I'm not sure why we are worried about cost effective for a 2-3 year deal for a RP.....they are flush with money, and every single veteran on the roster (3?) is a FA after next year. It's about picking the right 1-2 guys, not about money. Even for a mid market team, given the context of their current players, they can afford 1-2 "expensive" RPs imo. As for variability, that is largely driven by sample size issues. It doesn't take many bad breaks, when you only pitch 40-60 innings, to have bad outcomes. I'm happy to read someone that thinks they can develop RPs (based on what history), and that those players will somehow be more consistent and better than guys that have been successful. Or, do they need to pick all new RPs every year, since it is variable?