Cody Christie

Minnesota’s offense scuffled over the last week while struggling to score runs. Are there any options at Triple-A to help bolster the lineup? Image courtesy of Seth Stohs, Twins Daily (photo of Yunior Severino) The Twins offense has been hit or miss for much of the 2024 campaign. Minnesota got out of the gate slowly while averaging fewer than four runs per game in the season’s early weeks. The team got hot from there and averaged over 6.5 runs per game in a stretch that included the team’s 12-game winning streak. In recent weeks, the team’s offense has returned to its early season form, an even more disappointing proposition since Royce Lewis rejoined the lineup. It's evident the team needs a spark to get the offense back on track, so here are four names for the team to consider. Matt Wallner, OF Wallner was part of the team’s offensive woes to start the season as he went 2-for-25 (.080 BA) with a 51.5 K% in 13 games. Initially, after his demotion, he continued to struggle on the plate. However, he seemed to have rediscovered his stroke over the last month. In 35 games, he has posted a .859 OPS with 17 extra-base hits, including ten home runs. He’s already on the 40-man roster, making it easy for him to replace an underperforming player. Replacement Options: Alex Kirilloff, Manuel Margot Brooks Lee, SS/2B Twins Daily ranks Lee as the organization’s second-best prospect, and he’s back in Triple-A after starting the year on the injured list. In recent memory, Lee has one of the best hit tools of any prospect to come through the Twins organization. He has slowly been working back into game action, so it probably isn’t an immediate solution for the Twins roster. However, Lee will be an option in the coming weeks, especially if the big-league roster continues to flounder offensively. Replacement Options: Kyle Farmer, Carlos Santana Yunior Severino, INF Severino lacks the defensive flexibility of other options on this list, but he’s a big bat that can impact the lineup in multiple ways. Last season, he finished tied for the most home runs in the minor leagues, and that’s one of the reasons the Twins added him to the 40-man roster. He’s a switch hitter whose OPS is over 100 points higher from the left side this season. His overall season totals don’t look great because he started slowly with a .556 OPS in his first 23 games. Since the calendar flipped to May, he is starting to hit like the player he was last season with a .790 OPS. Replacement Options: Farmer, Santana, Margot Will Holland, UTL Holland is 26 years old and is having his best professional season. In 29 games, he has hit .256/.404/.526 (.930) with ten extra-base hits and a career-low 24.2 K%. Defensively, Holland has experience playing in the infield and outfield, with the majority of his innings coming at shortstop this season. Throughout his professional career, he has logged over 1000 innings at two positions, shortstop and centerfield. His jump in power this season is an encouraging sign for a player who might be putting it all together. Replacement Options: Margot, Kirilloff, Farmer DaShawn Keirsey is another name to watch for the Saints since he leads the team in many offensive categories. Unfortunately, he suffered a calf injury at the end of last month and is on the injured list. Keirsey will be an option in the second half because of his strong offensive performance in 2024 and his ability to play all three outfield positions. Some tough decisions must be made to get these players on the roster. Kirilloff has underperformed for multiple weeks and has options remaining. However, there is little left for him to prove at Triple-A. Dropping one of the veteran players has other long-term ramifications because it involves the team eating salary and losing roster depth. It might be time for a radical change to get the offense back on track. Will the Twins add any of these players in the coming weeks? What players do they replace on the active roster? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion. View full article

In recent years, the Twins’ front office has used prospect depth to make multiple trades. Here’s a look at the team’s top 20 prospects and the different tiers into which each of them fit before the 2024 trade deadline. Image courtesy of William Parmeter (Fort Myers photos), Ed Bailey (Wichita photos) Many organizations value prospect depth to supplement a big-league roster and extend a team’s winning window. In recent years, the Twins front office has used some of the organization’s top prospects to trade for players like Sonny Gray, Tyler Mahle, and Jorge López. Obviously, some of those trades worked out well for the Twins, while others will live in infamy. Below is a tiered ranking of Twins Daily’s top 20 Twins prospects--with two players (Austin Martin and Simeon Woods Richardson) being removed because they will shortly graduate from prospect lists. The team’s top prospects are divided into five tiers. Tier 1: The Untouchables Walker Jenkins, Brooks Lee The Twins probably aren’t trading either of these players. Both are among the game’s best prospects. Jenkins has a chance to be a superstar who will be the face of the Minnesota Twins for a decade or more. Lee doesn’t have as high of a ceiling, but he is close to impacting the big-league level. The Twins will probably need Lee in the second half, and may have already called him up if he weren’t injured to start the year. Tier 2: Only Available in Blockbusters Emmanuel Rodríguez, David Festa, Charlee Soto The Twins will only include these prospects in a deal if they acquire a big name with multiple years of team control, or who can at least make a significant impact on their chances in a playoff series this fall. Rodríguez has missed time this year at Double-A, but remains a five-tool talent. Festa, like Lee, is already at Triple-A and looks big-league-ready. He will start games for the Twins in the second half, and is part of the team’s long-term starting rotation. Soto is far from the big leagues, but is an anomaly for this front office. They have rarely targeted high-school pitchers high in the draft, because of the volatility associated with this player type. Soto would only be included in a trade for controllable starting pitching, as the Twins did in the Chase Petty-for-Gray swap. Tier 3: Rising Stock and Trade Bait Luke Keaschall, Brandon Winokur, Zebby Matthews The Tier 3 players are the most likely to be traded out of the five tiers. Each of these prospects has seen their stock rise this season, which is something other organizations will prize. The Twins have tended to trade from this prospect type in the past, including Spencer Steer, Christian Encarnacion-Strand, and Cade Povich in the Mahle and López deals. Neither of those trades worked out in favor of the Twins, so maybe the front office should reconsider dealing out of this group. Tier 4: Dropping Stock Gabriel González, Marco Raya, Tanner Schobel, Cory Lewis, Connor Prielipp For various reasons, these players have seen their stock drop slightly in 2024, which likely means the Twins will value them more than other teams will. González was acquired as the main trade