I can buy that answer, but you are being extremely optimistic about Berrios and Duffey, and extremely pessimistic that Lester will suddenly decline, despite much if any evidence. And remember we are also arguing about organizational philosophy too. In other words, Berrios is still a minor league pitcher, and Duffey gets no "scholarship" going into 2016. Those guys will have to beat out any Mike Pelfreys that Ryan decides to sign for 2016, not to mention the #3-5 types who are already on staff (Gibson, Milone, Nolasco) etc and who have the inside edge.