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gunnarthor

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Everything posted by gunnarthor

  1. gunnarthor
    HIs line at AA is .305/.335/.542. The league average is .240/.319/.361. He's not walking enough - less than 4% - but his strike out rate doesn't seem too bad in today's game. He has some versatility - the Twins have played him mostly in LF and 2B this year. He'll get a call up next year and he'll be a solid bench player/10th man type for us for several years.
  2. gunnarthor
    I'm not sure ownership has ever made a commitment to use money like that. They are willing to spend less when rebuilding but have never shown any commitment to pushing payroll or using 'saved' money in that manner.
  3. gunnarthor
    I would be shocked if the Twins didn't sign all their first 10 round picks. More interesting to see how they spread any savings around for later picks.
  4. gunnarthor
    BA on Jay when we drafted him: “The pitcher more scouts seem to believe in than ever is Illinois lefthander Tyler Jay. It is ironic to say the least that it’s the college closer in Jay—who leads the nation in ERA and ranks fifth in strikeout-to-walk ratio—whom most scouts believe can start, and the two starters scouts see as big league impact relievers in Fulmer and Tate. “If you’re going to take a short college pitcher,” one scouting director said, “and you compare Jay to Fulmer, Jay does it easier, does it cleaner. He throws as hard (92-96 mph), maybe not as firm as Tate but he’s no slouch. He has as good or better breaking ball (a devastating mid-80s slide piece). He’s shown a good changeup. He’s been extended. He’s as athletic. And he’s lefthanded.” I remember hoping that Tate fell to us and sort of a mixed feeling toward the group of college pitchers, all had flaws. Buehler looks perfect in hindsight. But I remember discussing Fulmer, and some HS arms like Allard and Aiken and Bickford. I honestly don't remember much discussions or rumors for the Twins taking a position player although there was a rumor that we'd take C Stephenson. This draft also hurt b/c we lost a pick for signing Santana and then our next pick didn't sign. Blankenhorn might be a player. Wade might become a 4th OF type.
  5. gunnarthor
    Of all our prospects, Javier is the one I care least about statistics and just want him to get at-bats. Hopefully he can stay healthy for us and make full use of that talent.
  6. gunnarthor
    He's 26. The author misstated what the investigation into his age could find.
  7. gunnarthor
    I was pretty sure ownership wasn't going to increase payroll enough to sign Kimbrell or Kauechel. Give credit to the players and to the FO for competing despite ownership.
  8. gunnarthor
    Ah, Gordon. It's impressive that you figured out that 17 and 18 year olds get assigned to the rookie leagues or short season A ball. I'm sure following minor league baseball religiously taught you that. So far you've given some pretty (in many people's views) dubious opinions with faulty logic while screwing up the some pretty basic facts about the player you're critiquing. Can't blame people for not taking you seriously, Gordon, when you act like that.
  9. gunnarthor
    These posts on Sano are getting ... annoying. For the life of me, I can't figure out why people are ripping on him. He came back from injury, playing solid defense, showing incredible power and being a force in our line-up. He's already been an all-star for us. I'm not sure why articles like this want to focus on bad things (especially without putting it in any context and letting the reader assume the worst of the young man). It's alarming that these type of articles and posts are being focused on Sano whose had a lot of dog whistling posts on TD over the years. Perhaps we should find something better to focus on.
  10. gunnarthor
    This draft confuses me. I'm going to be pretty upset if the Twins don't spend all of their draft pool this year but I'm not sure where they'd spend any of the savings they might have made earlier.
  11. gunnarthor
    Well, for someone claiming to be a minor league expert, not knowing the difference between 20 and 21 seems pretty big. It's not just a year of extra playing time, most bodies are still growing. You also don't seem to understand common ages in the minor leagues. Other than that, welcome to TD. You'll fit right in.
  12. gunnarthor
    This came out a few days ago but it's worth the read - https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/emilyhoerner/police-facebook-racist-violent-posts-comments-philadelphia “This blows up the myth of bad apples, by the sheer number of images and numbers of individuals who are implicated,” said Nikki Jones, an associate professor of African American studies at the University of California, Berkeley. David Kennedy, a criminology professor at John Jay College, said he considered the results “dire.” "This is the kind of behavior that confirms the worst suspicions on the part of communities about the police," Kennedy said, adding that it “fuels and cements” the convictions of people in distressed communities have that the “police are not to be trusted.”