piece in the Jorge Polanco deal. He’s missed time this season with a back strain, and has been limited to a .771 OPS when on the field. The Twins continue to be extremely careful with Raya, as he hasn’t thrown more than 60 pitches in an outing. He has a high ceiling, but it’s hard to envision him as a starter at the big-league level without being stretched out. Schobel destroyed High-A last season with a .859 OPS, but has seen a 225-point OPS drop after being promoted to Double-A. He must prove he can hit for consistent power against upper-minors pitching in order to restore his prospect status. Lewis spent the beginning of the year on the IL with a right shoulder impingement. It seems likely that other teams will be interested in him once he proves he is healthy. Prielipp has dealt with injuries for nearly his entire professional career, so it seems highly unlikely for him to be included in a trade of any consequence. Tier 5: Supplemental Players to Sweeten a Deal Danny De Andrade, Yunior Severino, C.J. Culpepper, Ricardo Olivar These four players are near the back end of Twins Daily’s Top 20 list, and can be added to a deal to increase the overall value. De Andrade missed time this season with an ankle injury, so he must show he is healthy. Severino was added to the team’s 40-man roster this winter, after leading the minor leagues in home runs last season. He has struggled this year with an OPS under .675, and his player type might not fit with the Twins' big-league roster. Culpepper was a breakout prospect for the Twins last season, with a 3.56 ERA and 1.20 WHIP across 86 innings. He is also on the injured list with a right forearm strain, but he’s seen a slight uptick in his strikeout rate. Olivar posted a .855 OPS with Fort Myers last season and is hitting even better with Cedar Rapids in 2024. His ability to play catcher while posting power numbers makes him an intriguing trade target. The Twins have a roughly average farm system, with a bit less in the way of high-quality depth than some organizations. Still, if they position themselves as buyers this summer, they have enough prospect capital to acquire some helpful players for a pennant race. Which players would you deem untouchable? Would you add any other tiers? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion. View full article

The Angels have been one of the American League’s worst teams in recent years. So, do they have any usable pieces the Twins can attempt to acquire before the trade deadline? Image courtesy of Kirby Lee, USA Today Sports The Los Angeles Angels had two of the world’s best players (Mike Trout and Shohei Ohtani) for multiple seasons, but were unable to field a winning team. Ohtani left in free agency this winter, and Trout has been hurt increasingly often for the last half-decade. The Angels also have one of baseball’s lowest-ranked farm systems, due to poor drafting and development. ESPN’s Jeff Passan recently reported that the Angels "need to improve the worst-in-baseball farm system that they gutted last summer in an ill-advised spree intended to show Shohei Ohtani that Anaheim was the sort of place he wanted to stay for the remainder of his career." Los Angeles is a franchise with plenty of holes, but there is more than one helpful trade target for contending teams. Hitters Luis Rengifo is an intriguing hitter. He’s been used in a utility role for the Angels, while averaging a 111 OPS+ over the last three seasons. Rengifo is off to a hot start in 2024, with the team’s highest rWAR among position players and a 130 OPS+. He has one more year of arbitration eligibility, so the Angels may want to trade him while his value is at a high point. The Twins have other players in a similar role, so he’s likely not a trade candidate for the front office, but the picture could be shaken up by an injury or further struggles on the part of infielder Kyle Farmer. Jo Adell is a former top prospect whose name has swirled in the rumor mill in recent seasons. He’s hitting below .200 this season, but that’s partially a result of the Angels using him semi-regularly. Adell destroys left-handed pitching, with an OPS above 1.100 this season. Minnesota has posted a .712 OPS versus lefties this season, so Adell could be a platoon option with the ability to play multiple outfield positions. (Notably, however, he's only played center field twice this season, and 13 times in his big-league career. He would be a higher-ceiling, but perhaps not actually better, version of Manuel Margot.) Another outfielder, Taylor Ward, is expected to draw more widespread and eager trade interest, since he is under team control for two more seasons. Over the last three years, he has averaged a 120 OPS+, so his asking price will be high. As a right-handed hitter, Ward has improved against lefties this season. His .871 OPS versus lefties is 76 points higher than his career mark. Patient and excellent at lifting the ball with some steam behind it, Ward ranks eighth of 244 hitters in weighted sweet-spot exit velocity, created by TD managing editor Matthew Trueblood to estimate the overall ability to make high-value contact. He could be the most high-impact addition in this group. Kevin Pillar is another veteran name who will draw some trade interest. At the beginning of the season, he was terrible with the White Sox (85 OPS+), so the team designated him for assignment. Pillar elected free agency and signed with Los Angeles. He’s had a stunning turnaround with the Angels, with an OPS of 1.089 while playing all three outfield spots. He won’t cost much to acquire, and would be a better outfield option than Manuel Margot. Former Twin Miguel Sanó is also on the Angels roster, but likely won’t draw significant trade interest. He started the year strongly, with a .788 OPS in his first 18 games. Sanó was placed on the injured list with left knee inflammation on May 1, and suffered a setback after he left a heating pad on his knee for too long and was burned by the device. Few teams were interested in adding Sanó last season, and his latest injury might push down any chance of him joining a winning club in 2024. Certainly, that door is long closed for the Twins. Pitchers On the pitching side, left-hander Tyler Anderson has been the team’s best starting pitcher this season, and he is signed through 2025, which makes him even more intriguing. In 12 starts, he has posted a 2.37 ERA with a 1.13 WHIP. However, his 16.3 K% is low, and his 4.66 FIP suggests he's been more lucky than good this season. Minnesota’s front office likes to acquire pitchers with team control, but Anderson’s peripheral numbers wouldn’t necessarily make him a rotational upgrade for the Twins. It sounds like the Angels have a high asking price for Anderson at this point. Hunter Strickland was terrible last season at Triple-A for the Reds and Angels organizations. In his age-35 season, he has rebuilt himself into a solid late-inning relief option. In 26 appearances, he owns a 1.73 ERA and a 0.81 WHIP. His xERA and Barrel % rank in the 94th percentile or higher, but his K% and Whiff% are below average. Strickland would fit a low-leverage role with the Twins, but strikeouts are the name of the game for relievers, especially in the playoffs. Which player(s) should the Twins target? Is there an under-the-radar trade candidate beneath the Big A? Leave a comment and start the discussion. View full article

