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Doomtints

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Everything posted by Doomtints

  1. Doomtints
    I have looked at numbers a lot over the years and have learned that fighting them is a futile effort. But if you need to hear a human-touch story to make sense of what the numbers are telling you: Reardon had a slow start. He learned how to throw Blyleven's curveball around midseason which tossed all scouting reports about him out the window. Nevertheless, his slow start was not erased from the books. He was much better in 1988, and who wouldn't be after mastering a curve ball like that? As for Berenguer, did you know he was a failed starter in 1987? Straker was deemed a better choice to start for the Twins than Berenguer. Juan was a feast-or-famine pitcher, as you can see by looking at his 10+ ERA in the 87 World Series.
  2. Doomtints
    Not only should they not do this now, they should not do it in a month or two.
  3. Doomtints
    Considering my browser window was hijacked at the same moment the antivirus popped up, there was clearly no "false positive." There are dozens of ad services out there. If the one you are using can't properly police itself and you know this but continue to use them, it's on you if something happens to our computers.
  4. Doomtints
    Gibson coming up.
  5. Doomtints
    Straker had 2.2 WAR in 1987. He also had a 0.9 WAR the following year in spite of spending most of the year on the DL -- good for 6th best pitcher WAR on the team. 1989 started MacPhail's complete rebuild of the pitching staff. Straker stayed with the Twins in the minors, but the Twins felt like he never fully recovered from his injury. He ended up with the Expos AAA affiliate in 1990 and, sure enough, he was injured right away and retired. The point is there are more deserving Twins pitchers to pick on.
  6. Doomtints
    There is no reason to cut him, his performance is typical of a Rule 5 rookie pitcher. He had one terrible outing on a day when every Twins pitcher was getting smacked around, but otherwise his ups & downs have been pretty standard fare. I could see him finishing out the year with an ERA around 4.00 and I'm sure the Twins feel the same.
  7. Doomtints
    Wonderful idea. Unfortunately there are at least half a dozen ads on every page. How am I to know which one hijacked my browser and/or triggered my antivirus? This is the responsibility of the site owner.
  8. Doomtints
    Escobar is not an exciting player but he is good enough for his role as a backup utility guy. He's not going anywhere.
  9. Doomtints
    SSS + ignoring the facts that the Twins: 1) Are playing better defense 2) *Did* actually have a lot of turnover with the staff. No Nolasco, no Meyer, no Milone, and heck no May. And we're not even getting into Light & Albers being gone, or Duffey going to the pen. The Twins have *one* starting pitcher left who was a starter at the beginning of last year. That's almost maximum turnover. 3) Have only had 1 good SP, though Berrios seems to have arrived so this may soon be 2. 4) Have played a very bad Royals team a fortunate number of times.
  10. Doomtints
    As much as people want to believe otherwise, Escobar is just filler. But let's be sane for a minute. Yesterday was a back-to-back DOUBLE HEADER. In such situations managers are always making strange decisions because they have to try to keep everyone fresh. Let it go.
  11. Doomtints
    You guys need to tone down the ads and be more selective about who you serve ads from. It has happened more than once on this site where one of the ads triggers my antivirus, or the page gets hijacked and I end up on another website without clicking on anything. I understand you need ads for cash, but it is also your responsibility ensure that you are not causing security problems for your website visitors.
  12. Doomtints
    So you want a guy on the Twins roster whose ERA will probably be north of 6 for the rest of his career? A-Rod, is that you?
  13. Doomtints
    Phil Hughes ERA+ 71, 72 last year. Frequent injuries to his bread & butter arm. If he is wise he will face the music and walk away from the game honorably.
  14. Doomtints
    Hughes had a decent career. Some very good years in there with a Twins club that adored him from day one. He has nothing to be ashamed about. A .527 record and a career ERA close to 4 is better than most pitchers. It's in his best interests to retire. Giving up his giant salary will be tough but his body is done.
  15. Doomtints
    As of this time: Vargas > Park > Palka. There. Now let's move on. As for Molitor, he'll be around. There's no point in calling for his head when the Twins are playing over their heads. Any change like that now results in another 100 loss season.
  16. Doomtints
    Yep. I am aware that's what people said in the press. However, I looked at the film. You should too.
  17. Doomtints
    Vargas did a great job last night, teeing off on a wicked curveball that any other Twin would have wiffed on. Keep him in the lineup.
  18. Doomtints
    Having a guy like Duffey in the pen gives the Twins the luxury of trying out new pitchers like Mejia. It also gives them the luxury of working Hughes and Gibson back to form, assuming we see Gibson again this year. If Duffey goes to the rotation and those two end up in the pen, that luxury is lost. The Twins will no longer have the reliable bullpen arm to back up a starter who had a bad day or a starter who needs more time to get into form. Do you expect Hughes to be able to take on that role? What you are suggesting will make the team weaker. Also, I think it might be a stretch to say Duffey is better than Santiago. At best they are about even. Duffey has two pitches, and unless they invent a steel arm for him he is going to be tired by the time he faces a lineup for the third time in a game. Like all one- and two-pitch pitchers, he has to throw hard. He can't pace himself as much as pitchers with a larger arsenal can. The Twins always planned for him to be a reliever, he only started in the first place because there were no other options and he was, for a while, doing a good job.
  19. Doomtints
    Not so simple. Berrios never was able to get settled in last year. He needed to get settled before being called up. I would have made the exact same decision, calling up Mejia first. So would most teams. It was the right move. The Twins made the fans' decision with Buxton to start the year -- putting him at the top of the order when it was clear as day he needs to get comfy at the bottom of a lineup before being moved up. I'm glad they didn't make the fans' decision with Berrios and did the sensible move. There is no going back in time to fix the Buxton decision, though, and he's likely to hit under .200 all year now.
  20. Doomtints
    xFIP matches up with reality more than FIP does. But we are working with really small sample sizes here. Even if his xFIP looked awesome, Berrios is still likely to lay an egg soon. Teams are going to adjust. Small sample sizes aside, I would retire xFIP and FIP altogether and just look at SIERA. It has mathematically been proven to be more reliable. Just use the FIPs for minor leaguers and for producing pained sighs when other people use them without knowing what they represent -- which is almost always.
  21. Doomtints
    That was someone's guess in the discussion thread. Likely the issue is cost. Also remember that not every minor league uses the same ball, either. No doubt some leagues use the MLB ball. The Twins could foot the bill for real balls if they felt it was important (and it is).
  22. Doomtints
    Yep. Berrios says the difference this year is confidence. Nothing more. Does he have this confidence if he did not settle in with a dominant role in the minors? Don't second-guess success. Why would you do that?
  23. Doomtints
    He died of guilt over the realization of what his efforts have born.
  24. Doomtints
    Ace comment.
  25. Doomtints
    Someone is bound to fight this one and show the exceptions, but the numbers don't lie. Most of his homers are with no one on base or with the Twins win already assured. He could do some damage on the right team where people ahead of him are always on base, probably, but on the Twins he is useless. He is probably the least feared 40 home run hitter in history.
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