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harmony55

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Everything posted by harmony55

  1. harmony55
    FWIW Baseball Trade Values only recently bumped Max Kepler's surplus value from $5.8 million up to $7.6 million. Perhaps the change was a market adjustment in light of the free agents signings.
  2. harmony55
    As an alternative to Seattle's No. 30 draft pick, would the Twins consider trading Max Kepler for righthander Taylor Dollard? Dollard, who turns 24 years old in February, was the 2022 Pitcher of the Year in the Double A Texas League where. Dollard had an ERA of 2.25, WHIP of 0.95 and K/BB of 4.23 in 27 starts covering 144 innings. The Mariners consider Dollard MLB-ready because their top pitching prospects skip the development-inhibiting Pacific Coast League (e.g. Logan Gilbert and George Kirby). Baseball Trade Values assigns surplus trade values of $5.6 million to Dollard and $5.8 million to Kepler. The Mariners might be reluctant to trade Dollard, a 2020 fifth-round (No. 137) draft pick with an established minor league record, over the faceless No. 30 pick in the 2023 draft.
  3. harmony55
    If the Twins go the rebuild route, would Seattle's No, 30 competitive balance draft pick be enough to land one year of outfielder Max Kepler? Baseball Trade Values assigns surplus trade values of $6.2 million to the draft pick and $5.8 million to Kepler. The trade would leave the rebuilding Twins with the No. 5 and No. 30 picks in the June 2023 draft (and the Mariners would retain their No, 22 and No, 29 picks).
  4. harmony55
    The Seattle Mariners may no longer be shopping 28-year-old righthander Chris Flexen but consider ... These stats over the past two seasons for righthanders Jameson Taillon, Taijuan Walker and Flexen: JT 321.2 IP, 4.08 ERA, 100 ERA+, 4.2 fWAR, 3.5 bWAR TW 316.2 IP, 3.98 ERA, 99 ERA+, 3.9 fWAR, 3.1 bWAR CF 317.2 IP, 3.66 ERA, 108 ERA+, 3.7 fWAR, 4.7 bWAR Flexen, who is two years younger than Walker and two-and-a-half years younger than Taillon. lost some luster in August when Luis Castillo bumped Flexen from the Seattle rotation. Despite the demotion Flexen matched Taillon’s 2022 bWAR of 1.3. Many will point to Flexen’s drop in fWAR from 3.0 in 2021 to 0.7 in 2022. However, Walker has never posted an fWAR above 2.5 and Taillon has not exceeded 2.3 fWAR since 2018. The Chicago Cubs signed Taillon to a four-year, $68 million contract and the Philadelphia Phillies signed Walker to a four-year, $72 million contract Flexen is guaranteed a 2023 salary of $8 million in what MLB Trade Rumors reports is his final year of team control (despite Flexen currently sitting on two years and 107 days of MLB service).
  5. harmony55
    Chris Flexen may be vastly undervalued. Compare the stats over the past two seasons for righthanders Jameson Taillon, Taijuan Walker and Flexen: JT 321.2 IP, 4.08 ERA, 100 ERA+, 4.2 fWAR, 3.5 bWAR TW 316.2 IP, 3.98 ERA, 99 ERA+, 3.9 fWAR, 3.1 bWAR CF 317.2 IP, 3.66 ERA, 108 ERA+, 3.7 fWAR, 4.7 bWAR The Seattle Mariners reportedly are shopping Flexen, who is at least two years younger than Walker and Taillon. Flexen lost some luster in August when Luis Castillo bumped Flexen from the Seattle rotation. Despite the demotion Flexen matched Taillon’s 2022 bWAR of 1.3. Many will point to Flexen’s drop in fWAR from 3.0 in 2021 to 0.7 in 2022. However, Walker has never posted an fWAR above 2.5 and Taillon has not exceeded 2.3 fWAR since 2018. The Chicago Cubs signed Taillon to a four-year. $68 million contract while the Philadelphia Phillies signed Walker to a four-year, $72 million contract. Flexen is guaranteed a 2023 salary of $8 million in what MLB Trade Rumors reports is his final year of team control (despite Flexen currently sitting on two years and 107 days of MLB service). According to Baseball Trade Values, Seattle's No. 30 competitive balance draft pick ($6.2 million) should be enough to land Max Kepler ($5.8 million).
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