Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

Dman

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    5,786

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    23

 Content Type 

Profiles

News

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospects Ranking

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

Minnesota Twins Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Pick Tracker

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by Dman

  1. Dman
    Yeah even when they showed it in game with 2 strikes it was not much of a choke up IMO maybe an inch tops? I really appreciate the data. Thanks for giving me more information!
  2. Dman
    That is some amazing data. Maybe this is a Jeffer's chocking up his bat with 2 strikes bias (TV Announcers seem to mention this every time he has 2 strikes), but I bought into the narrative that they were likely swinging less hard with 2 strikes and going for a more contact oriented approach. Those stats kind of blow my mind, but number's don't lie and those numbers do fit what the Twins FO has said they want to do. Swing hard and don't fear the K. Well regardless of the numbers I just hope they keep barreling baseballs and continue to see good results from the offense. Keeping the K's down would be an added benefit.
  3. Dman
    I guess you are right Donaldson was good for the small amount of games he played. He didn't fall off until he got moved to NY. I think I have some built in bias with him being injured a fair bit and the short 2020 season. an .800 OPS is really good. I did like Urshela but he seemed more like a place holder for another player, not a real solution there.
  4. Dman
    No question Duran was a good get for the Twins. Still when Escobar left they sure had a tough time filling his shoe's at third. So much so that they went and got Donaldson and really never solved third until Lewis IMO. Duran continues to be a real difference maker in the pen, but IMO we lost a fair bit of value when Esco was at his peak. Hard to say if the Twins would have extended him though so maybe a mute point. We had to wait a bit, but the trade is working out well now.
  5. Dman
    That is exactly what I have right now. It is so hard to get info on a catchers defense, but from what I understand Cardenes looks like the best one of bunch. That being said not sure how he compares to Camargo. Olivar and Cossetti seem to have more defensive concerns. I saw Winkel at game a few years back and his ability to throw to second was horrible back then but his bat was solid. He is the only one that hits from the left side so I assume they will want to keep him in the system. He is really struggling with bat this year though. While I don't see an All Star catcher in there if Olivar and Cossetti are viable I like the Twins catching prospects. Cardenas, Olivar and Cossetti all have solid batting lines across the board. Defense will be the deciding factor IMO.
  6. Dman
    I don't know if anyone has watched him pitch before and I did not watch todays game, but seeing him in the past he looks like a typical lefty to me. His K 9 was 6 per per nine until today where he moved it to just over 9 per 9 which is solid. I don't think he throws real hard but haven't checked the numbers. That being said 11 K's is really hard to do without a good pitch. That slider must be something special. He is fairly young for the level being just 20 years old although he turns 21 in July. There are things to like and after todays start if he keeps those K's coming maybe the Twins have something? Olivar doesn't get enough respect IMO. He has a rock solid batting line, 17% walk rate, 19% K rate. He hits for decent average at .280 and the slugging is good as well at .463. Currently his OPS is higher than Keaschal and they are at the same the level and Olivar plays the more demanding catcher position along with some other positions to keep his bat in the lineup. If you watch this kid he just looks so focused and never seems to panic at the plate. I think the Twins have a really good hitter there.
  7. Dman
    I didn't like the signing from the start. As others have said not that I hate Santana, but that there seemed like better options out there or else just go with what we had/have. I agree with @DocBauer let's give this a little more time. Is this a hot streak or is this who Santana is? We have small sample sizes on both sides from slump to streak. Don't get me wrong I want him to have a career year this year. Still this take is a bit premature for me.
  8. Dman
    Kirilloff has been and continues to expand the zone and it isn't working out well for him. I get MLB pitching is hard to solve but I do think some time back in AAA to learn more patience and recognition would be beneficial. That was an amazing pitchers dual through 6 innings. Happy to see Ober come out on top. That was absolute domination through 6 and 1/3 innings. Thankfully the pen held today. I have been a Santana basher since they signed him. Right now he is making me look foolish. Hopefully he can keep this up as he currently is an important bat to stretch the lineup from the under performers below him.
  9. Dman
    I'd give him at least another a month to make sure his bat is for real. Often when teams see guys a second time around they are able to make better adjustments. Making that leap to MLB is really hard. Stevenson was as good or better than Keirsey last year and when they finally brought him up he did nothing at the MLB level. Need to make absolutely sure Keirsey can stick or they will be forced to DFA him if he can't make the leap. That being said he might handle the jump just fine and his defense would certainly be welcome in center. If you are adding him to the 40 man though someone has to go or a longer term injury has to happen and Margo looks like the only one they would want to take off the roster. Margo was specifically brought in for his right handed bat though. I think they give Margo another month at least to see if he heats up. If Buxton is back there is less need for Keirsey in center. I do think if Keirsey keeps this up they will want to make room for him. Nice to have a fourth outfielder with his kind of speed and defense on the roster.
