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USAFChief

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Everything posted by USAFChief

  1. You are forgetting-or don't know-that all OBP is not created equally. Walks are not as valuable as singles (or other XBHs). If you like Fangraphs math, I've linked the linear weights explanation below. Long story short, a single creates about 30% more runs than a walk. https://library.fangraphs.com/principles/linear-weights/ Now I don't know exactly how accurate that is, but I DO know, instinctively, that a base hit is worth more than a walk, even though they contribute the same toward OBP. Ergo OBP built on BA is more valuable than the same OBP built on walks. A single often moves runners more than one base, for the most obvious thing. Of course, SLG needs to be accounted for as well. Personally, I see Arraez as a likely bounce back candidate.
  2. You might gain some credibility if you were to acknowledge the Twins DO, in fact, recieve on the order of $210M per year in revenue sharing.
  3. Bull****. Hard to take anyone seriously who thinks this.
  4. I sorta doubt DPRK drug lords would want to get mixed up with shysters like MLB owners.
  5. As to the signing of Josh Bell, this is exactly what teams mired in perpetual suckitude do to help ensure they stay there. Always have the next wave of superstars juuuuust around the corner. Sure to arrive and thrive within a year or two. Trade away actual assets for more future superstars. Sign low level free agents to plug a couple of the numerous holes every year. Wonder why they never get anywhere Lather, rinse, repeat. I'd imagine the Pirates front office is jealous.
  6. Are you sure? My guess is Bell js the everyday first baseman.
  7. Here's a source claiming otherwise: https://www.thetribune.ca/sports/mlb/#:~:text=Under the new collective bargaining,million USD%2C if not more 48% of local revenues are pooled, then redistributed. As of 2023, that was around $110M per team. Add another ~$90M per team in national MLB revenue (TV etc). Of course that also means the Twins only keep 52% of local revenue. Forbes estimates are likely fairly accurate. Only my opinion, but I think its highly implausible the Twins have accumulated $400-$500M in debt from baseball operations.
  8. Alex Jackson, Eric Orze and Grant Hartwig say "Hi!"
  9. Gonna miss those Minnesota winters, Rocco.
  10. My bad. In my defense, I sometimes have trouble parsing out anything solid when Falvey speaks.
  11. The front office is pleased with having the 4th worst record? Geez I hope not.
  12. Can you point me to the writers here who have so stated? Share a link. Or the other sports writers? Thanks
  13. "Now it involves a few more people that we get to talk to about it. I think that’s helpful to share some broader perspective around where we think our team is. I was hopeful, as I said at GM Meetings, that we’d get to this place … I think, at this stage, figuring a way to add to this group was clearly the best fit for all what we aligned around.” I'll have the word salad with a side order of dissembling, please.
  14. Heh. Totally worth dismantling your team and throwing away an entire season. And realistically more like at minimum 2 seasons.
  15. From the OP: "Why Clemens Can Continue to Rake" Continue to rake??
  16. He wouldn't be a bench player on a good team. That's why the Twins were able to get him for nothing.
  17. Well then here's your opportunity to nearly double your life savings. Take it all out and wager the over. Easy peasy.
  18. It's quite naive to think Vegas books put up lines they know are going to expose themselves to lopsided results. They could put the W/L on the 2026 Twins at 99. That would "encourage betting." They'd get all the action they could stand. But they won't. They'll put the over/under right about where their experts believe the Twins will end up, because they know that's the most reliable way to encourage wagers about equally on both sides of the line. Season W/L totals are a little more complicated than that, but that's the basis of it. They absolutely do NOT want a large majority of the wagers on one side or the other. Books try very hard to stay out of the gambling business.
  19. Wow. Ironic. Books literally are in the business of being accurate.
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