Walker Jenkins is widely considered one of baseball’s top prospects. So now that he’s returned from the injured list, what must he prove at High-A? Image courtesy of William Parmeter Expectations were high for Walker Jenkins entering the season, even though he is 19 years old and had fewer than 120 professional plate appearances. Some evaluators felt he could have a meteoric rise similar to Jackson Holliday, baseball’s top prospect who moved from Low-A to Triple-A last season. Jenkins injured his hamstring during his first game of the season and was sidelined for multiple weeks, so it seems unlikely he will reach the Saints this season. Still, he is one of the best prospects to come through the Twins system over the last decade, and expectations will continue to be high. So, what should fans watch as Jenkins returns? What does he need to work on before being promoted to Cedar Rapids? Power vs. Hit Tool Jenkins has been known for his advanced approach at the plate throughout his amateur career. He’s dominated while facing players his own age, including a .362/.417/.571 (.989) slash line during his professional debut. His OPS was even higher than that during his rehab stint, so now it’s about his ability to hit in the Florida State League. His hit tool has always been vital, so fans can keep an eye on his in-game power. Can he continue to drive the ball to all fields? How does he fare against more advanced pitchers? Those are the questions the Twins hope he can answer in the coming months. Running Wild Jenkins has been known as a strong base runner, but a hamstring injury can slow him down on the bases. He went 3-for-3 in stolen base attempts during his rehab stint, including a two-steal game. Interestingly, the Twins were distraught with Royce Lewis stealing bases during his rehab stint with the Saints. However, Jenkins isn’t on pace to impact the big-league roster this season, so the organization must be fine with him being aggressive on the bases. Ideally, he will be hitting more extra-base hits so that steals won’t come into the picture, but he will continue to draw walks. Do the Twins want their star prospect running wild on the bases? No Body Puts Jenkins in the Corner The Twins have continued to use Jenkins in center field despite some evaluators believing he will move to a corner spot at some point in his career. The Mighty Mussels may start giving Jenkins reps in the corner outfield, but it makes sense for him to stay in center field for as long as possible. Minnesota follows a similar plan with Brooks Lee, who has played shortstop throughout his professional career even though Carlos Correa is blocking him at the big-league level. Teams value depth at up-the-middle positions, so there is no reason to move Jenkins until he adds more to his frame and grows out of the position (if that ever happens). Avoiding the Twins' Top Prospect Injury Curse Minnesota’s top prospects for most of the last decade have been bitten by the injury bug, including Royce Lewis, Byron Buxton, Alex Kirilloff, and Austin Martin. Jenkins missed time to start the 2024 campaign, and his previous injury history is something to consider. As a freshman in high school, he had surgery for a hip impingement, and he broke his hamate bone during his last year before the draft. All of Twins Territory hopes he can put his previous injuries behind him and get back to playing baseball. Jenkins has the potential to be a generational talent, but he is a long way from Target Field. Fans can have fun watching his progress this season, especially now that he can attempt to live up to the lofty hype surrounding his prospect status. What will you be watching with Jenkins? What should his goals be for the remainder of the season? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion. View full article

Many fans hope the Twins add a big bat or an impact pitcher before the trade deadline, but the front office has an opportunity for a unique strategy. Can the club find a way to buy and sell? Image courtesy of Brad Rempel-USA TODAY Sports Minnesota’s front office was forced to be creative this winter when searching for pieces to complete the roster because of ownership’s self-imposed payroll limitations. The resulting roster has underperforming players and other holes that must be addressed at the trade deadline. The Twins currently hold the final Wild Card spot and are on pace to win 90 games, so it seems logical for the team to want to be buyers. However, the club might have room to trade away veteran pieces to maximize any remaining value. Like many ownership groups, Twins ownership has previously pointed to other organizations with lower payrolls and on-field success. “I think in today's game, you can see there are a number of different ways to win,” executive chair Joe Pohlad told reporters earlier this spring. “You see that both with the Tampa Bay Rays, with the Baltimore Orioles, having lower payrolls and turning out very successful products on the field, but also investing in other areas of the business.” Tampa is an organization that isn’t afraid to deal away a veteran player and replace that player with a younger, more cost-effective option. However, that strategy only works if the replacement player can produce. Minnesota’s team's needs before the deadline still need to be determined. Many of the team’s right-handed bats have underperformed by combining for a 94 wRC+, but the Twins hope that the return of Royce Lewis will help those totals. Matt Wallner and Edouard Julien were expected to build off their tremendous rookie seasons, and now they are both at Triple-A, hoping to rediscover their swings. Overall pitching depth is also something all contending teams attempt to acquire at the trade deadline. It seems unlikely for this front office to add a playoff-caliber starter, so any upgrades should be relief arms. So, how can the Twins thread the needle between buyers and sellers? Minnesota’s front office attempted to trade veteran pieces this winter, but other options remain on the roster. Max Kepler has seen his name in the rumor mill for multiple seasons. There is a possibility the Twins can extend him a qualifying offer after the season, but that seems unlikely with the previously mentioned payroll limitations. Kepler is likely headed to a multi-year free-agent deal out of the Twins’ price range. The front office could trade Kepler’s expiring contract If Wallner or Emmanuel Rodriguez were deemed ready to step into a full-time role in right field. Kepler isn’t the only veteran trade option. Another way the Twins can get creative this winter is by using veteran players to balance money in a trade. Earlier this week, I wrote about Minnesota targeting Pete Alonso in a trade with the Mets. He is owed over $7 million for the remainder of the season, so the Mets could agree to take on the salary of a player like Christian Vázquez to make the deal work. Carlos Santana and Kyle Farmer can be used similarly if the Twins feel comfortable with other players stepping into their roles on the club. Caleb Thielbar is another name that might draw some trade interest because many contending teams are looking for left-handed relievers. He’s the most expensive player in the bullpen, and the Twins have other lefty options. Many of the team’s veteran players have underperformed to this point in the season, so there may be minimal trade value associated with their contracts. To be clear, the strategy of trading someone like Kepler will not sit well with a fan base that was drug through the mud during the offseason. At the same time, the front office doesn’t make moves based on how the fans will react. If that were the case, Luis Arráez and Jorge Polanco would still be on the roster. Derek Falvey and Thad Levine have shown the ability to be aggressive at the trade deadline, but that might mean a combination of buying and selling for 2024. Can any team successfully buy and sell at the trade deadline? Do the veteran pieces have any trade value left on the bone? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion. View full article

MLB’s trade deadline is quickly approaching, and the Twins are borderline to make the playoffs. Can Pete Alonso power Minnesota to a second-half surge? Image courtesy of Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports The Mets have struggled this season, sitting well below .500 while having baseball’s highest payroll. It seems likely that the club will shed salaries by the trade deadline, and Pete Alonso is a logical trade candidate. He is being paid $20.5 million in his last year as arbitration-eligible, so he will be a rental piece for whatever team signs him. There are extra layers to acquiring Alonso, especially for a team like the Twins. So, what will it cost, and can the Twins find a way to add one of baseball’s biggest sluggers? What will it cost to acquire Pete Alonso? Other teams besides the Twins will be interested in adding Alonso for a potential playoff run, so the acquiring team must offer the right prospect package. Would the Twins offer one of their top-5 prospects to acquire him? Twins Daily’s top prospects include Walker Jenkins, Brooks Lee, Emmanuel Rodriguez, David Festa, and Gabriel Gonzalez. From the team perspective, Jenkins and Lee are likely untouchable, while Rodriguez and Festa have seen their stock rise during the 2024 campaign. Gonzalez or another top-10 pitching prospect like Marco Raya might be enough to headline a package. There would likely need to be other players involved from outside the team’s top prospects. The Mets can also leverage the qualifying offer process in any deal for Alonso. If New York kept Alonso, they would most assuredly extend him the qualifying offer, which comes with draft pick compensation if a player signs with another team. A compensation round pick is valuable, including more money added to a team’s draft pool. A team trading for Alonso must provide New York with compensation worth more than the potential draft pick they would acquire if he left. It’s also worth noting that an acquiring team can’t extend a qualifying offer to Alonso because of the rules in place as part of the collective bargaining agreement. What are other trade considerations? New York is paying Alonso over $20 million this season, so he will still be due close to $7 million for the season’s final two months. Minnesota cut payroll this winter because of the uncertainty surrounding their television contract. There might not be room to add Alonso’s contract without the Mets sending some money to pay down the end of the deal. To do this, the Twins might have to send more value in prospects to make up the difference. However, there is another way to make the money work. To balance the money, the Twins can include a veteran player with a higher salary. Minnesota shopped their veterans this winter, and Jorge Polanco was the only player traded. Christian Vázquez would be due a little over $3 million for the season’s last two months, plus the $10 million remaining on his contract for next season. Vázquez’s offensive performance has dipped in 2024, but he continues to provide strong defense with a fielding run value and framing in the 82nd percentile or higher. Perhaps New York would be interested in adding catching depth to offset Alonso’s contract, but the Twins still need to include multiple prospects. How does Alonso fit with the Twins? Alonso has seen a slight drop in his home run production this season after three consecutive seasons where he averaged more than 40 homers per year. He’s been an All-Star the last two seasons, including finishing in the top-8 for the NL MVP in 2022. In 58 games this season, he is hitting .239/.315/.477 (.792) with a 130 OPS+. Carlos Santana has been the Twins’ primary first baseman this season, posting a 92 OPS+ in 54 games. However, his bat has improved recently, with a .841 OPS since April 25th. One of Minnesota’s most significant weaknesses this season has been the struggles of the team’s left-handed bats. Alonso is a right-handed hitter with almost identical splits against lefties (.867 OPS) and righties (.862 OPS) for his career. His OPS has dropped to .778 this season versus right-handed pitchers, but it’s 33 points higher against right-handed starters. He’s an impact bat who can make a difference for the stretch run. Home runs help to win games in October, and Alonso has been limited to three playoff games with the Mets. New York lost the Wild Card Series to San Diego in three games, but the club won the middle game when Alonso hit a homer. Minnesota needs to be creative at the upcoming trade deadline, and adding Alonso can help bolster the line-up. However, he might be one of the biggest bats moved this year, and plenty of teams will be interested in his services. Should the Twins try to add Alonso? What should the team be willing to give up? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion. View full article

The Twins had an inconsistent on-field performance during May, but multiple pitchers compiled strong totals for the month. Who had the best performance in May? The answer may surprise you. Minnesota’s bullpen carried the team through the season’s first month, with three relievers finishing in the top five for Twins Daily’s top pitchers of the month. Brock Stewart, Griffin Jax, and Cole Sands were vital to many of the Twins’ early successes. Stewart has been on the injured list, and Sands has seen a decline in performance, so May has seen some different names move up the rankings. One starting pitcher has stood out compared to the rest, so let’s jump into this month’s rankings. May Pitchers of the Month #4 – Chris Paddack – 6 G, 3.60 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 35.0 IP, 6 BB, 33 K, 0.20 WPA Paddack is in his first full season back from Tommy John surgery, so there is always concern about how many innings a pitcher can throw. He’s thrown 95 pitches or more in three of his starts this month, including an eight-inning gem at Cleveland, where he limited the Guardians to two earned runs on three hits. His velocity has dropped in recent starts, so