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harmony55

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Everything posted by harmony55

  1. https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/major-league?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=y&type=8&season=2026&month=0&season1=2026&ind=0&pagenum=6&pageitems=30 https://www.baseball-reference.com/leagues/AL/2026-value-batting.shtml
  2. In his last eight games before tonight, Josh Naylor had posted a .429/.500/.607/1.107 line in 34 plate appearances (and added four stolen bases): https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/gl.fcgi?id=naylojo01&t=b&year=2026
  3. Cuban right-hander Pedro Ramos shut out the reigning American League champions at Yankee Stadium in the the Twins' first Opening Day game their move to Minnesota: https://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/NYA/NYA196104110.shtml
  4. Royce Lewis has only two years of team control after this season and has posted an OPS+ of 93 and 2.0 fWAR (1.3 bWAR) in 205 games since his impressive debut in 2022-23. With his Super Two boost in salary, Lewis could be a non-tender candidate down the road. Or Lewis could turn it around.
  5. The Mariners reportedly had coveted Jose A. Ferrer since the left-hander was 19 years old in 2019: https://www.mlb.com/news/jose-a-ferrer-was-longtime-mariners-trade-target Seattle is in a win-now mode and hopes Ferrer will contribute more to the 2026 club than Ford would have.
  6. Oakland AIs? The Ballers will be first professional sports team managed by AI: https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6599707/2025/09/05/artificial-intelligence-baseball-manager-oakland-ballers/?source=athletic_user_shared_article_copylink&smid=url-share-ta
  7. Harry Ford alone could not land MacKenzie Gore but a packaged headlined by Ford would be attractive to the Washington Nationals, who this year finished dead last in team WAR from the catcher slot (and a long ways from the 28th-place club). https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/major-league?lg=all&qual=0&season=2025&season1=2025&ind=0&team=0%2Cts&rost=&filter=&players=0&type=8&month=35 The top-ranked catching prospect in a weak Washington farm system is Caleb Lomavita at No. 11. FWIW I've seen Lazaro Montes and Jonny Farmelo (and Harry Ford) play frequently. I apparently saw Caleb Lomavita play in college😉: https://calbears.com/sports/baseball/stats/2024/stanford/boxscore/36002 https://calbears.com/sports/baseball/stats/2022/utah/boxscore/33528
  8. Would Seattle be interested in Emmanuel Rodriguez when the Mariners already have outfield prospects Lazaro Montes and Jonny Farmelo, the 29th- and 75th-ranked prospects at MLB.com? Rodriguez is currently ranked No. 69. Baseball America had these outfield rankings in August: The Mariners already have a center fielder who has posted 22.9 bWAR before his 25th birthday. In any trade of Harry Ford, Seattle would likely seek MLB-level talent, perhaps left-hander MacKenzie Gore of the Washington Nationals, who this year finished dead last in WAR from the catcher slot.
  9. The Mariners selected Alex Jackson with the sixth overall pick in the 2014 draft, the penultimate draft before Jerry Dipoto arrived in Seattle: https://www.baseball-reference.com/draft/index.fcgi?year_ID=2014&draft_round=1&draft_type=junreg&query_type=year_round Dipoto traded Jackson to the Atlanta Braves in November 2016: https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/j/jacksal02.shtml#all_transactions_other
  10. That would be five years of 24-year-old Brooks Lee, with 2026 projections of 2.1 WAR and a 96 wRC+ in 139 games, for six years of 22-year-old Harry Ford with 2026 projections of 1.0 WAR and a 98 wRC+ in 70 games. https://www.fangraphs.com/players/brooks-lee/31595/stats?position=3B/SS https://www.fangraphs.com/players/harry-ford/29958/stats?position=C Each plays a premium position but with a wealth of infield prospects Seattle would likely seek a better return. FWIW this year the Mariners ranked 13th in team WAR at third base and 17th in team WAR at second base (ahead of the Twins in each category).
  11. Does Eduardo Tait have a higher ceiling than Harry Ford? A higher floor? Seattle has outfield depth as well and the Twins would be hard-pressed to offer a clear upgrade to the Mariners' incumbent right fielders.
