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gunnarthor

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Everything posted by gunnarthor

  1. gunnarthor
    Hu is a bullpen arm. Basically, the Twins traded future Jepsen for 2015 Jepsen. If they aren't allowed to make that trade, they basically can't trade prospects.
  2. gunnarthor
    I think those types of trades might be pretty dangerous. Maybe Montgomery is more than he seems but he also might be another Tyler Duffey. He wasn't a highly regarded pitcher and most scouting reports had him as a backend guy or long relief. Tyler Webb is a 26 year old relief pitcher who has never reached the majors but putting good numbers in AAA. That kind of trade has pretty big risk.
  3. gunnarthor
    I'm ok with the offense for the most part. Agreed that we need more out of first base but for our park and our youth, we're ok. I like Polanco and Kepler a lot, I think both will be major assets in the long run but it's ok if they are struggling a bit right now.
  4. gunnarthor
    I talk to my banking guy but I also read a lot of articles off of yahoo finance and barrons (you can subscribe pretty cheaply to that). I agree with Mike that you should understand the idea of your stock, for the most part. I obviously don't have the ability to fully understand how Wells Fargo actually works of course but I can say "big bank" and understand a big part of it. You can find articles on motley fool, morningstar etc but you have to be careful to understand any built in bias - does motley fool want you to buy this stock? Compare it with how others are covering the stock. I prefer high dividend stocks with a long history of providing it. You can look at ratios like P/E or PEG and compare them to others in the same industry. I like doing that. And I think it makes sense to follow the news to see how things outside of the business will affect your stock - for example, China's economy tanked and that brought down Indian stocks as opposed to your company's CEO stole millions and set up a ponzi scheme. One scenario is far worse than the other. But at the end of the day, I'm not that smart so 'big dividend' is a good reducer of risk for me.
  5. gunnarthor
    Yeah, I think Birdwatcher has it more or less right.
  6. gunnarthor
    I would imagine we'll see a lot promotions in the next two weeks.
  7. gunnarthor
    Actually, Barnes made the fangraphs guys list at #96. http://www.fangraphs.com/scoutboard.aspx
  8. gunnarthor
    I don't think there's a "wrong" answer. Years ago, we got crushed by the housing bubble and it was really, really bad. We nearly lost everything and we're pretty well to do. So I do think there's a lot to say about not having to make mortgage payments. We own our house outright and it's great. Not having debt is a real weight off your shoulders, esp if you're worried about your income streams. There is some positives in low interest debt, of course, as others have mentioned but your money doesn't grow uniformly. Just because the stock market will probably give you a better return than the interest rate over the next 30 years doesn't mean it will over the next four years. And if you can kill debt in what you think will be a down period where your money wouldn't have grown anyway, do it.
  9. gunnarthor
    Twins take Derek Molina, another JUCO guy. Not on any lists. -shrug-
  10. gunnarthor
    Article on Bailey Ober. Basically, he's very tall. Had a great freshman season but followed up with TJ and uneven seasons since. Mechanics and durability are issues. Probably a bullpen guy if he ever makes the majors. http://www.postandcourier.com/sports/college-of-charleston-s-bailey-ober-prepared-for-whatever-happens/article_5bb3a3c2-4bdd-11e7-bee1-3f56ce66635c.html
  11. gunnarthor
    It's finally working.
  12. gunnarthor
  13. gunnarthor
    Nope, neither is BA's draft tracker.
  14. gunnarthor
    Rodriguez was #400 or so on BA's list so he's probably not taking much more than 100k. But he is another Puerto Rican bat. The Twins certainly have been covering that island lately.
  15. gunnarthor
    I suspect he and his adviser floated that amount to all the teams drafting at the top and hoped one would accept it. Rays did so they told Twins, Padres and Reds that McKay won't sign for less and those teams let him slide.
  16. gunnarthor
    Also, yes, I'd take Schwarz if my area scouts believed in his bat. I don't think he's a catcher so he has to hit. But if he can, nab him.
  17. gunnarthor
    I figured the Twins had about 2m saved after day 1 and they used about a million of that on Enlow. And that doesn't count the 5% they can go over. The rest of day 2 was fairly even with some senior signings at 8-10 that could be used on de la Torres, if needed. So, I *think* we should be able to make one more fairly big grab today. maybe a guy like Kyle Hurt. I guess we'll see who we take in round 11. Looking at mlb.com's list of best left, there are a lot of HS arms that were ranked 100-150. Pool for pick 100 was 500k. There have to be a handful of guys who the Twins scouts know will sign for that amount or even less - good athletes who sucked at school and don't want to go to college or might even be academically prohibited because of low ACT scores or something. In any event, I'm hoping for a few HS guys with upside today. We'll see.
  18. gunnarthor
    I almost bailed on Shop at 86 but decided I'd hang onto it. Not sure that was the right thing but ...
  19. gunnarthor
    There are a few players I'd like to snag today. My guess is that we have enough money to snag at least one. Garrett Mitchell, the HS OF from CA, Tristen Beck, Standford's sophomore pitcher and Tanner Burns, etc. So maybe they saved money knowing that someone would be available in round 11 although not necessarily knowing who.
  20. gunnarthor
    I thought he'd sign for closer to 3m so it seems likely that the Twins might be able to do something more tomorrow.
  21. gunnarthor
    Agreed, I'd like to see the Pohlad's go over by 4% but that might be pushing it.
  22. gunnarthor
    Seems like they're pretty close. Whatever savings they had on day one went almost exclusively to Enlow.
  23. gunnarthor
    I have to say, as much as day one confused me, I really liked our day two draft. Enlow was a guy I thought we could take at 35 but might have been gone by then, so he's a first rounder in my head. I liked both the college pitcher picks even though neither profiles as an ace. I think de la Torre might surprise us but it's a good gamble pick and the juco third baseman also has some upside. And it seems like we've cleared enough space to nab at least one more well regarded HS prep arm (or Tristen Beck if we have more money than I thought) tomorrow.
  24. gunnarthor
    Who was 14? Enlow? That's pretty good. I might have to reevaluate my anger.
  25. gunnarthor
    Klaw had de la Torre on his overall list at 51? Wow.
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