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Jham

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Everything posted by Jham

  1. Jham
    G f'n D. I was crossing my fingers this was Rand ball Stu.
  2. Jham
    I feel like a number of good ideas have spring from this site. Use of options for relievers like extra roster spots and position flexibility were pushed for on this site, and those suggestions actually made there way to the rosters. Whether or not anyone else actually follows along, what a great community of baseball fans!
  3. Jham
    I remember him crediting Rowson with his turn around. Told him that he could hit homers and shouldn't be afraid to swing out.
  4. Jham
    Ok... I think I may have figured or why we're disagreeing. The final $22 million of that contract isn't guaranteed. Almost half of it. Year 6 is a vesting option that almost certainly benefits the team. Year 7 is a team option, which again, is only picked up if it benefits the team. His AAV the team is on the hook for is just over $5mil/yr for 5 years. And it's back loaded sho he doesn't even get the benefit of present value (imagine the Twins investing his remaining contract vs Polanco investing from day 1). For the record, I wasn't saying it wasn't a fair deal at the time. I'm questioning whether we'll still consider it a fair deal going forward and for how long.
  5. Jham
    The type of secondary lead you're talking about leads to pick offs. happened to Garve sauce, what, 2 3 weeks ago? The play is to freeze and return. You anticipate the ball in the dirt, you don't presume it.
  6. Jham
    If he's cool making a fourth of what he's worth because the Twins took advantage of their leverage (rookie deals Polanco didn't get to negotiate), them good for him. Pro athletes are competitive by nature. History indicates few players are able to ignore being underpaid in relation to performance. Other players watch how our management treats players and negotiations. Polanco is one of our best players. Maybe he'll be happy with the deal going forward, maybe not. But the situation should be on the radar, imo.
  7. Jham
    Gloating over a lopsided deal makes zero sense either. The terms you described are exactly the terms that could leave Polanco very very frustrated. Think Berrios and Buxton, for instance, notice? My only point is that taking your best players isn't likely to help you much. What do you do if you're Polanco or his agent?
  8. Jham
    I'm only disagreeing on the "great job" part. They inherited much of flexibility. Some of the other flexibility is their own inability to negotiate other extensions. Moreover, valuing flexibility over stability has it's own costs. Like stock piling prospects and shedding payroll, flexibility is only good if you use it. Historically this ownership group...
  9. Jham
    I actually somewhat disagree here. Mauer, Santana, and Hughes came off. That has nothing to do with the FO. Instead of extending Escobar, they traded him for 2 semi-prospects and signed a more expensive worse replacement in Marwin. (slight hindsight). Traded Presley who was also extended cheaply by his new team. Arguably, they cost the team money. JoPo and Kep are great contracts. But perhaps almost too good. If I'm Polanco I'm looking for the next contact already or asking for a trade to a team that will re-extend. This year we have flexibility to add and somewhat squandered it. I suspect extensions and raises will eat up much of the money coming off the books. It is extremely doubtful in my opinion that we can field as strong a team next year as this year without overhauling the budget. The model of aiming for windows has proven itself to be very risky and volatile. We have everyone reaching their prime production at the same time (great!) but also set to get expensive at the same time (not great). Replace 2 of Gibby, Pineda, and Odo with Smeltzer, Stewart, Thorpe, Gonsalves, or Romero and I do not think we're leading the division, and certainly not a threat in the playoffs. If they can make the right extensions and still add to this team, I'll change my mind, but they failed on extending Berrios, Rosario, and Buxton already at least once. They never offered Gibby, Pineda, or Odo, and they seem to be sticking to the old regime's antiquated policy of no negotiations in season. IMO, a Rosie, Gibby, or Odo extension would be an uplifting wind in the sails for this team and for their fans right now.
  10. Jham
    oops, there goes gravity...
  11. Jham
    The league will adjust to Arraez and Astudillo was already showing signs of adjusting back. He just needs to stay healthy. Talent is talent. Both have elite contact skills. Astudillo will need to show some discipline or get nothing but junk. Arraez will have to show some pull power or get pinched defenses. I think both will adjust because of the elite bat to ball skillset makes it easier to adjust.
  12. Jham
    You really think no other team will beat that offer?
  13. Jham
    If we haven't used Jake Reed, we'll never use him. Free Duran.
  14. Jham
    Free Duran! The big club needs your fastball! He threw 62 innings in 2017. 100 last season. He's got 62 innings this year. He should be in line for 120 innings. He has to be added to the 40 after this season. I get not wanting to make a 40 man addition until the trade deadline. But he's a likely target of a trade and I'd like to see if he's useable before being traded. I also think it maximizes his value as an asset. He'd certainly generate some buzz. If he doesn't perform, he can be part of the Rochester shuttle.
  15. Jham
    Probably easier to just taste in your twins gear and cheer for the Mets... Any team with degrom, thor, and wheeler has a chance if they get can get in. And if not, that's not a tear-down. That's a keep adding scenario. Only way to get Degrom or Thor is to offer multiple prospects who figure to be at least that good in the next couple years. I don't think we have any players like that. Not even Lewis.
  16. Jham
    Duran is likely a bullpen arm. I want him with the big club this season. Righties like Stanton, Judge, Springer and Altuve await. Our best reliever is a lefty. We need the level of dominance he may have.
  17. Jham
    League will adjust. He'll have to adjust back. that slap to left will get taken away and he'll have to pull with power more. his plate coverage suggests he'll adjust, but we said that about Mauer. still gotta do it.
  18. Jham
    I'd add hilde to that list, and maybe May but yeah. It's past time.
  19. Jham
    1) Duffey has a slider and 95mph fastball to go with his curve arsenal. 2) #freejhoanduran whip barely over 1. opponent ops .618. throws 100 mph now. No idea what he'll throw in 4 years if he blows a ucl and loses a year rehabbing.
  20. Jham
    Jhoan Duran, please. He can go back to starting next season.
  21. Jham
    Parker, great article. In your Kepler analysis from last year (a follow up on that would be awesome) we discussed wrists/ hands vs. shoulder and barrel turn. It seems that guys like Mauer and rosie could drop down for lower pitches while also getting on top of high fastballs because of a very quick barrel turn. Kepler was very gettable up on the zone. Has he improved? I don't know if barrel turn is a skill that can be taught with a total retooling. To me, simple fixes first. 1) What's your feeling on axe handled bats? 2) His swing plane is much less extreme going to right center. Maybe focus on that approach.
  22. Jham
    You can say that again...
  23. Jham
    Doggone, if he could stick to driving the ball to right, I think he'd be just fine. smooths out the extreme uppercut.
  24. Jham
    I mean I wasn't the one saying he's "only 29". But when you debut young as a phenom arm, sustain a high level of regular season and post season success, there's just not a ton of comps... Bumgarner's showing signs of wear, perhaps. That's what reminds me of Zito. (team probably brings it to mind as well). Lincecum comes to mind for the same reasons. The drop off can come at 29 was my point. That said, I think your underlying point is that the evidence isn't suggesting a precipitous fall or an otherwise aging pitcher. And I would agree.
  25. Jham
    Debuted at 19 though. Compare with Barry Zito. https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/z/zitoba01.shtml
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