it will be interesting to see if the Twins find a way to give him extra days off throughout the season. #3 – Griffin Jax – 12 G, 2.19 ERA, 0.81 WHIP, 12.1 IP, 3 BB, 16 K, 0.70 WPA Jax had a rough patch earlier this month, allowing earned runs in three straight appearances. Since then, he has made seven straight scoreless appearances with ten strikeouts across 6 2/3 innings. Jax has seven holds and a save while ranking second on the team in WPA behind the next player on this list. His 32.6 K% and 25.6 K-BB% were the highest totals among the team’s bullpen. Jax ranks in the 95th percentile for K% and Whiff%, and he’s struck out 38% of the right-handed hitters he has faced, which ranks in the top five among AL relievers. Other relievers struggled during May, so it’s hard to imagine where the team would be without Jax. #2 – Simeon Woods Richardson – 5 G, 2.84 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, 25.1 IP, 5 BB, 17 K, 0.87 WPA Woods Richardson has been critical to the team’s rotation during May. The team was hoping not to need him until later in the season, but he’s proving he can get hitters out at the big-league level. He allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his five starts this month. Here’s where Woods Richardson ranks among MLB rookies with 35.0 or more innings pitched this season: ERA (3rd), BB/9 (4th), HR/9 (3rd), and Opponent SLG (3rd). SWR went six straight starts without factoring into the decision, which was the second-longest streak in Twins history. He picked up his second win at the final start of the month and brought notes about the team’s performance to his postgame interview. Winner – Joe Ryan – 5 G, 2.51 ERA, 0.84 WHIP, 32.1 IP, 4 BB, 32 K, 0.64 WPA Ryan is putting up first-half totals that will put him in the conversation to make the AL All-Star team. In May, he held opponents to a .193/.220/.319 (.539) slash line while pitching into the sixth inning in all five starts. His best start of the month came in his final appearance against the Royals on May 27th. In seven innings, he held Kansas City to one earned run on four hits with nine strikeouts and no walks. With the performance, his season ERA dropped under 3.00 for the first time since his third start of the year. He recorded six straight quality starts from April 24 to May 27, leading the Twins with eight quality starts this season. He has allowed three or fewer earned runs in ten of his 11 starts. Among qualified AL pitchers, he ranks in the top 10 in WHIP (3rd), BB/9 (3rd), K/9 (9th), IP (7th), K/BB (4th), FIP (5th), and Situational Wins Saved (8th). According to Baseball-Reference, Max Kepler is the lone Twins player with more WAR than Ryan this season. With Pablo Lopez struggling, Ryan has looked like the staff's ace during the past month. Congrats to Joe Ryan on his strong performance over the last month. To make his first All-Star team, he must continue to pitch well in June. What do you think? How would you rank the top Twins pitchers based on their April performance? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion. View full article

The Twins hired Derek Falvey and Thad Levine in November 2016, and their stamp is clearly on the organization. So, what have been the club’s worst free agent signings under their tenure? Image courtesy of Kamil Krzaczynski, Scott Taetsch, Denny Medley -USA TODAY Sports Christian Vázquez is nearly halfway done with his three-year, $30 million contract, and his performance has been subpar in a Twins uniform. At the time, it was easy to see the reasoning behind the front office targeting one of the best free-agent catchers. Ryan Jeffers had struggled in 2022 (86 OPS+), so the club wanted someone who could step into a regular catching role. Hindsight is 20/20, and the team would likely want to be out from under his contract at this point. Where does the Vázquez contract rank among this front-office regime's worst free-agent signings? Honorable Mention: Dylan Bundy (-0.2 rWAR), Addison Reed (0.0 rWAR), Lance Lynn (0.1 rWAR), Logan Morrison (-0.2 rWAR), J.A. Happ (-1.8 rWAR) 5. Josh Donaldson rWAR: 3.7 The Twins signed Donaldson to a four-year, $92 million contract in January 2020. He provided the most value out of the players on this list, but he wasn’t worth $21.75 million per season. Minnesota’s front office had initially planned to target front-line starting pitching with the team’s payroll flexibility and pivoted to Donaldson after the top-tier starters had already signed. Thankfully, the Twins were able to dump the final two years of the contract on the Yankees, including the $8 million buyout of his contract option. The front office thought Donaldson could be a veteran presence to push the team to the next level, but that never came to fruition. 4. Andrelton Simmons rWAR: -0.1 Simmons is one of the best defensive shortstops in MLB history, and the Twins hoped he could bring that elite skillset to the team. He signed a one-year, $10.5 million deal leading into the 2021 season. His offensive performance had typically been slightly below average, but it fell off a cliff with Minnesota to the point he was nearly unplayable. In 131 games, he posted a 57 OPS+ and saw his defense take a step back too. Also, he became a clubhouse distraction for his vocal stance against the COVID-19 vaccine before testing positive himself. The Twins hoped Simmons could be a one-year stopgap at shortstop, but there were better ways to spend his contract. 3. Christian Vázquez rWAR: -0.7 Vázquez still has a year and a half left on his three-year, $30 million deal, so there is time for him to accumulate value and fall off this list. He continues to provide solid defensive numbers, including ranking in the 79th percentile or higher in Fielding Run Value and Framing. During the offseason, rumors circulated that the Twins attempted to trade veteran players to cut payroll. However, the front office loves to use a two-catcher rotation, which has continued this season despite Vázquez’s poor offensive performance. He has caught a lot of innings during his career, and the end of his contract might not be pretty. 2. Alex Colomé rWAR: -0.7 Hopes were high for the 2021 Twins after back-to-back AL Central titles, and the front office added Colomé to be a veteran presence in the bullpen. He combined for a 2.27 ERA (201 ERA+) and a 1.03 WHIP in the two seasons before signing with the Twins. His first month was a disaster as he allowed eight earned runs in 8 2/3 innings while being charged with three blown saves. He had a -2.2 WPA in April as he nearly single-handedly took the Twins out of contention by the month’s end. Colomé settled in after the first month with a 3.51 ERA and a 1.05 WPA for the remainder of the season, but the damage had already been done. 1. Matt Shoemaker rWAR: -1.8 Minnesota’s failure to develop starting pitching forced the front office to sign cheap veteran options to fill rotation holes. Shoemaker and J.A. Happ were brought in during the same offseason and posted the exact rWAR total, but Shoemaker ranks higher for multiple reasons. He had an 11-game stretch from April 11- June 11, where he posted an 8.10 ERA with opponents combining for a .905 OPS. He was removed from the rotation before struggling as a reliever, too. Minnesota demoted him to Triple-A where he voiced his concerns about the alterations the coaches attempted with him during the season. The Twins released him on August 2, and his big-league career ended abruptly. Nearly every player on this list fit a specific role for the Twins when the team targeted them in free agency. Unfortunately, Minnesota is rarely in the market for the best available players, especially with ownership's self-imposed payroll limits. Free agency can force some teams to make poor investments, but those chances are even higher when a front office is forced to shop in the bargain bin. Who should rank in the top five for worst free agent signings by this regime? Does someone else need to make the list? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion. View full article

