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DataNerd

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  1.    DataNerd reacted to a post in a topic: Should Twins Fans Be Excited About What We've Seen From Kaelen Culpepper?
  2.    DataNerd reacted to a post in a topic: Twins Must Change the Balance Between Luke Keaschall's Bat and His Glove
  3.    tarheeltwinsfan reacted to a post in a topic: Austin Martin Doesn’t Fit the Current Twins Roster
  4.    weitz41 reacted to a post in a topic: Austin Martin Doesn’t Fit the Current Twins Roster
  5.    DJL44 reacted to a post in a topic: Austin Martin Doesn’t Fit the Current Twins Roster
  6.    Cris E reacted to a post in a topic: Brooks Lee's Batted-Ball Data Says His Breakout is Fake. Is It?
  7.    90stwinskid reacted to a post in a topic: Austin Martin Doesn’t Fit the Current Twins Roster
  8.    Palindrome Bob reacted to a post in a topic: Austin Martin Doesn’t Fit the Current Twins Roster
  9.    DataNerd reacted to a post in a topic: Too Much Versatility Is Hurting the Minnesota Twins
  10. DataNerd
    Martin is a good platoon OF, and we have a ton of LHH OF for him to platoon with here and in St Paul. He's also had a 127 wRC+ in July and 115 in August, so why would we be sending him down? For LHH OFs, we have Larnach, Jenkins, Roden, ERod, Mendez. Martin has a 137 wRC+ against LHP. Our only other RHH guys are Buxton (who is starting when healthy) and Keaschall (who is starting if he can play defense and hasn't actually been better against LHP than RHP). Martin is a great fit for this roster.
  11.    DataNerd reacted to a post in a topic: Austin Martin Doesn’t Fit the Current Twins Roster
  12. DataNerd
    The big reason that he is overperforming his xwOBA is that he pulls the ball in the air alot, and balls pulled in the air significantly outperform their xwOBA (0.621 xwOBA, 0.877 wOBA for the league as a whole). He has had a lot of HRs pulled down the line that have low xwOBA even though they would be a HR at almost if not every park. These balls don't get classed as barrels because the exit velo isn't enough, but they are consistantly going out of the park. While he should overperform, I'm not sure if he can do it at this level. The big question is if the number of HRs right down the line is noise or if it is a skill.
  13.    DataNerd reacted to a post in a topic: Twins Minor League Report (8/12): Carson Tinney Calls Game
  14. DataNerd
    Tinney is striking out too much for my liking. 32% (same that Sabato did at A, although his was over 367 PA rather than 44 and not during his draft year, and he's walking more and showing more power).
  15.    weitz41 reacted to a post in a topic: How the Tarik Skubal Trade Impacts Joe Ryan’s Potential Market This Winter
  16.    TNtwins85 reacted to a post in a topic: How the Tarik Skubal Trade Impacts Joe Ryan’s Potential Market This Winter
  17.    Punto4President reacted to a post in a topic: How the Tarik Skubal Trade Impacts Joe Ryan’s Potential Market This Winter
  18. DataNerd
    The only reason that we would trade Ryan in the offseason would be the same reason that the Brewers traded Peralta; some team decided to massively overpay for him.
  19.    FlyingFinn reacted to a post in a topic: BREAKING: Twins Calling Up Top Prospect Kaelen Culpepper
  20.    DataNerd reacted to a post in a topic: BREAKING: Twins Calling Up Top Prospect Kaelen Culpepper
  21. DataNerd
    They aren't going to call him up for him to start 3 times a week.
  22. DataNerd
    He's legit, consensus 11-20 in the org. Fastball gets good movement but only averages 93, cutter/changeup/slider all have been solid but unspectacular at missing bats. He looks more like a back of the rotation starter, could be mid-rotation if the fastball ticks up, imo probably heads to the pen to get that velocity and becomes a 7th inning guy
  23. DataNerd
    Lee has a 1.5 fWAR, 99 wRC+ and -0.7 runs DEF, has been average at 3B and is 25. I'm nowhere close to giving up on Lee, he's a cheap average player.
  24. DataNerd
    All 3 trades looked like slight overpays, but that seemed true for almost everyone buying this deadline: the options were to overpay or stay on the sidelines. Given how early the Kramer trade happened, they likely targeted him specifically. It looks like the worst deal currently, but if they are able to get him back to the 25 version the deal would be a big win.
  25. DataNerd
    Incredibly low. Publications in general are way too low on recently drafted players and are hesitant to rank them highly until they hit well in the minors, and are slow to move up the guys who really hit well. Marek Houston is pretty much repeating what Culpepper did, and is a higher draft pick and better fielder, but Culpepper is 26 and Houston is 90. IMO, I have Houston above Culpepper (and I really like Culpepper)
  26. DataNerd
    With his arm, he would be a better 3B than 2B; however, KC at 2B and Lee at 3B is much better than switching them around, and KC would be an above-average 2B.
  27.    DataNerd reacted to a post in a topic: Why Marek Houston is the Twins’ Most Underrated Prospect
  28. DataNerd
    The offense in the PCL is insane, so that line is good enough for an 82 wRC+. The league ERA is 5.5. So no, I would not be happy if Houston hit like that in AAA
  29.    DataNerd reacted to a post in a topic: Why Marek Houston is the Twins’ Most Underrated Prospect
  30.    DataNerd reacted to a post in a topic: BREAKING: Twins to Acquire Right-Handed Reliever Jeff Hoffman from Blue Jays
  31. DataNerd
    1 more year, they are paying for some portion of it.
  32. DataNerd
    Pena has been a worse version of Arraez in the low minors. Makes a ton of contact, no pop. Main difference is that Pena has long periods where he is hitting .240 while Arraez never hit below .298 at a level with more than 100PAs.
  33. DataNerd
    Neto is a great player (better than I think most of the comments currently have) and is only 25, but the prospects at SS are a huge strength so I don't like trading assets to make that better (and don't want to trade Houston/Culpepper when we are a game under 500).
  34.    DataNerd reacted to a post in a topic: Twins "All Over" Zach Neto? Surprise Trade Rumor Emerges Hours Before Deadline
  35. DataNerd
    I would be shocked if he is up by the end of the year. He needs consistant PAs and doesn't need to be added to the 40 man. Also with a potential lockout and very little upper minors experience, he is a guy I would want to be playing next year. On the call-up, he was insane in A+ in Jun, with a 193 wRC+ and a 24BB%/10K%, .408/.537/.592 triple slash. His July AA numbers weren't at that level--only a 164 wRC+.
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