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IndianaTwin

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Everything posted by IndianaTwin

  1. IndianaTwin
    Are you saying there are only five “true #1” pitchers in the majors? Because that’s how many guys had 200-plus innings and a 3.25 or lower FIP last year. When Berrios and Odorizzi are two of the top 20 guys in fWAR last year, that seems a lot better than a “very good #2” and a “starter who can really fill the #3 spot.”
  2. IndianaTwin
    Excellent points, both in naming the concern, but also in noting that they have seemed to get good staff.
  3. IndianaTwin
    Speaking of The Titanic, my wife had her colonoscopy yesterday. (TMI, I know.) While there, we were joking with the receptionist, who described having a friend who went to see "Titanic" in the theater. Before it started, he stood, faced the audience, and announced, "I don't want to spoil the movie for everyone, but the boat sinks." PS: It was clear by the way. I know -- WAAAAAAY TMI. PPS: I will wait until Valentine's Day is past before revealing to my wife that I've shared the results of her colonoscopy on TD.
  4. IndianaTwin
    I'll give it an A, though I have to say that the vast majority (all?) of us don't have all the information to make an accurate assessment. Most of us are like the student in the eighth row, trying to suggest that the teacher that e = cm^2, rather than the other way around.
  5. IndianaTwin
    Great article. Deserves a Like just for the picture of the kid and Gibson.
  6. IndianaTwin
    I recommend indeed.com for your job search.
  7. IndianaTwin
    It ranks up there with Grant Balfour and Bob Walk among names you don’t want your pitcher to have.
  8. IndianaTwin
    Between groupon and the senior citizen discount, you should be faring well.
  9. IndianaTwin
    Whether the money is over one year or four (or something else) was a wondering I had as well, but hadn't seen addressed yet.
  10. IndianaTwin
    Thanks for these other sources. I'm not very familiar with manipulating these sites, and it seemed high. I see that one thing I was doing was using "average" salaries in contracts, so Polanco and Kepler were overvalued, for example.
  11. IndianaTwin
    Sure, but if I'm reading Spotrac correctly, this contract puts them at $149.550M. That's without deducting the $10M. It also doesn't include Maeda getting any incentives, Perez's buyout, a 26th player, the possibility of Chacin making the team, and any callups to fill IL stints. Depending on those play out, they could have a roster well into the mid or even upper $150Ms, perhaps even reaching $160M, particularly if they take on any salary at all at the trade deadline. Take out the $10M and they are still upper-mid $140s or pushing $150M. For context, I don't remember many, if any, of our offseason blueprints getting past the mid-$140s. Most of the conversation I recall was hoping they would be willing to break $140M. It seems like they are well past that point. And my point was that, to the best of what we know, they were willing to make the trade when it didn't involve getting $10M back. So, it seems they were willing to go close to $160M if needed. Let's give them credit for that.
  12. IndianaTwin
    We should also remember the $10MM when we see what the final payroll ends up being. Then, when we hear “the Pohlads won’t spend any money,” we can also say, “Not only did they increase the payroll substantially in 2020, they were willing to spend $10MM more than they actually did!”
  13. IndianaTwin
    I agree that it won’t be much. On the other hand, Keuchel was probably seen as “not much” when some of the same braintrust got him as a throw-in to a trade when working for Cleveland a few years ago. One can hope...
  14. IndianaTwin
    Something that doesn’t hurt with the $10MM is that it also gives the FO a little more cache when talking to ownership. If signing Donaldson (and trading for a potentially $10+MM Maeda) caused ownership to feel a little leery about being stretched, getting the money back was a way to soften that. Next year, when the FO wants to stretch ownership, they’ll be able to say, “Remember how last year, we were okay with stretching to get Maeda? Turns out we were able to get some cash back and didn’t have to make that stretch. Let’s sign Player X, even though it makes us stretch a little, and we’ll keep trying to look for ways to get a little of that back.”
  15. IndianaTwin
    Remember that Hill can be moved to the 60-day IL in a few days, so Chacin can get the spot later if he earns it. Effectively, with adding Maeda and dropping Graterol and Raley, this puts us at 39.... ...with several days yet to sign Taijuan Walker.
  16. IndianaTwin
    As a SQUIRREL, we much prefer you getting hit with brilliance than with a car.
  17. IndianaTwin
    Pending a physical.
  18. IndianaTwin
    I wasn't talking about any one post in particular.
  19. IndianaTwin
    I think your second paragraph captures well what I was trying to say, that there is subjectivity involved. Medicine is a science, but it is also an art, and the medical professionals are each acting in the best interests of the team that is paying their salary. It doesn't seem unlikely that two doctors, one hired by the Twins and one by the Red Sox, could look at the same MRI and have different diagnoses. I suspect that's what happened here.
  20. IndianaTwin
    It seems like, in situations like this, that one of the key traits that the FO has to have is the ability to distinguish between making the deal that makes sense, regardless of the back story, vs. trying to stiff the other team out of spite. I hope, and believe the FO will, do a better job of making this distinction than a fair number of the folks in this thread seem to be doing. For example, it seems a dichotomy for us to say both "We can't give them Graterol, because he's a Top 100 guy," and "We can't give them Balozovic, because he has a better chance to stay a starter, so he's worth more than Graterol." If the latter is the case, why isn't Balozovic the Top 100 guy instead of Graterol? We don't know how the negotiations went. If the Twins message was honest and said, "Graterol is a stud, but we're not sure he's completely healthy," and the Sox were still interested, that's one thing, and it seems the Red Sox should suck it up. On the other hand, if the Twins hid that info in negotiations, the Sox have a right to gripe. Based on the article posted several times above, it seems very possible that the more detailed medical reports generated some questions.
  21. IndianaTwin
    Yes, folks, please read. It's excellent, and very helpful to read if it's accurate (and I've no reason to assume it's not). I was particularly struck by what is described as the receiving team genuinely having little information on players until the trade is agreed to. Basically, it's IL records, what's available publicly, and if scouts or other folks find things in the course of doing their normal job. If, on a scale of 1-10, 1 is "BoSox knew nothing on Graterol" and 10 is "BoSox have access to everything," it seems like the receiving team is at about a 2-3. I assumed they were more like 5-6.
  22. IndianaTwin
    Given that virtually every team goes more than five deep over the course of the season, it would be interesting to extend your list at least Nos. 6 and 7. Based on your notes section, I’m guessing that the Twins would rank significantly higher. That’s part of what I think is the strength of their rotation. I don’t think an injury to someone in the top three will have the devastating effect for the Twins as it would for the others. I’m too cheap to pay for The Athletic. As you beyond who he’s sandwiched by, does Berrios seem about right. That ranking seems low to me, considering that he’s still A bit younger than average and should improve. I do find it interesting that he’s ranked a spot ahead of Wheeler, who this board was generally enamored with and seemed to rank higher than Berrios.
  23. IndianaTwin
    I'm at similar spots on Perez and Gibson, particularly the latter. I'd have been ready (and advocated on a couple threads) to give Gibson a contract structured much like Maeda's. I was thinking something that guaranteed perhaps $5MM but allowed him to get close to QO money if he made 32+ starts.
  24. IndianaTwin
    Fans attending the Home Opener (See No. 3): I am your second-favorite Twins Fan.
  25. IndianaTwin
    Incentive-based. Show us what you’ve got this year.
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