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DataNerd

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  1. DataNerd
    Big change on the curveball is not only being slower, but it is a considerably more horizontal pitch than last year. In 25, the slider and the curveball had the same amount of horizontal break, while in 26 the curve has 6 inches more. 2025: 3.6 Horiz/-7.6 Vert 2026: 10.0 Horiz/-11.0 Vert.
  2. DataNerd
    As bad as he's been, Wallner is only tied for 2nd worst position players amongst fWAR. Cedric Mullins (.150/.204/.228) ranks the worst, and Ke'Bryan Hayes (.136/.191/.223) is tied with Wallner (.167/.259/.292) due to solid defense and 25 less PAs.
  3.    Patzky reacted to a post in a topic: Twins (Matthews) vs Marlins (TBD): 4/14/26, 12:40 pm CDT
  4.    Twins_Fan_in_NJ reacted to a post in a topic: Twins (Matthews) vs Marlins (TBD): 4/14/26, 12:40 pm CDT
  5. DataNerd
    His curveball has looked good all of this year. Considerably slower and more horizontal movement than last year
  6. DataNerd
    Struggled in Rk for a season, then thrived. Struggled in A for a season, then thrived. This is going to be a big test for him to see if he can not flounder initially in a new level. Could be a top 10 org guy if he continues to hit in CR, won't be a top 20 guy if he hits .200 there.
  7.    EGFTShaw reacted to a post in a topic: Twins 3, Marlins 0: Bailey Ober Throws 1st Career Complete-Game Shutout, and Maddux
  8.    DJL44 reacted to a post in a topic: Twins 3, Marlins 0: Bailey Ober Throws 1st Career Complete-Game Shutout, and Maddux
  9.    Vanimal46 reacted to a post in a topic: Twins 3, Marlins 0: Bailey Ober Throws 1st Career Complete-Game Shutout, and Maddux
  10. DataNerd
    I don't get why this works, but it has. 10 balls in play at >40 LA, 7Ks, 0BBs will work any day.
  11.    DataNerd reacted to a post in a topic: Twins 3, Marlins 0: Bailey Ober Throws 1st Career Complete-Game Shutout, and Maddux
  12. DataNerd
    I'm guessing they take whichever of the top 3 are available. Lombard has been getting some buzz for both the Twins and Rays; tons of upside and he would save a significant amount to play around with day 1.
  13.    Dman reacted to a post in a topic: Scouting Ryan Gallagher, the Newest Addition to Twins Daily's Top Twins Prospect Rankings
  14. DataNerd
    Screaming reliever to me. A bit wild, and the fastball is decent at 93mph/17.5"IVB, but with only being 23 and a starter, could probably be 96mph/19"IVB out of the pen in a year or two. Secondaries seem solid enough to work if the fastball is an above average pitch. I'd probably keep him as a starter the rest of the year at least. Doesn't need to be added to the 40 man for the 26 R5 draft, and maybe the stuff improves enough heading into 27 that he is a starter project.
  15.    DataNerd reacted to a post in a topic: Twins 5, Guardians 4: Wait, the Twins Are Allowed to Win Series in Cleveland?
  16.    DataNerd reacted to a post in a topic: Remember When the Twins Had Too Much Starting Pitching?
  17. DataNerd
    I don't think Rojas has shown that he is ready, but neither has the majority of our current bullpen
  18.    tony&rodney reacted to a post in a topic: Twins Minor League Report (5/7): Mussels and FCL Twins Score 10; Wind Surge Hit 10 Home Runs!
  19. DataNerd
    Walker JenkinsEmmanuel RodriguezKaelen CulpepperConnor PrielippMarek Houston Underrated, has made consistent hard contact at WF and in pro ball, and with the defense can afford to run a slightly-elevated strikeout rate.Eduardo TaitRiley QuickDasan HillAndrew MorrisKendry RojasGabriel Gonzalez High chase rate dings him, doesn't have the defense/speed/power to play if the hit tool isn't 60 and the chase rate makes that hard.Charlee SotoBrandon WinokurBruin Agbayani 12BB/3K in 50PA for an 18/19 year old in A ball is impressive. Defense and power are questions, but the hit tool looks great.James EllwangerHendry MendezAdrian Bohorquez If he starts throwing more strikes he could easily be top 10 by end of year.Billy AmickRyan GallagherKyle DeBarge
  20.    FlyingFinn reacted to a post in a topic: Twins Minor League Report (5/7): Mussels and FCL Twins Score 10; Wind Surge Hit 10 Home Runs!
  21.    rdehring reacted to a post in a topic: Twins Minor League Report (5/7): Mussels and FCL Twins Score 10; Wind Surge Hit 10 Home Runs!
  22. DataNerd
    Fort Myers has a few hitters looking good. Mercedes is finally figuring out A ball. Pena continues to rarely strike out while doing a better job of getting hits. Ramiro Dominguez has a 158wRC+, a .273 ISO with 9BB/10K. And Agbayani finally struck out, between this year and last has 14BB/5K
  23.    DataNerd reacted to a post in a topic: Twins Minor League Report (5/7): Mussels and FCL Twins Score 10; Wind Surge Hit 10 Home Runs!
  24. DataNerd
    35th percentile in chase rate, 38th in zone swing rate. Also has not been great on inside pitches. He still makes a lot of hard contact, and improving plate discipline should help that.
  25. DataNerd
    @Brock BeauchampCould you add Bruin Agbayani?
  26.    DannySD reacted to a post in a topic: Blue Jays 11, Twins 4: Yuck. Twins Bullpen Surrenders Eight in the Eighth to Lose Yet Again
  27.    DataNerd reacted to a post in a topic: Blue Jays 11, Twins 4: Yuck. Twins Bullpen Surrenders Eight in the Eighth to Lose Yet Again
  28. DataNerd
    Imagine being worse than this
  29.    DataNerd reacted to a post in a topic: As Twins Bullpen Struggles, Louis Varland Is Unlocking Another Level in Toronto
  30. DataNerd
    SSS but Agbayani really has looked impressive. Including last year, 8K%/25BB% in 36PA. Houston showing a lot more pop, hitting way more line drives and pulling the ball more (bad day to stumble across this as he hits an oppo homer). Want the strikeouts to be lower, but this looks like a guy who could hit 12-15 HR and have a .120 ISO, which with his defense will be fine.
  31. DataNerd
    Ober is going to be a case study in pitcher evaluation. No idea why this is working. He got a whiff on an 86mph fastball in the zone.
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