  13. gunnarthor
    I think this draft was a bit underwhelming but pretty solid, which is sorta how I feel about our farm system. We're told we have a top 10 (maybe top 5) system. Yay! But we only have 3 top 100 prospects. Tons of depth but no one is a potential superstar yet. But we have several prospects who could make large jumps if a something breaks right. Cavaco had a ton of helium but some pretty big question marks. Wallner could be a hitter like Larnich but might struggle like Rooker against better competition, and so on. Canterino could be a solid back or the rotation starter or he could be another Ryan Eades. etc. There's always upside but we're waiting on it.And no one that we drafted would likely jump into any top 100 list and I'm not sure Cavaco would be top 5 in our system. The Mets, who have a million dollars less than us in the pool, seemed to have nabbed some upside guys at the (likely) expense of quantity. I'm not sure they actually had the better draft but they certainly had the more interesting draft.
  14. gunnarthor
    Holland might turn out to be a solid pick. Callis really liked that pick for the Twins - "Holland entered 2019 as a likely mid-first-rounder before a poor first half torpedoed those chances. He did look more like his old self down the stretch, a potential 20-20 guy who definitely will stay at shortstop." https://www.mlb.com/news/mlb-draft-favorite-picks-from-day-2?t=mlb-pipeline-coverage If the Twins can fix that swing, they might have another solid shortstop prospect to go with their others.
  15. gunnarthor
    Well, sure. But no one was arguing that. I just said his bat doesn't need to project as Kiriloff's bat to remain his high ranking. That's not a particular controversial comment.
  16. gunnarthor
    Well, let's see if Rece Hinds can get to them at 54 ...
  17. gunnarthor
    fangraphs guys liked Wallner: "Wallner hit for power all three years of college, even while pitching part time as a freshman and sophomore. He has some of the most explosive raw thump in the entire class, and will hit balls 10 rows into the bleachers even when he doesn't get fully extended. He has some moderate swing-and-miss issues characteristic of hitters who have power-driven approaches, but he's also willing to take a walk. His is a traditional right field profile, and he's in the mix with late first, early second round college power bats."
  18. gunnarthor
    Seems early to pick Wallner but I predicted we'd take him so ...
  19. gunnarthor
    Charles Johnson! Man, that brings back memories.
  20. gunnarthor
    Nope, Dbacks just took Malone. They are having a great draft.
  21. gunnarthor
    I'm ok with this pick b/c most of the guys I wanted were gone by then. Obviously, questions about HS players hit tool can be pretty damning but they had questions about Adell and the Angels are thrilled that they picked him. Twins have always liked toolsy HS guys and they've had some success with them so let's hope this one works out. Excited about our next few picks.
  22. gunnarthor
    Right, he needs the Dems to lose it. They nominated someone who was arguably less popular than him. That'll be the plan for the GOP again, lose the popular vote and hope the rural vote turn out in some swing states can put him over the top. If the Dems don't recognize his path to victory and don't challenge it, they deserve to lose. To his credit, Biden seems to understand this and is addressing it.
  23. gunnarthor
    I think it's ok to be concerned. And I only looked at one guy on your list but ... Royce Lewis, 390 at bats A+ - .238/.309/.367 .675 OPS Amed Rosario, 395 at-bats in A+, .253/.302/.329 (.631 OPS) Now, Amed was a year younger than Lewis so that's something. But generally, I think it's ok to be concerned but I'd generally bet on the talent to develop. Lewis will probably be a pretty good major leaguer.
  24. gunnarthor
    Yes and no. I agree that a top 10 prospect should be doing better but I'm not quite ready to panic over it. But I disagree that Kiriloff is a relevant comparison. Both are great prospects but for different reasons. Kiriloff is a bat first player at a position where defense doesn't really matter. He's gotten to where he is in the rankings by showing a major hit profile. Lewis, on the other hand, isn't as advanced as Kiriloff is with the bat but is also playing a premium defensive position. If he can continue to do so, he won't need to hit as much so his rankings reflect that as well.
  25. gunnarthor
    First, the FSL is a pitcher's league so it's likely he's pressing a bit. Hitters in the FSL are averaging a .241/.313/.355 line. For comparison, the AL is averaging a .249/.322/.430 line. His strike out rate has gone up a bit too much from last year's cup of coffee in the FSL but his walk rate is a pretty solid 8.5% despite that. Second, he's really young. According to B-R, there are only 10 hitters listed as 20 or younger in the FSL right now. Fangraphs lists 11 with 50 PA. That said, I think I read somewhere that his mechanics were out of whack, which might be due to pressing or just trying something new. I'd probably wait a bit longer before getting too worried.
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