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Richie the Rally Goat

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Everything posted by Richie the Rally Goat

  1. When a guy has 2.7 ERA and 35 Ks, 11 BB in 5 starts in AAA, he had better be on the ML roster, when your alternatives are Pelfrey or Corriea.
  2. You make a very good point, Colabello probably needs a larger sample size before he becomes tradeable. Zuke on the other hand, you know you're getting a .250 batting catcher who obviously has more gas in the tank. Suzuki is doing more by having a good defensive reputation to take away Pinto's (and Arcia's potential) at bats than Kubel or Colabello.
  3. Couldn't agree more, the most trade able players are the ones you don't want to leave.
  4. Arcia needs to play every day, who do you bench? I would rather have Arcia in AAA playing every day, than on the Twins' bench
  5. Bingo, this is why I find the Evan Longoria or Glen Perkins model of contract negotiations fascinating in context. The Rays resigned Longoria long term during his rookie contract to lock him up. This follows the depreciation model of capital investing to a tee, where usual sports contracts are the reverse. In sports players become more valuable, the shorter their expected playing time becomes, up to a point where the player seeks out the long contract because they know the clock is about to runout. In capital investing, the capital has it's most value when it's new, and gets depreciated out over the expected life. Any continued operation past the expected life is money in the bank. With baseball players, the last part is Moneyballing, signing the old fogey to a short cheap contract because he's had success in the past, and you think you can platoon him to shield his Achilles. It's really tough to Moneyball starting pitchers, but TR sure likes to try.
  6. The sunk cost in this sense, is the investment in rehab starts at the major league level. The FO trotted out Pelf last year while he was still healing, the blunder here is, "We've invested into his playing time as an injured player, now let's reap the reward of a healthy player" but it's a fallacy, you can't assume that he's healthy or more productive one year to the next, just because he was one year removed from TJ and now is two years removed.
  7. I would like to add that Plouffe's fielding is improved as well. 8 UZR/150 for 2014 compared to -8.6 and -14.9 in 2012/2013. It's still SSS, but if the trend continues, maybe Sano puts pressure on the first basemen rather than the third...
  8. It could also be that the FO has yet to find a willing partner. It takes two to tango.
  9. Thanks for the clarification. It makes much more sense.
  10. It looks like Zuke rolls over the outside of his front foot, wouldn't he get more solid contact planting that foot on the stride? At least he would get of the batters box quicker. Good stuff Parker, I hope Zuke's hitting continues, and I agree with you. For as much of a deal was made about his catching and leadership, I haven't seen the results.
  11. Sure Hicks needs more development time in AAA, but then who's your back up center fielder? Fuld is fine as the 4th outfielder, and can take over starting CF duties for a DL stint, but he isn't going to hold up over a month or two. His hitting is a statistical anomaly.
  12. Arcia and Pinto need to play every day for development, Hammer needs to play every day to build trade bait, Colabello and Kubel have been the best hitters on the team, but their value comes only to this team in the here and now.
  13. I'd like to see Pinto take over primary catching, Colabello take over DH, and Arcia and Kubel in the outfield corners, until Hammer is ready to come back. Then send Arcia to AAA to work on the tutelage from Bruno until Hammer can be traded.
  14. Good discussion fodder, thanks Heezy. Keep it up. The discussion has been interesting, but sample size jumps out at me. Tommy John surgery is frequently administered as a treatment for repetitive motion related injury, correct? The ligament ruptures as a result of repetitive motion. How many pitches as the pitcher thrown in their career? It could be entirely plausible that the ligament has a half-life and the "epidemic" is coincidental.
  15. I take issue with the "below market" part. I doubt any of the free agents the Twins signed have been anything other than the best contract for the player.
  16. I like your optimism, but respectfully disagree. We're a centerfielder and a starting pitcher on top of Meyer and Drew away from contending.
  17. The NBA does sign and trade deals frequently. Is there a reason why Boston's GM and TR/RA can't come to a compensatory trade? If the deal goes through, the Twins send prospects X,Y and Z to Boston, in exchange for Drew, and TR then negotiates the contract with Boras and Boston GM, Boston GM signs the deal and then Twins and Red Sox make the trade.
  18. Deduno isn't the guy I want in the rotation, he's the guy I think is most likely to take the next open rotation spot, which I think will soon be vacated by Pelfrey. I would rather have Meyer, but he's not on the 40 which Antony won't DFA Pelfrey or Corriea yet.
  19. I'd keep Escobar over Nunez. I'm not yet sold on 4 minor league appearances for Guerrier. Otherwise, I like your plan, except the realism part.
  20. This was kind of my thought with Deduno in the pen, only a slight difference. If he's only going one inning, he only has to concentrate throwing 2-3 different pitches 9-15 times per outing rather than 4 or more pitches 100 effective times. Deduno started out rough in the pen, but seems to have settled in nicely. I think the same with Pelf, it will be a challenging transition, but could work well. I see this switch as a matter of time, and I think indications are soon. Pelfrey's contract dictates he's with the big league club for as long as possible 2014 and 2015, where Corriea's situation means start or DFA.
  21. Chris Resop certainly is remarkable! Priceless!
  22. http://blogs.twincities.com/twins/2014/04/26/twinsights-gardy-admits-concern-regarding-struggling-rotation/ According to Bernardino, Pelfrey skipped his Saturday bullpen session and was available in emergency relief for Saturday's game. Gardy is quoted that Pelfrey will "probably" start his next rotation turn on Tuesday, depending on the weather for Gibson's next start on Sunday. I assume this means Pelf will be available for Bull Pen relief on Sunday as well.
  23. Nooooooo! His arm is going to fall off! Ask Willingham what day to day means. "Just rub some dirt on your wrist Josh, it'll be fine. Oh, it's broken? Well crap! My bad!"
  24. I'm less worried about Nolasco than I am about Pelfrey. With a 4 year guaranteed contract to Nolasco, he's going to have a very long leash.
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