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NYCTK

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Everything posted by NYCTK

  1. NYCTK
    The praise of the bullpen has become ridiculous after the sell off. Come the trade deadline, the Twins bullpen, as a unit, were near the bottom of the league in all of Win Percentage Added, WHIP, Left on base Percentage, and ERA. This after being very middle of the pack the previous year. The Twins bullpen was supposed to be a strength, on paper, but didn't play up their expectations.
  2. NYCTK
    With all this complaining that Rocco RUINED Royce by insisting he play around the diamond, I thought I'd point out the diva played a total of 8 innings at a position other than 3B the last couple seasons. This excuse making is his job, not yours as a fan.
  3. NYCTK
    Woods Richardson is a perfectly serviceable starter, but there's no real hope for him to improve upon his pretty consistent results. He seems to be a mid 4s starter. Something that is valuable, but plentiful. If you can get Lawlar for that, you take it. Now, the question you raise is a good one, about his health. I'm not familiar with Lawlar's injury history, but that's why they have physicals as part of these deals...unless you're the Angels apparently.
  4. NYCTK
    Lawlar in return for SWR would be a steal. He was a consensus top 30 prospect last year and didn't really do anything to lose that shine, apart from failing to usurp entrenched starters.
  5. NYCTK
    Quite honestly, Twins fans need to get over him. You can't just point to one exception to argue for every AAA player to get a long run at the major league level. Brent Rooker has a career AAA OPS of 977 (930-ish as a Saint) whereas McCusker is sitting at 800. No one's arguing that McCusker can't be given further opportunities, but he needs to earn his chance to become a big leaguer.
  6. NYCTK
    Lee isn't truly believed as a SS by nearly anyone. He's a placeholder until someone else is ready at which point he'll try to get playing time elsewhere around the diamond. No one thinks Keaschall is a SS. Debarge, Young, Winokur, Schobel...all organizational depth. Not what anyone would call a glut of SS talent. One of them could take major strides and show themselves to be more than that, but they could also all flame out. So, we have a pretty good prospect and another decent prospect. As every major league farm should.
  7. NYCTK
    What SS glut? Let's list all the exceptional SS in the Twins system: Culpeppper is a fine prospect. Houston is interesting and will be fun to watch develop (or frustrating to watch languish). End of list. It is an incredible failure of management to even try to compete this season. Not trading either of Ryan or Lopez is the sign of a front office with more job security than intelligence.
  8. NYCTK
    Sounds to me like the Twins correctly evaluated McCusker as a AAA player that was just going through a hot stretch. The fact that he went down to AAA and didn't even OPS 600 over his next 200 PAs tells me not that the Twins ruined him, but that he wasn't all that good to begin with. Who? There hasn't been a high performing projectable minor leaguer promoted to the Twins since Royce Lewis. At least for position players. Kiriloff, but his injury misfortunes are well noted. Austin Martin, but he had already lost that top prospect status before coming over to the Twins. It seems the bigger issue is fans are getting way too excited for prospects like Trevor Larnach whose highest consensus rating was #83 and Wallner who was never a top 100 prospect. Well...the biggest issue is the Twins have had a terrible time scouting and developing in the minor leagues. It'd be nice if they could have more legitimate prospects graduating more frequently (without major health issues). Wallner is actually a perfect example of the Twins accurately evaluating their talent and the fans losing their minds over proper baseball decisions. He not only sucked in spring training and the start of the MLB season, but Wallner continued to suck for weeks in the minor leagues. It took him a solid month or more to get into the swing of the season, and was only kept off the major league roster 2-3 weeks from his inflection point. Did they time it perfectly, calling him back up as soon as he could have been a contributing player? Not quite. But did fans really want him to get 200 PAs in the major leagues, striking out 100 times, allowing him to find his swing with the Major League team that had won the division the year prior and expected to repeat?
  9. NYCTK
    Always strive to be just below median.
  10. NYCTK
    Larnach OPSing 750 isn't all that useful. On account of him being a bat only player.
  11. NYCTK
    Then you'll absolutely be disappointed with the return of any trade. McLean for Ryan would be an absolute steal. Falvey would go on a week long bender to celebrate getting 6 years of McLean for 2 years of Ryan.
  12. NYCTK
    I don't think that's accurate. He can request it, and make that well known as a part of the waiving of the clause, but he can't get that contract extension before he gets traded. And no team is forced to renegotiate an existing 3 year contract.
  13. NYCTK
    All it does is remind you that computer projections are flawed and only a conversation starter. No computer should ever make a decision, for no computer can ever understand reality, much less know the future. BTW it's a good thing that our entire economy is based on AI now. What could go wrong?!
  14. NYCTK
    Well, you made a declarative statement that is wrong, and I'm pointing out why it's wrong. That's all that's going here. No one would trade McLean for Ryan, ergo Ryan is not "way more valuable" than McLean.
  15. NYCTK
    It's a bit weird though. I feel like I wouldn't want my team to trade for Buxton outside of the trade deadline. He's just such a constant massive health question that no one can ever believe he's ready to play. As talented as he is, he's not helped the Twins win that much in his tenure because he's impossible to rely on. Through no fault of his own. As a Mets fan I don't think I'd trade Benge for Buxton straight up.
  16. NYCTK
    He's not though. Literally no one would trade McLean for Ryan.
