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nytwinsfan

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Everything posted by nytwinsfan

  1. nytwinsfan
    I think the answer is "we don't know what their biggest need is, because we don't know what they have yet." That is just the nature of having so many prospects on the cusp. But if I had to say, I'd say corner outfield, catcher, and left-handed pitching (that will be ready anytime soon).
  2. nytwinsfan
    Yes, assuming Liriano looks like he has his $hit together and has been doing his arm exercises over the winter.
  3. nytwinsfan
    Depends if the Twins think he was playing above his head last year. If they do, trade him now. If not, don't trade him unless someone offers a lot. Just playing at the same level as last year will increase his value, because it seems like a lot of teams think he was playing above his head last year. Plus it would be much better to trade him in June when we have a sense of whether Santana can handle SS.
  4. nytwinsfan
    Actually, the whole idea of regression to the mean is that you should assume regression. Of course, some prospects do really exceed their perceived expected potential, and Escobar, Santana, and Schafer will hopefully be some of them. But unless he drops his strikeouts dramatically, Santana in particular is not likely to maintain his current production, at least from an Avg. perspective (I could believe that he improves his walk rate though), because his BABIP is a ridiculously unsustainable .405. This article explains how incredibly hard (or really, impossible) that is to maintain, even for someone as fast and line-drive prone as Santana: http://fantasyalbatross.com/2015/01/15/beware-of-danny-santana-babip-regression/ That being said, Santana is a great asset to have, and could turn into a very solid player, especially if he can stick at short defensively, which all reports suggest he has the potential to do.
  5. nytwinsfan
    Ok, yeah, then I agree with you.
  6. nytwinsfan
    Which Kyle? Funkhouser has been pretty mediocre so far, and even before that, a lot of people thought he was bound for relief.
  7. nytwinsfan
    Isn't the flip side of this that (1) the Twins' defense is pretty awful and/or (2) the Twins pitching staff was very unlucky last year? Otherwise I don't understand how this makes any sense.
  8. nytwinsfan
    Thanks Seth. These are awesome reports.
  9. nytwinsfan
    If you've seen Javier play, especially if you have experience as a scout, I think I can speak for everyone here in saying we would LOVE for you to elaborate more on your thoughts about his potential.
  10. nytwinsfan
    Yeah, pretty sure you are correct, they could make it to $4 million with just the 5% overage, not incurring any penalties but taxes. Someone pointed this out to Kiley on Fangraphs as well. That being said, it isn't like the Twins not to sign at least a few smaller bonus, less well known international prospects, so I would expect them to trade for more bonus. It shouldn't be too hard, especially this year where at least five teams cannot spend more than $300 K on anyone due to penalties from previous years, and thus may be more willing than usual to trade excess bonus.
  11. nytwinsfan
    You forgot current college starter who we draft at #6.
  12. nytwinsfan
    What sites do you guys use to follow HS ball? Seems like the coverage is (understandably) a lot lighter than college.
  13. nytwinsfan
    Also keep an eye on Kentucky's Kyle Cody, his 3.43 ERA masks a sub 1.00 WHIP, a .192 avg. against, great peripherals (26K only 3 BB in 21 innings) and he has the build (6'7'' 245 lbs.). He also throws 97 mph.
  14. nytwinsfan
    Good point. He probably meant to say above "MLB regular" level, which is widely accepted to be around 2 WAR. But yeah, agree, overall this wasn't that enlightening a piece.
  15. nytwinsfan
    Umm, Kiley doesn't do this series. It is Marc Hulet. Still interesting though.
  16. nytwinsfan
    Thanks Seth. To the extent possible, I personally would like to hear about: (1) Max Kepler, whether he and the Twins coaches expect his power to return and whether they think its absence was a function of his injuries (he seems to have done everything else well); seems to me if his power returns, he has all the other tools to be an excellent corner outfielder with above-average defense and OBP; (2) Anything you can learn about Molitor's views and philosophy on platooning; (3) whether Arcia, Vargas, and Santana (those 3 in particular) are working on trying to be more selective at the plate (Vargas has a history of doing so in the minors, the others not as much), and whether the coaches are working with them/encouraging them to do that; Thanks again!
  17. nytwinsfan
    Agreed as to Hughes, and maybe Santana too. But as to Nolasco, Gibson, Meyer, May, etc. . . .
  18. nytwinsfan
    Soudns like a great guy, and a lot of the younger pitchers (Thorpe, Stewart, Gonsalves) seem to really like him and his work with them, which is important. Any ideas why his offensive production jumped so much from 2013 to 2014? He's 24, so hopefully Terry Ryan will be willing to move him from Fort Myers to Chattanooga mid-year if he continues to hit at the levels he was hitting last year. Suzuki is only here until 2016, Pinto is not guaranteed to stick at Catcher, and Turner's bat is questionable at best. Garver sounds like he might be the Twins' catching prospect with the best chance to be a contributor on both sides of the ball.
  19. nytwinsfan
    Also, besides slugging (which is a big difference), Hicks will realistically be playing corner outfield for the Twins after this year (if he is playing for them at all). A corner outfield has a higher expectation for hitting than a 2B. True, HIcks will be a good defender for a corner outfielder, but he would have to be incredibly good to make up for his slugging, or lack thereof.
  20. nytwinsfan
    I think it is way too early to say that, and I think part of the point of Parker's two articles with regard to defense were that Pinto (1) is not as bad as he seems, and (2) to the extent he is below average, there is potential for improvement. As for his bat, I think it will be fine. His bat has been above average for a catcher, even if you just look at last year. I also think he is likely to improve on last year's adequate .705 OPS going forward.
  21. nytwinsfan
    I definitely agree that Plouffe was "very good", but only for the past year. If he continues to play at the level he played last year, then great! All the better the return we will get when we trade him!
  22. nytwinsfan
    Agreed. My only qualifications would be that there is a good chance someone else (Rosario, Kepler, or FA) is going to be batting in Hicks' spot against most right-handed pitchers, and there is a chance Polanco will have replaced Santana, and Santana will have become a super-utility guy.
  23. nytwinsfan
    Since this is a prospect discussion, a little tidbit about Buxton's offseason: Got Milk?
  24. nytwinsfan
    Speaking of Buxton, Got Milk? EDIT: That is a lot of milk! I hope he consulted with Joe Mauer about what kind of milk to drink.
  25. nytwinsfan
    I would agree Aiken would rank 3rd, unless Meyer starts of the year in AAA scorching hot (i.e. goes into the 7th routinely and drops his walk rate to 2.5 per 9 innings). I would probably put Javier down at like 15-20, just because I think there is so much risk with a 16 yo, and as Parker pointed out, his swing needs a lot of work.
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