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Major League Ready

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Everything posted by Major League Ready

  1. Major League Ready
    I would rather extend or resign Berrios. However, it is possible we could develop enough pitching over the next couple years to cover up his departure. CF is much more questionable. Celestino is our only real hope so his ascension would be crucial. We could possibly afford both if we develop enough pitching and Lewis becomes the SS we all hope he can be. Trading Sano in a year or two would also facilitate keeping both.
  2. Major League Ready
    The disconnect here is not that I want Thad Levine's job, I have had that job and Falvey's job, just in a different industry. They are not my hero. They are peers which is why I don't appreciate the constant references the FO being "boneheads". It's not hero worship. I am just certain the guy that does not get it is you.
  3. Major League Ready
    So, in other words, you don't want to be bothered with indisputable facts?
  4. Major League Ready
    You are absolutely correct that there have been a number of superstars who got to the ML level with less than 1,000 ABS. I would not be shocked if he got some playing time at the MLB level this year much like Polanco did for a few games. However, if you are suggesting it's reasonable to expect the same path for a guy drafted 1/1 who became a 1st ballot hall of famer and a 22 yo that has never been on a top 100 list and has a total of 33 ABs above low A , you are probably reAAAAAAAAly reaching.
  5. Major League Ready
    It's easier to complain when you don't have any facts or information to impede your logic for complaining.
  6. Major League Ready
    I too have high hopes for Celestino but recognize we are getting a little ahead of ourselves. He has 33ABs at A+. It's great he is creating a buzz. There is a good chance he is pushed but the young man has barely scratched A+. My hope is that he can be ready sometime next year so he can get enough time to determine if he can take over for Buxton when he becomes a FA at the end of 22. Anything beyond that would be a bonus.
  7. Major League Ready
    Looking back at 2019 (because 2020 stats are of questionable substance) the top 3 offensive teams were the Astros / Twins & Yankees. Their L vs R handed top producers with 200+ ABs is as follows. The Astros top 5 were RH. Coming in 6th was Michael Brantley. They had 3 others with a wRC+ above 100. They are all RHed. Among the Yankees top 9 in wRC+ (included Encanacion w/197 ABs) 8 of 9 were RH. The Twins had 3 players that really stood out in wRC+. Cruz at 163, Garver at 155, and Sano at 137. Of course, they are all RH. The Twins did have a good mix among the rest of the contributors. Arraez was next followed by Kepler then Polanco. Cave and Buxton had above average production coming in at 113 and 111. The twins also had 5 players with a league average wRC+. Rosario with a wRC+ of 103 was 9th on the team by this measure. Adrianza - 102 Schoop - 100 Castro - 103 Cron 101 It does not appear that LH balance is essential to a strong offense.
  8. Major League Ready
    How does the delay of the Milb season change the argument that he needs some AAA experience?
  9. Major League Ready
    You are assuming the Twins don't value Rooker enough to give him a chance. I don't believe the Twins are going to abandon all else to insert Kirilloff. Of course, I don't know how the Twins see / evaluate Rooker so I could definitely be wrong. However, they have a much more logical option. Rooker is the more proven player at this point. Starting with Rooker / Cave in LF is not going to jeopardize the season. This approach allows them an opportunity to further evaluate Rooker. It also provides an opportunity for Kirilloff to prove he can excel above A+ which he has not.
  10. Major League Ready
    My memory may be off but I recall him being ranked higher than dropping off. At the time I thought he made much more sense than Gordon. I saw Turner as the guy you hoped Gordon would turn into but Turner was obviously further along and was an elite athlete. I hated the Gordon pick and thought Turner had all-star potential so I am onboard that he made more sense than Gordon.
  11. Major League Ready
    We simply see this scenario very differently in the context of keeping the window open. I think that extended success is far better served by using that roster spot to break-in Kirilloff / Rooker & Larnach. I think the ream is better served reallocating the money to Simmons and sliding Polanco to 2B. I also think the younger players are better served with role models who take good at ABs, and throw to the right base or cut-off man.
  12. Major League Ready
    I don't have a problem with evaluating scouts by "batting average" in concept. However, how do we know the problem is not the scouting practices put in place by the organization? The person responsible for the scouting organization and it's practices is the guy who's average should determine continued employment. We should also note this is an area undergoing major changes. Scouts are being let go in favor of video analysts. It would appear that the industry is aware of low batting averages.
  13. Major League Ready
    Sorry. I think the whole "they are professional scouts" thing is very parochial thinking. It's just not that simple when a hall of famer can be drafted in the 62nd round (Piazza) and Mark Appel and others like him never made it to the majors. The 2016 draft was a good example. Shane Bieber, Bo Bichette, and Pete Alonzo are the three best players from that draft. They were drafted 122 / 66 & 64 respectively. So, to say that professionals should not miss talent like these players is very simplistic thinking IMO.
