"Rank of FIP in the league" isn't how you would see if the team pitching will get worse. The other teams can pitch better and the Twins would still fall in the ranking. Let's look at the actuals. ERA 3.18 FIP 3.97 cFIP 105 DRA 3.75 DRA (starters) 4.02 DRA (relievers) 3.31 cFIP is showing that the Twins are within the 95-105 range which is considered to be average talent (though they are at the bottom edge of average), but most teams in the league are far worse than average right now. Yes, the Twins "rank" will fall as other teams improve, but they Twins pitching might not get worse. FIP, DRA, and ERA are off but not really by that much. Looks like the problem is with the starting staff and this will be a shock to exactly no one. We all know the team has four #4/#5 starters