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gunnarthor

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Everything posted by gunnarthor

  1. gunnarthor
    Any thoughts on Nick Senzel (mlb #14) or Bobby Dalbec (mlb #15)? Both play third in decent colleges.
  2. gunnarthor
    Man, I bet Jed Hoyer probably had a say or two in the decisions ... I think Theo is a fine and I also think he's an overrated. He's had massive financial advantages that people seem to want to ignore. It's still probably a bit early to make a decision on these drafts. Since 2012, only 5 players (Bryant, Buxton, Schawber, Duffey and Zack Godley) have even had a cup of coffee in the majors from these drafts. But we're also getting off track.
  3. gunnarthor
    Actually, it's kind of an interesting comparison. Since the 2012 draft, and just going over the first five rounds, the two teams have picked (I don't think I missed anyone but I might have): HS pitchers Twins 3 Cubs 7 HS bats Twins 4 Cubs 2 College pitchers Twins 14 Cubs 7 College bats Twins 2 Cubs 6 Johnson seems to have changed the draft strategies that Radcliff had. The three HS pitchers (Berrios, Gonsalves and Stewart) have some upside and fans have been clamoring for that for years. Still not sure I'm sold on his college fire ballers approach but he's sticking to it. Cubs seem to be more even but ignore HS bats. (But, SSS and all). I think some of the picks (Buxton at 2, Bryant at 3) were pretty obvious picks but picks like Schwaber and Jay might tell us more about the teams draft strategies.
  4. gunnarthor
    Nice write up. I think a college bat who can play third would be nice to nab.
  5. gunnarthor
    Good list. I really like Cabbage and he'll start showing up on a lot of sleeper lists soon. I'd probably add his draft mate Blankenhorn to the list, as well. I really liked those two picks. I think Gordon could sky rocket up the top 100 lists this season. He can play short and his power should begin to show. I don't know if he'll break out but I'm really interested in seeing how well Turner can hit. He had a decent amount of walks in AA last year. Hopefully, he can be a bit more than Drew Buetera.
  6. gunnarthor
    Just a reminder, while a lot of people were down on Stewart, he did make Klaw's top 100 this season.
  7. gunnarthor
    Of the names you mentioned, I like Melotakis the most. I do think that Kohl Stewart will have a nice season for us but I'm not sure if a former top pick is a "break out candidate."
  8. gunnarthor
    Maybe the obvious inferiority of the NL makes the projection system better?
  9. gunnarthor
    Over. I thought last years team was a .500ish team coming out of ST and this team is better so we should be able to top 79 wins.
  10. gunnarthor
    On wins, it's off, on average of 6-7 wins per year. Sometimes more. Supporters argue that 6 or 7 wins is as close as you can get on a projection system. I think that's a heck of cop out - basically a projected 81-81 record would be "correct" if the team won anywhere between 75 and 87 games. The second issue - projected final standings, I'm not sure about. Most people focus on the record. When I've looked at the projected standings, they are right around a third of the time but I'm not sure if that's an accurate representation of PECOTA. As mentioned above, last year they were 0-15 on projected standings in the AL.
  11. gunnarthor
    I have a theory, as yet proven, that Gibson's sinker doesn't sink in cold weather games and that's what he had all last April. When the weather was nice (like in ST), his sinker worked.
  12. gunnarthor
    I'm pretty sure they'll be off by about 7 games per team and their final standing projections will probably get about a third of the teams in the right place.
  13. gunnarthor
    I wouldn't overly worry about PECOTA projections. Last year, they were off, on avg, by over 8 games for each AL team and only within 5 games for 4 teams. And there were just as off on their final projected standings - 0-15 on placing the teams in their own divisions and only got two teams within one standing place of their actual, final spot. Last year you could have drawn teams out of a hat and crushed PECOTA.
  14. gunnarthor
    Yeah, something more in this neighborhood. He's gonna hit and come in second to Buxton in ROY voting.
  15. gunnarthor
    Rosters looks pretty solid actually. Should be an exciting season.
  16. gunnarthor
    He's wining ROY - .270/.340/.415 and leads the league in triples. And he'll be a lot better after the break than before it.
  17. gunnarthor
    Under, too much regression coming. I also think the AL West might be a bit more competitive this year.
  18. gunnarthor
    Yeah, Duffey is making this more competitive than I was hoping.
  19. gunnarthor
    Agreed, I like Pressley. But I think Tonkin would be released and sign elsewhere, correct?
  20. gunnarthor
    I hope I'm wrong but I think he puts up a .270/.335/.370 line in about 135 games. I've mentioned before that other great hitters like Joe Torre and Tim Simmons have had rebound years out of nowhere that were near their career peaks so maybe Joe has one more of those in him. So let's hope that happens.
  21. gunnarthor
    Actually, the Dodgers had 5 ROY in a row from 92-96 - Eric Karros, Mike Piazza, Raul Mondesi, Hideo NOmo and Todd Hollandsworth
  22. gunnarthor
    Fun article. Probably have Park at DH, too. I don't know enough about relief pitching prospects/closers of the other teams but I would imagine the Twins would stack up there pretty well.
  23. gunnarthor
    I'm ok with a "too much talent" problem.
  24. gunnarthor
    Anyone know, off hand, who are the expected impact rookies in the AL besides our three?
  25. gunnarthor
    It would so great if they actually all finished in the top 3 of ROY voting.
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