Major League Baseball is an international game, played in a country where English is the primary language. For many players, this environment can result in parts of interviews being lost in translation. Former Twins pitcher Jorge López made headlines this week, and other players have recently dealt with similar issues. Image courtesy of Nick Wosika-USA TODAY Sports Jorge López will be remembered in Twins circles because of the lopsided trade that brought him to the organization. The Twins sent four prospects, including Yennier Canó and Cade Povich, to Baltimore, and López lasted less than a year in the organization. In parts of two seasons, he posted a 4.81 ERA (86 ERA+) with a 1.41 WHIP, while being worth -0.2 WAR. Things couldn’t have gone much worse in Minnesota, but the end of his tenure with the Mets has become even more memorable--for all the wrong reasons. On Wednesday, López pitched for the Mets in their 10-3 loss against the Los Angeles Dodgers. He was ejected by third-base umpire Ramon De Jesús, and threw his glove into the stands on his way off the field. Mets Manager Carlos Mendoza referred to the glove toss as “unacceptable.” Mendoza and David Stearns, the Mets' president of baseball operations, spoke with López after the game and decided to designate him for assignment. Drama also followed López into his postgame interview, during which emotions were still high from the on-field incident and his meeting with team officials. One of the quotes garnering the most attention was when López appeared to say the Mets were “the worst team in, probably in the whole f------ MLB.” Asked to clarify whether he was saying he was on the worst team, he said, "Yeah, probably, it look like." However, the words could be clearer, as evident in the video below. English is not his first language, so there may have been a misinterpretation. Some interpreted it as López actually saying, “I think I been looking (like) the worst teammate probably in the whole f—ing MLB.” It’s also easy to notice that he is doing the entire interview without help from the Mets' communication department. López might have made this choice, but having an interpreter there can ease some of the burden for players who do not have English as their first language. The Twins may have had a similar situation recently, without the big-market drama associated with López and the Mets. Minnesota was on a seven-game losing streak, and frustrations started mounting for the players and manager. Some quotes came out after a frustrating loss that might have been tied to a translation error for someone who is not a native English speaker. The Twins lost versus Cleveland on a walk-off home run, a tough pill to swallow, especially with the team’s star closer on the mound. Jhoan Durán threw a first-pitch curveball to Will Brennan, but stated after the game that he disagreed with that call. "It's not my decision," Durán told reporters. "I thought that [Brennan] wasn't good with fastballs. I'm an employee here, so whatever I need to throw, I need to throw it." Some Twins fans were upset with Durán’s comments, because it felt like he was not taking full responsibility or was throwing the coaches and other players under the bus. Durán has been attempting to do more frequent interviews in English, but there can still be errors with phrases or finding the appropriate words. Twins manager Rocco Baldelli was asked about Durán’s comments before the next game. "I think he's just frustrated and was looking for a way to vent," Baldelli said, "I thought it was unusual. I wasn't expecting it. I like to handle our stuff here with a conversation in the clubhouse." Sometimes, it is abundantly clear what a player means by a specific quote. However, there are instances, like López and Durán, where quotes might not match what the player was genuinely trying to say. MLB continues to grow and become more international, so it is vital to support players so their quotes aren't skewed to grab headlines. After a spate of issues like these littered over the first decade of the 21st century, MLB took steps about 10 years ago to make interpreters available to more players, on a more robust basis. Whatever was meant and whatever was actually relayed in each of these cases, we can be grateful for that progress, but perhaps even more support and care is necessary, on all sides of such situations. Should teams do a better job of ensuring players are supported during postgame interviews? What’s the best approach for situations like this in the future? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion. View full article

In 2023, the Twins saw a historic rookie class outperform expectations by a significant margin. Many of these now-sophomores are struggling in 2024, though, so how can Minnesota get them back on track? Image courtesy of Matt Blewett-USA TODAY Sports The Twins have had some outstanding rookies throughout their history. However, the Class of 2023 is arguably their best group ever, based on their overall performance and impact on the team. Minnesota hoped those players would be essential parts during the current season, but that hasn’t come to fruition. What needs to happen for these players to return to impacting the big-league team for the better? Edouard Julien, IF 2023 Recap: Julien burst onto the stage during the 2023 World Baseball Classic, with Team Canada, so it seemed like a matter of time before the Twins called him up. In 109 games, he posted a 132 OPS+, with 16 doubles and 16 home runs. He finished with the fifth-most walks ever among Twins rookies, and only Colorado’s Nolan Jones had a higher OBP among rookies with a minimum of 350 plate appearances. Some evaluators were critical of his defense at second base, but he made great strides, especially in the second half. 2024 Struggles: Julien posted an .830 OPS in April, with five doubles and seven home runs. However, May hasn’t been kind to him, with an OPS hovering around .500. He has been limited to one extra-base hit in 75 plate appearances, and hasn’t hit a home run since his two-homer game back on Apr. 25. The Twins have dropped Julien down in the batting order, but he might need something else to wake up his bat. Solution: Julien might best serve the Twins with a reset at Triple-A, especially with Royce Lewis and Brooks Lee returning from injury. Matt Wallner, OF 2023 Recap: Wallner entered last season as the Twins organization's reigning Minor League Player of the Year. He mashed at Triple-A with a .927 OPS, and it got to the point where it seemed silly for him to still be with the Saints. Minnesota called him up for good in the middle of July, and he ended the season with impressive power totals. In 76 games, he hit .249/.370/.507, with 11 doubles and 14 home runs. From the team’s viewpoint, it seemed he had surpassed other former first-round picks like Trevor Larnach and Alex Kirilloff. 