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Mike Sixel

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Everything posted by Mike Sixel

  1. ha! Either I typed that wrong, or you read that wrong......and I hope I'm wrong.
  2. They have discussed other roles for him.....is that awkward? I'd think that would be awkward....
  3. My money is on: 1. Phillies 2. White Sox 3. Yankees 4. Dodgers 100. Twins
  4. Given that the Phillies had a historically bad defense, I think you are correct......
  5. I agree on Gibson, with Garver a close 2nd......which begs the question of why Garver didn't play more last year..... I predict Buxton wins next year....
  6. We don't know that yet......but I agree, it seems unlikely he's a future star. But neither is Mauer......
  7. Austin is 25, Mauer is 35. One can play 140 games a year, one has not played over 100 at 1B hardly at all...... And yes, we may be sick of Austin by then, but he also makes the league minimum, and there is no emotional attachment by the team/fans, so he can be cut or traded or whatever...... They literally could not be less alike in terms of their future and their cost (both money and opportunity).
  8. Last off season the Brewers went and got good / very good MLB players...... I'd rather the Twins follow that model, than sign a bunch of mediocre, just above replacement level, players. Either that or just go young and move on. Mauer does nothing for me. Adams is just a dh/1b.....they don't need more of those, not with Austin and Rooker and maybe Sano.......
  9. Signing a 1b/dh only international FA, when they had the most (or third, can't recall) money.....bad decision. They had a run of : Gordon, Jay, Stewart all in the top 10.....there is still hope for Gordon, and squinty hope for Stewart....I doubt Jay pitches one pitch for the Twins. Before Buxton, they had Levi Michael. That's 4 of 5 first round picks that are not so good yet...... But, they have to do better....much better. The last few drafts certainly look better than Jay or Stewart ever did....so that's good. But I don't think it's true that they did a good job of identifying picks.....
  10. Given the record over the last decade.....something isn't working. That seems pretty objective to me. In context, they've failed for some time.
  11. Grossman with his third straight year of being almost exactly replacement level.... I hope he's not back. Berrios, OTOH, nice. And Cave too, very nice.
  12. Anyone watch any of the new network shows? I don't think we've even turned on network tv, other than golf this fall....
  13. Motley Fool has one of their advice/sales calls on Wednesday talking about marijuana companies. I think they believe lots of money is there, lots. I'll let you know...
  14. Because you don't wait until all your ducks are in a row to add talent. Ramos is probably a three year deal....so he's here and good when those young guys are here and good.....Or should they just sit on all the money this year, and next year, until the moon and stars align?
  15. This one seems to show the other! https://www.baseballprospectus.com/news/article/28506/baseball-therapy-is-there-a-times-through-the-order-penalty/ https://www.baseballprospectus.com/news/article/22156/baseball-proguestus-everything-you-always-wanted-to-know-about-the-times-through-the-order-penalty/ this one rebuts the first one, politely... https://mglbaseball.com/2016/02/29/does-familiarity-breed-contempt-or-is-fatigue-not-the-best-pillow/
  16. Research shows it is almost totally familiarity, and not fatigue. So, rigid. Plus, they got what they want/need.....6 innings from the primary.
  17. If your strategy is to mostly build thru the draft, and not spend big on FAs or trade minor league stars for veterans.....you MUST be better than other teams are, or you are destined for mediocrity. So being "just like other teams" isn't good enough for this kind of team. It just isn't.
  18. The data is pretty clear....there is very little difference in scooping ability between legit 1B......now they need to find a 1B (or Austin needs to field better). Mauer, in his prime, was a treat to watch hit. I miss those days, and I hope he retires so he stays as healthy as he can be for him and his family.
  19. It certainly isn't luck based, not entirely. I think people confuse predictability and variance with luck a lot.......but there is some luck even in the models, as it were. Early picks consistently outperform later picks, indicating that it isn't just random at all....Of course things are quantified, I suggest visiting Fangraphs' new prospect page, where they talk about how they rank minor league players....that gets into both the scouting and the statistics that are used. Jay being this bad is a shock. I thought he'd at least be a good RP by now....I don't fault the Stewart pick at all really. And no, you can't just trade for them a year later. No one is trading a guy 1 year into the minors that looks like a star, not unless you are giving up a very good/great MLB player. How many of those can you give up. Of course you have to pay draft picks....
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