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IndianaTwin

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Everything posted by IndianaTwin

  1. IndianaTwin
    Here's a current snapshot of how things look going forward, with games remaining:
  2. IndianaTwin
    “One of the best…” leaves things open for interpretation. Technically, Eddie Bane was “one of the best,” if we’re talking about, say, the 500 best. ?
  3. IndianaTwin
    Unless they genuinely see something in him, Davis has the makings of a two-day signing, with another DFA coming on Saturday when Mahle is activated.
  4. IndianaTwin
    I hear Kevin Correia and Mike Pelfrey yelling from the TD archives, begging for their voice to be heard. ?
  5. IndianaTwin
    Say more -- I don't have TV access. I get the impression you're saying Baldelli handled it well. That's not surprising to me, given that interpersonal relationships seems to be a strength for him.
  6. IndianaTwin
    I get it -- Winder would be a shiny new toy. But he just got activated in St. Paul yesterday after one rehab start in Fort Myers. He's thrown six minor league innings since mid-July, and he has six career MLB starts. I don't see making a switch to put him in the rotation during a pennant chase. I (mostly) get the frustration with Archer, but he just made his last start with "only" an eight-man bullpen, and Mahle is back this weekend, so Sanchez and Smeltzer aren't needed in the rotation right now. As LA Vikes suggests, that sets up for an obvious Archer/Sanchez piggy back. Or, Archer/Smeltzer, if they prefer bringing him back up.
  7. IndianaTwin
    I don't think his hitting will be much of a factor. Beckham got 25 plate appearances in roughly a month. As a 14th man, I'd predict 15 or less plate appearances for Hamilton, even if he plays in 15 or more games.
  8. IndianaTwin
    I'll post this elsewhere as well, but here's a snapshot of the remaining schedule:
  9. IndianaTwin
    Again, as noted, my post was more about recognition for Bundy than bashing on Ryan. (And I hope I didn't jinx Bundy's performance tonight! ?) For Bundy's "clunker," I threw out his worst game, a five-run, four-inning performance against Milwaukee. Yes, small sample size. I chose June 10-ish as the break point, since that's the time each came off the IL. If you want more recent action, the last four starts actually favor Bundy by a greater margin -- 5 runs in 19.1 innings vs. 9 runs in 22.1 innings. As to opponents, common opponents are Cleveland, Colorado, White Sox, Milwaukee, Texas and San Diego. Ryan got the Dodgers and Bundy got Houston as their toughest opponents. Ryan also got Seattle, Baltimore, Detroit (2x), Kansas City and San Francisco. Bundy got Arizona, two more against Texas, two more against the White Sox, Toronto and the Angels. I don't see that as appreciably different. In eyeballing, I also see Bundy getting four games against their primary opponents (White Sox/Cleveland) vs. twice for Ryan and Ryan getting three against KC/Det vs. none for Bundy, so one could argue that Bundy certainly got the more key opponents. Again -- I'm glad to have Ryan on the team, including going forward, but let's quit bashing Bundy. (And to anticipate the "but he doesn't throw many innings" comments, since they each came off the IL in early June, Ryan has thrown 70 innings in 13 starts (5.38 innings/start), Bundy 62.2 in 12 (5.22) and Gray 67 in 13 (5.15), which is hardly an appreciable difference.)
  10. IndianaTwin
    Fair enough -- take out that one and Ryan is at 3.44 during this period. But if you also let Bundy take out a clunker, he falls to 3.07. (But to clarify -- my point isn't so much about Ryan struggling, but about that Bundy has actually been better than he's given credit for.)
  11. IndianaTwin
    Pitcher A: Pitcher B: Pitcher ? (The start date is June 12 for all three pitchers. The dates just indicate the first time they actually pitched after that point.) Q: So, based on the last couple months, which two would be your choices to start the first two games of a playoff series? -------------------------------------------------------------- A: If, like me, you chose A and B, you chose Bundy and Gray over Ryan. Point being, I don't get the Bundy Hate on TD (not necessarily in this thread, but elsewhere). He's arguably been our best starter the past two months, and we'd probably be out of the race without him.
  12. IndianaTwin
    Have you considered that a factor in not attempting many steals is that they don't have much speed? With a 14th roster spot available this week, that's definitely a factor. Not to mention, if Leon makes the last out of the ninth in a tie game, would you rather have Leon or Hamilton standing on second base in the 10th?
  13. IndianaTwin
    CDO* folks of the world unite. I completely agree with the perfect symmetry of the 14-6-3 (plus a fourth against the designated rival). I’d even seen the plan described that way in a few places. Facetiousness aside, I do agree though that there doesn’t appear to be a logical reason not to do that, and it would be interesting to hear the rationale. You’ve come up with one, but I agree that it’s really weak if that’s the best explanation they can come up. *Some folks refer to this as OCD, but I prefer to alphabetize the letters as they should be.
  14. IndianaTwin
    First sentence: "The Minnesota Twins are all but expecting Carlos Correa to opt out, and that should be seen as a near certainty, but is the big payday really there?" Do you know something we don't? More accurate might be, "The media all but expects Carlos Correa..." or "Most of us on Twins Daily expect Carlos Correa..." The reality is, we don't know what the Twins are expecting, but my guess is that they've had ongoing conversations with Correa and Boras and know a lot more than we do.