2024 Struggles: Wallner began the year on the Twins’ Opening Day roster, but went 2-for-25 (.080 BA) with 17 strikeouts. The team was forced to demote him to Triple-A, where he has an OPS below .630 despite playing in an offensive-friendly environment. There have been flashes of his powerful swing from his rookie season, but he’s lacked consistency. Batters with Wallner’s offensive profile are prone to slumps, so he must prove his 2023 season was not a fluke. Solution: Other outfielders have surpassed him on the organizational depth chart. He needs to rediscover his swing to be a big-league option. Louie Varland, RHP 2023 Recap: The Twins needed Varland to serve multiple roles during the 2023 campaign. He began the year as a starter and posted a 5.30 ERA with a 1.36 WHIP in 10 games. Opponents combined for a .848 OPS against him, as he allowed more than one home run per game (14 homers). Minnesota moved him to the bullpen for the stretch run, and he was electric. In 12 innings, he allowed two earned runs (both solo homers) with 17 strikeouts and one walk. It created a tough decision for the team about what role he should serve in 2024. 2024 Struggles: Varland was scheduled to begin the year at Triple-A, but Anthony DeSclafani’s season-ending injury changed those plans. He began the year as the team’s fifth starter, but flopped. In four starts (16 2/3 innings), he allowed 17 earned runs, including six home runs, which isn’t sustainable at the big-league level. The Twins demoted him to Triple-A, where he has a 4.41 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP. Those totals are a little deceiving, because the Twins are treating his starts like spring training games wherein he works on specific pitches or locations. Solution: The Saints continue to use Varland as a starter, but it's getting close to time for him to shift back to the bullpen. The Twins are finding ways to win despite the poor performances of their sophomores. Cleveland and Kansas City have built a lead atop the AL Central standings. To get back in the division race, production from all parts of the 40-man roster will be required. Minnesota needs these players not only for 2024, but for years to come. Which player is most critical to the team’s second-half success? Leave a comment and start the discussion. View full article

The Yankees had a 40-man roster crunch back in 2018, so the Twins traded a teenage pitcher for Jake Cave. Since that move, there have been long-term ripple effects for multiple teams. Image courtesy of Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports Trades can have long-term ramifications for organizations beyond the players initially acquired in them. One such Twins trade was discussed on a recent episode of Gleeman and the Geek. Entering the 2018 season, the Yankees had too many MLB-caliber players on their 40-man roster and were looking to make a deal before the season began. The Twins were among multiple teams interested in acquiring Jake Cave. To complete the deal, Minnesota sent Luis Gil, a 19-year-old pitcher in the rookie leagues who had struggled with arm injuries. He was far from the big leagues, and the Twins liked what Cave could offer the team as a backup outfielder. Let’s examine the ramifications for the two players involved in the deal, and another decision tied to Cave’s time with the Twins. Jake Cave Ramifications Cave played a part-time role in parts of five seasons with the Twins. He hit .235/.297/.411, with a 93 OPS+ in over 1,000 plate appearances. In his first two seasons, he averaged a 112 OPS+ with double-digit doubles and home runs. As a left-handed batter, he’s been used mostly in a platoon role throughout his big-league career, and his OPS is 168 points higher versus right-handed pitching than against southpaws. He played all three outfield positions with the Twins. He generally looked stretched in center field, but he showed some strong skills in the corners. Cave has continued to find big-league opportunities, even after leaving the Twins. Last season, he played 65 games for the Phillies and was on their roster for the NLCS. He’s currently a member of the Rockies, and has a 67 OPS+ in 38 games. Minnesota’s front office correctly identified Cave as a big-league-caliber fourth outfield option for multiple seasons. Luis Gil Ramifications Injuries have marred Gil’s professional career, but he is off to a tremendous start with the Yankees this season. In May 2022, he underwent Tommy John surgery, and he finally returned to the minor leagues at the end of last season. New York is desperate for pitching this season after losing Gerrit Cole until at least June. Gil cracked the roster as the number-five starter and may well be on his way to making the AL All-Star team. In 10 starts, he has posted a 2.11 ERA, with a 1.01 WHIP and 31.7 K%. He leads all of baseball with a 4.4 H/9, and his Baseball Savant page is lit up with more red than the Rockefeller Center Christmas Tree. Gil has only pitched over 100 innings in one professional season, so he will likely be on an innings limit this season. A lot can go wrong with pitcher development from the DSL to the MLB level, and Gil had already dealt with a significant injury, so the Twins can’t be faulted for trading him. LaMonte Wade Jr. Ramifications Wade Jr. isn’t directly related to the Cave trade, but the team had a decision to make in 2021 tied to both players. Minnesota had too many outfielders on their roster, and traded Wade for reliever Shaun Anderson. The Twins didn’t stick with Anderson for long, as he allowed nine earned runs in 8 2/3 innings before being claimed off waivers by the Rangers in June. Cave and Wade could have served a similar role for the 2021 Twins, but it seems like the Twins made the wrong choice. Wade has posted a 119 OPS+ In over 370 games with the Giants. Over the last two seasons, he has been getting even better at the plate and in the field. In 51 games this season, he has a league-leading .472 OBP, mainly thanks to the best walk rate in the league. He’s also found a defensive home at first base, where he has an OAA and a Fielding Run Value in the 86th percentile. Wade has been one of the NL’s best players this season, and that’s tough for Twins fans to watch. Which player is a more significant loss for the Twins, Gil or Wade Jr.? Will Gil have an innings limit this season? Leave a comment and start the discussion. View full article

