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DataNerd

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Everything posted by DataNerd

  1. DataNerd
    For all of the questions about what does Lee do well, he has a strong in-zone contact rate (56th/215 min 400PA, 75th percentile). And while he is certainly not a great defender, he isn't a black hole there either. For all of this talk about bat speed, the R^2 between bat speed and wRC+ for 2025 is 0.09. It is far less important than a lot of people here are acting like it is.
  2. DataNerd
    Seems like a good trade for both sides. Rockies are bad enough that Julien will have a legit chance to make the team for them, and we get a guy who would have been an org top 30 pre-injury for him and Ohl (who being DFA'd was set to be gone)
  3. DataNerd
    It's reasonable to expect that a 25yr will make improvements from his 24yr season. I'm also not going to worry about a guy's swing plane if one of the comps is Jose Ramirez. Could just be better plate discipline away from being an average hitter. If not, he might just be a utility guy.
  4. DataNerd
    Joe Ryan is not close to the pitcher Skubal is. His case is really going to be precedent setting in how much top guys can get in arb. Skubal had more fWAR last year than Ryan the past 2 years.
  5. DataNerd
    If the Twins don't pick up his option, he is still arbitration eligible and is not a free agent. So the option becomes a question of whether they think that he would get that much in arbitration or not. However, MLBTR is saying it is a mutual option, which would change the option from being a cap on what he can make next year to us having to pay $100k if we don't pay him $13M
  6. DataNerd
    The main reason to give Keaschall some OF time is more to help with future roster construction rather than just this year. He's seemed fine as a 2B, and he played his entire college career in the IF with half of that at 2B. Having him also be able to play LF (which with his speed he should be well above average there) would be really helpful for dealing with injuries, and 3 years from now who knows if we feel better about the IF or OF.
  7. DataNerd
    I'm pretty sure that we didn't aquire Gray to start over Keaschall, but rather as a cheap insurance plan for if neither Lee/Culpepper is able to play SS. The main platoon I expect is that Martin will spell Larnach/Wallner against LHP (and he will likely start a bit against RHP as well)
  8. DataNerd
    Horrible arm makes him unplayable as a catcher; In 932 innings, he has had 194SB/27CS (87.8% SB), which is 18.5 runs below average in about a years worth of defense. Combine that with him only hitting 8HR in 400PA as a 24yr old, it's hard to see the bat play at 1B. I wouldn't put him in the top 50 org prospects.
  9. DataNerd
    Generally agree, but Keaschall is too fast to waste at 1st. I know his arm is somewhere between bad and terrible, but he had an 85th percentile sprint speed which should more than make up for it in LF.
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