  10. Dman
    A lot of us were excited about Zebby last year but Lewis was just so good and so consistent winning the Twins minor league pitcher of the year he kind of got lost. Even Culpepper whose velocity and pitch mix were really intriguing seemed ahead of Zebby. This year he has propelled himself himself to the top of the list with incredible control and command. His FIP and xFIP support his dominance. I don't know if he can keep this level of dominance up as he moves up and it is just one game at AA, but if he can he looks very Ober like to me.
  11. Dman
    Nice to see that swing and miss from Festa. Just needs to keep those walks down and gain a bit more consistency and he should be ready for the next step. Culpepper with a solid outing as well. He has been good this year but not quite as dominant as I thought he might be. He has great stuff and while the numbers are similar to last year I thought he might bring his K9 up a bit and give up fewer hits, but he is still doing very well. This Eeles character is interesting. Sample size is too small but he is off to a good start with a well rounded batting profile. He is older at 25 but if the bat plays all the way up they might have something there. Really good hitting in Cedar Rapids and Fort Meyers. Nice to see the batting lines being raised.
  12. Dman
    lol. I was trying to type that up quick and just didn't go back and check what I wrote. I just had it in my head that it was right. Pretty crazy how when you just mind dump it can come out wrong and not even realize it until pointed out. 😱
  13. Dman
    oops 3-0. Lost my mind......
  14. Dman
    I don't know if you watched the game last night but I saw the at bat he got walked and ERod looked disinterested after the count went 0-2. He knew the guy was going to walk him. Once pitchers get behind in the count to him they seem to have little appetite to put things in the zone. In this at bat the pitcher did throw 0-3 strike down the middle but that was it. Next ptich Rodriguez took his base. Rodriguez know what he is doing at the plate. Just needs to get\keep contact rate up and he is MLB ready IMO.
  15. Dman
    Blink at the wrong time and you can miss a call. Depending on the angle the umpire has some pitches can look like they clipped the corner when it was outside. The ball is moving 90MPH or more and moving side to side or up and down. I am surprised they are as accurate as they are. Still a critical bad call in an important part of the game can change the entire game. So it is hard not to be upset that an umpire took the bat of someone's hands or kept the bat in their hands when they should have been out. .I would never want to be an umpire calling balls and strikes. I am not sure an automatic zone is gonna be nirvana, but it should be more consistent and I think I can live with that.
  16. Dman
    Jeffers has been mind boggling amazing to me. Just super clutch and extra tough with two strikes. Seems hard to believe. 3 of the top 5 we are spoiled.
  17. Dman
    Thanks for the context I was watching that game as well. If Schobel doesn't screw everything up Zebby escapes pitching 7 innings giving up zero walks and zero runs. It did look like maybe he got a little tired or extra aggressive in the 7th where he gave up the hits, but that was still an excellent performance for his first AA outing. Nothing changed level to level. Zero walks, the K's were there and he even kept the hits to a minimum. Watching the stuff it doesn't look all that impressive to me, but the results certainly are. We'll see how the next couple of months go, but since he has command and control he is likely on the fast track if he keeps preforming even close to last night.
  18. Dman
    Yeah I think you are right. It is simply an argument over the definition of "pipeline" If the author simply states the Twins FO has assembled one of the better rotations in baseball there isn't much to argue about. I never thought I would see the day that a Twins staff would lead the league in K's the first month or more of the season or even be in the top 5. Development is happening. Good coaching is happening. I wouldn't argue those points. Saying those players came from an established robust pipeline? Yeah I have an issue with that. If trades for vets using prospects etc are all pipeline assets and what not. Just stop using the word pipeline as it has no meaning and then I think we all can get along just fine. Make statements like acquiring pitching assets and what not, that is more in line with what they have been doing than creating a pipeline of talent. I mean to me having a pipeline means you have something ready before it is needed. To me that equates to getting minor league pitching ready for the majors. Trades aren't a pipeline they are acquisitions. Things needed that your pipeline didn't produce.
  19. Dman
    Nice analysis. I tend to agree. He seems to start off hot and then slump from there. I can see why the Twins didn't trust him completely and brought in Santana. I hope he can still become a feared hitter but time is running out. IMO he doesn't have the greatest eye at the plate and chases plenty of changeups and other stuff out of the zone. I keep hoping he will get better with more experience but starting to think he is who he is.
  20. Dman
    I agree with you. I think our pitching development is much better. Probably better than it ever has been and this FO has identified and brought in good starting pitching. Pipeline can be defined anyway a person wants to define it and I get that, but I think if you are being honest draft and develop should be the largest part of it otherwise why keep this FO or group that looks for and develops talent if they aren't successful at it? I could be GM and fail to draft and develop just as easily as they can.
