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IndianaTwin

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Everything posted by IndianaTwin

  1. IndianaTwin
    Lopez, Ryan, Ober, SWR, Matthews, Festa, Abel, Bradley, Rojas, Raya, Adams, Prielipp, Culpepper... Buxton, Keaschall, Lee, Lewis, Garver, Jenkins, Gonzalez, Rodriguez, Culpepper, Eeles, Fedko, Culpepper... Not seeing hope is at least partly a choice. Will enough of them come through? Who knows? But at least for me, approaching life with hope does my soul better (and is more fun) than the alternative.
  2. IndianaTwin
    Here’s the quote. Maybe not quite as explicit as I was remembering, but not hard to read between the lines: https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2025/08/mike-elias-discusses-possible-prospect-promotions.html They brought Beavers up the very day that gives him 45 days. The Mets did the same with Nolan McLean. A couple of other teams did it in the next several days. I agree it was a smart move. Who knows what the next CBA brings, but if this rule stays the same, I think this will become pretty common practice.
  3. IndianaTwin
    White Sox, “once again destined for the worst record in baseball.” Apparently you have lots of hope in the Rockies, given that they are 10 games behind Chicago at this point.
  4. IndianaTwin
    Long opinion and rant, but I take a similar view. I’ll even go a step further. You said they can be competitive without a huge increase, but the $90M you came up with is a pretty significant decrease from this year. Try this on for size: They’ve shown a penchant for $10M free agents in Castro and then Vazquez. They seem to like having two veterans. This year’s free agent class of catchers is pretty weak, but I could see them quickly grabbing a $5M guy. Similarly, they’ve signed guys like Santana, Solano and this year France to play 1B (Solano wasn’t signed primarily as a 1B, but fits the profile.). So sign a $5M guy known for his defense. And then sign about four relievers totaling $10M as you work to build the rest of the bullpen from within. Guys like Coulombe.. People talk about them not having or communicating a plan, but I think it’s pretty unusual they would do that at this point. Additionally, I think the word is that the names of the additional investors will be made public after they are approved by the other owners. When that happens, I think we’ll start to hear some indicators as to whether there will be further cuts vs. some level of investment.
  5. IndianaTwin
    The Orioles won’t let Basallo exhaust his rookie eligibility. They pretty openly announced that they weren’t going to bring up Beavers and Basallo in time for them to get 45 service days. If they made the service time statement that openly, they aren’t going to let either of them get 130 at bats either. This isn’t a statement against Jenkins starting the season on the roster. I think there’s a reasonable chance they are positioning him to do so. Just a statement saying it’s also pretty likely Basallo will still be a rookie,
  6. IndianaTwin
    But for the record, Dobnak should have gotten out of the fourth scoreless. After the walk, Jenkins’ grounder was a tailor-made double play, but the second baseman blew it. Then after a bloop single, Dobnak got the next batter on a grounder that should have been the third out of the inning. You can’t assume the double play, so two of the runs were earned, but he shouldn’t have given up any. The three hits he gave up were a bloop and two seeing-eye singles. The most impressive pitcher of the night was Raya, however. He retired the first six, gave up a double, then got a dribbler and a strikeout looking before an error on the shortstop allowed the runner to score. And looked sharp doing it. Lopez did look sharp in his final two innings. I commented in the Twins game thread that with 68 pitches, it seems likely to think that his next outing will be with the Twins. It could come on Sunday on regular rest or on Monday when they will have been able to add an extra reliever if they don’t want him to go more than 80 or 85 pitches.
  7. IndianaTwin
    And here’s your game winner from Gonzalez: I drove the 2.5 hours to catch Jenkins’ debut and Gonzalez ended up being the hero. And after a fan yelled at Gaby at the beginning of the at bat, “Hey, Gonzalez. The state of the game is on your shoulders,” I may have stood to announce, “You’re right. The state of the game was on his shoulders!” as he rounded second.
  8. IndianaTwin
    True, that. However, I should note that Jenkins played the hop off the wall very nicely. The Toledo fence has a couple corners in the alleys and Jenkins adjusted to get the carom properly.
  9. IndianaTwin
    Maybe should have waited to post, but yes. He went six-up, six-down before giving up a long double about 10 seconds after I read your post. He should have gotten out of it, getting a dribbler in front of the mound for the first out and Akil Baddoo looking for the second. Then a hard ground ball up the middle ate up Holland for an error that scored the runner and Gardenhire came for him. Adams got the next guy on a grounder to end the inning.
