guy. Who cares? Baseball's unwritten rules are extremely stupid. Ober looked nervous. Even then, looked like he's got stuff that might play, and was throwing quite a bit faster than advertised. Certainly hoping to see him get another start, maybe at the expense of Happ, who could use a bit of a break, or Pineda if his medical issue continues. Impressive outing from the bullpen. For one night at least, they put it all together. Let's get more hitters healthy and then we'll see what can happen.
  20. Alex Schieferdecker
    How soon until Bailey Ober gets a shot? I know his stuff looks like it shouldn't play, but you can't ignore the numbers.
  21. Alex Schieferdecker
    Duffey is the most confusing one. All of those hitters have been inconsistent throughout their careers. But Duffey seemed like a much surer bet. The simultaneous implosion of every reliever the Twins have is one of the most inexplicable things that has happened this season.
  22. Alex Schieferdecker
    It's this kind of stuff that is so inexplicable to me about the Twins season so far. It's one thing if one or two guys were struggling in their own separate ways. But to see huge swaths of the team slumping, often in the same way, for no discernable reason, is really baffling. How is it possible for like, Kenta Maeda [i]and[/i] Taylor Rogers [i]and[/i] Caleb Thielbar [i]and[/i] Alex Colome to all completely lose their ability to pitch to lefties all at once?
  23. Alex Schieferdecker
    Would like to see Ryan Mason moved up swiftly if he continues to have dominant late inning outings like what seems to have happened last night.
  24. Alex Schieferdecker
    I've never wanted a player to succeed more than the guy named Kody Funderburk. What. A. Name. And Cody Laweryson on the same team!!!
  25. Alex Schieferdecker
    There are about four relievers who are somewhat trustworthy: Duffey (who doesn't look nearly as dominant as last year) Robles Rogers (who got horrifically unlucky last night) Thielbar Then there's the rest. Alcala has promise, but he just gets hammered by lefties, which is why he wasn't usable last night. I'm not sure the solution there, besides hoping for the best, or having him develop a pitch against lefties. Stashak, I don't know. Great strikeout numbers, but if he's not striking someone out, he's getting hit hard. His walks are way up. His BABIP and FIP suggest he's getting unlucky on batted balls, and the Twins are using him that way, but he's not a high leverage option. Colomé, I mean, what else is there to say? You've got to start working him into low leverage situations and hope that he figures something out. But it's untenable to keep him around all season as a nearly useless arm. Eventually they need to decide he's turned it around, or cut bait. So at this point, the Twins have to be kicking the tires on Greene. But they also should be aggressively cycling through their AAA options to see if anyone can stick. Law looked good in the spring, and I'm surprised they haven't tried him yet. Ryan Mason looked good in past minor league seasons, he could quickly emerge as an option. But the Twins need to get aggressive.
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