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DataNerd

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  1. Lee has a 1.5 fWAR, 99 wRC+ and -0.7 runs DEF, has been average at 3B and is 25. I'm nowhere close to giving up on Lee, he's a cheap average player.
  2. All 3 trades looked like slight overpays, but that seemed true for almost everyone buying this deadline: the options were to overpay or stay on the sidelines. Given how early the Kramer trade happened, they likely targeted him specifically. It looks like the worst deal currently, but if they are able to get him back to the 25 version the deal would be a big win.
  3. Incredibly low. Publications in general are way too low on recently drafted players and are hesitant to rank them highly until they hit well in the minors, and are slow to move up the guys who really hit well. Marek Houston is pretty much repeating what Culpepper did, and is a higher draft pick and better fielder, but Culpepper is 26 and Houston is 90. IMO, I have Houston above Culpepper (and I really like Culpepper)
  4. With his arm, he would be a better 3B than 2B; however, KC at 2B and Lee at 3B is much better than switching them around, and KC would be an above-average 2B.
  5. The offense in the PCL is insane, so that line is good enough for an 82 wRC+. The league ERA is 5.5. So no, I would not be happy if Houston hit like that in AAA
  6. Pena has been a worse version of Arraez in the low minors. Makes a ton of contact, no pop. Main difference is that Pena has long periods where he is hitting .240 while Arraez never hit below .298 at a level with more than 100PAs.
  7. Neto is a great player (better than I think most of the comments currently have) and is only 25, but the prospects at SS are a huge strength so I don't like trading assets to make that better (and don't want to trade Houston/Culpepper when we are a game under 500).
  8. I would be shocked if he is up by the end of the year. He needs consistant PAs and doesn't need to be added to the 40 man. Also with a potential lockout and very little upper minors experience, he is a guy I would want to be playing next year. On the call-up, he was insane in A+ in Jun, with a 193 wRC+ and a 24BB%/10K%, .408/.537/.592 triple slash. His July AA numbers weren't at that level--only a 164 wRC+.
  9. Barr showing why some people were really high on him going into the draft. He gets a ton of spin on the ball and is only 20. Didn't throw a single changeup which is a bit concerning, but there is plenty to like.
  10. He has 45 PA this year, and in SSS the BB/K is much better than last year. Good players have stretches this long where they are negative players.
  11. 100%. In-Zone contact rate of 78%, 26th percentile in AAA. Mashes fastballs and changeups when he connects, but is atrocious against breaking pitches.
  12. We definitely would take back the Varland trade right now, but we are way ahead in the Jax trade and the Duran trade is up in the air (Tait looks much worse, Abel much better). I'm happy with what we got for those 3 as a whole, and I'm not sure there was a way to know that Varland would break out while Jax would regress.
  13. Really the only thing that Jenkins is really struggling with is he doesn't pull the ball in the air much. This makes him appear worse because you have a bunch of AAAA guys who are able to pull the ball against pitchers who aren't good enough to sniff an MLB bullpen that inflate the run environment making high average-low power hitters look worse.
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