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  1. Sano gets no respect. Sure Abreu was phenomenal during last year's 60 game season. Let's not forget that just two years ago Sano's wRC+ was 20 pts higher than Abreu and Abreu is at the age where he will likely start to decline. Just saying that portraying it as a landslide ignores that Sano has already had 2 seasons that were better than Abreu. Sano is also in his prime and Abreu is 34. Would I bet on Sano over Abreu? Heck no but I would not be shocked if Sano bounced back to 2019 form.
  2. IF Dobnak can put hitters away .... He will goes as deep as any other starter we have. I don't have statistics to support this but it sure seems like he gets into a lot of long battles after getting ahead of a hitter. Of course, some of those guys get on and a 4 or 5 pitch AB turns into 8-10 pitches plus he has to face an extra hitter. I think a dominant out pitch makes Dobnak a different SP. They could use Shoemaker and Thorpe as long relievers or stack them if one of the other SPs goes down with an injury. Their depth could be a big deal after a 2020 seasons when innings were a fraction of normal.
  3. From MLB Rumors ... More from the relief pitching beat… Tyler Clippard didn’t retire any of seven batters faced during yesterday’s outing, and the Diamondbacks said the veteran reliever was suffering from right shoulder discomfort. “He just felt the discomfort as the inning was building,” manager Torey Lovullo told MLB.com’s Steve Gilbert and other reporters, adding that more will be known about Clippard’s condition after examinations from team trainers. Clippard signed a one-year deal worth $2.25MM in guaranteed money last month, and is expected to work as a setup man behind Joakim Soria or perhaps grab some save opportunities himself. [uPDATE: Clippard is getting an MRI on his shoulder, The Athletic’s Zach Buchanan tweets.]
  4. That's it ... A lot of projections only list Maeda's base salary. With Maeda at $9M it comes out to $129M.
  5. I am starting to believe this tweak has given Dobnak a plus pitch. We have all seen Dobnak’s inability to put guys away hurt him so it’s not hard to imagine this having a dramatic effect on Dobnak’s position in the rotation. If this turns him into a solid 3 or potentially a 2, I am not putting him in the pen so that Shoemaker has a spot. Shoemaker is 1yr $2M dollar guy. We would get plenty use out of him pitching 2-3 innings out of the pen. Six quality SPs and a handful of good prospects knocking at the door. Is this really the MN Twins?
  6. I am rooting for Garlick to keep it up. Kirilloff and Larnach have not proven they are ready and we should not assume a month at AAA is all they need. If Garlick made the team ... Worst case scenario is he does not keep it going and he is replaced by Kirilloff / Rooker or Larnach. Best case scenario he hits like he did in AAA and this spring. We trade him or Kepler or both if and when the others force their way onto the team. That's a high-class problem!
  7. Since 2018 Kepler's wRC+ is 109 which is the average for all MLB corner OFers. This happens to be the same as Eddie Rosario who seems to be regarded as the better offensive player. Over the last 2 years Kepler's wRC+ is above league average at 118 / Rosario 105. Not bad if Kepler can reproduce the 118 and play great defense.
  8. How many people thought Wisler was an important addition? We have a couple additions with at least as much ceiling as Wisler. We also don't know how the prospects looked last year. Therefore, we don't know how they fit into the plan. The FO might be confident that a couple prospects are ready to contribute. Canterino and his improved velocity might start out in the pen. Perhaps they have made the decision to use Colina in the BP at least to start. Chalmers could also be a factor if he managed to improved his command during his time in St. Paul. I would much rather see them establish a prospect or prospects than go with what's left on the FA market.
  9. How about putting him between Cruz and Donaldson?
  10. Fangraphs has him at 70/70. He seems like a guy who could jump up in the rankings if he develops a little more pop. Kind of a switch hitting Ben Revere. This is going to be a really interesting season to follow Twins prospect. There are lots of guys like Maciel who could start knocking at the big league door.