  17. NYCTK
    Again, no offense. But you seem like someone completely out of touch with the real economy. You sound like you took Reagan era business classes and haven't looked at any data since. Sure. The average age of a first home buyer is 40...and that's terrible! And that's only the people actually buying. It should be about a decade earlier than that. 80% of home buyers are repeat buyers, be that upgrading assets or commodifying homes, leeches on society buying up homes to flip them for profit, exploiting their community. No one is buying homes because the middle class has been murdered by capitalism thanks, in part, to the destruction of labor unions. And it's just a fact that IF the Tigers don't pay Skubal it's because the Tigers billionaire owner has decided he doesn't care to pay him. Nothing else. I don't care, and you shouldn't care, if the Tigers billionaire loses 2% of his net worth. His life wouldn't change at all. Let's stop pretending he's not a selfish, worthless leech on society. Much more so than any average person on food stamps or unemployment. Anyone calling for a salary cap should forfeit their salary to their employer out of solidarity. I truly can't understand the mentality of anyone siding with billionaires over normal dudes. Just because your baseball team sucks and you misguidedly think reducing wages will help them win a few games? Come on.
  18. NYCTK
    Anyone that is anti-union is anti-labor. We've seen the degradation of the middle class with the elimination of unions. The average age of a home buyer is now 59 years old because business owners are incentivized to exploit their employees and now they aren't paid a livable wage. If you can't pay a livable wage as an employer, your business sucks and it shouldn't exist. If your employee, after 5 years of full-time employment, can't purchase a house, you are exploiting that employee. The fault in this exodus of jobs is not on the unions. It's squarely on the greedy executives and the politicians that incentivized this sort of activity, a rare occurrence where both sides are at fault, if not in equal measures. Blaming the people asking for better working conditions is beyond ridiculous. Just because their job is more lucrative, doesn't mean their union is any less worth fighting for. Anyone asking for a salary cap is Anti-Worker. Period.
  19. NYCTK
  20. NYCTK
    They're probably about on par with Jett having a slight advantage. Jett seems to have better athleticism/flexibility which may mean he could still improve or degrade slower? He's played mostly SS to good, not great, reviews, similar to Culpepper himself. The only reason he's not been viewed by the Mets as a SS prospect is because of Lindor. My best guess is they're both -5 to 0 run defensive shortstops. Whereas Lee seems like a -10 (or worse) run guy...woof. I do think Jett would be a great addition to the Twins (or any team). He could play any up the middle position competently, if not well, and, like you said, become a big fan favorite. Short king with wheels named Jett? That's gold for the marketing department. He's someone that would fit in perfectly on the Brewers. But, with Stearns having led that front office and essentially set that organizational philosophy we could see him refusing to trade him away (which would be foolish for the Mets). I know you mentioned you wouldn't be satisfied with him as the primary return for Ryan, and I can understand that, and because I've been watching him since he was in Brooklyn, I am clearly biased towards him. But I wouldn't hate it! Maybe him and Zach Thornton (who I just now learned is from Minnesota) for Buxton? That might be a more fair trade?
  21. NYCTK
    Exactly. There's no one that would trade McLean (55 FV) for Ryan. Benge (#21 MLB) miiiiight be available but I highly doubt it. Very insulting to my boy Jett :-( Jett is a step ahead of Culpepper. But, yeah, not exactly someone you look to build a franchise around. I am very excited to see him in the majors, but I do think he's traded somewhere this offseason so it likely won't be with the Mets.
  22. NYCTK
    No offense, but this sounds like the same BS that rich people use to explain why we can't raise their taxes or wages. There's no evidence that a salary cap would help the Twins compete. There's no evidence that a salary cap helps increase parity at all. There's theory, but then we look at the NFL and see that the theory is only theory. If owners in lesser markets want to increase parity it's all about revenue sharing and nothing to do with decreasing earning power of players.
  23. NYCTK
    You are right, there are few 50+ FV prospects. Only 23 by Fangraphs ratings, not even including Walker Jenkins who FG has downgraded to a 50 FV prospect. This tells you just how exclusive (and valuable) those prospects are, and Joe Ryan likely just isn't good enough to get one in return, one for one. Would have to be a very aggressive GM like San Diego (who don't currently have a 50+ FV) or Philadelphia. Maybe the Dodgers. But, for example, the Mets have one such prospect and I can say, definitively, that there is no chance the GM would make that trade.
  24. NYCTK
    For this to be true, you would have to argue that the 51-56 Twins were a team filled with hope, on the field and in the hearts of fans. That team was awful, and had no hope regardless in how hard you squinted. The only "hope" they had was their existence in the worst division in baseball and the "hope" that the other four teams might suck just a little bit more than the Twins.
  25. NYCTK
    Maybe! It's way too early. But he's going to be a 23 year old in AA/AAA with great results in A+ and AA. As for Roden, I still think he's got a decent chance at a respectable 5 WAR career, like a Lew Ford type. I obviously wish he would have shown something in his 100 at bats, but it's 100 at bats and the AAA results show some translatable skills. I'm still higher on Roden than I am Martin, but that's not saying a lot. As a starter, yes. But Jax was better in 2024 than Varland ever will be. I don't know why so many refused to recognize how good Jax was as a reliever or overrate the effectiveness of Varland. But, we also know people here hated Duran anytime he showed a single sign of mortality, so it's just the nature of being a passionate fan. But this is also why I'm so confused about the outrage over Varland, a good but not great reliever being traded for prospects. He's on the same level as a Phil Maton, someone that just signed a decent contract, but that contract was 2 years for $15 Million. There are a dozen Varlands available every offseason, and another dozen at the trade deadline.
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