  14. Major League Ready
    Where I was going with this is that I don't see the point in getting too caught up in his age. How is it a problem that we have Rooker from age 25 (last season) through age 31? It's only a problem if it takes him 3 years to become accomplished at this level. It seems to be a lot of people are trying hard to find ways to discredit Rooker because they want to see Alex Kirilloff immediately. Maybe I am greedy but I would rather hope for great things from both players.
  15. Major League Ready
    It's not at all fair to say the should have taken Chapman. 18 other teams passed on Chapman. Turner is only a little unfair but I don't recall anyone saying he should have been top 10 at the time. Aaron Nola on the other hand made more sense than a skinny high school kid.
  16. Major League Ready
    Justin Turner was 26 the 1st year he had more than 25ABs at the ML level. The first year he had an OPS+ over 100 he was 29. He went on to an average OPS+ of 140 over the next 7 years.
  17. Major League Ready
    Thanks. It's takes time to track down these various reports so this type of synthesized info is great.
  18. Major League Ready
    What is that source? I always find it difficult to get good information on defensive aptitude.
  19. Major League Ready
    OK. I will play along. Now that we have established that expecting the budget to remain the same is unreasonable, we can agree they spent more than should have been expected. Therefore, we have two possible conclusions. 1) It’s unreasonable to expect they would have spent an additional roughly $10M to keep Rosario but you expect it regardless of reason. 2) We should have sacrificed elsewhere. Which one of these options would have been less productive than replacing Rosario with a combination of Rooker / Kirilloff / Larnach and Cave. a. Pass on resigning Cruz. b. Not added Simmons and used a prospect in his place. c. We should have Passed on Happ and Robles. d. Pass on some other combination of additions at a collective cost of $10M.
  20. Major League Ready
    He will get plenty of time in LF until Kirilloff or Larnach unseats him. He is the DH next year if he proves his AAA and short MLB performance was not a fluke.
  21. Major League Ready
    I hate to say it but how good we be looking had they drafted Gore. ouch! I can't really blame them because drafting a high school pitcher 1/1 is a risky proposition but man would I like to have Gore now.
  22. Major League Ready
    I have stated in the past that one potential approach would be to take it in the shorts this year. Take a 3 year approach that would require more measured spending over the next 2-3 years. This approach takes advantage of a buyers market so I don't disagree in principal. However, that's not what happened here and its not the point. Many absolutely plucked a number out of the air or just hoped they would return to a record level of payroll. As I said, I don't mind the blindly optimistic approach until someone suggests it's boneheaded, joke, etc. Revenue grew for some companies as a result of the pandemic. The fact that your daughters company did not lay-off anyone is anecdotal. It may or may not be relevant. However, the premise that spending follows revenue is about as basic as it gets. We also need to look beyond this year to evaluate this off-season. The team really needed to make room given the number of quality corner OFers ready to contribute. This was also the year to transition Lewis and a couple of SPs. Establishing these players puts us in a very strong position. It's impossible to evaluate this off-season properly without mapping next season. Not with absolute specifics but in concept. In other words, assuming one of the OF prospects transitions. One of the SPs are promoted. What does it look like with or without Lewis taking over at SS, etc.
  23. Major League Ready
    I had the same reaction. However, we don't know how these guys performed at the alternate site. It could be they want to start Duran and Balazovic together to determine who is most ready to contribute. Then, promote one of them after a few weeks. Less chance of injury in warmer weather too.
  24. Major League Ready
    Here is the problem. Who projected $140M? I did not see any such projection from the Twins. The $140M projection was a wish and the number was pulled out of the air. Some fans hoped the team would spend the equivalent to the record high payroll set last year. Is this reasonable? Well, what is the basis of any budget? Revenue, right? I think it’s fair to say any young man/woman coming out of college with a business degree knows this to be true. Is there any chance revenue will be unaffected by the pandemic? Is that even remotely reasonable. Of course not. Best case scenario IMO is a $30M with a most likely case scenario of $40-50M. We can quibble over the exact number but the impact is going to be significant. Therefore, the problem is not the FO if you expect spending to be unaffected. I don’t object to strongly to these really poorly formed positions until posters insist the actions are “a joke” initiated by “boneheads”. The problem is not what Falvey does not understand. The problem is what fans often don’t understand about the decision making process and responsibilities of the FO. Go ahead ... watch closely. Just don't assume the people qualified to make these decisions are idiots especially if you don't have the financial acumen to understand spending should not remain the same when a revenue reduction is certain.
  25. Major League Ready
    I would take an even money bet that 3 from the following list get a shot in 2021. Maybe even 4 with one or two of them being used out of the BP. Duran / Balzovic / Canterino / Enlow / Sands / Winder / Ober. Make it 5 if you don't count Colina's 1/3 of an inning in 2020.
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