  11. I was just thinking the same thing. It's not like Kepler is hurting us but it's also not hard to imagine two of Kirilloff, Larnach, Rooker occupying the corner OF spots and perhaps all three with Rooker splitting time between OF / 1B & DH. Best case scenario they get more production out of one of the prospects, save some money to be applied elsewhere and get a return for Kepler. That's the kind of scenario that puts a team in contention. We can hope, right?
  12. I think you read it incorrectly. SS ranks 2nd worst. I rearranged them highest to lowest. The up the middle positions C / CF / SS / 2B are the lowest four. --- Ave / NL / AL 1B - 114 117 111 RF - 109 109 109 DH - 106 93 107 LF - 106 109 102 3B - 102 103 101 CF - 99 100 99 2B - 95 96 95 SS - 90 88 91 C - 88 89 88
  13. This link shows wRC+ by position from 2000-2018. We would all like to have one of these superstars in CF but they are exceptional and therefore exceptions not the rule. The fact is that CFers don't hit as well as corner OFers. https://www.reddit.com/r/baseball/comments/9nbhjb/2018_league_average_wrc_by_position/
  14. Fix what? At this point its pure speculation. If the adjustment in question makes a significant difference he will be on the ML club. It might not be in a tradition starting role but he will have a significant role. Also keep in mind they are paying Shoemaker RP money. They are not going to stash Dobnak for a guy on a 1 yr $2M contract. They could just as easily use Shoemaker in long relief. I presume that flexibility was part of the grand design. So, let's not get ahead of ourselves and see how this plays out.
  15. The whole point was Springer's durability has value. Is it fair to say Two players who produce the same when the both play are not of the same value to the team when one plays far less? This comparison makes no sense unless your position or Buxton's position is that we should not consider the injury / playing time component because he is no longer going to be injury prone. BTW ... Buxton's WAR production is still only 68% of Springer's WAR per game. You have illustrated why it could be difficult to sign Buxton to an extension. Buxton and his agent might think he is Springer's equivalent.
  16. He has according to CBS Sports. https://www.cbssports.com/mlb/players/playerpage/2117130/lewis-thorpe
  17. Dobnak and Thorpe are nice surprises this spring. Every team is going to need a little more depth this year. I still not completely sold on Thorpe but Dobnak could be quite good if he has come up with an out pitch. With a little luck this team is going to have a lot of homegrown pitching for the next several years. What a change that would be!!!
  18. Since 2016 Springer has produced 20.8 WAR / Buxton 9.0. Springer is durable and Buxton is not. Springer is also a significantly better hitter. I don't think Springer is a reasonable comp.
  19. I am not so much worried that they would want Kirilloff as much as the overall package (especially pitching) required. Top SPs generally require really good pitching going back. The Rays got a great pitching prospect in Patino who is a top 20 prospect (60 FV) as well as Cole Wilcox (50 FV). Wilcox is The Rays 8th rated prospect and he would be top 5 on a lot of teams. They also got Blake Hunter and Francisco Mejia. Of course, they play a premium position and have 50FVs as catchers. Larnach / Balazovic / Duran and Celestino or Jeffers would be pretty close to wjhat the Rays got for Snell. While Snell was great in 2018, Castillo has produced 2X the WAR over the past two years. I am sure some will disagree but I would rather have Castillo and I think the ask would be even higher.
  20. Which SPs that have been traded in the past 5-10 years should we consider as benchmarks? It would be interesting to look at the packages traded.
  21. Your portrayal was that they "aren't going to trade any top 20 prospects". To come back with they "didn't give up 4 or 5 players/ draft picks" demonstrates you understand how badly your original statement misrepresented the situation.
  22. It would not make sense to give up Castillo unless the Reds were going into a full rebuild. I doubt they would do that at this point. If they did, the haul would have top be enormous and centered around more than 1 high end prospect. What have similar trades looked like? It would take something like Lewis or Kirilloff + Balazovic or Duran + Wallner + Bailey and they might require a package with more pitching. Any package that does not really hurt our future won't be enough to get Castillo.
  23. I think you are right. They are going to ask for Kirilloff + a good SP prospect. Probably Kirilloff + Balazovic or Duran.+ another top 25 prospect like will Holland. I doubt they accept Canterino in place of Balazovic or Duran.
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