  12. Poor defense cost the Mariners this season. A step down from Ben Williamson to Royce Lewis could be tough: https://www.fieldingbible.com/drs-leaderboard/players?position=5 The Mariners might have interest in Mick Abel or Taj Bradley but a Seattle trade package for either pitcher and Lewis is difficult to compile.
  13. 🙂 Mild interest in Royce Lewis with a FanGraphs projection of 2.6 WAR in 131 games and a projected arbitration salary of $3 million. However, might prefer a return of Mariner third baseman Ben Williamson with his projected 1.8 WAR in 130 games at a league minimum salary.
  14. Baseball Trade Values currently assigns Seattle catcher Harry Ford a surplus value of $21 million: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/trades?page=1&q=harry+ford The Mariners have more pressing needs at other positions given the pending returns of Julio Rodriguez, Randy Arozarena, Dominic Canzone, Luke Raley and Victor Robles to the outfield.
  15. This season Seattle has started Randy Arozarena in left field in all but four games. The 2025 All Star remains under team control for one more year.
  16. This year Harry Ford has played zero games in the outfield (and only 8 of the 273 games in his minor league career). This season Ford has played 61 games at catcher and 15 at designated hitter.
  17. A Boston blogger proposes a trade of Joe Ryan, Jhoan Duran and Griffin Jax for five reportedly Top 100 prospects: Crafting a 3-Team Blockbuster With the Twins to Get Red Sox Some Pitching Help - Red Sox - Talk Sox TALKSOX.COM Can the Red Sox pull a third team in to facilitate a blockbuster deal with the Twins at the trade deadline?
  18. Even before acquiring Josh Naylor, the Seattle Mariners ranked second in the American League with a team OPS+ of 115 but 12th in the league with a team ERA+ of 94: https://www.baseball-reference.com/leagues/AL/2025.shtml
  19. Trevor Bauer pitched this year for the Yolohama DeNA BayStars of Japan's Central League but reportedly was demoted two weeks ago after a dugout altercation: https://www.profootballnetwork.com/mlb/trevor-bauer-dugout-drama-yokohama-drop-him-roster/ The demotion was the second this season the 34-year-old Bauer, who had a 3.96 ERA in 17 starts with the BayStars. Bauer was not on the roster when I attended a game in Yokohama on April 9. Bauer was back pitching Wednesday for the BayStars, taking the loss in a 4-3 game: https://www.flashscoreusa.com/game/baseball/6aUF3x3k/#/game-summary/game-summary
  20. The last time the Seattle Mariners posted an OPS+ below 104 was 2021. The Mariners posted a higher OPS+ than ERA+ in 2022 and 2023 before posting a 104 OPS+ and 106 ERA+ last year. This year Seattle is second in the American League with a team OPS+ of 117 (closing in on the Yankees' league-leading 119) while the team ERA+ lags in 12th place at 95.
  21. Podcaster Jim Riley has proposed a trade of Royce Lewis to Seattle for catcher Harry Ford: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u8k19YrZ2JA ... at 15:55. Currently holding the final AL Wild Card slot, would Seattle consider Royce Lewis an upgrade over rookie Ben Williamson, a glove-first third baseman (with an RBI double in Saturday's 1-0 win)? This year Lewis has posted 0.1 fWAR and a 74 wRC+ in 35 games while Williamson has posted 0.5 fWAR and a 79 wRC+ in 66 games. FanGraphs projects Lewis with 1.1 WAR and a 108 wRC+ in 55 remaining games while projecting Williamson with 0.5 WAR and an 85 wRC+ in 41 games. https://www.fangraphs.com/players/royce-lewis/20437/stats?position=3B https://www.fangraphs.com/players/benjamin-williamson/33197/stats?position=3B Baseball Trade Values assigns Lewis a surplus value of $15.5 million and Ford a surplus value of $19.4 million. Could the Mariners find a better return for Ford?
  22. Perhaps the Twins were going for the strikeout with Griffin Jax, sporting a 38.2 percent strikeout rate, against Randy Arozarena, who had been striking out at a 36.5 percent clip over his previous 17 games. Irrelevant trivia: Arozarena and Rowdy Tellez have each homered in five career plate appearances against Jax.
  23. FWIW Randy Arozarena had posted a .164/.243/.299/.542 line over his previous 17 games.
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