Drtwins
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Everything posted by Drtwins
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The Twins' Struggles Against Southpaws Aren't a Mirage
Drtwins replied to Cody Pirkl's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
How many articles can be written discussing the twins having too many left hand batters. They have had 8 of the 9 batters hitting from the right side. They have incredible balance of right vs left (50/50) handed on the 26 man and 2 of the 5 outfielders are rh. If anything they should be more left handed with over 70% of pitchers being right handed. The problem is the players they have aren’t that good, stop blaming it on what side they hit.- 12 replies
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- josh bell
- victor caratini
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Twins Spring Battle: Orlando Arcia vs. Ryan Kreidler
Drtwins replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I agree with the first portion. As Arcia didn’t opt out with the rest of yesterday’s vets, I’m assuming he’s made the opening day roster. If Martin ends up on the IL, I’m thinking they postpone the outman vs roden decision and keep both on the 26 man through April.- 45 replies
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- orlando arcia
- ryan kreidler
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Twins Spring Battle: Orlando Arcia vs. Ryan Kreidler
Drtwins replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
“As a non-roster invitee, Arcia would require the Twins to make a corresponding move to add him to the 40-man roster. In contrast, Kreidler already occupies a spot” I don’t see this as a reason to keep Kreidler over Arcia as there is the obvious solution of removing Kreidler from the 40-man and adding Arcia if Arcia wins the competition.- 45 replies
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- orlando arcia
- ryan kreidler
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I’m also seeing it mentioned as a mutual option, so in essence 1 yr 6.2 million deal. Was thinking it was a solid deal for the twins if it was only a team option as arbitration will likely change with the new cba and Ryan would be locked in. The mutual option likely works in Ryan’s favor unless he gets injured or completely falls apart.
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Why Didn't the Twins Go Full Sell-Off?
Drtwins replied to Cody Pirkl's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
You might want to check where you get your information, cba expires in December.- 82 replies
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- eric orze
- ryan jeffers
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My pick would be Emma, best career milb numbers of the group and can fill in at a premier position, with Gabby close behind. Culpepper does play SS which is huge, but his career year batting was still below Emma and Gabby’s milb career averages.
- 36 replies
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- eduardo tait
- kalen culpepper
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James Outman and the Death of Roster Building
Drtwins replied to Greggory Masterson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
The roster projection looks about right. I could see Martin in left over Larnach which either moves Larnach to the bench or DH (Bell to 1st & Clemens to the bench). With that said, the too many LH bats falsity sets in again. The 13 players above are 6 right handed bats, 4 left and 3 switch. Even if you want to call bell and Caratini LH because of splits then you have to count Lee as RH, so it’s still more right than left. And again 75-80% of mlb abs come against right handed pitching which favors left handed hitters. Even if specifically looking at the outfield it’s as balanced as it’s going to be with 2 from one side and 3 of the other.- 37 replies
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- james outman
- austin martin
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Agreed, I think Emma is the most likely outfielder if he stays healthy in April and May. If buxton goes down or Martin can’t hack it at the plate and a full time spot opens up he would be the most likely choice imo.
- 35 replies
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- connor prielipp
- marco raya
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I guess we’re doing the whole we need a right hand hitting corner outfield thing again this year. IMO lineup balance is more important than which position that balance comes from. The twins already have Martin, buxton, Lewis, keaschall, Jeffers as right hand bats with bell, Lee, and Caratini as switch hitters. Leaving 5 roster spots open, even if all those spots were to go to some combination of left handed batters Wallner, Clemens, Larnach, outman, Julien, Roden which I don’t expect with the need for backup ss and rostering Wagaman, it would leave them with 5 rhb, 5 lhb, and 3 switch. The need of a rh hitting corner outfield narrative has been overplayed on this site for the last several years. The roster is already balanced and is more likely to have more rh bats on the opening day roster than lh bats when only 20% of abs are against lhp.
- 35 replies
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- connor prielipp
- marco raya
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Eduardo Tait Has a Clear Developmental Checklist for 2026
Drtwins replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
I’m going to have the unpopular opinion, but I have reservations about Tait's potential. His OBP and OPS have not been particularly impressive at the A+ level, though I acknowledge this is based on a limited sample size. While his receiving skills have shown some improvement, they remain below average at this stage. One of Tait's notable strengths, aside from his power, has been his arm strength; however, he has had a consistent decline in caught stealing percentage across levels—falling to a slightly below league average rate of 24% in 2025 across A/A+. I hope to be proven wrong. -
I also enjoy guessing and don’t believe Jenkins or Culpepper play enough to graduate from prospect status. I’m also nervous Tait’s downward ops continues as he rises, already below .700. 1. Jenkins 2. #3 pick 3. Culpepper 4. Hill 5. Rojas
- 49 replies
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- marek houston
- charlee soto
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Minnesota Twins Roster Project and Organizational Depth
Drtwins replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I had hope, but this looks a lot more depressing laid out. The battles I see as of today would be Fitzgerald vs Kreidler for the backup SS spot, Outman vs Rodon for the 4th OF spot and Larnach vs Julien for the final roster spot.- 81 replies
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- ryan jeffers
- josh bell
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Meh, another article about making a trade with the Orioles. Surprised there aren’t any articles about the Twins big bullpen signing yesterday, Dan Altavilla, at least it would give us something new to read.