  10. IndianaTwin
    Rough beginning for Pablo, with the first eight hitters combining to go for the cycle. The Mud Hens greeted him with double, triple, single, all hard hit. Then a towering homer in the second. He looked sharp over the final two innings. For the night, he threw 46 of 68 pitches for strikes, getting a number of swinging strikes on his change up. With 68 pitches, I could see him back with the Twins Sunday. Meanwhile, Dobnak looked good, but got burned by bad luck. He gave up three runs, two earned, but should have gotten out of the inning with nothing. He retired the first nine men, then gave up a walk to lead off the fourth. Jenkins hit a tailor-made grounder, but the second baseman booted it and got no one. After a bloop single, he got a grounder that should have been the third out. The three hits he gave up were a bloop and two seeing-eye singles. Not really a hard-hit ball night.
  11. IndianaTwin
    Good seats still available for Jenkins’ debut in Toledo. Edit: Likely because it’s “Stand on Your Head Night.” I hate smart phones with not-so-smart operators. I’ll try again later.
  12. IndianaTwin
    If by 30-year-old, you mean that Larnach and Wallner will turn 30 in early and late 2027, sure.
  13. IndianaTwin
    The Pirates haven’t yet missed out on an extra pick on Skenes. If he is top three in Cy Young voting before hitting arbitration, they can get the extra pick that way as well.
  14. IndianaTwin
    Also wonder if part of "more controlled" is the better facilities that are going to come with moving to AAA.
  15. IndianaTwin
    Another data point is Marco Raya. He was last year's "Can he stay healthy" project. They managed his workload carefully at Wichita. He started virtually every Friday night. First half of the year, he never threw more than 60 pitches. The last half they let him push 80 before rewarding him with a final start in St. Paul. This year they did virtually the same, but in St. Paul. He didn't go above 70 pitches until June 5, but since then has been allowed to go above 80 with some regularity and above 90 twice. He hasn't missed a start, though they've often given him an extra day or even two. After 97.2 innings a year ago, he's up to 80.1 with probably four or five starts remaining. The next step will be about actually being effective at St. Paul (6.27 ERA), but he just turned 23 this month, on average 5.7 years younger than the batters he's facing. It seems like their methodology has been effective in keeping Raya healthy, and they are following a similar pattern with Prielipp. He first hit 60 pitches on June 7 and was up to 76 on Aug. 13 before the promotion to AAA and 81 pitches on Tuesday night. It looks like he's only missed two starts plus the All-Star Break. He's a little older than Raya, so it probably makes sense to test him St. Paul. You can probably pencil him into the St. Paul rotation next spring for a Raya-type workload.
  16. IndianaTwin
    And hmm. Slipped my mind that this is the week for the Kernels at South Bend. -(Northern) Indiana Twin PS: And now if the Fever could just get a certain No. 22 healthy for when I see their game with the Lynx on Friday night...
  17. IndianaTwin
    About anything referencing that scene from Moneyball deserves being quoted. Good movie. Great scene. Another pretty significant difference is Low A players having to deal with a six-days-out-of-seven schedule for five months after spring training.
  18. IndianaTwin
    Given that they only got 4.2 innings out of Castro over three seasons with a 5.79 ERA (91 ERA+), I'm hoping for a little more from Hatch.
  19. IndianaTwin
    I’m guessing Tigers Daily also has laments about an ugly game.
  20. IndianaTwin
    He only had 1.095 years of service entering the season. Am I missing something? EDIT to add, from MLB Trade Rumors: "This is Outman’s final minor league option year. He can back up Byron Buxton in center or spend the remainder of the season at Triple-A St. Paul. The Twins would need to decide whether to carry him on the Opening Day roster next season or expose him to waivers." So they have team control -- he's just not optionable.
  21. IndianaTwin
    From the OP: "Including expected arbitration payouts, FanGraphs projects Minnesota's 2025 Opening Day payroll to be $66.8 million, which would be a $67.2 million decrease from its 2024 Opening Day payroll, which settled around $134 million." Huh? @Cody Schoenmann, how do you come up with a $66.8M payroll for 2025? Something isn't tracking. I'm not sure that figure even tracks for 2026. If Lopez/Buxton are $38M, the six guys who are arb-eligible got paid $15.7M this year and will certainly increase, and you still have to fill out the roster with 18 more guys getting pre-arb salaries.
  22. IndianaTwin
    Third base in the list.
  23. IndianaTwin
    This is an interesting exercise. I'd started on a similar one. To add a level of exercise, when I made some guesses at arbitration figures, I came up with something in the neighborhood of $88-$90 million, plus the $10M for Correa. If a new owner were to come on board and make even a $130-$140M budget reasonable, it would be interesting to imagine what could happen. They've not spent much on relievers, so say judicious spending that totals $10M. They've signed Castro and then Vazquez, so say another $10M on a veteran catcher. Then another $20-$25M on a veteran hitter or three and I'm willing to roll the dice.
  24. IndianaTwin
    Agreed. I'm guessing we also see more back-to-backs from Jeffers until (if) Vazquez returns.
  25. IndianaTwin
    Do you mean the guy who made his first start since June 19 this past Saturday and threw only 31 pitches? That's not how rehab assignments are usually structured.
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