  15. IndianaTwin
    The second paragraph asks, "If Minnesota is to come out on top, which players will need to carry the load?" The last paragraph of the intro says it's looking to see who is most critical to the team's success. Not quite the same question. To the former, the studs are always going to carry the load. So, yeah, Arraez, Buxton, Correa, Gray, etc. To the latter, a winning team always needs role players and guys who don't screw things up. So, yeah, many of the names which were suggested for various reasons, including Pagan righting himself, Mahle missing no more than a start, Maeda chipping in, etc. My personal keys/hopes on the latter are Lopez being the monster we hoped for, Fulmer putting out fires, and Sanchez going on a tear.
  16. IndianaTwin
    It will be. ? I've been struck by the uniqueness of the Maeda contract. Very low guarantee ($3.125M), with very attainable bonuses for innings and starts on a continuum that could get him up to an additional $9.5M. That's really what you're talking about. In your scenario, remember that he's already getting $2.75M for his buyout, so you're really just adding $1.25M for next year. I'm a little intrigued by the notion, but I just think there's too much redundancy with others on the roster, assuming Kirilloff and Larnach are healthy.
  17. IndianaTwin
    Duffey signed with the Rangers.
  18. IndianaTwin
    Perhaps. But he's also on target to end up with about 28 starts, his most since 2017. Something, perhaps the shortness of his outings, has seemed to keep him healthy. That's worth something in a starter. We yelp because he's only on target for 118 innings, but this is also his coming back from Thoracic Outlet surgery season. From 2014-2017, he averaged 202 innings (with a 3.66 ERA), so he HAS been able to provide significant, quality workload in the past. In the years since that he's thrown 148, 119, 0, 19 and now a projected 118. By the end of June, he'd gotten his ERA down to 3.08. It's tracked up since then, but that seems consistent with someone who's running out of gas in his recovery year. I don't think the shortness of his outings this year needs to be assumed going forward. If he indeed gets through 28 starts at 115-120 innings, I suspect his personal goal for next year would be 28-30 starts in the 150 innings range, with an ERA in that 3.66 range. That's worth something, and it might as well be for us. If he makes it through the season healthy (even with a transition to the bullpen or even shorter outings), he starts to look a little more tempting to bring back. I don't think it's a given to pick up the option and see him as a starter, but I don't think it's a given not to either.
  19. IndianaTwin
    Yes, I'd noticed he was missed. Same net cost as Bundy, when you consider Bundy's buyout. Slightly better results for Archer, but in slightly fewer innings. Say what we will about the tendency toward short outings, but they each lead the team in starts, and each has more than Paddack, Ober and Winder combined. I can't see them doing both, but I could see them doing one or the other if one finishes strong. Of course, if he finishes strong, Archer might take it out of their hands by declining his side of the option and trying his luck on the market.
  20. IndianaTwin
    Cleveland did it for the 52nd time yesterday. And my White Sox fan friend is about ready to jump off a bridge because they've done it 58 times. You're right -- it's the pitching that has done them in.
  21. IndianaTwin
    Obviously we're both playing "what ifs." We don't know what would have happened in seventh (mine), we don't what might happen today or tomorrow (yours), and we don't know the relationship between player and manager. It's worth noting, though not mentioned above, that Rocco took the unusual step of visiting the mound with two outs and two runners on base in the sixth AND LEFT HIM IN. As Chief notes above, it would have been a perfectly logical time to take him out. I'd suggest that leaving him in at that point is exactly his manager letting him get out of the jam. But in situations like that, the conversation is rarely, "If you get this guy out, I'll let you pitch another inning." It's usually, "I've got confidence in you. Put all your focus on this guy, and we'll call it a day." I'd also say that the damage to his and the team's confidence and the gut punch it provides if he pitches poorly in the seventh is way more substantial than the gain that comes with him going one more successful seventh inning. And lost in there is that up 3-0 in the seventh was a perfect time to get Fulmer back on the horse after a loss on Wednesday night.
  22. IndianaTwin
    I'm with you, Chief. Not to mention that confidence is a real thing. When you've just picked up a new guy, and he gives you six great innings (including getting out of a jam in that last inning) with a rested bullpen, don't play with fire. Leave him in a good mental spot and go to others who are in an excellent position to succeed. I like where Mahle's head will be for the next four days as he gets ready for his next start. And can you imagine the "Sure am glad Rocco left him out there for the seventh" comments if the seventh starts with a bloop and a blast in a 3-0 game? Yeah, me neither.
  23. IndianaTwin
    Yeah, after my brother moved to Pennsylvania, he had to get used to his kids not being in school the Monday after Thanksgiving, because it was the opening of hunting season. When I asked if it was because of the worry of too many kids being absent, he said, "No. The teachers."
  24. IndianaTwin
    The bigger issue with the 40-man is that they take up spots in the off season. If several offseason spots are used by guys who will miss substantial time, it means they start spring training with only 35-37 (or whatever) guys from the 40-man who are available on Opening Day.* *Capitalized in noting that this should be a national holiday.
  25. IndianaTwin
    Agreed, including that he would have been up for good. It's hard to think Lewis will be healthy enough to start spring training and the season in the normal schedule. I could see them focusing on extended spring training for rehab and then not even needing a full 30 games in AAA once he is ready to be activated. I don't know the service time rules well, but with him being on the MLB IL, it seems less likely that they'd want to/be able to play that game.
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