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python85

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Everything posted by python85

  1. python85
    Not sure why KC is listed ahead of us on the MLB standing page, but we have already locked up the tiebreaker against them. We are 7-3 against them with 3 games to play.
  2. python85
    You mean like Bailey Ober? He seems viable to me. Or Joe Ryan? Or SWR? I know the last two were trades, but they certainly haven't regressed since they got in the organization.
  3. python85
    I'd rather play Houston then Atlanta or the Dodgers. Maybe Baltimore too. All three of those team finished 10+ games ahead of Houston in the standings and I'll take 162 games this year as a better measuring stick than playoff results where some are half a decade old.
  4. python85
    Not necessarily. Right now the race for the third Wild Card is close. If it stays close those teams are going to have to use their top starters on Saturday and Sunday just to get in leaving them unavailable for at least game 1. That is what the Twins should really be hoping for.
  5. python85
    No. The AL East runners up have locked up the first Wild Card. The Blue Jays are likely Wild Card number 2. That means each of the three AL West teams are fighting just to get into the playoffs, None of them are looking to lose because they would find themselves watching the playoffs from couches.
  6. python85
    Rehabbing players don't play every day and Buxton started his rehab on Thursday. He was going to get an off day Friday regardless of the Twins situation. That's not a Buxton thing that's a rehab thing. The Twins did the same thing with Gordon, Kirilloff, Polanco, etc, when they were coming back from injury. The Saints are also at home so he didn't even need to get on a flight to be with the Twins yesterday. It won't delay his rehab at all.
  7. python85
    With 12 more wins this team is 77- 49 with the best record in the AL. The decision by Rocco didn't work out last night, but a different manager doesn't suddenly turn this team from average to excellent
  8. python85
    I agree there isn't a strong one. All of our pitchers either have significantly more team control (Ryan, Ober, Lopez) or significantly less(Gray, Meada). I think we agree that their Bell and Rosario trades might be sneaky good and something the Twins could have emulated, but we just don't have a very good comp for Civale.
  9. python85
    Comparing Civale to Maeda is insane. Civale has a career ERA of 3.77 (2.34 year) with 2+ years of control left. Meadea was a career ERA of 3.92 (4.53) is year with 2 months of control left. Their returns wouldn't have been close. Since we can give Gray a QO next year the minimum we would have to get for him would be the value we could get with the comp pick if he leaves via free agency. The Guardians got that with Civale because of the control he had left. I don't think anyone was going to give that up for 2 months of Gray.
  10. python85
    According to Fan Graphs the Reds have a 38% chance to make the playoffs entering play today. They may make the playoffs, but calling them playoff bound is a huge stretche.
  11. python85
    I get Kepler and Gallo, but why on earth would we cut Polanco? He has been good when healthy this year. His biggest problem is that he can't stay on the field, and cutting him won't help that.
  12. python85
    Did I watch the same game as everyone else? The team played horrible and the strikeouts made the game frustrating to watch, but unless I missed the note about the team meeting before the game where Rocco told the players to play terribly I'm not sure what he is being ripped for this time. His bench moves, thought strange, worked last night, and the bullpen management was fine. This team is frustrating and Rocco certainly deserves criticism for some of his decisions this year, but last night is not on him. It's on the players.
  13. python85
    No problem. Glad we can have a good discussion about the technology. Agreed that it doesn't talk specifically about the system, but my assumption was if the system to measure accuracy can't get an image as the ball crosses the plate then the TrackMan probably can't either, but I don't know for sure. We both of the same goal of making ball and strike calls as accurate as possible. Personally I think with the current tech the best we can do is the challenge system, but I hope it gets to the point where it gets the whole game. I just don't think we are there yet.
  14. python85
    This article gives a good explication of the process. https://technology.mlblogs.com/mlb-ground-truth-testing-ec87c73450b9 Although it is slightly old I couldn't find anything that says the technology at it's core has changed. Here is the paragraph to support my assertion. "Since we would be very lucky to have a frame timed exactly as the ball crosses the front face of the zone, the ball position at y=17 inches is interpolated from trajectory data before and after the ball crosses into the zone. Here, the side (x) and height (z) vectors are regressed to the y direction (toward pitcher) and a linear equation is used to interpolate the side and height position when directly over the leading edge, at y = 17 inches. Pitch location at the front face of the strike zone (y=17” plane) is the central data product of each pitch during a ground truth test."
  15. python85
    This is not true. MLB admits there is a margin of error on their system. What do you do when the pitch is within the margin of error? Call it a no pitch and move on the next one? Flip a coin? This is where the challenge system shines. The umpire makes a call, if it's very wrong a challenge can fix it. If it is in the margin of error call stands and we play on. Everything works great. Also please correct me if I'm wrong about this, but I believe the system doesn't actually record where the pitch crossed the plate. It takes a sample of position, spin, velocity, etc, at a point on the way to the plate and calculates where it will end up. Though probably more accurate than the umpire this still seems like an imperfect system.
  16. python85
    This is not the question to be asking when talking about who should be playing OF this year. Gordon is under control through 2028 and each of those three players has 1 year of control left. Of course I am not trading Gordon for any one of them. That being said I think Kepler for sure and maybe the other two give the team a better chance to win this year, and that is the question we should be asking when talking about playing time.
  17. python85
    Pitchers that consistently give 7+ innings are a thing of the past. If my quick search is correct there is currently only one MLB pitcher (Sandy Alcantara) averaging more than 7 innings per start. Yes our starters need to go deeper into games, but the player that you are saying we are "short" just doesn't exist anymore.
  18. python85
    Can you remind me who Atlanta's ACE was in 2021? Or the Royals in 2015? Yes I having an ACE helps but it is far from a necessity.
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