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nytwinsfan

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Everything posted by nytwinsfan

  1. nytwinsfan
    Completely agree, with the caveat that as soon as you are comfortable with Sano at 3rd for at least a few years, we should trade Plouffe.
  2. nytwinsfan
    If Sano's defense is bad, then yes, but I think it has more to do with Sano's defense than Plouffe's, because if Sano is at all serviceable at third, he needs to be there. Otherwise you are kicking Mauer or Vargas out of the lineup.
  3. nytwinsfan
    But the only reason that situation would arise would probably be if they were not sure about Sano's future at 3rd, in which case they would want to get him reps at third to make that deterimination. If they are sure about Sano at third, they trade Plouffe.
  4. nytwinsfan
    I think people generally agree the Twins would be able to deal Plouffe (and in the scenario where he is playing well, for quite a bit). The question is what happens if the Twins are not yet certain whether Sano can stick at third, and so it is risky to trade Plouffe until we know how Sano will do at 3rd.
  5. nytwinsfan
    Ok, well, (1) Sano may be up before the rosters are expanded (I certainly hope he is), and (2) even assuming the Twins are not in contention (a good assumption), you still want Sano and Plouffe to both be playing pretty regularly, to get a feel for Sano and to keep Plouffe's trade value high. But that's fair, and may make it less of a problem.
  6. nytwinsfan
    Also, related to Sano, there are tons of tweets from spring training of Sano's power being prodigious. Great. But I have only seen one tweet about his fielding generally (the gist of which he might even bigger than a year ago and thus, speculatively, too big to play third) and not a single tweet about how his arm looks. Is he making throws from third? If so, is he taking it easy (per the team or doctor) or is he letting them fly? This seems like the biggest, most important issue of all, and none of the reports I follow on twitter seem to be mentioning or discussing it. If anyone has seen tweets or reports about his arm/throwing, I would love to be pointed to them.
  7. nytwinsfan
    I guess I don't understand why that's not a problem "this year?" It won't be a problem at the beginning of the year, but it will once they bring (or want to bring) Sano up later in the year. Right? Isn't later in the season "this year?" What am I missing here?
  8. nytwinsfan
    Fantastic problem to have. I think the first and most important question is whether they think Sano will be able to handle 3B for at least the next couple of years. If so, then they trade Plouffe. If they are unsure, then there is a tricky situation where they need to get Sano reps at 3B but keep Plouffe for the short-term, perhaps playing outfield (platooning with Arcia or Rosario).
  9. nytwinsfan
    From all accounts, Perkins' would be great in this role.
  10. nytwinsfan
    Thanks for that info. Kiley McDaniel at Fangraphs talked about some of the 2015-16 international prospects a few weeks ago (and has a new, updated post based on personal observations in DR coming out early next week): http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/scouting-the-top-2015-july-2nd-prospects/ He spoke about Wander Javier quite a bit, and mentioned Soto near the end, but didn't mention Martinez.
  11. nytwinsfan
    Jeremy, I know its early yet, but I'd be interested to hear your thoughts on Dillon Tate. He seems to have great stuff and athleticism and is blowing up in 2015 draft discussions. Also, how can you not love those frames he wears?
  12. nytwinsfan
    Excellent analysis. I'm hopeful the Twins will take a shot at Alvarez and go over their bonus allotment during the next international signing period.
  13. nytwinsfan
    Excuse my ignorance, but don't you want your changeup to be slower, all things being equal (i.e. assuming it looks just as much like a fastball to the batter)? That's what I always understood, but I'm probably wrong. Maybe if it is too much slower, then it is easier for the batter to detect the difference early enough to correct for it? I'm honestly not sure.
  14. nytwinsfan
    Buxton seems to be very level-headed and wise beyond his years. Great to see. I think the audio is available here, which I am now going to listen to before getting back to work. http://www.1500espn.com/pages/sportswire.php?aID=4802 Highly recommend the audio. One funny (in retrospect) thing is that Buxton says the first thing he thought when he woke up after the collision was how he had just struck out three times.
  15. nytwinsfan
    For completeness sake, his colleague, Jim Callis, picked the Cubs. Both agree the top three are the Twins, Cubs, and Red Sox.
  16. nytwinsfan
    There aren't currently any catchers projected near the top 10, so that seems unlikely. Chris Betts, around number 15-20, is the closest. Unless he really heats up, that seems like a huge reach. This draft is stacked with college pitchers, so that is quite possible as well.