  21. Dman
    I don't know. Pipeline to me means you have connected pipes from the lower levels of your org to the MLB level where you are developing starting pitching. If you want to include Pablo and Gray and Ryan who essentially were already developed then I don't think pipeline is really the word to use. Just say the Twins have found ways to field a good rotation. When this concept first came out it was related to Falvey coming onboard to create better pitching development throughout the system and at the time it intimated that pipeline mainly meant draft and develop. Sure if they traded for some young arm at A ball or below that would count IMO as well but much beyond that and most of the development has already come from another org. Sure the Twins continue to develop arms at the MLB level. Pablo and Ryan and all the rotation arms are constantly looking for ways to improve. All teams do this with varying degree's of success. Also not sure how that development relates to pipeline as the pipeline is what feeds your MLB team. Players that are already there aren't in the pipeline anymore they have arrived. So they are out of the pipeline. To me pipeline is mainly building via draft and develop so that you don't have to trade for pitching as it is expensive to trade for good pitching. If you are mainly trading for your pitching "pipeline" isn't the right word IMO it should be trades are the way to get developed pitching outside the org that can't develop it on its own.
  22. Dman
    I am going to agree with others and say it premature to call SWR a success this early in. I mean he owns 6.08 ERA in AAA this year so he hasn't been dominant everywhere. Don't get me wrong I am super pumped by how well he is pitching at the MLB level and he has really helped the Twins get back in the race. I hope he can keep this up, but adjustments will be made and we'll have to wait and see how he does once they are made. The Twins might be on the way to a pitching pipeline but right now Ober is the only real success story who was home grown. We are still waiting on Varland and SWR to some degree. It is hard to include pen arms as every org has a decent level of success with those types of arms. Even Terry Ryan's group did well with developing those types of arms. Maybe Varland and SWR work out long term. Maybe Festa and Raya join them at some point. There is a lot of potential arms at High A right now that could be difference makers and If Canterino and Prielipp ever get healthy maybe they can be impact arms or maybe they will end up as just pen arms as well. At any rate it still doesn't seem like much of a pipeline to me at this point in time,
  23. Dman
    Thanks for the extra info on Eeles. I was wondering what the deal was when I saw him in lineup. The Muscles need a few more pesky bats so hopefully he can provide that. If they ever get Jenkins back they could have a formidable lineup. I don't know what more Keirsey can do to get the teams attention. He is batting .300. His walk rate is above 10% and K rate in the low 20% range. His slugging looks good and while his BABIP is a little high it isn't too far out of range. He's been good defensively robbing some home runs and covering a lot of ground. He has a well rounded toolset. I guess he just needs to keep it up and wait for an opportunity,
  24. Dman
    Keirsey is having a year. I guess give it another month but he sure looks ready to me. Too bad there is no room on the 40 man. Would love to have him in center at the MLB level. I watched McCusker last year and know he can hit HR's. It was the K rate that was killing him. You could tell he was working on it this spring sacrificing power for contact. Looks like he is picking his spots for when to go deep and was obviously feelin it last night. While the K rate is down from nearly 40% last year it is still at 30% this year. He is a dangerous hitter though and props to him on the 3 homer night and going 5 for 5. Extremely hard to do that and some players never hit 3 homers in the same game. He can be impressive at times. Greater consistency is the key and it looks like he is working on that. Cespedes continues to hit and hit for power. He is starting to look like he has come into his power and he has good plate discipline. If he keeps it up he likely gets promoted at the halfway point. I was watching the Ft Meyers game on the gameday app ands saw the bases loaded in the bottom of the 9th. Was waiting for the typical groundout or fly out. I saw Winoker come up and thought he might blast one out and he walked. I saw Rodriguez come up and thought he could do it too but the odds just seemed so low that they would walk it off with just the number of runs they needed to win that game. Then sure enough he hits it out!! Was nice to see one of our teams come back from a deep deficit late and steal a win after our pens have given up so many games late this year.
  25. Dman
    I think the way this is setup is a complete game is 9 innings and technically the starter of record is expected to go 9 innings to complete the game. If he doesn't then he can use proxy's (other pitcher's) to get him through the 9 innings. The proxy's act as the starting pitcher they are essentially SWR although a different player. So whatever happens the rest of the game plays out as if the proxy pitcher is SWR. However, the names change along the way and the results follow whatever proxy pitcher is inserted. If the proxy pitchers hold and don't give up more runs than when SWR was the pitcher of record and he pitched more than half the game he gets the credit for the win even though he didn't make it to the end of the game. As others have mentioned this method makes win loss records for starter pretty meaningless. There are better metrics that are used and that will show up in SWR's stat line to prove what kind of pitcher he really is.
×
×
  • Create New...