- 57 replies
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- coby mayo
- bailey ober
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Twins Should Look to Baltimore for First Base Help
Drtwins replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Kewl, didn’t realize twins were considered Julien to start at 1st. I had read Clemens was the anticipated starter, who did have a higher war in 2025. Again, I think Mountcastle will likely be an upgrade. -
Twins Should Look to Baltimore for First Base Help
Drtwins replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I’d be interested in Mountcastle if it cost next to nothing. As noted he’s considered a negative trade asset at his projected cost. His bat has been trending downward the last 2 seasons and he’s only been an above average fielder one season his entire career. I’d much rather go after O’hearn. With that said Mountcastle would likely be an upgrade to the twins current options, so not opposed for the right cost. -
Susac was who I was hoping for the last couple of weeks. He could have battled it out with Jackson in spring training for the backup spot. Per the twins way, my hope was immediately crushed.
- 85 replies
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- daniel susac
- aaron rozek
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I’m on board with the sign Jeffers at 3-30, which would essentially be a 2-24 extension which seems reasonable for both parties. I also believe with the challenge system and potential for full abs it could raise Jeffers value. And yes, please go for Susac in the rule 5 to battle it out with Jackson for the backup position.
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I may be overly optimistic but if the twins do these 3 things maybe they’ll be alright. They have solid starters with Lopez, Ryan, Ober, SWR, and which young starter wins the 5th spot. Leave a couple of the starters who don’t win the 5th spot stretched out in the minors for when the inevitable injury occurs, covert a couple to relievers while picking up some bargain bin vets like always. The key is getting a first baseman or dh that can hit. Maybe that’s Steer for larnach and one of the lower end starting pitcher prospects the Twins have. Additionally, after reading the diamond centric rule 5 article I wouldn’t be upset selecting Susac and letting him battle Jackson for the backup catcher position in spring training. Send him back if he doesn’t win.
- 34 replies
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- kody clemens
- joe ryan
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I’d be fine if the Twins were able to trade Larnach for bullpen help or prospects, but non-tendering him for a roster spot doesn’t make sense. And let’s be real the Pohlad’s aren’t going to use this money to bring in proven talent which would cost more. Yes, he is a defensive liability, but even his league average bat is top 5 on the current roster. The Twins have plenty of OF options, but can use help at first or DH. Larnach will out hit Julien and Clemens. IMO there are several players who should come off the 40-man before Larnach, as many others have noted: Outman, Keirsey, McKusker, Kreidler, and Julien.
- 62 replies
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- trevor larnach
- ryan jeffers
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According to mlb.com Blewett was informed this afternoon he would not be part of the opening day roster.
- 58 replies
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- jose miranda
- edouard julien
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“The final roster spot seemingly comes down to Austin Martin versus DaShawn Keirsey. Keirsey is by far the better defender, but Martin is right-handed, and therefore a better matchup fit for this team's bench.” I struggle to understand the rationale behind prioritizing right-handed hitters in the Twins outfield, given that only 25% of pitchers are left-handed. Both of the current center field options, Buxton and Bader, are right-handed. Moreover, looking at the infield, Jeffers, Vázquez, France, Correa, and Miranda are also right-handed hitters, while Castro and Gasper are switch hitters. When available Lewis is also RH and Lee a switch hitter. From my perspective, adding Keirsey, a left-handed bat, appears to be a more logical choice over Martin.
- 79 replies
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- eiberson castellano
- brooks lee
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Projecting the Twins’ 2025 Opening Day Roster, v. 3.0
Drtwins replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
This projection seems accurate at this point. With Zebby injured (he had been pitching great) and Festa struggling (Paddack is as well albeit in only a single start), the starting five appear to be set. The bullpen is likely down to nine due to Topa's injury. Castellano will likely be the odd man out for now; his potential is there (7k in 4-2/3in), but he has had some struggles this spring (1.71 whip, 5BB). It's hard to imagine the Twins keeping him on the 26-man roster for the entire season. However, with about three weeks left in spring training, one more injury to a reliever could make him the eighth man. I do agree some of the veterans, Paddack and Tonkin, have struggled as much as the young guys but with the small sample size so far in spring they likely get the benefit of the doubt as they have shown to be adequate pitchers at the MLB level. On the position player side, Lee is coming on strong and is likely the best defensive player on the bubble, making him nearly a lock. IMO Julien and Gasper are competing for the final bench spot. Although I would love to see Keirsey sneak on as the 13th man, allowing Wallner and Larnach to DH, Bader to play left, and still have Keirsey available as an outfield replacement off the bench. One of Castro or Lee could start at second base, with the other serving as a super utility player in the infield.- 58 replies
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- brooks lee
- austin martin
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I wish the author had used statistics to support their opinion rather than relying on projections. Zebby would be immediately excluded from the conversation. His ERA, FIP, and WAR (the only one with a negative WAR) were significantly worse than the others. While one could argue that it's a small sample size, this also indicates that he has no proven track record of success in MLB, making his inclusion in the opening day roster unjustifiable. Festa led the group in FIP/xFIP and had a significantly higher strikeout percentage than the others. If Festa has a good spring he would be my choice for #4. In my opinion, the discussion should really come down to SWR versus Paddock for the 5th spot. These two had very similar advanced metrics in 2024 (FIP, xFIP, K%). I would lean towards Paddock for the final spot in the rotation. He has a longer track record, is further removed from surgery, SWR can be optioned, and as others have pointed out, the Twins will need starting pitcher depth and shouldn't discard one. This assumes everyone makes it through Spring Training healthy. Being MN sports fans we all know this is unlikely, so I wouldn't be surprised if Festa, Paddock, and SWR are all on the opening day roster, or one of these three ends up on the IL and the other two get the final rotation spots.
- 63 replies
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- chris paddack
- david festa
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