Last season, the Twins used a tremendous trio of rookies to bolster the second-half roster on the way to a division title. What’s the updated ETA for some of the team’s top prospects in 2024? Image courtesy of William Parmeter (photo of Brooks Lee) Fans get excited about the possibility of young talent impacting the big-league level, especially with top prospects garnering hype well before they reach the majors. Every year, prospects reach the big-league level and have varying impacts on the roster. Some players will struggle, while others will find immediate success. Here are five prospects from the updated Twins Daily Top-20 prospect list that can still impact the big-league roster this season. Brooks Lee, IF Current TD Ranking: 2 Lee likely would have already made his big-league debut if he had been healthy enough to start the year. Unfortunately, he suffered a back injury toward the end of spring training that ended up being a herniated disc. Lee started his rehab assignment last week and should rejoin the Saints shortly. Last year, he posted a .731 OPS in 38 Triple-A games, so the team will likely want him to find some success at the level before giving him a call-up. ETA: July Emmanuel Rodriguez, OF Current TD Ranking: 3 Rodriguez has dominated the Double-A level to begin the 2024 season, putting himself into the conversation as the team’s top overall prospect. There seems little left for him to work on at Wichita, so he should don a Saints jersey before midseason. The Twins have been getting a lack of offensive production from the team’s left-handed hitting outfielders, so there might be pressure to push Rodriguez to the big leagues. However, he is only 21 years old, so there is no reason to rush him (yet). ETA: September David Festa, RHP Current TD Ranking: 4 The Twins have already needed to dig into their starting pitching depth this season, with Louie Varland struggling and Simeon Woods Richardson taking his rotation spot. Eventually, there will be another need at the big-league level, and Festa is showing that he is nearly a finished product. Over the weekend, he set the Saints franchise record with seven consecutive strikeouts in five scoreless innings. His 36.8% K rate is the highest of any Triple-A pitcher, with a minimum of 150 batters faced. ETA: July Marco Raya, RHP Current TD Ranking: 6 Raya is an intriguing prospect because the Twins have been cautious with his usage throughout his professional career. Last season, he never faced a batter beyond the fourth inning, and that trend has continued this season. His strikeout rate has jumped from 20.8% last year to 29.1% in 2024. It’s interesting to consider if the Twins might shift him to a bullpen role for the stretch run so he can help the big-league team. Minnesota would need to be in contention but he has the pitch mix to be a dangerous relief option. ETA: September Yunior Severino, IF/DH Current TD Ranking: 18 Severino was added to the 40-man roster this winter after tying for the minor league lead with 35 home runs. Minnesota assigned him to Triple-A this season, and he’s struggled to find consistent success at the plate. In 42 games, he has posted a .611 OPS with a 33.9 K%. His walk rate has jumped nearly two percent this season while being over two and half years younger than the average age of the competition in the International League. Severino is on the 40-man roster, so the team might need to turn to him sometime in the second half. ETA: August Would you change any of the ETAs? What other prospects can help the team in 2024? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion. View full article

The Metrodome’s scoreboard posted a simple message when the opposition issued a free pass to first base, “Walks will haunt.” In an era where strikeouts are king, the Twins pitching staff is avoiding the ghosts associated with walks. Image courtesy of © Tommy Gilligan, Matt Krohn, Brad Rempel-USA TODAY Sports Twins starting pitchers have been put into some challenging situations this season, with the team’s offense disappearing for stretches of games. This lack of offensive production puts extra pressure on the starting staff to avoid base runners because any run could be the difference between winning and losing. When the club scores more runs, there is less pressure on every pitch, making it easier for the starters to find their rhythm on the mound. The Twins' starting pitchers have had a clear strategy in recent weeks: to avoid walks, so let’s look at the numbers and see if it is sustainable. Pablo López leads the Twins starting pitchers in more than one way. Over the past 14 days, he has posted a 1.3 BB% with a 0.5 BB/9 and an 18.0 K/BB. Last season, his 6.0 BB% was the second-best total for his career, and he lowered that to 4.0 BB% through his first ten starts in 2024. Baseball Savant ranks his BB% in the 92nd percentile, and his walk improvements might be tied to pitch mix changes. He is throwing his four-seamer more regularly this year (+5.7%), and that pitch has produced a 28.1 Whiff% and a 23.1 Put Away%. López’s overall results have been below last season, but he’s leading the way when avoiding walks. Bailey Ober has been known for his control throughout his professional career, and that trend has indeed continued into 2024. Over the last 14 days, he has a 2.5 BB% with a 0.9 BB/9 and a 14.0 K/BB. For his career, Ober has averaged a 5.0 BB%, and he’s rarely strayed from that total. His strikeout totals have been the biggest surprise this year. He’s posted a career-high of 26.6 K% and has led the staff with a 35.0 K% over the last two weeks. His most significant pitch alteration has been the addition of a cutter to his pitch mix. He throws the pitch 23% of the time, and batters have been held to a .316 SLG against it. Ober pounds the strike zone, and that trend will continue. Joe Ryan has seen some of the most considerable improvements regarding walks, with his 3.8 BB% and his 1.4 BB/9 being career-best totals. Over the last two weeks, he has had the highest walk rate among the team’s starters, but he is making strides compared to earlier in his career. Simeon Woods Richardson (3.3 BB%) and Chris Paddack (3.6 BB%) are also helping the team’s record-setting pace. SWR has struggled with walks, including a double-digit walk rate in two previous seasons. Minnesota worked with him on his mechanics entering the 2024 season, and the overall results have been positive. Paddack is in his first full season back from Tommy John surgery, which can come with some control issues. However, he is pitching near his career marks regarding walks. During Minnesota’s recent anti-walk campaign, the team’s starters easily lead baseball in BB%. The Twins have a 2.9 BB% over the last two weeks, and the second-ranked Dodgers and Tigers have a 5.1 BB%. Minnesota’s 7.2 K/BB is also at the top of the league, with LA and Detroit second at 4.5 K/BB. It seems unlikely that the Twins starters will sustain a walk rate that is an outlier compared to the rest of the league. However, it has clearly been a focus for the staff, and they understand the demons that can follow when allowing free runners to reach base. Can Twins starters sustain their current walk rate? Which starter has the best chance to continue avoiding walks? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion. View full article