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USAFChief

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Everything posted by USAFChief

  1. USAFChief
    From: USAFChief Since moving to Tucson, I've had one foot in a freezer during winter months, and the other foot in a bucket of boiling oil during the summer months. On average, I should have been very comfortable year round.
  2. USAFChief
    The basis of that premise is in the first sentence of your cited article: "In baseball, teams have little control over the clustering of hits." That sounds to me like an unsupported theory, rather than proven fact. I'd go so far as to say those who assert such a thing should provide some level of proof, rather than asking us to take on faith that results which do not line up with their theory are due to things that are not controllable. Not to mention, if this actually is a "thing"--if a month-long run of "cluster luck" is enough to throw off the projection system for multiple teams, every year--the projection system is, by definition, useless.
  3. USAFChief
    Has anyone actually taken the time to figure out if the Twins got crazy lucky with chaining together hits early in the season? Or is "sequencing" just the latest buzzword used to explain away results that don't jive with theory?
  4. USAFChief
    The floor for any minor leaguer is "minor leaguer."
  5. USAFChief
    If only a few franchises have the means to assemble the roster to consistently pursue a WS title, how are the Twins to "assemble a consistently good roster"? One good enough, for long enough, that from time to time the cards fall right? You seem to be arguing against yourself. I actually agree with you, by the way. I too want to assemble a roster good enough to win a WS. I just don't think that happens by punting years, and positions. Try to win now, AND next year. Every year. That wouldn't hurt Buxton at all.
  6. USAFChief
    Only one poster in this thread has called winning the WS the only measure of success. And it's not Mike. //sorry, Mike, perhaps I shouldn't speak for you//
  7. USAFChief
    If Toronto was a failure, then Terry Ryan has never had a single successful season as a GM.
  8. USAFChief
    My guess: the Twins are healthy through camp and start the season with Milone and Nolasco in the rotation, Duffey in a long relief role in the pen, and Berrios in Rochester. I could possibly see Nolasco and Duffey switch roles, but I think the most likely scenario is the one above.
  9. USAFChief
    Not even worth money? What would a couple more wins have been worth last year? I'd be fine with sending Buxton to AAA, and letting him force his way past a good player into the Twins lineup. I'd be fine with Buxton starting in Minnesota if the judgement is he's better than anything they could get. What I have a problem with is doing neither.
  10. USAFChief
    I think you're confusing me with another poster...one who advocates, for example, keeping Buxton in AAA, so as not to potentially hurt his long term development, while doing little to nothing about THIS team. I'm the guy who would put Buxton in CF, and let him develop-- maybe even sink or swim--but do my best to surround him with the talent to win now. Let the future take care of itself. If Buxton/Sano/Berrios don't lead us to the promised land in 2019, at least I haven't wasted another 3 years finding that out. If I have the choice to win now, and perhaps tomorrow, I take that every time over losing now, in hopes I MIGHT perhaps win tomorrow.
  11. USAFChief
    I have a hard time holding KC up as a model for "long term success." They went a couple decades without making the postseason, all the while building for the long term success you seek. And it was only after they traded their best minor league asset did they actually achieve said success.
  12. USAFChief
    But this year isn't one of the "several years in a row?" Another word for putting off winning is "losing." The goal should always be to win. Always. For one thing, I don't like watching a losing team, for obvious reasons. For another, losing now does nothing to guarantee you'll win in the future. Nothing. All it accomplishes is loosing now.
  13. USAFChief
    For the record, Twins starters averaged under 6 IP per start last year. They faced an opposing hitter for the 4th or 5th time in a game only 88 times all year. That's not going to be significantly different in 2016. The bullpen will be in the game by the 6th inning more often than not.
  14. USAFChief
    I mostly agree, bird. There werent big league ready arms bursting from the minor league seams. and i'll contend there still aren't as we approach the 2016 season, either. If by mid season one minor leaguer is an actual bullpen asset, they should consider themselves fortunate. So you're right...the "Twins have a strategy to play crappy veterans instead of MLB-ready young players" theory is wrong. In its place is a strategy to play crappy veterans in place of quality (and expensive) veterans.
  15. USAFChief
    Carolina wins easily.
  16. USAFChief
    Wrong thread. Jim Kaat belongs in the "Twins sign another LH bullpen candidate to minor league deal" thread.
  17. USAFChief
    I'd rather they find someone that can hit. ba-dum-tssshhhhh
  18. USAFChief
    Or perhaps there wasn't any real change in approach, a few more flares just found holes, and when they stopped finding holes, things stopped appearing different.
  19. USAFChief
    The only way Park doesn't make the opening day roster is the DL. The only way Quentin DOES make the opening day roster is multiple OFers on the DL.
  20. USAFChief
    I'm looking to get a head start on my best season ever. I lost 5 lbs this offseason.
  21. USAFChief
    Actually, I think that would make him an optimist!
  22. USAFChief
    Yes.
  23. USAFChief
    If it would have taken Kepler, obviously "no." But I don't see any way Dickerson is a comp for Kepler. Arcia is probably too low, but probably a workable starting point. Good minor league hitting history, some warts. Arcia is also a couple years younger. And for the record, it's a bit of a stretch to call Dickerson an "everyday" guy. He's most likely a LH hitting part of a platoon.
  24. USAFChief
    We'll see. I'm doubtful.
  25. USAFChief
    How confident are you the Twins even asked the Rays about McGee? $4.8M in 2016. The Twins are not taking on payroll, that's pretty obvious, no?
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