I'm pinning a lot of hope on Tanaka- not necessarily winning the rights, but making a really large offer, more than a token. If some team goes completely nuts and puts up $80 million or something just for the signing rights, fine. But we need to be in the game, and hopefully win it. I just don't see the chances of us getting a big free agent, even by offering the money. I'm looking at this solely from the player's perspective. Suppose you're Ellsbury. You're in the playoffs right now. You just spent last year in a terrible situation. You were on good teams before that. You are going to get a huge amount of money. Would you be willing to take even more money and risk going back to Boston-under-Valentine losing situation? I would take my really big contract offer from a team with a good chance to win, over my ridiculously big contract offer to potentially lose 90 games, every time. Especially if that losing team had a stud centerfielder in the minors. If a player is all about the money, that's fine- as long as you want a player that only cares about the money.