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Mr. Brooks

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Everything posted by Mr. Brooks

  1. I actually think a tanking team probably will start him in the majors. At the league minimum, on a tanking team, it's a no-lose situation. If he's bad, it helps them get a higher draft pick. If he's good, they can flip him at the deadline.
  2. They can't keep him on the DL if he's healthy. He could be fully recovered from the injury, from a medical position (which would make him ineligible to remain on the DL), but still not have good command of his pitches.
  3. Lynn was almost equally as bad last year, 4.82 FIP vs. 5.35 this year. He's just not getting lucky like he did last year. This is why there wasn't much interest in him around the league. It's not just 8 starts. He's been bad since the surgery, he just got really lucky last year.
  4. With a career. 598 MiLB OPS, he'd have to make Ozzie Smith look like Delmon Young defensively to have a shot.
  5. That's baseball now. League average start is just over 5 1/3 innings. This isn't a Twins thing.
  6. 1) Nothing contradictory there. My opinion can differ from the most likely outcome. In this case it does. 2) I don't think he'll ever be the same pitcher, no. That won't stop teams from giving him mlb opportunities to fix himself though. 3) One may be more problematic than the other, sure. My point is not all pitchers are the same after major surgical procedures. 4) Fair enough. But I was going with career threatening in a medical sense. If we're broadening it this far, then yeah, it could limit his opportunities to further his career. 7) That's fine. You should prefer whichever opinions you want. That has nothing to do with my opinion, or that of the poster you initially responded to. This is a message board to share opinions. It's not a clearinghouse for facts. People shouldn't have to somehow be expected to "prove" their opinions here, so long as they are not trying to pass them off as facts.
  7. No, that's why it's called an opinion. Which i made sure to make very clear I was making. And I never claimed it would be career threatening. He'll come back healthy enough to pitch, I'm sure. I just think the performance level will be significantly worse than it was the last couple years.
  8. Most likely outcome? Probably not. I believe he was giving his opinion. I share that opinion. Why? Surgery to the most important finger on his pitching hand. When the surgery was announced I said I didn't think he'd ever be the same pitcher again, as I think he'll struggle to find his feel for the slider. As we're seeing with Lance Lynn (who was almost equally as bad last year, just extremely lucky- hence the lack of offers), some pitchers just aren't the same following major surgery.
  9. I don't think anyone is or would argue against your main point there. Mike is arguing against an arbitrary number, with no thought given to other variables - aside from, he threw x innings last year, so he has to only throw y innings this year. And Romero would have to make 29 MORE starts this year to get to 200 total innings. That ain't happening, obviously.
  10. Grandal isn't an average player. He's on pace for 4+ WAR this year, and had 5.1 WAR over the last 2 years. Average for an MLB starter is 2 WAR, not for all players, just for starting players.
  11. Every pitcher in the rotation, except Berrios have been injured. Lynn, Gibson, Romero have all had TJ, Odorizzi has had back injuries. Every arm in baseball is a ticking timebomb. I've yet to see evidence that a specific method of managing innings or pitches or anything else changes that.
  12. Yeah, if demoting Romero is even considered, then the FO is still in building mode, and not in win mode.
  13. Personally, I feel sorry for the FO and Molitor on Hughes. I personally believe (despite all of Ash's well thought out rebuttals) that the FO has zero desire for him to be on the team, but the Pohlad's won't let them release him.
  14. I can't believe Romero going down is being discussed as an option. At least we'll know if this FO is actually trying to win, or still think they are building. Because a team committed to winning now isn't taking Romero out of the rotation.
  15. Many of those 189 players also provide value at defense or baserunning though. Not that I can't live with those numbers from Morrison, but top third in offense is probably the minimum bar for a player with no other value.
  16. I also would use basically anyone in baseball who happens to throw righthanded, before using Duke against consecutive righties.
  17. Absolutely. His body, his decision. But you are also speculating. We don't know whose recommendation rest and rehab was. It never seems to work, IMO. For all we know, he was fully willing to get the surgery out of the way, and the team and/or doctors convinced him he didn't need it.
  18. Part of it is probably that Gordon is not on the 40 man roster. They already have to clear 2 spots when May and Santana come back, and will likely need to clear another spot or two at the trade deadline. Of course, if they think he's ready, that shouldn't be an obstacle. But if they have doubts, as I do, then that might play into it.
  19. May has yet to even start a rehab assignment. Once he starts his assignment, he has a minimum of 30 days, but possibly as many as 60 days (players recovering from TJ surgery can be granted an additional 10-30 days) before he has to be activated.
  20. He was rated, generally, as a number 3. So I don't think he was overrated. If anything, he was underrated, since he's already a #3, and is only 23 years old. He is far too young to make any proclamations about what his ceiling is. He's only 7 months older than Fernando Romero, for perspective. He's shown flashes of a good #2, borderline #1, and he certainly still has plenty of time to develop into that. I, personally, still think he will.
  21. Unless we go to robo umpires, missed calls are always going to be part of pitching. Every pitcher in baseball has to deal with that.
  22. Career April/March OPS is .688, 90 points lower than his overall OPS, and by far his worse month. How is full career numbers recency bias?
  23. I don't pay as close attention to other teams milb systems, is it normal for an organization to have 3 top position player prospects need TJ surgery? This is starting to seem like a trend in this system, unfortunately. Is there something they do differently that is causing this?
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