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nytwinsfan

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Everything posted by nytwinsfan

  1. nytwinsfan
    Absolutely. Sano's OPS has a higher upside, no question, but Buxton's overall value has a higher upside.
  2. nytwinsfan
    Agreed, outfield is not crowded, but on the other hand, the lack of quality defensive OFs is all the more reason Sano should not be playing there.
  3. nytwinsfan
    Ok, sure, no need to trade Plouffe right this second. But Arcia has already had 1.5+ years and Vargas .5 years of performing at this level. Do we wait more than late this summer to see if they continue to hit? And as for Sano, how do we see if he can perform (I assume you mean defensively) at 3rd with Plouffe there? Sure, we can put Plouffe in the outfield in late summer while Sano gives 3rd a try, but by then Rosario and maybe Buxton will be up. And is a month or two of Sano at 3rd enough to know with much certainty whether he will succeed there? He likely won't be as good as his defensive potential there right away. I'm all for trying those things out, and getting as much info as possible, but at some point the coaches are going to have to make a decision on whether they think Sano is going to be an adequate defensive third baseman, and if they think he is, then the decision to trade Plouffe (and if he continues to be a 2.5-3.5 WAR player, then for substantial value) seems like a no-brainer to me.
  4. nytwinsfan
    Great article! If anyone can figure this out, its Brunansky. Here's hoping.
  5. nytwinsfan
    Ok, so who do you take out of the regular lineup then when Sano is ready? Arcia? Mauer? Vargas? Do you put him in the other corner outfield spot with Arcia and make the Twins outfield the worst outfield defense in the history of baseball (only sort of exaggerating). Yes, Sano is fast for his size, but the guy weighs 245+. There is no way he is going to be even an average outfield defender. It's a matter of physics. So where do you play Sano then if you keep Plouffe at 3rd?
  6. nytwinsfan
    I think the Twins trade Plouffe when Sano is ready. Maybe give Plouffe a little time in the outfield if Rosario and Buxton are not ready when Sano is, but Sano is the 3rd baseman of the future. Yes, Sano is good enough that you'll always find him somewhere to play. No question. The reason to put him at 3rd is not to find him somewhere to play, it is so that you can keep Mauer, Vargas, and Arcia in the lineup (and later Minier or Diaz at 1st base). Plouffe is a valuable player, and I like the guy personally, but most of his future value to the Twins will be in a trade. It just makes no sense otherwise.
  7. nytwinsfan
    Great article Seth. Hopefully the Twins let Sano and Buxton decide their own destinies.
  8. nytwinsfan
    Fangraphs seems to generally be of the view that flipping prospects of one position for those of another is not all that difficult. I'm not as convinced that there aren't a decent amount of transaction costs involved.
  9. nytwinsfan
    Very good and fair question.
  10. nytwinsfan
    Dave Cameron, using Kiley's list as a starting point, ranks the Twins the second best farm system after the Cubs, who are way ahead of everyone. http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/taking-a-stab-at-valuing-the-farm-systems/
  11. nytwinsfan
    May would definitely be my first choice. His last couple starts were encouraging, and certainly enough to give him the first shot as the fifth starter. I have a bad feeling though that it will be Milone, or even worse, Pelfrey. If May doesn't start as the 5th starter, I hope they at least put him in the bullpen.
  12. nytwinsfan
    Philly won't do that, at least without us picking up the full tab for Hamels' salary. I might have considered it before signing Santana, but it makes no sense now.
  13. nytwinsfan
    Uggh, both of these were bad deals. Should have gone with a 1-year rental for Brett Anderson instead of Santana. Hope I'm wrong.
  14. nytwinsfan
    If ranking prospects was done entirely on upside, Meyer would have to be third, if not second. But, of course, it isn't, which makes sense. I agree with Nick that Meyer needs to be in the majors by sometime in May, if only in relief.
  15. nytwinsfan
    Also, I've read he's still 17 (or just turned 18), so he's on the younger side of his class, which might mean he is more likely to grow another inch or two still.
  16. nytwinsfan
    Yeah Alonzo Jones sounds great on paper. Not sure why he hasn't gotten top 10 consideration by most scouts. Maybe the bat is unproven despite the tools?
  17. nytwinsfan
    I agree about the Santana contract. I think the Hughes extension, while maybe not a top 10, was really good though.
  18. nytwinsfan
    Interesting that he has Garver (24) ahead of Turner (28). Also, no Diaz or Minier yet, although I thought he has said in the past that he doesn't like ranking players that haven't made it a full season at Elizabethton in his top 40, unless they are really great. So will he have Minier or Diaz in his top 20?
  19. nytwinsfan
    Of relevance to Polanco (remember, the guy this thread is supposed to be about?), it seems he did really really well in Winter Ball: http://www.baseballamerica.com/minors/baseballist-dozen-players-monitor-big-winter-ball-performances/ A future middle-infield fixture for the Twins, Polanco showed the broad set of skills—feel to hit, gap power, strike-zone discipline—in the DL that make him a top prospect. Perhaps just as significantly, he played only one game at shortstop for Escogido, while spending most of his time as the double-play partner for former Twins shortstop Pedro Florimon. AVG G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB OBP SLG .326 23 89 12 29 4 3 1 6 12 15 3 .412 .472
  20. nytwinsfan
    Normally Hunter's shtick sort of annoys me, but at this point with Hicks, may as well give it a shot. Also, good to see that Hunter realizes he wasn't paid $10 million just for his bat (or his fielding) and is taking on his role as mentor as a full-time job.
  21. nytwinsfan
    I agree with Shane. First, the farm system is plenty strong, and will be even after Buxton, Sano, and Meyer are in the big leagues. Second, if we flip Polanco, it should be in another year or two when we know what we have in Santana, Dozier (who is, let's face it, old for a 3rd-year player) and Gordon for that matter, and what we need to become a contender (catcher, defensive outfielder, fourth starter, etc.). Third, Polanco just came off a rough patch in AA, so now we would be trading at his nadir. Let's at least let him regress (upwards) to his ability. Fourth, in 2016 or 17, whenever Polanco gets to the big leagues, he'll have plenty of time to play. A utility infielder gets a lot of starts, and injuries happen. Polanco is also, by all accounts, a focused guy with great makeup, so I'm sure he can handle playing as a utility infielder and not playing every day until someone inevitably gets injured. The value of having Polanco rather than Nunez as our utility infielder (and a pinch hitter/runner) is significant. Escobar is more a trade candidate in my opinion, especially if he comes close to his performance last year.
  22. nytwinsfan
    Completely agree.
  23. nytwinsfan
    Great article and perspective. Thanks!
  24. nytwinsfan
    Hopefully Rosario won't be there long, not only because I hope he will be in the majors (that too), but because Kepler should be playing defense in the outfield, which is where his future is.
  25. nytwinsfan
    Jeeeeez, Diaz, Minier, Gonsalves,Thorpe, and mystery 2015 Draft 6th pick give me hope that even when the current crop of prospects has largely graduated (except Gordon and Stewart I guess) we'll still have a top tier farm system.
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