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whosafraidofluigirussolo

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Everything posted by whosafraidofluigirussolo

  1. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    "Trade for Urias straight up" is the new "move Mauer back to catcher"
  2. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Absolutely. A MLB organization, a large organization with lots of people and resources dedicated to scouting, will always have a player identified as belonging at the top of their board. It probably was different when spending on the draft was a free-for-all, but at this point with draft pools regulated, no organization prioritizes need over BPA at the top of the draft. I'd think that few, if any, start prioritizing need until well after the first round.
  3. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Apparently the Padres at #3 took a player who hasn't played above rookie ball: http://twitter.com/jjcoop36/status/806861913418305536 Hoping/assuming that guy isn't the return for trading the 1st pick to San Diego...
  4. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Apparently Ross had surgery for thoracic outlet syndrome in October. So he's on a similar rehabilitation track to Phil Hughes, but some months behind Hughes. His upside would be great to have on the Twins roster, but I assume he won't pitch until mid-season, which makes it more difficult to know how he'd fit into the plan. Still a worthwhile gamble for someone but I bet there will be another team willing to pay more for that gamble.
  5. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Cubs just signed Jon Jay to a one-year contract. Surprised that they (evidently) didn't expect to retain Fowler, or at least to have a strong chance at keeping him.
  6. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    A little hard to imagine the Nats acquiring another second baseman in order to move Murphy to 1st (he's only hit like a 1st baseman for about a year, right?) and bench Zimmerman, but I suppose stranger things have happened. Also, the last time the Twins traded an up-the-middle position player straight-up to the Nationals for a starting pitching prospect, it didn't work out so well. All that said, I wouldn't complain if this deal happened.
  7. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Fangraphs recently posted an article about the current minor league free-agent position players projected to perform best next year under a particular statistical projection system that I'm not "under the hood" enough to care to read about. 4 of the top 10 are catchers. Take it for what it's worth. Maybe one of them can be what people seemed to hope the catcher Hicks would be last year.
  8. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    So in other words, you're sold on analytics.
  9. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    I guess the optimistic read on this would be that the jury is still out on the most recent wave of really good Twins prospects, and they still could be the core of a pennant winner. So this list, and the current state of the system, is more about the kind of depth that might fill around them (plus the handful of high-ceiling guys who are much farther away--Javier, Kirilloff, Diaz.)
  10. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    I streamed a bit of the presser at work (mostly Falvey and Levine's few minutes each of introducing themselves, and a couple of the first questions.) Their answers weren't too substantial; they said the "right" things without saying much. What got me was a sense of "this is really happening"--like, although the hires were first rumored and then announced weeks ago, just knowing there were people set to take those roles somehow didn't make changes in the organization's decision making seem real. Seeing those guys in front of a press conference made it actual: everything we read and hear on personnel decisions, transactions, and the state of the team will, for the most part, have Falvey or Levine as its sources now. Hearing them begin to speak on behalf of the Twins drives home that there is a change at least in the voices driving the operation, and based on that likely broad-scale changes in direction as well. I like it!
  11. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    I'm guessing most people will have the same top 5 (Gonsalves, Jay, Gordon, Kirilloff, Romero) but there will be a lot of variance in the order. It should be an interesting winter for Twins prospect talk.
  12. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    A dearth is exactly what they don't have.
  13. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    WOW, that first Jake Mauer quote is manager cliché gold. And he's a pretty young manager too...must be a natural.
  14. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    The Tigers have registered more of their players as trademarks than the Twins have. Seems like a pretty well-constructed lineup for the Twins against a lefty, though.
  15. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Yeah, pretty much what alarp said... The La Russa and Stewart hires are only the model for the collective Twins fan base's hope if you squint and see them as names with cachet and outsiders to the organization. I think the general desire (on this board and I imagine elsewhere, as I think the perception of the Twins management as clay-footed is widespread at this point) is to get candidates whose shine comes from already having worked in front offices, preferably analytic-leaning ones. I also question whether either ownership or realistic fans will create pressure for a quick turnaround. The last GM already diagnosed "total system failure" and most of the core of the next good team, probably, is young and will be together for some years to come.
  16. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    I'm not sure why Vargas would be considered any less than dead even with Park in contending for a future roster spot at this point.
  17. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    To piggyback on this, while it's true that the Twins are throwing a "new" and inexperienced guy into the deep end at the trade deadline, Antony has all the organization's analytics and scouting resources at his disposal. It's not hard to imagine that he'd be more inclined to use them and less inclined to assume he can rely on his knowledge alone than a long-tenured GM would be. Edit: I realize that either the org's scouts or (especially) their analytics department can be reasonably criticized as behind the curve; my point is simply that whatever organizational knowledge was there for Ryan is there for Antony and he might be more inclined to take advantage of it.
  18. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Who are Pozzo and Lucky in this scenario?
  19. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Remember when the Twins were posting such a high team BB rate a couple of seasons ago (led by Dozier and Willingham I think) and the players credited Bruno and Molitor, who were in their first season as coaches? Seems like a long time ago now.
  20. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Among the outfielders, it's safe to say Buxton isn't going anywhere and Kepler has the next best outlook as a starter in the long term. Getting one passable starter and one good bench player out of the three of Arcia, Grossman, and Rosario seems like a reasonable goal. Grossman's career has a bit more of the "failed prospect" trajectory than Arcia or Rosario's at this point, but he's not that much older than them, and useful players arrive in different ways, including as ex-prospects putting it together later on. IMO it should be an open competition between those guys for those spots. Santana seems more dispensable--fine to keep him around if they can use him, but no big loss if he gets cut for reasons of roster crunch. Similar case with Vargas. Echoing the thread about trading Nunez, if some team wants to buy high on his hitting these last couple months, great, trade him; if not, he probably doesn't have great trade value and the Twins are in as good a position as any team to see how long he can sustain it. Yeah, not a good defender, but his ability to fill in at multiple positions has value, as does being a backup without a complete zero for a bat if putting Sano back at 3B or Polanco wherever doesn't work as hoped.
  21. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Picks 7 through 9 were all players I semi-realistically would have wished to see the Twins get at 15. Any chance Kyle Lewis slides to 15?
  22. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Thought it might be worth pointing out that a week ago MLB Trade Rumors published a list of 10 current trade candidates and had Plouffe at #8 (as well as Abad at #10.) This opinion doesn't represent "the industry," and doesn't necessarily mean that the Twins would get a lot for him, but it does seem that people outside the fan/homer sphere think there's some trade value there.
  23. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    So the Twins don't have more than one first-round pick, but they have several lower in the top 100. Is that just not enough money to take a high-price-tag guy at 15 and save with lower-bonus guys at the later picks? Or is it a question of spreading risk across the picks versus counting more on the first pick to work out?
  24. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Bit of a surprise: Berardino reports that Milone cleared waivers but Fien was claimed.
  25. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Correct me if I'm wrong, but I *think* Milone and Fien are still on waivers and are thus still on the roster, so the additional DFAs were needed to clear roster spots. I'm not clear on what the difference is between a DFA and the type of waiver Milone and Fien are on, besides that the former clears a roster spot as soon as the player is designated. If that's correct, though, Milone and Fien might be with the team tonight, right? That's gonna be awkward.
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