  17. nytwinsfan
    It appears that due to MLB's "registration system," both Yadier Alvarez and Vladimir Gutierrez, another young promising Cuban pitching prospect will not be able to sign with a MLB team until after July 2, 2015. This is like good news for the chances of the Twins signing either Alvarez or Gutierrez. http://www.baseballamerica.com/international/vladimir-gutierrez-yadier-alvares-cant-sign-july-2/ Because they cannot sign until after July 2, this means that Angels, Diamondbacks, Rays, Red Sox and Yankees (and any other team that signs Moncada, such as the Dodgers or Padres), won't be in on either of them, since they will be barred from spending more than $300 K on any young international prospect. Given the previous rumors of the Twins going over their allotted bonus in the 2015-16 international signing period, I would love to see them take a shot at one or both of Alvarez & Gutierrez. If we are going to incur the two-year penalty, the Twins might as well get, in addition to a bunch of unproven 16-year olds, a high-upside pitcher who is 19, and therefore (1) closer to the majors, and (2), has more established, less risky stuff (although obviously still risky compared to a college pitcher taken in the draft).
  18. nytwinsfan
    Thanks a lot Seth. Someone remind me again why we are moving Arcia to left field?
  19. nytwinsfan
    Since we hear so much about the Twins' outfield defense (or the lack thereof), given what you've seen and heard of the young guys, in what order would you rate Arcia, Hicks, Kepler, Walker, Harrison and Rosario in terms of outfield defense (based on ability to run down and catch balls -- putting aside arm, although would love to hear about that as well). I'm excited about the fact that we have six guys that have high potential, and feel like at least one or two is likely to turn into an average or above average major leaguer (arguably Arcia already has).
  20. nytwinsfan
    I'm not sure what you're saying, but my point is that Sano has a better chance of being a 3rd baseman with decent defense than he does being an outfielder with decent defense. All the evidence (including his 250 pounds which will make him slow in the outfield, strong arm, and quick hands) points to that. And we don't want Sano playing 1st or DH and taking at bats away from Vargas and Mauer (I personally might be ok with him taking ABs away from Mauer, but it isn't going to happen). So those are our options. By all means, let's wait awhile and make sure Sano is back on track from his injury, but assuming that once he shakes off any rust he continues to rake, then the choice is an easy one. Trade Plouffe, whose bat probably won't play in a corner outfield position other than as a platoon against lefties.
  21. nytwinsfan
    Ok, thanks. If all of those factual predicates are indeed true, then I would expect his Ks to go up some in the future as he incorporates more of his non-fastball pitches, especially his slider, into his game.
  22. nytwinsfan
    I personally am most excited for Buxton's first inside the park homerun, which would be more exciting than either a 3B or HR.
  23. nytwinsfan
    I keep hearing conflicting things about whether, and if so, why, Stewart hasn't been using his slider. (1) Do we know definitively that he really was not using it, or intentionally using it sparingly, or has this been determined to be just a rumor? (2) If he was using it less often, do we know why? Was it to focus on other pitches, was it to reduce the chance of injury, or was it because it wasn't very good (which would contradict everything else I've heard about it). People are constantly citing the non-use of the slider as a reason for low strikeouts, but I've also heard others say it is untrue or overstated.
  24. nytwinsfan
    I remember reading this two years ago, before Buxton showed he had the hit tool that BA just ranked a 70, and this portion in particular stood out as being prophetic about his hit tool (and overall ability): http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/like-aaron-hicks-buxton-will-require-patience/ "Buxton’s hand eye coordination is worth mentioning as well. One advantage of arriving at the park four hours before first pitch is the ability to observe everything. In Elizabethton, young Twins players emerged from the locker room early to play a game. The game began with them standing in a circle with a ball in each hand. Then, a round of pseudo-juggling would ensue with players quickly passing a ball to free a hand to catch an incoming ball. When a ball was dropped, the player was out. Watching Buxton dominate the game was a thing to behold. In a test of peripheral vision, hand speed and hand eye coordination, the teenage phenom was infallible and far above a handful of teammates considered to be legitimate prospects in their own right."
  25. nytwinsfan
    "Indians outfielder Clint Frazier and Twins righthander Kohl Stewart both just missed because too many scouts who saw them this year were a little disappointed with how these 2013 first-round picks looked in their full-season debuts." http://www.baseballamerica.com/minors/ask-ba-missed-top-100/ "Also, Rays catcher Justin O’Conner (great arm, but still has work to do at the plate), Twins shortstop Jorge Polanco (how much impact will he make?), Padres catcher Austin Hedges (exceptional defense, but the bat has stagnated) and White Sox second baseman Micah Johnson (needs to show his speed has returned after hamstring issues) also ended up just on the outside looking in." Note, they clarify that both Stewart and Polanco were in the next 15 that just missed.
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